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Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.
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Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Jan 03, 2016

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Page 1: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Rossohin V.V.Rylkin A.Y.Vlasova J.A.

Page 2: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Analysing the actions of traders made

under the influence of psychological biases,

emotions and other main factors and planning

the way to avoid these problems

Decision-making psychology on financial markets

Page 3: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Decision-making psychology on financial markets

Page 4: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Psychological biases1. Overconfidence

“ “Don’t confuse brains with a bullDon’t confuse brains with a bull market!market!””

Figure 1. Dow Jones Industrial Average

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 5: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

2.

Psychological biases

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 6: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Psychological biases“Information can mislead people”

Figure 2: Gazprom (GSPBEX)

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 7: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Psychological biases3.

Decision-making psychology on financial markets

Page 8: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Psychological biasesAttachment bias

Figure 3. The INTURAL corporationDecision-making psychology on

financial markets

Page 9: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

One important reason thatlearning from such mistakes is difficult

The brain remembers actions

better than the reasons for those actions.

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 10: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Emotions

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 11: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Figure 4. EESR

EmotionsSeeking pride

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 12: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Figure 5. GMKNorNik

EmotionsAvoiding regret

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 13: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Emotions

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 14: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Simplification The bias of representativeness

Mental accounting

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 15: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Mood and optimism1. Bad mood, pessimism usually critical and detailed

analysis 2. Optimism

Figure 6. RTSIND

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 16: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

The main qualities of a successful

trader

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Quickness of reaction

Discipline

Experience

Concentration

Steadiness

Readiness to risk

Intuition

The ability to work in a team

The ability to process data

Learning capability

Communication skills

Integrity

Independence

Analytical thinking

Aggression

Optimism

Mathematical abilities

Curiosity

Managerial abilities

Computer skills

Social skills

Importance

Page 17: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

ConclusionIn our point of view, system trade system trade is one of the

best decisions in this situation. This system could

exclude emotional problems, of course, if a trader has

enough discipline to follow the system.

Decision-making psychology on financial

markets

Page 18: Rossohin V.V. Rylkin A.Y. Vlasova J.A.. Analysing the actions of traders made under the influence of psychological biases, emotions and other main factors.

Decision-making psychology on financial markets