ROSNEFT ROSNEFT FY 2006 FY 2006 US GAAP US GAAP Results Results May 15, 2007 May 15, 2007
ROSNEFTROSNEFT
FY 2006 FY 2006 US GAAP US GAAP ResultsResults
May 15, 2007May 15, 2007
2
Important NoticeImportant Notice
The information contained herein has been prepared by the Company. The opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. The Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.
These materials contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. We assume no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been verified by the Company. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
3
2006 Highlights2006 Highlights
§ Rouble appreciation vs USD
§ Increased tax burden
§ Integrating recent acquisitions
§ Optimization of enhanced downstream portfolio to grow netbacks through:
§ Enhanced MIS/technology solutions
§ Increased sales/distribution capabilities
§ Realizing benefits of new flexibility in netback options
§ Industry leading upstream performance:
§ Production growth
§ Reserve replacement
§ Drilling results
§ Unit costs
§ Lifting cost growth < guidance
§ CAPEX of $3.46§ Vs $3.1 bn in ’05 USD guidance
§ Litigation progress
§ Recent M&A successes
PositivesPositives Challenges, PrioritiesChallenges, Priorities
4
12M 2006 Results12M 2006 Results
(144%)956(423)7%2,9413,137Adjusted Operating cash flow2
(11%)6375980%3,6153,625Adjusted Net income1
104%652 1,331 78%1,944 3,462 Capital expenditures
199%956(967)-12%2,9412,593Operating cash flow
7%566 603 -15%4,159 3,533 Net income
-37%1,402 880 4%7,029 7,276 EBITDA
18%6,919 8,21339%23,863 33,099 Revenues
-4%5.99 5.77 7%21.26 22.66 Oil products output, mmt
-5%3.61 3.454%13.03 13.58Gas, bcm
6%142.81 151.47 8%540.39 582.70 Oil, mln bbl
5%164.04 171.70 7%617.05 662.53 Production, mln boe
Chg., % 4Q05 4Q06 Chg., % 12M05 12M06
1. Net income before minority interest and effect of Sevmorneftegaz sale2. Operating cash flow adjusted for net advance tax payment related to Yukos receivables which are expected to be received in 2007
5
ReservesReserves
11,305
10,410
20,089
31,394
41,804
Proved Probable Possible
R/P, yrSource: D&M 2006 reserves report, SPE case
Rosneft’s oil & gas reserves and reserve lifeRosneft’s oil & gas reserves and reserve life
30 47 63
Liquid hydrocarbon reserves rankingLiquid hydrocarbon reserves ranking
15,927
11,618
10,850
9,781
7,806
6,696
6,471
4,197
3,481
11,823
15,961Rosneft (SPE)
Lukoil (SPE)
Rosneft
Petrochina
Exxon
BP
Chevron
ConocoPhilips
Total
Shell
ENI
Source: Company reports and filingsSEC classification unless otherwise indicated
bn boe
mln boe
6
Crude Oil ProductionCrude Oil Production
1,596.4
1,480.5
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
2006 2005
Daily Crude Oil Production, 2006 vs. 2005Daily Crude Oil Production, 2006 vs. 2005
kbpd
Daily Crude Oil Production, 4Q2006 vs. 4Q2005Daily Crude Oil Production, 4Q2006 vs. 4Q2005
1,646.41,552.2
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
4Q06 4Q05
kbpd
7
Crude Oil Production (cont.)Crude Oil Production (cont.)
-1.0%
-3.9%
0.3%
7.8%
2.7%
2.9%
Gazpromneft
TNK-BP Holding
Tatneft
SurgutNG
Lukoil
Rosneft
2006 Crude Oil Production Growth in Russian Federation2006 Crude Oil Production Growth in Russian Federation
Russia ex. Rosneft: 1.2%
Source: Infotek for peers, company data for Rosneft
8
95.9
14.7 5.4
8.5
8.4
12M05 YNG SevernayaNeft
Sakhalin-1 Purneftegaz Other 12M06
1480.5
1596.4
Crude Oil Production (cont.)Crude Oil Production (cont.)
Includes share in production of affiliates
mln bbl
+7.8%
2006 Crude Oil Production Reconciliation2006 Crude Oil Production Reconciliation
kbpd
9
715
481445
356
275
160
Rosneft Gazpneft Slavneft TNK-BP Lukoil Surgut
Average Daily Flow of New Wells 12m 2006Average Daily Flow of New Wells 12m 2006Average Daily Flow of New Wells 12m 2005Average Daily Flow of New Wells 12m 2005
663608 589
544
320
175
Rosneft Slavneft TNK-BP Gazpneft Lukoil Surgut
Source: Infotek
bpd bpd
Extending Drilling Performance GapExtending Drilling Performance Gap
10
Gas SalesGas Sales
9.57 9.30
2.58 2.62
2006 2005 4Q06 4Q05
Gas Sales, 2006 vs 2005Gas Sales, 2006 vs 2005
9.57 9.30
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2006 2005
bcm
2.58 2.62
-
1
2
3
Q4 2006 Q4 2005
Gas Sales, Q4 2006 vs Q4 2005Gas Sales, Q4 2006 vs Q4 2005
11
10.49 10.38
2.57 2.78
12.15 10.88
3.213.20
2006 2005 4Q06 4Q05
Petroleum products output by owned refineries Petroleum products output by third party refineries
22.6621.26
5.77 5.99
Petroleum Products OutputPetroleum Products Output
Petroleum Products OutputPetroleum Products Output
mln tonnes
Decrease due to scheduled
maintenance at Komsomolsky Refinery
12
2.763.17
3.52
4.27
2003 2004 2005 2006
679 670 684 684
28 4871 83
2003 2004 2005 2006Owned and leased Franchised
Retail GrowthRetail Growth
Number of fillings stationsNumber of fillings stations Average daily sales per 1 filling stationAverage daily sales per 1 filling station
tonnes / daystations
13
Economic EnvironmentEconomic Environment
$/tonne
$/tonne
$/bbl
%
%
RUB/USD
516
550
56.31
4.4%
1.8%
26.59
4Q06
28.2927.1928.51Average RUB/USD rate
10.9%9.0%2.3%Inflation rate
6.9%19.1%1.2%Real RUB appreciation vs USD
50.4761.2753.68Urals oil price (av. Med and NWE)
506587537Gasoil, 0.2% (av. Med)
488558533Diesel fuel (av. RF)
12M0512M064Q05
14
23,863
33,099
37
3,042
4,283 4471,427
2006 Revenue Oil Volumes Oil Price ProductsVolumes
Products Price Other Sales 2005 Revenue
Revenue ReconciliationRevenue Reconciliation
Revenue ReconciliationRevenue Reconciliation
+38.7%
USD mln
15
53.7
24.5
9.5
56.3
33.9
9.5
Urals Export Duty MET
4Q05 4Q06
50.5
18.7
8.8
61.3
27.3
11.0
Urals Export Duty MET
2005 2006
Tax EnvironmentTax Environment
Oil Price and Taxes in 4Q 2006Oil Price and Taxes in 4Q 2006
+2.63
USD/bbl
+9.35
+0.01
Oil Price and Taxes in 2006Oil Price and Taxes in 2006
Oil Price Increase – Tax Increase = -6.7 USD/bbl+10.80
USD/bbl
+8.58
+2.23
Oil Price Increase – Tax Increase = -0.1 USD/bbl
16
Netback LadderNetback Ladder
2006 Netbacks and crude allocation ($/bbl)2006 Netbacks and crude allocation ($/bbl)
4Q2006 Netbacks and crude allocation ($/bbl)4Q2006 Netbacks and crude allocation ($/bbl)
Rosneftrefineries
$34.2
Transneft export
$27.9
CIS Transneftexport
$26.8
Third partyrefineries
$27.3
Domesticcrude
13%6%
24%
Total sales:582.7 mm bbl
$32.4
16%
$29.5$26.4
1%1%
Non-Transneft export
CIS Non-Transneft export
38%
Rosneftrefineries
$29.4
Transneft export
$27.6
CIS Transneftexport
$26.0
Third partyrefineries
$18.812%5%
25%
Total sales:158.0 mm bbl
$25.4
16%
$23.7
$16.440%
1%
Non-Transneft export
38%
CIS Non-Transneft export
1%
Domestic crude
Urals average price: $ 61.3/bblCrude Export Duty: $ 27.3/bbl
Urals average price: $ 56.3/bblCrude Export Duty: $ 33.9/bbl
17
SG&A and Transportation ExpensesSG&A and Transportation Expenses
2,820
2,231
589
12M05
778
589
189
4Q05
1,067
867
200
4Q06
28.5%7575.8%General and administrative expenses
44.6%3,22647.2%Pipeline tariffs and transportation costs
41.2%3,98337.1%Total
Chg., %12M06Chg., %USD mln
General and administrative expensesGeneral and administrative expenses
5376
138 118
757 589
19
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
12M05 Inflation Salaries Materials Other expenses Bad debt provision 12M06
USD mln
18
Operating Expenses and PurchasesOperating Expenses and Purchases
111
(11)*
94
194
24
57
449
530
4Q05
311
231
95
637
64
226
1,333
1,623
12M05
24.3%13862.7%506- Processing
-218.2%1358.4%366- Oil products
-517.0%(392)*371.6%448- Crude oil
-224.2%(241)*107.2%1,320Value of purchased goods and services
354.2%109231.3%212- Other
140.4%13756.2%353- Refining and Marketing
4.7%47022.4%1,632- Production
35.1%71635.4%2,197Operating expenses
Chg. yoy, %4Q06Chg.,
yoy, %12M06USD mln
* In Q4 2006 and Q4 2005 certain purchases were netted with revenue
19
2.182.44
0.05
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
12M06 12M05
Lifting cost growth vs inflationLifting cost growth vs inflationLifting costs, 2006 vs. 2005Lifting costs, 2006 vs. 2005
USD/boe
Lifting Cost Increase in Line with GuidanceLifting Cost Increase in Line with Guidance
Lifting cost exc.
Sakhalin-1
Lifting cost related to Sakhalin-1 expenses
+11.9%
14.2%11.9%
19.1%
Real Roubleappeciation
Increase in lifting costs Increase in liftingcosts, exc. Sakhalin-1
20
1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06
Raw materials Maintenance Fuel and energy Salaries Rent Transportation costs Other costs
$2.25
$2.83$2.92 $3.14
Lifting CostLifting Cost
USD/bbl
Liquids Lifting Cost BreakdownLiquids Lifting Cost Breakdown
$3.02Lifting cost
exc. Sakhalin-1
$0.12Lifting cost related to Sakhalin-1 expenses
21
7,276 7,029
168603
995683
6,5409,236
2005 EBITDA Revenues Tax Burden Hydrocarbonspurchases
Transportationcosts
Operating andexplorationexpenses
G&A costs 2006 EBITDA
EBITDAEBITDA
EBITDA ReconciliationEBITDA Reconciliation
+3.5%
USD mln
22
Improved Credit Profile, Reduced Cost of DebtImproved Credit Profile, Reduced Cost of Debt
§ Borrowing margin reduced 5 times in two years
BB+(Developing
outlook)
B+
B
Baa2 (Positive outlook)
Baa2
Ba3
BB+ (Positive outlook)
BB+
as of 31.12.2004 as of 31.12.2005 As of 31.12.2006
S&P Moody's Fitch
Evolution of Rosneft Credit RatingsEvolution of Rosneft Credit Ratings Weighted Average Cost of DebtWeighted Average Cost of Debt
2.40%
3.60%
2.68% 0.74%
4.39%
5.32%
6.00%
7.07%
6.06%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
as of 31.12.04 as of 31.12.05 as of 31.12.2006
1m Libor Av.-Weighted Margin Av.-Weighted Rate
23
Net IncomeNet Income
Net income Before Minority Interest Adjusted for Sevrmorneftegaz Sale ReconciliationNet income Before Minority Interest Adjusted for Sevrmorneftegaz Sale Reconciliation
+9.8%
3,615 3,625
218
756105
715165168603
995683
6,5409,236
2005 Net Profit Revenues Tax Burden Hydrocarbonspurchases
Transportationcosts
Operatingand
explorationexpenses
G&A DD&A growth FX Loss Interest Income tax Other Net profit 2006
USD mln
+0.3%
24
Capital ExpendituresCapital Expenditures
916194
3,462184483
2,795
12M06
146366
1,94435
3031,606
12M05
1141Acquisition of licenses23313Acquisition of entities
6521331Total275Other
162335Refining and marketing488921Exploration and production
4Q054Q06USD mln
25
Net DebtNet Debt
Net Debt ReconciliationNet Debt Reconciliation
+9.8%2,593 2,795
483 184916
1,339463
3532,115
499 30
11,030
13,324
Net Debt as ofJan 1st, 2006
OperatingCash Flow
UpstreamCapex
DownstreamCapex
Other Capex LicenseAcquisitions
Repayment ofSakh-1 Carry
Acquisition ofDebt
Receivable
OtherInvestingActivities
Net EquityProceeds
Dividendspaid (inc.Minorities)
FX Effect Net Debt as ofDec 31st,
2006
USD mln
* Operating cash flow includes net advance tax payment related to Yukos receivables
26
YUKOS receivablesYUKOS receivables
Key ConsiderationsKey Considerations 2007 Impact2007 Impact
§ RUB 264 bn in total approved by court
§ RUB 34 bn is recognized under US GAAP
§ RUB 21.3 bn as accounts receivable
§ RUB 12.7 bn as acquired debt receivable
§ RUB 141 bn of claims is subject to income tax
§ RUB 33.8 bn (USD 1,285 mln) has been paid in Q4 ’06
§ Reserve was created for the receivables resulting in RUB 19.5 bn (USD 741 mln) of 2006 income tax payment delayed until 2007
§ Resulting net advance tax payment: RUB 14.3 bn (USD 544 mln)
§ Rosneft expects full settlement of RUB 264 bn in 2007
§ 100% will be recognized in CF statement
§ Up to RUB 230 bn will be recognized in P&L statement
§ Deferred tax of RUB 19.5 bn will be paid
§ No other additional taxes to be paid