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Inclusive Growth: A View from the Fund Presented by Nagwa Riad International Monetary Fund October 31, 2013
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Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Aug 22, 2020

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Page 1: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Inclusive Growth:

A View from the Fund

Presented by

Nagwa Riad

International Monetary Fund

October 31, 2013

Page 2: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Presentation Outline

Inclusive growth defined

Why inclusive growth?

Sources of growth in Seychelles

Policies to foster inclusive growth in Seychelles

Page 3: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

What is Inclusive Growth?

Core principles include:

Fostering higher growth and productive employment

Providing equality of opportunity to all segments of

society

Redressing some inequalities in outcomes

Inequality of outcomes (ex-post)

versus

Inequality of opportunity (ex-ante)

Page 4: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Why Inclusive Growth?

Globally: inequality falling / Seychelles: inequality rising

Page 5: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Three megatrends at work:

1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor

2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs

3. Demographics doubling of global labor force

... and these trends will continue in the future

Why Inclusive Growth?

Page 6: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Challenge: Productive employment to young entrants in labor force

Strategy: Productivity enhancing and employment friendly growth

Why Inclusive Growth?

Page 7: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Sources of Growth

Productivity and labor contributions positive and rising since 2007

But more needs to be done to sustain productivity growth

Page 8: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Improved growth dynamics driven by tourism, others

[define], and telecommunication sectors

Sources of Growth

Page 9: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Medium Term Growth Strategy

Financial deepening Manage volatility

Support effective

policy frameworks

Initiatives

SMEs support

Mobile payment

system

Increased financial

intermediation

Page 10: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Diversification in higher value added activities

Tourism

Branding

Downstream activities

Fisheries

Semi-industrial activities

Higher VA processing

Offshore financial sector

Medium Term Growth Strategy

-5.0

-3.0

-1.0

1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0

9.0

11.0

13.0

15.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013:Sep

Europe East Europe Africa

Asia Middle East Oceania

America Total

Seychelles: Contribution to Change in Tourist Arrivals

Source: CBS and IMF staff calculations.

Page 11: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Investment

Infrastructure

Quality public spending

PPP

Human capital

Education

Training

Private sector development

Medium Term Growth Strategy

Page 12: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

Takeaways

Macroeconomic stability key underpinning of an

effective growth strategy

Beyond increase in labor and capital inputs,

reforms to enhance productivity essential to

generate inclusive growth

Diversification into higher value-added sectors

must be focus of growth strategy

Page 13: Role of the Fund in Inclusive Growth · Three megatrends at work: 1. Technological innovation premium on skilled labor 2. Globalization trade and financial integration tradeoffs 3.

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Thank you.