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Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission CALIFORNIA ENERGY POLICY GOING FORWARD
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Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Jan 03, 2016

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Page 1: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Rob OglesbyExecutive Director

California Energy Commission

CALIFORNIA ENERGY POLICY GOING FORWARD

Page 2: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

California’s Evolving Electricity System

2Source: California Energy Commission

Page 3: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

2014 2020 2030

Where we are, and where we are going….

25%33%

50%

3

Page 4: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Vision to 2030SB 350, De León

• Increases the 33% RPS to 50% RPS• Paves the way for transformation of the

California ISO into a regional organization• Requires integrated resource plans• Requires a study on low-income customers

access and barriers to clean technologies

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Page 5: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Vision to 2020

• Electricity sector is about 20% below 1990 GHG emission levels• From 2008 to 2013:

– Renewable capacity almost doubled– Coal generation reduced by more than half– GHG emissions reduced by a quarter

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Page 6: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

California Coal Use 1996 - 2026Includes Imports

6

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

Coal and Petcoke: Energy (Gigaw

att-H

ours)

Coal

and

Pet

coke

: Sha

re o

f Ene

rgy

Use

d to

Ser

ve C

alifo

rnia

Load

s

Share

Energy

Mojave Closure (EIA Summer

Capacity 1,580 MW)

Temporary loss of Intermountain Unit 1 (EIA Summer Capacity

900 MW)

Intermountain Repowers to Natural Gas. (From EIA Summer Capacity of 1,800 MW

to 1,200 MW Combined Cycle)

Actual Expected

2014

Page 7: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Renewable Progress to Date

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Page 8: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Source Energy Commission staff based on Quarterly Fuels and Energy Report (QFER) [8], 2014 Power Source Disclosure Filings [11], and S-2 Filings [D2].

ESTIMATED GENERATION FROM OPERATING RENEWABLE FACILITIES

Page 9: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

IN-STATE WHOLESALE RENEWABLE CAPACITY BY RESOURCE TYPE

Page 10: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Sources: Energy Commission staff using QFER, source [8]; CPUC RPS contract database [D1]; California SO facility interconnections; and POU S-2 and S-5 Forms for 2014 [D2]. QFER collects data 45 days after each calendar quarter for power plants 10 MW and larger and annually for plants from 1-10 MW. Plants under 1 MW are not required to report under QFER. The data depict facilities on-line as of December 30, 2014. Updated June 30, 2015

UTILITY-SCALE RENEWABLES OPERATING IN CALIFORNIA FROM 2010 THROUGH 2014

Page 11: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Source: Energy Commission staff based on sources [1] through [7] listed near the end of this document.

CALIFORNIA SOLAR GENERATION AND CAPACITY ADDITIONS 2007 THROUGH 2014

Page 12: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

CALIFORNIA RENEWABLE ENERGY GENERATION BY RESOURCE TYPE (IN-STATE AND OUT-OF-STATE)

Page 13: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Figure 4: Renewable Distributed Generation in California (20 MW or Smaller, Includes Wholesale and Self-Generation)

RENEWABLE DISTRIBUTED GENERATION IN CALIFORNIA

Page 14: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

CA Leads in New Solar Home Construction

Zero Energy CommunityRocklin, CA

27% of New Homes in Southern CA Being Built

with Solar

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Page 15: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Residential and Non Residential PV System Sample and Median Installed Price

Page 16: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

How do we manage all that renewable load?

And at what cost….

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Page 17: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

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EIM has generated over $21 million in benefits since November 2014

EIM benefits reflect:• More efficient dispatch, both inter- and intra-

regional• Reduced renewable energy curtailment • Reduced flexibility reserves needed in

PacifiCorp BAAs

Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Total

ISO $1.24 $1.45 $2.46 $5.15

PACE $2.31 $2.62 $3.26 $8.19

PACW $2.42 $1.19 $4.46 $8.07

Total $5.97 $5.26 $10.18 * $21.41

2015 Avoided RE Curtailment (MWh)

Q1 8860Q2 3629

Total 12489

Equates to 5,345 metric-tons of CO2

NOTE: Benefits are in millions of dollars* Q2 benefits reflect 5-minute intervals, whereas previous quarters reflected 15-minute intervals

Page 18: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

EIM Laying the Foundation for

Regional Resource Management

Page 19: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Great. A Seller and a Buyer. How do we move all those

electrons?

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Page 20: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

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California’s Renewable Energy Projects

Page 21: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Desert Sunlight Solar Project550 MWRiverside County, CA

The World’s Largest Thin Film Solar PV Project

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Page 22: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

The World’s Largest Silicon PV Project

Solar Star Project579 MWKern County, CA

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Page 23: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

The World’s Largest Wind Project

Alta Wind Energy Center 1550 MWKern County, CA

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Page 24: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

The World’s Largest Solar Thermal Power Plant (Tower)

Ivanpah Solar Thermal Project393 MWSan Bernardino County, CA

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Page 25: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

The World’s Largest Solar Thermal Power Plant (Trough)

Solar Energy Generating System (SEGS)354 MWSan Bernardino County, CA

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Page 26: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Geysers Geothermal Power Plant955 MWLake County, CA

The World’s Largest Geothermal Power Plant

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Page 27: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

The World’s Largest Iron-Chromium Flow Battery

EnerVault Iron-Chromium Technology 1 MWh capacity at 250 kW (4 hour duration)Turlock, CA

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Page 28: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

California’s Transmission Planning for Renewable Energy:

RETIand

RETI 2.0

Page 29: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

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The Renewable Energy Transmission Initiative (RETI 1.0)

Initiated June 2007

• Ease designation of future transmission line corridors• Identify transmission projects • Expedite siting and permitting - transmission line and renewable

generation

30 Competitive Renewable Energy Zones (CREZs) • 80,000 MW potential statewide• ~66,000 MW in California’s Mojave and Colorado Deserts.

Page 30: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

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RETI 1.0 Process• Phase 1 – Identification of CREZs• Phase 2 – Refinement of CREZs• Phase 3 – Work on priority CREZs

• Stakeholder Participation, including:• Transmission Owners/Providers • Renewable Energy Developers• Electric Retail Providers • Federal, State, and Local Government Agencies• Native American Tribal Governments• Landowners• Environmental and public interest organizations• Balancing Authorities and Utility Regulatory Commissions• Other interested parties

Page 31: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

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RETI 1.0 Output Informed…

• Renewable procurement and transmission permitting at the CPUC

• Renewable generation and transmission planning decisions at the POUs

• Renewable permitting and transmission corridor designation at the CEC

• Transmission planning process at the CAISO• Transmission planning for the DRECP

Page 32: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

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California’s Experience Planning the Transmission for Renewable Energy Development

• Collaborative Study Groups for Tehachapi and Imperial Valley

• RETI - The Renewable Energy Transmission Initiative

• CTPG - the California Transmission Planning Group

• DRECP – Desert Renewable Energy Conservation Plan

• San Joaquin Valley Solar

And now….

• RETI 2.0

Page 33: Rob Oglesby Executive Director California Energy Commission C ALIFORNIA E NERGY P OLICY G OING F ORWARD.

Thank you