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RL7: Impacts of Global Change on RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems Ecosystems and the services they provide and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, agriculture, food products and livestock production food products and livestock production Responsible: Responsible: Giuseppe Scarascia Mugnozza, Giuseppe Scarascia Mugnozza, CNR-IBAF, Italy CNR-IBAF, Italy Giorgio Matteucci, Giorgio Matteucci, CNR-IBAF&ISAFOM, Italy CNR-IBAF&ISAFOM, Italy
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RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

Mar 26, 2015

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Page 1: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

RL7: Impacts of Global Change on EcosystemsRL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystemsand the services they provideand the services they provide

WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock productionfood products and livestock production

Responsible: Responsible: Giuseppe Scarascia Mugnozza, Giuseppe Scarascia Mugnozza, CNR-IBAF, ItalyCNR-IBAF, ItalyGiorgio Matteucci, Giorgio Matteucci, CNR-IBAF&ISAFOM, ItalyCNR-IBAF&ISAFOM, Italy

Page 2: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

WP 7.2: General and Specific Objectives

General Objective: To assess the impacts of climate change on land-based production such those of the forest, agriculture and livestock sectors and the possible changes in their management:

Forest sector, activities for 2008: metadatabase on forest management options;historical trend of forest products; literature review on current effects of climate change on Mediterranean forests

Partner 13 CNR: CNR-IBAF (Impact on forests)

Giorgio Matteucci, Mario Cammarano, Marco Mancini,Giuseppe Scarascia Mugnozza,

Participants:

Partner 64 UNIBO (Impact on forests - modelling)Federico Magnani, Silvia Dezi

Page 3: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

Mediterranean Countries for data on forests and forest products

Page 4: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

Mediterranean Countries for data on forests and forest products

Algeria

Egypt

Libyan Arab Jamahiriya

MoroccoTunisia

Cyprus

Israel

Jordan

Lebanon

Palestine, Occupied Territories

Syrian Arab RepublicTurkey

Albania

Andorra

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Croatia

France

Greece

Italy

Malta

Monaco

Portugal

Serbia and Montenegro

SloveniaSpain

Page 5: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

Land-use patterns in the Mediterranean Region

Page 6: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

Overall removals data

Countries with Removals > 0.3 Mm3 (6) 0.90±0.93Countries with Removals < 0.3 Mm3 (11) 1.83±2.29

Fraction of woodfuel

Datasource: Del 7.2.2 based on FRA 2005 (FAO, 2006)

TotalIndustrial

roundwood Wood fuelMm3 Mm3 Mm3

1990 151.0042000 146.682005 138.425 87.309 51.116

Page 7: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

0

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1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

Indu

strial

rou

ndw

ood

(Mm

3)

Total Conifer wood Non conifer wood

Production of industrial roundwood in the Mediterranean Region

Datasource: Del 7.2.2 based on ForesSTAT (FAO)

Page 8: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

Production of woodfuel in the Mediterranean Region

Datasource: Del 7.2.2 based on ForesSTAT (FAO)

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1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Year

Woo

d fu

el (M

m3)

Total Conifer wood Non conifer wood

Page 9: RL7: Impacts of Global Change on Ecosystems and the services they provide WP 7.2 Climate change impacts on forests, agriculture, food products and livestock.

On-going activities: CNR-IBAF

Literature review: current and predicted effects of climatic changes on Mediterranean forestsModelling future distribution of tree species:

o TreeMigo Threshold approaches with analytical tools (competition)o Bioclimatic envelope on detailed data from Italian Forest

Inventory (cooperation with Univ. of Roma La Sapienza)