1 RIEAS E-BOOK July 2013 Athens, Greece NICOLAS LAOS KAIROPOLITICS The Ontological Foundations of International Relations With Forewords by: Professor Alexander Dugin, State University of Moscow Dr John M. Nomikos, RIEAS Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS)
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RIEAS E-BOOK
July 2013
Athens, Greece
NICOLAS LAOS
KAIROPOLITICS
The Ontological Foundations of
International Relations
With Forewords by:
Professor Alexander Dugin, State University of Moscow
Dr John M. Nomikos, RIEAS
Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies
(RIEAS)
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About the author:
Dr Nicolas Laos was born in Athens, Greece, in 1974. He is associated with the
Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS), the University of
Indianapolis (Athens Campus, Greece), and the Saint Elias Seminary and Graduate
School (Faith-Based Diplomacy Programme, Virginia, USA). Additionally, he is a
member of several editorial boards.
He has studied Mathematics, Humanities and politics and graduated from the
University of La Verne (California), and he has earned a Doctoral Degree in
Philosophy from the St Andrew’s Theological Academy (Mexico, Ukrainian
Autocephalous Orthodox Church Canonical). Additionally, he holds an MBA (Free
European School of Economics-European University, Switzerland). Dr Nicolas Laos
has published several monographs and research papers in Philosophy, International
Relations, Political Economy, and Mathematical Analysis.
In 2013, the Ecclesiastical Noble Title of Duke of Bethphage was awarded to him
by the Anglican Episcopal Church International (by decision of Metropolitan
Archbishop the Most Rev’d Dr Norman S. Dutton) for his scholarly and charitable
work. In 2008, at St Paul’s Anglican Church in Athens, he was invested and installed
as a Knight of Grace of the Hospitaller Order of Saint Lazarus of Jerusalem (United
Grand Priories of the Order of Saint Lazarus of Jerusalem, under the patronage of the
Lord Lingfield).
About the book:
What is reality? What is ‘real’ and what is ‘ideal’? How is consciousness related to
the world? Is history created by the intentionality of the historical actors or are the
historical actors determined by historical processes beyond their control? The
previous ontological questions are of crucial significance for the creation of a theory
of international relations and for the management of world affairs. In the present
book, Dr Nicolas Laos gives a clear answer to the aforementioned ontological
question, and he articulates a new theory of international relations, which he has
called “Kairopolitics”.
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CONTENTS
PREFACE
FOREWORD by Professor Alexander Dugin, Faculty of Sociology, Director of the
Center of Geopolitical Studies, State University of Moscow
FOREWORD by Dr John M. Nomikos, Director of the Research Institute for
European and American Studies (RIEAS)
CHAPTER 1: The Philosophical Underpinnings of Policy Analysis and Kairicity
CHAPTER 2: The Rise and Fall of International Orders: The Two World Wars in
Focus
CHAPTER 3: The Defects of Political Realism and Neorealism
CHAPTER 4: The Dynamics of the Political System
Bibliography
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PREFACE
This book concerns itself with the articulation of a new research programme, which
I have called “kairopolitics” (I will explain this term in the sequel), and its goals are to
transcend the antithesis between political realism and political idealism and to provide
guidelines for the management of the international/global system in the context of
advanced modernity and complex multipolarity.
These pages come as a response to the 21st century phenomena of change and crisis
as well as a calling to the need for a new theory of international politics capable of
addressing new problems and absorbing advances that have taken place in philosophy,
cybernetics and quantum science with respect to ontological, epistemological and
moral questions and that have been ignored by traditional political realists and
political idealists.
What I have called kairopolitics is a new research programme that reflects the
identity of the human being as a cognitive being and as a creative species. Each
human subject around the world has in principle a limitless potential of self-perfection
and of historical self-actualization. Kairopolitics is also an attempt to update and
enrich the humanistic core of the European Renaissance by taking into account the
historical mistakes, the psychological problems and the existential crisis of the human
subject, which became manifest in the era of advanced modernity (or, for some other
scholars, ‘postmodernity’), and, hence, to promote an idea of a continued path of
illumination, as opposed to the diverse forces that lead to a regression to obscurantist
medieval and feudalist/quasi-feudalist structures and value systems. In other words,
kairopolitics is a radically anthropocentric research programme.
In an era of “global political awakening” (according to Zbigniew Brzezinski’s
terminology), civilization clashes and advanced technology, the United States’ centre
of power is not so much Washington DC as the political and cultural legacy of George
Washington, and the Russian Federation’s centre of power is not so much the
powerful regime of Vladimir Putin as the spiritual legacy of Alexander Pushkin and
St Seraphim of Sarov. In addition, without delving into difficult ontological and
epistemological questions, one cannot correctly address fundamental issues in
intelligence analysis, e.g. he cannot discern real, significant ‘signals’ from
background ‘noise’, and, of course, he cannot conduct successful psychological
operations.
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In this book, I follow a philosophical attitude to the scholarly discipline of
international relations. Philosophy, in general, is a methodical study and systematic
investigation of the problems that result from the relationship of consciousness to the
world and to itself. Thus, the philosophy of international relations is a methodical
study and systematic investigation of the problems that result from the relationship of
an international-political entity to the international system and to itself.
Like the ‘special’ sciences, philosophy is also a science, only one of a more
general character. But there is an important difference between philosophy and the
‘special’ sciences. The aim of philosophy goes beyond the standard scientific work,
which is concerned with the establishment of relations and laws, because philosophy
aims, additionally, at evaluating the objects of philosophical research in a unified
manner. Philosophy is not only concerned with the creation of theories, but it is also
concerned with the creation of theories regarding the creation of theories (i.e. theories
of theories). In other words, the difference between ‘philosophy’ and ‘science’ does
not refer only to the level at which they study their problems, but also it refers to the
manner in which these problems are experienced by the consciousness of the
researcher and to consciousness itself.
I should gratefully acknowledge the inspiration and intellectual influence that I
have received from the research works of the renowned Russian politologist Professor
Alexander Dugin (State University of Moscow), the philosophers and the
psychoanalysts who have studied the notion of ‘kairos’ (primarily Professor
Evangelos Moutsopoulos, who is a prominent Member of the Academy of Athens, the
psychiatrist Dr Daniel N. Stern and the psychoanalyst Dr Harold Kelman), as well as
several international-relations scholars associated with the Centre for Strategic and
International Studies (primarily Professor Joseph Nye Jr), the RAND Corporation
(primarily Dr John Arquilla and Dr David Ronfeldt), and the Research Institute for
European and American Studies (primarily its Director, Dr John Nomikos).
Moreover, my gratitude extends to the prominent mathematician Professor
Themistocles M. Rassias (National Technical University of Athens), who introduced
me in nonlinear analysis and differentiable dynamics during my mathematical studies
at the University of La Verne (California).
Athens, Greece, June 2013 Dr Nicolas Laos
Research Institute for European and American Studies
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FOREWORD BY
Professor ALEXANDER DUGIN
Kairos: welcome to the Revolution, here and now!
Reflections on the essay “Kairopolitics” by Nicolas Laos
The essay on “Kairopolitics” by Greek policy analyst Nicolas Laos is very
important and timely in many respects. I am going to make a quick survey of the main
points that seem to me of great operational significance.
The author demonstrates very broad knowledge in different fields of science from
philosophy and psychology to geopolitics, economics, and the theories of
International Relations and Communication. In the framework of such
interdisciplinary research Nicolas Laos tries to propose a kind of original synthesis
expressed in the concept of kairos. So let’s start with studying the very concept.
The Greek term kairos (καιρός) means literally “opportunity”, “right moment”,
“(good) chance”. I could suggest the following interpretation of it. Kairos is not only a
“proper moment” to do something but the exclusive “temporal point” where the
“common” time undergoes the fundamental qualitative change of its deep nature. This
is the moment of transfiguration of time, of its mutation in the something different
than it was before. In order to illustrate this idea we can describe kairos in at least five
different perspectives: Neoplatonic, phenomenological (Heideggerian), religious
(Hesychastic), mystic (Islamic gnosis studied by H. Corbin) and psychological (Zen
Buddhism).
1) In Neoplatonic terms, kairos signifies the particular moment when the
‘horizontal’ flow of time is intersected by the vertical line understood as a kind of
eternity or “eidetical chain”. The Neoplationic thought follows Plato in perceiving
time as the reflection or image of eternity. However, eternity, according to Plotinus, is
not the whole time but the everlasting moment of being always equal to itself. If so,
then the direct experience of eternity is possible as the act of transcending time, of
ecstatically moving out of time. This process doesn’t mean ‘exit’ from time, but rather
the transfiguration of time, the leap inside the inmost essence of time itself (as the
image of eternity), the transformation of the ‘horizontal’ time into the ‘vertical’ one.
Hence, kairos is the moment of rapture and instant elevation to the utmost levels of
being.
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2) In Heideggerian sense, kairos can be understood as event/en-owning (Er-eignis),
a kind of simultaneous switch of the regime of existence of Dasein (“being t/here”)
from the unauthentic mode to the authentic one. This is the moment of the awakening
of Dasein to its own finitude, of the direct meeting with its own limits (death,
nothingness), of the explosion of being inside “being t/here” when the latter becomes
the “openness”. In this context, kairos can be compared with the future ecstasy of time
as it is described in the second part of Being and Time (Sein und Zeit, 1927). This is
the time of authentic being by contrast with the time of unauthentic being that always
hesitates between to be and not to be (not yet). Summing up, for Heidegger, kairos is
the moment of decision (Entscheidung) that implies the possibility or not for the
return of gods.
3) In the context of the Eastern Christianity’s Hesychastic tradition, the Fathers
spoke about the moment of enlightenment of the heart that comes as a result of the
long practice of silence and the Great Work of Mind. It has been interpreted by St.
Gregory Palamas as the ray of the uncreated Light of Thabor (Φῶς του Θαβώρ)
intruding in the purified heart of a monk. In this context, kairos can be seen as the
meeting point of enscreatum with ensincreatum. This idea was further elaborated in
the context of the Russian religious philosophy of XIX-XX centuries, in a school
known as sophiology. According to its terminology, kairos can be recognised as a
“sophiological moment”.
4) We can also recall the concept of “discrete time” proposed by French
philosopher Henri Corbin in his analysis of the structure of time in the Shia and Sufi
Islamic traditions. According to Corbin, a mystic following the path of Islamic gnosis
should make time somewhat personal; he can personalize it by discovering its unique
features (name, figure, character and so on). By doing so, the mystic achieves the
transformation of time into space. That was the original meaning of the ancient idea
of Eon as a personalized ‘time entity’. Acquainting himself with this ‘time entity’, the
mystic avoids the doom of the ‘horizontal’ time and finds the way into the imaginary
one, “alam-al-mithal”, the world of Malakut “beyond the birth and death”. This is the
very place where the hidden Imam lives.
5) We could also point out the Zen Buddhist practice of the search for “satori”, the
momentary and spontaneous enlightenment of the mind reached through a special
mental technique called “koan”. The latter is a sort of “short circuit” of the mind, and
it follows from the concentration on snippets of a master. It stimulates the specific
mental state in which emptiness (shunyata) of existence is clearly perceived and inner
transformation of the self is achieved. Therefore, it can be seen as an analogue of
kairos in the Japanese (Zen Buddhist) ambiance.
There is a question here: how can we apply such a sophisticated concept as kairos
to the world around us and more precisely to the sphere of IR, given that Nicolas Laos
insists on the practical value of his suggestions? It could be perceived as something
weird, and it does seem so on condition that we are fully satisfied with the way things
go round and we are quite sure about the direction in which humanity moves further
and further into the process of liberalization, globalization and (post)modernization on
a world scale. In other words, if we are quite certain that the existing global trends (in
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economy, culture, science, communication, technology and so on) lead us safely and
directly to a better or at least tolerable future, then kairology defended by Nicolas
Laos doesn’t have much sense or any sense at all. But all this changes immediately if
we begin to examine the status quo in more anxious terms, if we get concerned about
the uncertainty of the future, about the limits of the economic growth reached and
outdone, about multiplying social gaps and inequalities between the people despite (or
due to) globalization, about uncontrolled progress of technologies breaking remaining
ties with moral values. If we recognise that we are in a state of deep crisis and need a
fundamental change, then Laos’s text is quite opportune. In such a case, the concept
of kairos acquires a real sense and becomes pressing.
What does this mean? First of all, it means that kairos cannot be grasped only by
rational means. It also needs deep existential experience though in total connection
with the other realms of the “outer world”. Secondly, it refers to a personal decision
about the destiny of the human being and humanity as a whole: there is the necessity
for them both immediately to change their inertial course in a truly revolutionary way.
They cannot proceed anymore philosophically, culturally, geopolitically,
technologically, morally, ideologically as they did before. Thirdly, kairos refers to the
possibility (albeit problematic and not granted) of a revolutionary alternative to the
existing order of things.
Change is absolutely necessary, and Nicholas Laos gives us his idea about how it
could be possible. Kairos here is the key word. It is a fundamental, immediate and
radical shift of all the existential regimes, a leap in the other direction, an unexpected
strike of lightning, a sudden intrusion of the different. But kairos presupposes the
evaluation of timing, risk and dangers. If the step is taken too early or too late all will
be lost. The stakes are high. Kairos induces us to change the horizontal development
in order to experience the verticality. The author describes what ‘horizontality’
signifies today.
In the field of philosophy, ‘horizontality’ signifies an obsolete dualism of subject
and object introduced on the eve of Modernity but preserved till now in the
mainstream way of thinking (positivism, rationalism, materialism and so on). Instead,
we must turn to what lies in between and can be called “kairicity” (by Evangelos
Moutsopoulos), or Dasein (by Heidegger), or Lebenswelt (by Husserl), or “rhizome”
(by post-structuralists), or “sophiology” (by Vladimir Solovyov). We need to
rediscover the nature of the human being from the ‘intermediate point’, which lies
between subject and object, idealism and realism, consciousness and cosmos. If not,
we are doomed to be absorbed into the information society where the agglomeration
of information quanta will flood the hermeneutic capacity of man, making the ever
growing databases less and less meaningful until they become completely
meaningless. In other words, we are in dire need of a radical epistemological change.
In the field of International Relations, the existing process of globalization becomes
more and more insecure, disastrous and self-destroying, being based on the quite
weak, questionable and unjustified presumption of the universality of the ‘Western
idea’. In its present form, globalization is the ‘monologue’ which imposes an
uniformed and standardized set of values, practices and technologies on different,
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heterogeneous cultures, societies and religions. Proceeding in this direction will,
sooner or later, erode the Western values at its core, inevitably provoking global
resistance against the new kind of colonialism and consolidate radical anti-Western
forces all over the world. What we are confronted with is the West losing its own
identity precisely at the moment when this identity seems to have become universal
and reached the most distant areas of the Earth. The victory of the West will become
its doom and the very reason for its profound defeat. In winning control over
humanity, the West is losing control over itself, and, thus, it is sacrificing itself to its
unlimited “will for power”. The West simply cannot afford to be global anymore.
It is impossible to grasp the present international world order in the realist or liberal
perspective. Nowadays, nation-states are being eroded, and the civil society appears to
be somewhat different from what the humanitarian idealists originally envisaged. So,
without a paradigm change in International Relations, the morally corrupted “double
standards” accompanied by disillusionment, growing irritation and all-absorbing fear
are unavoidable. “Why do they hate us?” –ask Americans sincerely today. It seems
like the USA has never thought seriously about the others, about the diversity of other
cultures, societies and identities. Even if the American way of life is good for
Americans, this doesn’t mean automatically that the others share the same
enthusiasm.
So the world order should be fundamentally changed. In what sense? In the sense
that kairicity could mean the recognition of the plurality of the times. There is a time
of the West and there is a time of the East. In the case of Greece, the country which
Nicolas Laos represents, the presence of this plurality is obvious. Being the cradle of
the Western civilization, Greece belongs at the same time to the Eastern Orthodox
Church. Therefore, on Greek soil, both times and corresponding value systems are
equally present, while the differences between them are clearly perceived. In a similar
way, any other culture, society, or civilization possesses its own version of time, as
well as its own value system, historical identity and so on. The alternative, the
“kairological world order”, could be constructed on recognition of this fact. This
statement implies that we should see globalization as a “polilogue” of different groups
of people with their own temporalities, spaces, visions of cosmos, cultural identities.
This is the only way to save the West from itself and also to protect the Rest from the
West.
Kairopolitics is concerned with the realm of geopolitics, too. Sea power (winning
actually) and Land power (being today on defense) are very useful intellectual
concepts by means of which one can understand the conflictual nature of world
politics. But it is unlikely that the imbalance in their mutual positions could make the
world safer. The victory of the West (Atlanticism, the USA and NATO) over the East
(Eurasianism, the Soviet form) was seen in the beginning of the 1990s as decisive and
even described as “the end of history”. It was also hurriedly declared that the era of
geopolitics had come to an end and the whole planet turned into a single prosperous
post-modern market. But now the fragility of this victory and the impossibility of
unipolar ‘monologue’ are obvious. The readiness of Land power to strike back (in the
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form of a resurgent Russia or, more broadly, the Eurasian Union, the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization, or the BRICS) revives the old geopolitical tensions…
The only solution to get out of this ‘cyclical law’ of geopolitical confrontation is
not the return to the old Westphalian ‘anarchy’ (the nation-states being irreversibly
gone) nor the re-establishment of the bipolar ‘dialogue’ (there being the curse of
dualism) but the institution of the real and equal ‘polilogue’ of civilizations in the true
spirit of multipolarity. Such centres of the new world order must be integrated on the
basis of their values and identities, or, in other words, they must share the same
kairos. This means the reconfiguration of the classical geopolitical map into the new
one, with cultural poles or “greater spaces” embracing Sea and Land power areas as
well as the crucial intermediate zone in between –Rimland. And here the amphibious
nature of the Greek and wider Mediterranean geopolitical identity could serve as a
key-factor, uniting, separating and balancing the plethora of culturally integrated
spaces –Western European, Eurasian, Middle Eastern, North African and so on. The
Greek Neoplatonist philosopher Proclus declared Athens to be the centre of sacred
geography with the mythic Atlantians to the West and the real Persians to the East
(A.-J. Festugière (transl.), Commentairesur le Timée, 5 vols, Bibliothèque des textes
philosophiques, Paris: Vrin, 1966-1968). Therefore, the strategic place in between for
ever and ever is reserved for a kairic geopolitical entity, i.e. for Greece –modern,
ancient, eternal.
In the field of economics, the concept of kairos means the deep revision of the
liberal presumption of everlasting growth (although at this point Nicolas Laos seems
to have another opinion). The linear accumulation of goods, technologies or
knowledge is a dangerous liberal illusion. The present Greek crisis having its origins
in the crash of the American mortgage system in 2008 is only a herald of the
forthcoming catastrophe. There are limits and they will remind us of their existence
more and more menacingly. What has happened to Greece recently is the end of the
absolute certitude that liberalism is a miraculous panacea applicable universally.
Hence, we need to outdo the “new economy” with its massive pervasive propaganda.
We need to return to ‘reality check’, although it will be painful. If the growth of
income isn’t guaranteed anymore and the ‘swelling’ of the middle class not evident, if
the pauperization is a real menace and massive immigration creates more problems
than it solves, while the shortage of energy resources becomes more acute on the
global scale, then the faith in liberalism as the universal solution has lost its power.
That is why we need an alternative to liberalism in this sphere, too.
Since it is simplistic and simultaneously impossible to return to socialism or to the
protectionism of good old Modernity, we have to ‘imagine’ something really new,
something revolutionary new. Right now. Otherwise, it will be too late. The economic
kairicity obliges us to act precipitously. If not economic liberalism, what? Here as
always nothing can be taken for granted. We need to rush through, “riding the tiger”
at the post-modern high speed, playing in the rhythm of growing velocity, acting in
the “dromocratic regime” (P.Virilio). But in what sense this can be done, remains to
be discovered. I foresee it as a bold discourse between pre-modernity and post-
modernity, beyond liberal dogmatism but without straight appeal to its failed historic
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alternatives (Left or Right). We need to leap out of liberal inertia…and into a vertical
dimension. Maybe here the essential ideas of a prominent Russian philosopher and
economist father Sergey Bulgakov could be of use. Another Russian thinker and
sociologist, Piterim Sorokin, once predicted the collapse of “sensate culture” and the
near advent of “ideational social order”. If so, we need to think of a non-material
approach to the material world, non-technical solutions to technical problems.
All the issues mentioned above invoke a necessity for a new ideology, alternative
political vision, the other world-outlook, absolutely radical, revolutionary and
innovative. Could this be “kairopolitics” suggested by Nicholas Laos? Maybe. The
term as far as I understand is very relevant, promising and fruitful. Certainly, it can’t
be taken as an accomplished and fully elaborated solution but as a brave invitation to
think in a completely different direction where Premodernity (spirituality, Platonism,
concepts and understandings such as crime, which he argued that should be treated as
‘things’). (ii) Empiricism does not legitimate discussions about ‘causes’, since these
are unobservable. The empiricists reduce causation to mere correlation. Thus, their
enquiry is limited to that of ‘prediction’ and cannot involve causal analysis. (iii)
Empiricism presupposes a kind of pure perception and objectivism that is impossible.
John Searle has pointed out that subjectivity is an essential characteristic of conscious
states6. Additionally, W.V.O. Quine has pointed out that theory is involved in all
empirical observation, and, therefore, absolute objectivism is impossible7. Both
Immanuel Kant8 and Gestalt Psychology
9 have pointed out that consciousness plays a
much more active role in perception than the one thought by empiricists.
Pragmatism
Pragmatism is based on the philosophies of William James, Charles Pierce and
John Dewey. Its main purpose is to combine the rationalist thesis that the mind is
always active in interpreting experience and observation with the empiricist thesis that
revisions in our beliefs are to be made as a result of experience10
.
6 John Searle, The Rediscovery of the Mind, Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1992.
7 W.V.O. Quine, “Two Dogmas of Empiricism”, in W.V.O. Quine (ed.), From a Logical
Point of View, 2nd
edition, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1961, p. 20-46. 8 Immanuel Kant formulated a philosophy that he called “critical”, and it is a compromise
between realism and idealism. According to Kant’s Critique of Pure Reason (1781), there are
two different worlds: the first world is called the noumenal world, and it is the world of things
outside us, i.e. things that exist independently of our minds, but, according to Kant, our
consciousness cannot comprehend the essence of this world and, instead, we can only
perceive an altered version (a fainted image) of this world, which Kant called the phenomenal
world. The phenomenal world is the world that we perceive, i.e. the view we have of the
world that is inside our minds. In Kant’s philosophy, the communication between the
noumenal world (pure concepts) and the phenomenal world (phenomena) becomes possible
due to the theory of schema. By the term ‘schema’(plural: schemata), Kant refers to a set of
pre-existing (a priori) judgments, or rules, which are hard wired into our minds and interact
with the noumenal world, thus helping us to create the phenomenal world that exists in our
minds. Our perception of the world is necessarily conditioned by schemata (Immanuel Kant,
Critique of Pure Reason, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000). 9 Gestalt Psychology was founded by Max Wertheimer (1880-1943). Wertheimer noted that
we perceive motion where there is nothing more than a rapid sequence of individual sensory
events. This argument is based on observations he made with his stroboscope at the
Frankfurt train station and on additional observations he made in his laboratory when he
experimented with lights flashing in rapid succession (like the Christmas lights that appear to
course around the tree, or the fancy neon signs in Las Vegas that seem to move). Wertheimer
called this effect “apparent motion”, and it is actually the basic principle of motion pictures.
According to Wertheimer, apparent motion proves that people don’t respond to isolated
segments of sensation but to the whole (Gestalt) of the situation. See: Wolfgang Köhler,
Gestalt Psychology, New York: Liveright, 1992. 10
For a general introduction to pragmatism, see for instance: C.J. Misak (ed.), Pragmatism,
Calgary: University of Calgary Press, 1999.
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“The true is the name of whatever proves itself to be good in the way of belief” is
the much quoted centre of pragmatism11
. John Dewey elaborated this position in
books on epistemology, ethics and politics, and he has argued that no attempt to form
a purpose in a definite case is final, but, instead, any purpose should be held only as
“a working hypothesis” until it is empirically confirmed12
. Thus, Dewey obliterates
the gap between ‘is’ and ‘ought’. McIntyre has summarized Dewey’s position by
stating that “all reason is practical reason” and, therefore, whenever one characterises
something as good, he means that it will provide him with satisfaction in his
purposes13
.
Pragmatism is ultimately self-defeating. Pragmatism gives the impression that it is
a dynamic attitude towards reality and epistemology and also that it is a progressive
epistemological stance. On the contrary, it assigns a deeply passive role to
consciousness, and it is a form of passive conservatism. Pragmatism stresses the
adaptation of our ideas to an unfolding experience, ignoring the fact that reality is
submissive to the intentionality of human consciousness since there is a structural
continuity between the reality of the world and the reality of consciousness.
Conscious beings are not merely obliged to look for methods of adaptation to a reality
that is external to their consciousness, but they can utilize and restructure reality
according to their intentionality.
Scientific realism
Scientific realism is based on the philosophies of Roy Bhaskar14
and Rom Harré15
,
who emphasize the existence of an objective (mind-independent) cosmos. The
primary purpose of scientific realism is to uncover the structures and things of an
objective scientific cosmos. Scientific realism treats theoretical concepts, such as
‘electrons’ or ‘sets’, in the same way as so-called ‘objective facts’, and, therefore, it
argues that the empiricist conception of the role of theories (as heuristic) is wrong.
Bhaskar distinguishes among the real, the actual and the empirical: the first refers
to what entities and mechanisms make up the world, the second to events, and the
third to that which we experience. From Bhaskar’s viewpoint, empiricism makes the
mistake of looking at the third of these as a way of explaining the other two so that it
reduces ontological questions to epistemological questions. Furthermore, Bhaskar
rejects rationalism, too, by arguing that it too reduces ontology to epistemology by its
reliance on theoretically necessary conceptual truths to explain the world.
11
William James, “What Pragmatism Means”, in his Selected Papers on Philosophy, London:
Dent, 1917, p. 215. 12
John Dewey, Reconstruction in Philosophy, Boston: Beacon, 1957, p. 177. 13
Alasdair McIntyre, A Short History of Ethics, London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1967, p.
253. 14
Roy Bhaskar, A Realist Theory of Science, Brighton: Harvester, 1978. 15
Rom Harré, Varieties of Realism, Oxford: Blackwell, 1986.
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But many of the arguments of scientific realism have been falsified by recent
advances in science, especially in the context of quantum theory and cybernetics. In
quantum physics, one learns that reality is not being ‘out there’ by itself. There has to
be a process by which a being recognises reality ‘out there’, and this process of
recognizing (i.e. becoming aware of) reality involves a recognition, a consciousness, a
mind. If the mind changes the way of processing this ‘out there’ reality, then we will
be talking for another experience. According to quantum physics, as we begin to
delve deeply into the question of how one’s observing mind interacts with, is in a
relation to, the object of his observation, we realise that the thing that we are
observing is not just something that is itself physically ‘there’, but it is something that
has been created in our mind as having a certain form, shape, size, material, substance
and generally all the various attributes that we call physical reality and also that,
without these memorized concepts of the things that we see ‘out there’, we would not
be able to create even a picture or an assemblage of understanding of what is ‘out
there’. In other words, there is a structural continuity between the ‘out there’ (external
reality) and the ‘in here’ (consciousness).
Niels Bohr, who made foundational contributions to understanding atomic structure
and quantum mechanics, is reported to have said to Werner Heisenberg, who was
another great pioneer of quantum physics: in the field of atomic and sub-atomic
physics, “language can be used only as in poetry”, since, like poets, physicists are not
concerned so much with the description of facts as with the creation of images16
.
Moreover, in the same spirit, Alfred Whitehead, who co-authored the epochal
Principia Mathematica with B. Russell, has argued that nature is always in a state of
becoming and that the reality of the natural world is the natural becoming itself17
.
Within the framework of cybernetics, epistemologists focus on the observer in
addition to what is observed. Lynn Segal18
and Ernst von Glasersfeld19
have explained
that, according to modern cybernetics, scientific laws should not be considered as
‘discoveries’, as one, for instance, might discover an island in an ocean, but they
should be considered as ‘inventions’ by which scientists explain regularities in their
experiences. Consciousness interacts with reality, and hence the first constructs and
reconstructs the latter.
Quantum theorists, cybernetics experts and modern philosophers, such as Henri
Bergson, Gaston Bachelard and Evangelos Moutsopoulos have emphatically argued
that, if the structure of the world were totally distinct from the structure of
consciousness, then consciousness would be unable to know the world.
16
Quoted in Jacob Bronowski, The Ascent of Man, Boston: Little, 1974, p. 340. 17
Alfred Whitehead, Science and the Modern World, New York: Macmillan, 1944, p. 106. 18
Lynn Segal, The Dream of Reality, New York: Norton, 1986. 19
Ernst von Glasersfeld, The Construction of Knowledge, Salinas, CA: Intersystems, 1987.
22
Phenomenology, Structuralism and Hermeneutics
Skepticism, being founded on empiricism, emphasizes the gap between the ‘for
oneself’ and the ‘in itself’, and, therefore, it tends to limit human knowledge to an
elementary level. On the other hand, phenomenology departs from the traditional
discussions about syllogism and is directed towards “the things in themselves” as they
are constituted in consciousness.
The phenomenological method is based on a position prior to reflexive thought,
called pre-reflexive thought, which consists of a turn to the very things. At that
moment, the philosopher holds a phenomenological stance by means of which he can
remain open enough to live that experience in its wholeness, preventing any judgment
from interfering with his openness to the description. In the context of
phenomenological inquiry, the philosopher is not concerned with the particular
elements of the object of his research, but with its ideal essence, i.e. he intends to
purify experience of its factuality.
The acknowledged father of phenomenology is Edmund Husserl20
, who argues that
consciousness is the only thing that exists in itself and for itself and that, by ceasing to
be simplistically oriented towards the external world, it can attain spiritual self-
sufficiency. According to the method of phenomenology, the philosopher focuses on
the essential structures that allow the objects that are taken for granted in the “natural
attitude” (which is characteristic of both our everyday life and ordinary science) to
“constitute themselves” in consciousness. Husserl used the term “epoché” (suspension
of judgment) to refer to the purification of experience of its factuality.
Phenomenology is characterised by subjectivism, since phenomenological inquiries
are initially directed, in Cartesian fashion, towards consciousness and its
presentations. On the other hand, phenomenology is not characterised by any
psychological or mentalistic forms of subjectivism, because, in contrast to
empiricism, phenomenology is not concerned with psychological ideas, but it is
concerned with the ideal meanings and universal relations with which consciousness
is confronted in its experience.
In his preface to Ideas Pertaining to a Pure Phenomenology –First Book: General
Introduction to a Pure Phenomenology, Husserl argues that phenomenology, like
mathematics, is “the science of pure possibilities”, which “must everywhere precede
the science of real facts”. By bracketing factuality, phenomenology exerted important
influence on existentialism, and, in fact, it became the method of existentialism21
,
which is based on the thesis that consciousness attributes meaning to the reality of the
world. In contrast to Aristotle’s philosophy –which assigns primary significance to the
essence of things (namely, to the attribute or set of attributes that make an object what
20
Herbert Spiegelberg, The Phenomenological Movement, 3rd
revised and enlarged edition,
The Hague: Nijhoff, 1982; Elisabeth Ströker, Husserl’s Transcendental Phenomenology,
Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1993. 21
Haim Gordon, Dictionary of Existentialism, New York: Greenwood Press, 1999; Thomas
Flynn, Existentialism: A Very Short Introduction, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006.
23
it fundamentally is, and which it has by necessity, and without which it loses its
identity)– the philosophers of existence, such as S.A. Kierkegaard, Martin Heidegger
and J.-P. Sartre, argue that what is ontologically significant is not the essence of being
but the presence of being, i.e. its existence.
The next major step in the development of the phenomenological method took
place when it was applied in the investigation of the elements that constitute the
structure of reality (whose knowledge is prior to the knowledge of the essence of
reality). By the term ‘structure’, we mean an intimate reality that is organized and re-
organized by itself and that is determined by its intrinsic logic, which also constitutes
its core. The method of structuralism is the final stage of phenomenology’s attempt to
cope with the problems that emerge from the philosophical investigation of the
intimate meaning of reality. Additionally, structuralism corroborates Gaston
Bachelard’s argument that there is a dynamic continuity between knowing
consciousness and known object22
.
Closely related to the project of investigating the intimate meaning of reality is
Hans-Georg Gadamer’s method of hermeneutics. Hermeneutics is based on textual
analysis, and it emphasizes the difference between the analysis of nature
(‘explanation’) and the analysis of the mind (‘understanding’). Gadamer’s
hermeneutics has adopted Jaspers’s distinction between ‘explanation’ and
‘understanding’. Karl Jaspers23
defines the scientific analysis of “objective causal
connections” as “explaining” (“Erklären”), whereas he designates the “understanding
of psychic events ‘from within’” as “understanding” (“Verstehen”).
According to hermeneutics, we can only understand the world if we have accepted
a system of significance. Gadamer24
argues that people have a “historically affected
consciousness” and they analyse and act within an “horizon”, by which he means their
beliefs, preconceptions and in general their embeddedness in the particular history and
culture that shaped them. Thus, from the viewpoint of hermeneutics, the notions of
truth and reason are consequences of man’s embeddedness in systems of significance
(value systems). In other words, epistemology can never be something prior to or
independent of culture and has to be seen as secondary to ontology.
22
Mary Tiles, Bachelard –Science and Objectivity, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,
1984. 23
P.A. Schilpp (ed.), The Philosophy of Karl Jaspers, New York: Tudor Publishing
Company, 1957. 24
H.-G. Gadamer, Truth and Method, London: Sheed and Ward, 1975.
24
Critical theory
Critical theory has developed out the work of the Frankfurt School in the inter-war
years25
, and its most influential thinker has been Jürgen Habermas. According to
Habermas, there are three generic fields of knowledge26
: (i) empirical analytical
knowledge (e.g. physics, chemistry, biology, etc.), which is primarily concerned with
the manner in which one controls and manipulates one’s environment and with
prediction; (ii) historical-hermeneutic knowledge (e.g. descriptive social science,
history, aesthetics, legal studies, ethnography), which is primarily concerned with
meaning and understanding (norms can be related to empirical or analytical
propositions, but their validity is determined by the intersubjectivity of the mutual
understanding of intentions); (iii) critical science, which is primarily concerned with
emancipation from libidinal, institutional or environmental forces, which limit our
options and rational control over our lives but have been taken for granted as beyond
human control. Thus, emancipatory knowledge involves a methodical investigation of
the manner in which one’s history and biography has expressed itself in the manner in
which one sees oneself, one’s roles and social expectations. Critical theory agrees
with Karl Marx’s argument that one must become conscious of how an ideology
reflects and distorts reality.
In the 1960s, Habermas developed a theory of communicative action27
, according
to which truth is based on rational consensus. By the term rational consensus,
Habermas means the consensus that would be achieved purely on the basis of
argument, without the interference of any extra-logical or extra-rational elements. The
context in which this kind of rational argument would be possible has been described
by Habermas as an “ideal speech situation”28
. Habermas sees the notion of an ideal
speech situation as implicit in the act of communication and as rationally entailing
moral and normative commitments. The ‘ideal speech situation’29
is based on the
notion that acts of communication necessarily presuppose that statements are
comprehensible, true, right and sincere.
For Habermas, the ideal speech situation is not only a description of a context in
which truth could be established, but it is also a picture of a particular kind of society,
one in which individuals lead free lives and the “force of the better argument
prevails”30
. Habermas, following Kantianism, seeks to avoid the simplistic
objectivism of positivism, and simultaneously he refuses to endorse the kind of
relativism implicit in traditional hermeneutics. Just as for Kant all rational beings
25
David Held, Introduction to Critical Theory, Berkeley, CA: University of California Press,
1980. 26
Jürgen Habermas, Knowledge and Human Interests, Cambridge: Polity, 1987 (first
published 1968). 27
Jürgen Habermas, The Theory of Communicative Action, Vol. 2: The Critique of
Functionalist Reason, Cambridge: Polity, 1987. 28
William Outhwaite, Habermas –A Critical Introduction, Cambridge: Polity, 1994, p. 40. 29
Ibid, p. 40. 30
Ibid, p. 40.
25
have the capacity to make synthetic a priori judgments, so for Habermas all language
users, by their use of language, have the capacity to create free, equal and open
societies.
In order to avoid the fallacies of rationalism, the philosophy that invokes the
dialectic of kairicity argues that the dialectic of kairicity should substitute for the ideal
speech situation in Habermas’s critical theory.
Postmodernism
Whereas critical theory attempts to reconstitute a guarantee that the Enlightenment
project of rational autonomy can be fulfilled, postmodernism seeks the overthrow of
virtually all preceding positions of epistemology and rational morality.
Postmodernism is strongly influenced by the philosophy of Friedrich Nietzsche.
Michel Foucault, one of the most influential postmodern scholars, argues that
“nothing in man –not even his body– is sufficiently stable to serve as the basis for
self-recognition or for understanding other men”31
; therefore, there is no constant
human subject in history, and power is an integral component in the production of
truth: “Truth is a thing of the world: it is produced only by virtue of multiple forms of
constraint. And it induces the regular effects of power. Each society has its regime of
truth, its ‘general politics’ of truth: that is the types of discourse which it accepts and
makes function as true”32
.
Nietzsche33
has posed the following question: “What in us really wants ‘truth’?”
His own answer to the previous question is the following: the will for power. This is
Foucault’s epistemological thesis, too. Moreover, following this Nietzschean
epistemological argument, Jacques Derrida, one of most influential post-modern
scholars, developed the theory of deconstruction, according to which texts collapse
under their own weight once it is demonstrated that their ‘truth content’ is merely the
“mobile army of metaphors” identified by Nietzsche34
.
According to Nietzsche, a false judgment can be seen as an expression of creativity,
and, hence, it can be interpreted as a consequence of a dynamic attitude to life. But,
by identifying will as such with truth, Nietzsche’s philosophy is necessarily
indifferent as to whether a false judgment underpins injustice and violence. Nietzsche
respects creativity as such, without any presuppositions. Thus, Nietzsche’s approach
to creativity is unable to provide a firm foundation for human knowledge and human
values.
31
Michel Foucault, Language, Counter-Memory, Practice, ed. D.F. Bouchard, Ithaca, NY:
Cornell University Press, 1977, p. 153. 32
Michel Foucault, Power/Knowledge, ed. C. Gordon, Brighton, Sussex: Harvester, New
York: Pantheon, 1980, p. 131. 33
Friedrich Nietzsche, Basic Writings of Nietzsche, trans. and ed. W. Kaufmann, New York:
Random House, 1968 [Includes The Birth of Tragedy from the Spirit of Music; Beyond Good
and Evil; On the Genealogy of Morals; and Ecce Homo.] 34
Christopher Norris, Derrida, London: Fontana, 1987
26
Nietzsche argues that philosophers are dishonest because they pretend that their
thoughts echo objective reality, whereas, for Nietzsche, what they really do is to
reduce their prejudices, their ideas, to “the truth”35
. From Nietzsche’s viewpoint
philosophers merely defend judgments that are equivalent to advocates’ tricks or their
own hearts’ desires and they present them in abstract forms. The previous
Nietzschean thesis underpins Richard Rorty’s post-modern approach to epistemology,
according to which philosophers should give up on the idea that our knowledge
‘mirrors’ nature and instead adopt a pragmatic theory of truth, which is compatible
with Rorty’s self-description as a “postmodern bourgeois liberal”36
. However,
Nietzsche and in general postmodern scholars fail to see that the validity of truth
depends on its logic, its consistence, and the logic of truth, in turn, depends on the fact
that it can harmoniously unite a multitude of data into a meaningful system.
Therefore, philosophers are not as dishonest as Nietzsche contends.
Kairos: beyond realism and idealism
‘Kairos’ means literally the ‘opportune moment’. The concept of kairos can be
traced back to the ancient Greek philosophy and religion. In particular, in the ancient
Greek mythology, the notion of kairos was divinized, and Kairos was a son of Zeus.
For instance, Aesop (Fables 536, from Phaedrus 5:8) writes: “Running swiftly,
balancing on the razor’s edge, bald but with a lock of hair on his forehead, he wears
no clothes; if you grasp him from the front, you might be able to hold him, but once
he has moved on not even Jupiter [Zeus] himself can pull him back: this is a symbol
of Tempus [Kairos] (Opportunity), the brief moment in which things are possible”.
The famous Greek travelogue Pausanias, in his Description of Greece, 5.14.9
(trans. W.H.S. Jones), writes about Kairos: “Quite close to the entrance to the stadium
[at Olympia] are two altars; one they call the altar of Hermes of the Games, the other
the altar of Kairos (Opportunity). I know that a hymn to Kairos is one of the poems of
Ion of Khios [5th century BC poet]; in the hymn Kairos is made out to be the
youngest child of Zeus”. Moreover, Callistratus (Greek rhetorician who flourished in
the 3rd
/ 4th
century AD), in his Descriptions 6 (trans. by A. Fairbanks), wrote about
Kairos: “On the statue of Kairos (Opportunity) at Sikyon. I desire to set before you in
words the creation of Lysippos [4th century BC sculptor] also, the most beautiful of
statues, which the artist wrought and set up for the Sikyonians to look upon. Kairos
(Opportunity) was represented in a statue of bronze…but a man who was skilled in
the arts and who, with a deeper perception of art, knew how to track down the marvels
of craftsmen, applied reasoning to the artist’s creation, explaining the significance of
Kairos (Opportunity) as faithfully portrayed in the statue: the wings on his feet, he
told us, suggested his swiftness, and that, borne by the seasons, he goes rolling on
35
Ibid. 36
Richard Rorty, Objectivity, Relativism and Truth: Philosophical Papers, Vol. I, Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 1991, p. 197-202.
27
through all eternity; and as to his youthful beauty, that beauty is always opportune and
that Kairos (Opportunity) is the only artificer of beauty, whereas that of which the
beauty has withered has no part in the nature of Kairos (Opportunity); he also
explained that the lock of hair on his forehead indicated that while he is easy to catch
as he approaches, yet, when he has passed by, the moment of action has likewise
expired, and that, if opportunity (kairos) is neglected, it cannot be recovered”.
One of the pioneering philosophers of kairos, Evangelos Moutsopoulos, has
stressed that the concepts of kairos and kairicity37
do not merely refer to the sense of
timing, but they signify something much more important than that. They signify that,
even though the reality of the world is not a projection of human consciousness, it
can, under certain conditions, be utilized and restructured by the intentionality of
human consciousness.
Philosophical realism sees the Greek god Kairos as if he were totally bald, i.e. it
fails to notice and grab the lock of hair that exists on Kairos’s forehead. On the other
hand, idealism sees Kairos as if he had hair on the back of his head, too, i.e. it fails to
understand that Kairos cannot be arbitrarily manipulated. Contra realism and idealism,
a kairic consciousness recognises and respects the existential ‘otherness’ of the reality
of the world, but simultaneously it acts in order to impose its intentionality on the
reality of the world. Moreover, Hunter W. Stephenson38
has drawn an analogy
between kairos and archery, and he argues that kairos represents the moment in which
one may fire an arrow with sufficient force to penetrate the target.
Moutsopoulos has explained that the philosophical method that invokes the
kairicity of consciousness is derived from the synthesis between structuralism and
hermeneutics. As a criterion of reality and action, kairicity stems from consciousness,
but, since it is not committed to idealism, it is activated only when it is possible to be
applied on objective reality. The method of kairicity is based on the ontological
position that objective reality is actively present in consciousness when consciousness
assigns meaning and significance to objective reality. Even though reality is
multidimensional, it becomes significant for consciousness according to the manner in
which and the extent to which it is related to the intentionality of consciousness.
Therefore, the knowledge of reality that is based on the method of kairicity is in
agreement with both the nature of consciousness and the nature of cosmic reality.
According to Moutsopoulos, the notion of ‘kairos’ (i.e. ‘opportune moment’) is
combined with Aristotle’s notion of ‘metron’ (i.e. ‘right measure’), and it appears
under the form of the temporal categories of ‘not yet’ or ‘too early’, and ‘never again’
or ‘too late’39
.
37
Evangelos Moutsopoulos, Kairos –la mise et l’ enjeu, Paris: Vrin, 1991; Evangelos
Moutsopoulos, “Sur les dimensions ‘kairiques’ de la structure de l’ être”, Homage à François
Meyer, Aix-en-Provence, Publications de l’ Université de Provence, 1983. 38
H.W. Stephenson, Forecasting Opportunity –Kairos, Production and Writing, Lanham,
Maryland: University Press of America, 2005. 39
Evangelos Moutsopoulos, “Kairos ou minimum critique dans les sciences de la nature selon
Aristotle”, Revue Philosophique, Vol. 24, 1999, pp. 481-491.
28
In psychoanalysis, the concept of kairos plays a very important role, too. Daniel N.
Stern has stressed the importance of our “need for intersubjectivity”, and, hence, our
ability to share our mental states with other persons40
, and, he has focused on the so-
called “now moments”41
, during which the patient, most often unconsciously, needs
the therapist to actively and directly intervene in the process of psychotherapy (“the
moment of kairos”), thus transcending the normal role that the psychoanalyst plays in
the context of psychotherapy. Harold Kelman has described kairos as the right and
unique moment for the psychoanalyst to be “totally present” and to “actively
intervene” in a longer psychological process within the patient, and he mentions that
this opportunity is “unique and will not reappear”42
.
The method of kairicity consists in the following four-fold dialectic, which –
following Moutsopoulos’s terminology– I shall henceforth call the dialectic of
kairicity:
(i) consciousness imagines a better world and intends to intervene in the
reality of the world in order to improve its existential conditions;
(ii) consciousness endorses the Aristotelian doctrine of the mean, and,
therefore, when it acts, it attempts to avoid causing uncontrolled
turbulence, which could ultimately put the continuity of existence in
danger;
(iii) when the turbulence that is caused by the action of consciousness on the
world tends to become chaotic, consciousness attempts to reduce the
negative consequences of its action by taking new action that balances its
previous action (i.e. consciousness follows a policy of risk management
that prevents the emergence of a totally unknown new order of things);
(iv) during its action on the reality of the world, consciousness intends to
create the necessary conditions that will allow consciousness to act again
on the reality of the world in the future.
Whenever a conscious being follows the previous four-fold dialectic, we say that it is
characterised by kairicity, or that it acts kairically.
The dialectic of kairicity implies that there is a dynamic continuity between the
reality of the world and the reality of consciousness. Therefore, policy analysis should
be understood as a process for organizing and managing information about the reality
of the world as a tank of opportunities and about the reality of consciousness as a tank
of intentions, in order to help policy-makers act according to the dialectic of kairicity.
This statement is the essence of what I call kairopolitics.
40
Lennart Ramberg, “In Dialogue with Daniel Stern: A Review and Discussion of the Present
Moment in Psychotherapy and Everyday Life”, International Forum of Psychoanalysis, Vol. 15,
2006, pp. 19-33. 41
D.N. Stern, The Present Moment in Psychotherapy and Everyday Life, New York: Norton, 2004. 42
Harold Kelman, “Kairos: the Auspicious Moment”, The American Journal of Psychoanalysis,
Vol. XXIX, 1968; Harold Kelman, Helping People, New York: Science House, 1971.
29
Chapter 2
THE RISE AND FALL OF INTERNATIONAL ORDERS:
THE TWO WORLD WARS IN FOCUS
The diplomatic tradition that was dominant in Europe from the 17th
to the 19th
centuries is known as “Realpolitik”. This tradition consists in two principles, which
have been analysed by Henry Kissinger as follows: (i) the principle of ‘reason d’état’
(reason of the State), according to which the interests of the state justify whatever
means are necessary to pursue them, and “the success of a policy of reason d’état
depends above all on the ability to assess power relationships”43
; (ii) the principle of
the balance of power. In the European international order that emerged from the
principle of reason d’état, “states were no longer restrained by the pretense of a moral
code…The stronger would seek to dominate, and the weaker would resist by forming
coalitions to augment their individual strengths. If the coalition was powerful enough
to check the aggressor, a balance of power emerged; if not, some country would
achieve hegemony”44
. Thus, “a sort of equilibrium gradually emerged out of this
seeming anarchy…no state…was strong enough to impose its will on all the others
and thus form an empire. When any state threatened to become dominant, its
neighbours formed a coalition…out of pure self-interest to block the ambitions of the
most powerful”45
.
The European system of balance of power collapsed dramatically in 1914, when
World War I began. The fact that the European system of balance of power could not
any more safeguard a sort of equilibrium became clear due to the following reasons:
(i) The power of Germany increased at extremely high levels vis-à-vis the power of
Great Britain46
. In particular, at the beginning of the 20th
century, the growth of the
German GNP was twice that of Great Britain. Moreover, in the middle of the 19th
century, Great Britain had one-quarter of the world’s industrial production, but by
1913 that had been reduced to 10%, whereas Germany’s share had risen to 15%.
Germany used its industrial strength in order to increase its military capability. Great
Britain reacted to the rise of Germany’s power by changing its diplomacy. In
particular, in 1904, Great Britain ceased to function as the balancer47
of the European
balance of power and established an alliance with France, and, in 1907, the Anglo-
43
H.A. Kissinger, Diplomacy, New York: Simon & Schuster, 1994, p.63. 44
Ibid, p. 67. 45
Ibid, pp. 69-70. 46
See: J.S. Nye Jr., Understanding International Conflicts –An Introduction to Theory and
History, New York: HarperCollins, 1992, pp. 59-60. 47
In the 18th and the 19
th centuries, England was the one European country whose reason
d’état did not require it to expand in Europe. Perceiving its national interest to be in the
preservation of the European balance, “it was the one country which sought no more for itself
on the Continent than preventing the domination of Europe by a single power” (H.A.
Kissinger, op. cit. (ref. 34), p. 70).
30
French partnership broadened to include Russia, thus giving rise to the Triple Entente.
As a reaction to the Triple Entente, Germany tightened its relations with Austro-
Hungary. These two alliances were becoming more and more rigid, and therefore the
diplomatic flexibility that was underpinning the European balance was lost. The
traditional European balance was based on shifting alignments that were not allowing
any country to achieve hegemony. After 1907, this was not the case any more. The
major powers were divided in two rigid alliances.
In addition, two more factors contributed to the loss of flexibility in the early 20th
century balance of power. As first we should mention the fact that, for 40 years, the
great powers had not been involved in a major war in Europe had eroded their
political judgment, and thus they were thinking complacently that the established
international system could continue automatically deterring long and major wars. On
the other hand, the diplomacy of all the great powers was founded on a simplistic
application of Darwin’s principle of survival of the fittest in politics, and thus the
diplomacy of each and every great power was becoming more and more egocentric
(i.e. more and more nationalistic) and short-sighted.
The second factor that contributed to the loss of flexibility in the early 20th
century
balance of power was the confusing and vague character of the German diplomacy. In
particular, Germany was pursuing its “world ambitions” by antagonizing all other
great powers at the same time48
. As the British diplomat and historian Sir Eyre Crowe
(1864-1925) has pointed out, Great Britain, France and Russia failed to understand on
time the “world ambitions” of Germany and they complacently believed that a long
war was unlikely and that short wars won by the strong would not cause unwelcome
consequences. However, Sir Eyre Crowe, in his 1907 Memorandum on the Present
State of British Relations with France and Germany, opposed appeasement of
Germany by arguing that “to give way to the blackmailer’s menaces enriches him, but
it has long been proved by uniform experience that, although this may secure for the
victim temporary peace, it is certain to lead to renewed molestation and higher
demands after ever-shortening periods of amicable forbearance”.
(ii) Changes in the domestic society and politics of the Austro-Hungarian and the
Ottoman Empires and of Germany undermined the efficiency of the European balance
of power. In particular, the Austro-Hungarian and the Ottoman Empires were
multinational empires, and, therefore, their integrity was threatened by the rise of
nationalism. Moreover, the Treaty of London which was signed on 30 May 1913, to
deal with territorial adjustments arising out of the conclusion of the First Balkan
War49
, terminated officially the five-century rule of the Ottoman Empire in the
Balkans.
48
Germany antagonized Great Britain by starting a naval arms race, it antagonized France
over a protectorate in Morocco, and it antagonized Russia over issues in the Ottoman Empire. 49
The First Balkan War broke out on 8 October 1912, when Bulgaria, Greece, Montenegro
and Serbia, having large parts of their ethnic populations under Ottoman sovereignty, attacked
the Ottoman Empire.
31
In addition, German social problems were important contributors to the outbreak of
World War I. According to Fritz Fischer50
, the German political and economic elite
followed expansionist policies in order to overcome the problems of the established
socio-economic system without reforming it substantially and in order to react against
mounting socialism51
, which was threatening the German political and economic
establishment.
However, the previous factors are not enough in order to articulate a complete
explanation for the collapse of the European balance of power. In fact, the previous
factors describe the collapse of the balance of power but do not really explain why
that system collapsed. As we have already mentioned, Realpolitik can be summarized
as follows: “The ruler’s, and later the state’s, interest provides the spring of action; the
necessities of policy arise from the unregulated competition of states; calculation
based on these necessities can discover the policies that will best serve a state’s
interests; success is the ultimate test of policy, and success is defined as preserving
and strengthening the state”52
. In the light of the previous definition of Realpolitik, we
can understand the defects of the thesis that the European balance of power collapsed
because (i) the hegemonic tendency of Germany was not deterred by the creation of
the adequate alliance, (ii) the alliance system became rigid, and (iii) domestic political
and economic developments in certain great powers influenced their capabilities and
the manner in which they defined and pursued their national interest. The previous
thesis about the collapse of the European balance of power describes how exactly the
European balance of power collapsed, but it does not explain why this happened.
The reason why the European balance of power collapsed is because Realpolitik (or
the balance-of-power system) is inherently unable to provide a viable international
order. In a balance-of-power system of international politics, the behaviours of the
states are not coordinated with each other by any universal moral code. On the
contrary, the states’ behaviours serve the logic of selfish historical goals and
particularly are based on the calculation of necessities of policy that arise from the
unregulated competition among them. The calculation of necessities of policy can
only temporarily balance the explosiveness of the expansionism of the state and
harmonize it with a form of social consciousness, which is necessary in order to create
anti-hegemonic alliances and thus sustain equilibrium. The calculation of necessities
of policy can only temporarily balance the explosiveness of the expansionism of the
state because, according to the system of balance of power, the state –with its selfish
goals and requests– is the ultimate criterion of balance-of-power politics. When the
individual state –with its selfish goals and requests– is the ultimate criterion of an
international order, and when an international order is not guided by any universal
values that could transcend the sovereignty of the state (due to their universality), then
such an international order is self-destructive and ends up in war, not because states
50
F. Fischer, World Power or Decline: The Controversy over Germany’s Aims in the First
World War, New York: Norton, 1951. 51
In 1912, the Social-Democratic Party (SDP) became the biggest party in the German
Parliament. 52
K.N. Waltz, Theory of International Politics, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1979, p. 117.
32
stop calculating their interests, but exactly because they calculate the maximization of
their interests independently of any moral code and culture as the source of that moral
code. In other words, since the state –with its selfish goals and requests– is the
ultimate criterion of balance-of-power politics, an international order based on
balance of power makes the states more and more ego-centric and hence less and less
social, and this means that states become less and less capable of creating viable
alliances among them in order to keep the international system in equilibrium.
A balance of power is not a self-sufficient ideal. Power is sought for certain ends,
which reflect the value systems of different societies. The first Europeans who talked
of redressing the balance and formed coalitions were fighting for concrete values
against concrete threats. In particular, they were protecting their political and religious
liberties. For instance, when William of Orange (1650-1702) taught the British to
think in terms of the balance of power, it was because Britain was threatened with an
invasion that would end up in the restoration of a despotic king. Moreover, when The
Right Hon. William Pitt (1759-1806) revived the principle of balance of power
against Napoleon, he was representing a nation that was fighting for hearts and
homes. Neither William of Orange nor William Pitt aspired to a balance as a principle
good and necessary in itself, or as a necessary condition for Europe.
When a statesman –such as Cardinal Richelieu (1585-1642)– talks of a balance as
an end in itself, he usually means a balance favorable to himself. Without any
agreement on common values and institutions, the balance-of-power system means
that all negotiation is carried on according to power calculations. Therefore, this
system urges the actors of the international system to negotiate in order to maintain
the status quo, and at the same time it urges them to continually increase their power,
since their arguments are weighed by the power of each actor. Hence, the balance-of-
power system ends up in catastrophic results, as great powers become more and more
concerned with the maximization of their power, since they do not share a common
set of moral and institutional commitments, or as all great powers are regimented –as
they were before World War I– in one coalition or another and thus they lose the
advantage of open-mindedness in political problem-solving.
The balance-of-power system recognises the significance of collective action for
the maintenance of international order, but the absence of common values and
institutions and the obsession with power calculations implant mutual hatred and
suspicion and they make the states split into factions, at feud with one another and
incapable of undertaking effective initiatives of joint action. The major consequences
of the spiritual poverty of the balance-of-power system is, apparently, to make united
action impossible because of factions and quarrels and also to set every member of the
international society at enmity with any opponent and with the powers that want to
maintain the established international order. By eroding the social consciousness of
the members of the international society, the balance-of-power system incubates
results that it is supposed to deter –namely, nationalism and/or rigid coalitions.
Woodrow Wilson, the American President during World War I, openly blamed
balance-of-power politics for the war. According to Wilson, “the balance of power is
the great game now forever discredited. It’s the old and evil order that prevailed
33
before this war. World War I was to do away with an old order, one that was unstable.
The balance of power is a thing that we can do without in the future”53
. Woodrow
Wilson was right in pointing out the instability of balance-of-power politics; for, the
ultimate priority of the balance of power is the sovereignty and the interest of the
state, and states must create alliances in order to prevent any state from becoming
preponderant, and thus the resulting balance of power is consistent with war. In other
words, from the viewpoint of Realpolitik, the state makes war, and war makes the
state54
. However, Woodrow Wilson did not fully understand the contradictory nature
of balance-of-power politics. Therefore, instead of emphasizing that balance-of-power
politics weakens the social consciousness of the states as members of an international
system and finally makes them too ego-centric to make the necessary collective
decisions in order to avoid war and preserve order, Woodrow Wilson emphasized the
need to strengthen the right of national self-determination beyond the limits imposed
by a balance-of-power system. In other words, Wilson was right in arguing that
balance-of-power politics is not successful, even according to its own criteria (i.e. in
preserving order), but Wilson’s own proposition was the strengthening of the ego-
centrism of the states and not the strengthening of their social consciousness.
Whereas, in balance-of-power politics, alliances were created against any state that
was becoming too strong, Wilson’s doctrine of collective security was focused on the
aggressive policies of a state rather than its capacity. However, in both cases, the
individual state is the ultimate criterion of the international system. The ‘telos’,
purpose, of Wilson’s doctrine of collective security was not the restoration of the
centrality of universal moral criteria, but its ‘telos’ was the promotion and institution
of an idealistic approach to national self-determination and the domination of a
“procedural morality”, based on external rules guiding international conduct and
interaction. In other words, in Wilson’s system, moral judgments remain dispensable,
and there is no need to differentiate between ‘right’ and ‘wrong’; instead, for
pragmatic reasons of international order, the major distinction is between what is
‘legal’ and ‘illegal’. Therefore, in Wilson’s system, legal procedure, especially
compliance with the Covenant of the League of Nations55
and arbitration within the
53
The Public Papers of Woodrow Wilson, eds R.S. Baker and W.E. Dodd, Vol. I, New York:
Harper, 1925, pp. 182-183. 54
C. Tilly, Coercion, Capital and European States AD 990-1990, Oxford: Blackwell, 1990. 55
Wilson’s doctrine of collective security was embodied in the Covenant of the League of
Nations. In particular, the League of Nations Covenant includes the following articles: Article
10: “The Members of the League undertake to respect and preserve as against external
aggression the territorial integrity and existing political independence of all Members of the
League. In case of any such aggression or in case of any threat or danger of such aggression
the Council shall advise upon the means by which this obligation shall be fulfilled”. Article
11: “Any war or threat of war, whether immediately affecting any of the Members of the
League or not, is hereby declared a matter of concern to the whole League, and the League
shall take any action that may be deemed wise and effectual to safeguard the peace of
nations…”. Article 12: “The Members of the League agree that, if there should arise between
them any dispute likely to lead to a rupture they will submit the matter either to arbitration or
judicial settlement or to enquiry by the Council, and they agree in no case to resort to war
until three months after the award by the arbitrators or the judicial decision, or the report by
34
framework of the League of Nations, substitutes for morality and culture as the source
of that morality. Therefore, the international system remains focused on the self-
gratification of the state. Wilson’s doctrine of collective security and the League of
Nations do not substitute the sovereignty of some universal value for the sovereignty
of the state, but they only establish a different method through which states can
pursue their selfish historical goals.
The system of collective security that was established after the end of World War I
had not overcome the fundamental antinomy of Realpolitik: Realpolitik stresses the
need for alliance between states, but simultaneously it weakens the states’ social
consciousness, because, within the context of Realpolitik, the state is recognised as
the ultimate criterion of the international system. Hence, the system of collective
security that was established after the end of World War I was unable to safeguard a
viable international order. When Hitler’s Germany decided to disregard the political
pretenses of the League of Nations and pursue a ruthless plan of national-interest
maximization, the institutions of multilateral diplomacy not only proved to be unable
to deter German expansionism but they also encouraged the Western Allies,
particularly Chamberlain’s Great Britain, to endorse a policy of appeasement towards
Germany56
. However, appeasement was the wrong approach to Hitler, and thus World
War II was not prevented.
the Council…”. Article 15: “If there should arise between Members of the League any dispute
likely to lead to a rupture, which is not submitted to arbitration or judicial settlement in
accordance with Article 13, the Members of the League agree that they will submit the matter
to the Council…”. 56
P.M.H. Bell, The Origins of the Second World War in Europe, London: Longman, 1986.
35
Chapter 3
THE DEFECTS OF POLITICAL REALISM AND NEOREALISM
The first Chair in International Politics was established at the University of Wales,
Aberystwyth (renamed Aberystwyth University in 2008), in 1919, and the first
university entirely dedicated to the study of International Relations was the Graduate
Institute of International Studies (now the Graduate Institute of International and
Development Studies), which was founded in Geneva, Switzerland, in 1927, to
educate diplomats associated to the League of Nations.
One of the primary concerns of the new academic discipline was the methodical
examination of the reality of its object, i.e. of international politics. This concern was
not only the result of philosophical quests, but it was also the result of the Western
World’s attempt to understand reality in order to cure the social, economic and
political traumas caused by the two prolonged and extraordinarily devastating World
Wars. Thus, the school of political realism emerged, which “is widely thought of as
both the orthodoxy and the classical tradition of thinking about international
relations”57
. The characteristic representative of “classical realism” is Hans
Morgenthau, and the characteristic representative of “neorealism”, or “structural
realism”, is Kenneth Waltz. Both Morgenthau and Waltz present international politics
as a realm of necessity and power politics. “Realism in all of its forms emphasizes the
continuities of the human condition, particularly at the international level. Classical
realists, most notably Morgenthau, tended to find the source of these continuities in
the permanence of human nature as reflected in the political construction of states.
Neorealists find them in the anarchic structure of the international system”58
. In the
sequel of the present section, we shall analyse the theories of Morgenthau and Waltz,
and we shall explain why they have not been successful in their attempt to articulate a
theory of the reality of international politics.
Political realism
Hans Morgenthau states that his purpose is “to present a theory of international
politics” founded on what he has called the “principles of political realism”59
.
Morgenthau argues that, in order to understand the behaviour of states, it is necessary
to have previously understood and explained individual behaviour: “the relations
57
B. Buzan, “The Timeless Wisdom of Realism?”, in: S. Smith, K. Booth and M. Zalewski
(eds), International Theory: Positivism and Beyond, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,
1996, p. 47. 58
Ibid, p. 50. 59
H.J. Morgenthau, Politics Among Nations, revised by K.W. Thompson, New York:
McGraw-Hill, 1993, pp. 3-4.
36
between nations are not essentially different from the relations between individuals;
they are only relations between individuals on a wider scale”60
. Additionally, he has
argued that “politics, like society in general, is governed by objective laws that have
their roots in human nature…The operation of these laws being impervious to our
preferences, men will challenge them only at the risk of failure”61
.
Morgenthau argues that, whereas “non-political action is ever exposed to
corruption by selfishness and lust for power, this corruption is inherent in the very
nature of political act”62
. In other words, Morgenthau asserts the autonomy of politics
as a distinct form of social life, which is characterised by the “will-to-power”.
Moreover, Morgenthau considers the structural distinction between international and
domestic politics to be the cause of the continuity of international politics as an arena
of power politics. For, within a state, the “will-to-power” is not allowed free reign as
a result of the existence of civil government. But Morgenthau argues that international
politics is an anarchic system, in the sense that each state claims sovereign control
over its own territory and people and considers itself to be the ultimate foundation of
the norms relating means to ends. Thus, Morgenthau argues that “continuity in foreign
policy is not a matter of choice but a necessity; for it derives from [factors] which no
government is able to control but which it can neglect at the risk of failure”63
.
Morgenthau assigns to a theory of international relations the task of determining
and classifying the patterns that are recurrent in human history and of specifying the
trans-historical conditions that make the genesis of these patterns, their change, or
their disappearance possible64
. According to Morgenthau, power is the key element of
action in international politics, and reason is the factor that determines the goals for
the pursuit of which a state competes in the international arena as well as the means
by which a state pursues its goals.
Based on the assumption that states seek to maximize their power, Morgenthau
argues that all foreign policies reveal three basic patterns of policy: (i) defending the
status quo, i.e. “the distribution of power which exists at a particular moment in
history”65
; (ii) imperialism, i.e. “a policy devised to overthrow the status quo”66
; (iii)
prestige, i.e. a policy devised “to impress other nations with the power one’s own
nation actually possesses, or with the power it believes, or wants other nations to
believe, it possesses”67
.
Morgenthau argues that imperialism is likely to take place when a nation
anticipates victory in war and thus pursues “a policy that seeks a permanent change of
60
H.J. Morgenthau, Scientific Man versus Power Politics, Chicago: University of Chicago
Press, 1946, p. 43. 61
H.J. Morgenthau, op. cit. (ref. 59), p. 4. 62
H.J. Morgenthau, op. cit. (ref. 60), p. 196. 63
Ibid, p. 66. 64
H.J. Morgenthau, “The Nature and Limits of a Theory of International Relations”, in:
W.T.R. Fox (ed.), Theoretical Aspects of International Relations, Indiana: University of Notre
Dame Press, 1959, p. 25. 65
H.J. Morgenthau, op. cit. (ref. 59), p. 51. 66
Ibid, p. 65. 67
Ibid, p. 85.
37
power relations with the defeated enemy”68
, or when a state has lost a war and desires
“to turn the scales on the victor, to overthrow the status quo created by this victory,
and to change places with him in the hierarchy of power”69
, or when there exist weak
states or politically empty spaces “that are attractive and accessible to a strong
state”70
. However, Morgenthau admits that it is not easy to distinguish between
imperialistic and status quo policies. For, power cannot be accurately quantified,
because, in addition to such quantifiable elements as geography, natural resources,
industrial capacity, population size, military capacity, etc., important non-quantifiable
human elements, such as quality of leadership, national and social cohesion and
character, must be taken into account71
.
Even though Morgenthau acknowledges these difficulties in distinguishing between
status quo and imperialistic policies, he maintains that the outcome of the struggle for
power among states at the international level is the balance of power: “the
international balance of power is only a particular manifestation of a general social
principle to which all societies composed of a number of autonomous units owe the
autonomy of their component parts; …the balance of power and policies aiming at its
preservation are not only inevitable but are an essential stabilising factor in a society
of sovereign nations”72
.
Although Morgenthau argues that an international-political theory should be
consistent with itself and with facts, the pursuit of unitary understanding (“power
politics”) and the tension between the abstracted (necessity in the form of power
politics) and the unabstracted (the realm of freedom and morality, which have been
separated from politics by Morgenthau) undermine the empirical relevance of his
theory and the cognitive significance of his theorems. Having restricted himself to the
abstraction of the ‘political man’ from the real man and of ‘political life’ from the real
life, having made those assumptions and those assumptions alone, Morgenthau’s
theory reduces to a form of monistic realism and fails to understand that, as we
explained in Chapter 1, the reality of the world and the reality of consciousness, even
though they are not one, they are unified and that consciousness is not the field on
which external objects act, but consciousness exerts its intentional influence on
reality.
Morgenthau, having committed himself to the necessity of power politics, is
oblivious of the dialectic of reality, and thus he understands the history of politics as
an expression of universal laws and not as an expression of human creativity.
However, as we explained in Chapter 1, instead of being defeated in his battle against
a necessary historical becoming, man can overcome necessities and restructure reality
according to his intentionality through his kairic action.
As far as the coherence of Morgenthau’s own theory is concerned, we must point
out that the necessity that emanates from the postulate of power maximization
68
Ibid, p. 65. 69
Ibid, p. 66. 70
Ibid, p. 67. 71
Ibid, ch. 9. 72
Ibid, p. 183.
38
contradicts the distinction between imperialist and status quo powers that has been
proposed by Morgenthau. Once there are various kinds of foreign policy with respect
to the pursuit of power, international politics is a struggle for power only to the extent
that state interests are conflicting, and the supporters of Realpolitik apply Realpolitik
in order to solve problems that would not exist if they had not been applying
Realpolitik.
Moreover, Stanley Hoffmann argues that Morgenthau’s power monism cannot
become the ultimate foundation of a theory of international politics because “it is
impossible to subsume under one word variables as different as: power as a condition
of policy and power as a criterion of policy; power as a potential and power in use;
power as a sum of resources and power as a set of processes. Power is a most complex
product of other variables, which should be allowed to see the light of the theory
instead of remaining hidden in the shadow of power”73
.
The manner in which Morgenthau construes the ‘national interest’ is simplistic
because it cannot answer to the following question, originally posed by Plato: “was
this how you meant to define what is right, that it is that which seems to the stronger
to be his interest, whether it really is or not?”74
.
In his Republic, Plato argues that politics would betray itself if its purpose were not
the moral improvement of both the individual and the society. However, in his
History of the Peloponnesian War, Thucydides (ca. 460 BC-ca. 395 BC) puts in the
Athenians’ mouth the following words towards the Melians: “As for the gods, we
expect to have quite as much of their favour as you: for, we are not doing or claiming
anything which goes beyond common opinion about divine or men’s desires about
human things. Of the gods we believe, and of men we know, that by a law of their
nature wherever they can rule they will. This law was not made by us, and we are not
the first who have acted upon it; we did but inherit it, and shall bequeath it to all time,
and we know that you and all mankind, if you were as strong as we are, would do as
we do”75
. Furthermore, in his “First Olynthiac” Speech76
, Demosthenes argues that
the policy-maker must make decisions instead of debates and that every policy must
be judged on results and not on moral principles. Walking in the path of
Demosthenes’s pragmatism, Niccolò Machiavelli (1469-1527) argued that his
political method consists in drawing maxims or rules for successful political
behaviour from history and experience. Machiavelli’s method is based on a pragmatic
and utilitarian approach to politics77
.
73
S. Hoffmann, Contemporary Theory of International Relations, Englewood Cliffs, NJ:
Prentice-Hall, 1960, p.32. 74
Plato, The Republic, trans. D. Lee, Harmondsworth: Penguin, 1987, 340c. 75
Thucydides, tr. B. Jowett, ed. A. P. Peabody, Boston: D. Lothrop & Co., 1883, book 5. 76
The Olynthiacs were three political speeches delivered by Demosthenes. In 349 BC, Philip
II of Macedon attacked Olynthus, which at the time was an ally of Athens. In the Olynthiacs,
delivered in 349 BC, Demosthenes urged Athens to help Olynthus. 77
The Portable Machiavelli, selected writings trans. P. Bondanella and M. Musa,
Harmondsworth: Penguin, 1979.
39
However, Plato has posed a crucial political question which has been rather evaded
in an unsuccessful manner by Morgenthau, Thucydides, Demosthenes and
Machiavelli: “was this how you meant to define what is right, that it is that which
seems to the stronger to be his interest, whether it really is or not?” Contra the self-
complacent ‘political realism’ of the Athenians, their decision to destroy the Melians,
even though it seemed to be their interest, proved to be “wrong and deluded”,
because: “The Athenians look at the present and can see nothing will save Melos.
They are right. The Melians look to the future. They are right too. Melos is destroyed.
But the very next sentence in the history begins the story of the decline of Athens and
the justification of the Melians”78
. Furthermore, if we judge politics on results –as
Demosthenes urges us to do– then history vindicated Philip II of Macedon and
Alexander the Great and not Demosthenes. In addition, Machiavelli wrote the book
Discourse on the First Ten Books of Titus Livy, in which he qualified and moderated
the political model he had previously proposed in The Prince79
.
In the modern era, a policy based on a pragmatic and utilitarian management of
impressions and on the belief that something is right simply because it seems to the
stronger to be his interest caused serious problems to the United States of America.
For instance, in 1953, American covert operatives (“Operation Ajax”) helped
overthrow Iran’s left-leaning government and restored the Shah to power. The CIA
had funded ayatollahs, mobilised the religious right and engineered a sophisticated
propaganda campaign to successfully further its aims, but, finally, Iran’s religious
leaders were among the first to turn against the United States and they established a
theocratic constitution in December 1979. Moreover, during the Cold War, the United
States provided staggering quantities of aid to anti-Marxist Islamic extremists, who
were fighting against the Soviet Union, but, in the post-Cold War era, those very same
extremists became America’s next great enemy.
Furthermore, Hoffmann argues that “the conception of an objective and easily
recognizable national interest…is one which makes sense only in a stable period in
which the participants play for limited ends, with limited means, and without
domestic kibitzers to disrupt the players’ moves…Today, however, survival is almost
always at stake, and technological leaps have upset the hierarchy of stable factors…In
such circumstances, interpretations of the national become almost totally subjective
and the relative weight of ‘objective factors’…is almost impossible to evaluate”80
. For
78
W. Liebeschuetz, “The Structure and Function of the Melian Dialogue”, The Journal of
Hellenic Studies 88 (1968), p. 76. 79
For instance, in The Prince (ch. 14), Machiavelli writes that a “prince should therefore have
no other aim or thought, nor take up any other thing for his study but war and its organization
and discipline, for that is the only art that is necessary to one who commands”; however, in
the Discourse on the First Ten Books of Titus Livy, Machiavelli writes that: “when there is
combined under the same constitution a prince, a nobility, and the power of the people, then
these three powers will watch and keep each other reciprocally in check” (book I, ch. 2), “in a
well-ordered republic, it should never be necessary to resort to extra-constitutional measures”
(book I, ch. 34), and “the governments of the people are better than those of princes” (book I,
ch. 58). 80
S. Hoffmann, op. cit. (ref. 73), p. 33.
40
instance, P. Seabury81
and V. Van Dyke82
argue that Morgenthau’s claim that the
national interest could be defined independently of any consideration of American
ideals undermines the empirical significance of Morgenthau’s analysis of U.S. foreign
policy.
Morgenthau’s assumption that states tend to maximize their power is not in
complete accordance with the way he considers balance of power to be a condition of
stalemate and mutual deterrence contributing to the maintenance of international
order. Morgenthau, referring to the European balance-of-power system in the 18th
and
19th
centuries, argues that, in order for the balance-of-power arrangement to function
properly, the competing nations must have previously restrained themselves by
consenting to the maintenance of this settlement, and thus this settlement depends on
common mores, civilization and interests83
. Therefore, neither power politics nor the
distinction between domestic and international politics is a fixed static condition.
Apart from ‘power politics’ and ‘national interest’, Morgenthau’s third major
concept is that of the ‘balance of power’. Morgenthau argues that balance of power is
“a universal concept”84
. However, Morgenthau’s attempt to demonstrate the
universality of the balance of power led him to such a broad use of the term that it
produced an inconsistency85
. In particular, Morgenthau uses the ‘balance of power’ to
refer to a situation of equilibrium as well as to any situation characterised by a
struggle for power. Yet, since Morgenthau does not regard equilibrium as inevitable,
the dual use of the ‘balance of power’ becomes a source of antinomies.
In summary, Morgenthau construes international politics as a struggle for power
among states, and he extracts this conclusion from an a priori human nature, which
may cause destructively irrational behaviour unless it is properly constrained by
balance-of-power arrangements. Waltz’s approach to international relations is
different from that of Morgenthau. Waltz maintains that the earlier realists conceived
“anarchy simply as setting problems for statesmen different from those to be coped
with internally and as setting standards of appropriate behaviour”86
, and he argues that
the previous approach is insufficient. Waltz’s position is characterised by the quest for
an analysis of the external context of the state action itself as a distinct factor that
determines state behaviour.
81
P. Seabury, Power, Freedom and Diplomacy, New York: Random House, 1963, ch. 4. 82
V. Van Dyke, “Values and Interests”, American Political Science Review 56 (1962). 83
H.J. Morgenthau, op. cit. (ref. 59), parts 4 and 5. 84
Ibid, pp. 183-185. 85
I.L. Claude, Power and International Relations, New York: Random House, 1962. 86
K.N. Waltz, “Reflections on Theory of International Politics: A Response to my Critics”,
in: R.O. Keohane (ed.), Neorealism and Its Critics, New York: Columbia University Press,
1986, p. 336.
41
Neorealism
In order to clarify his views and differentiate them from those of earliest realists,
Kenneth Waltz distinguishes between ‘reductionist’ and ‘systemic’ theories. Waltz’s
analysis of the international-political system is based on the following elements: a set
of interacting units (states) and a political structure. Waltz assumes that an
international-political system arises from the mutual interaction of states, which are
the constitutive units of the system; but, once formed, the structure “becomes a force
in itself, and a force that the constitutive units acting singly or in small numbers
cannot control”87
. Waltz maintains that, whereas reductionist theories are concerned
with unit-level forces, the purpose of a systemic theory of international politics is to
determine what kind of behaviour is encouraged by the international-political
structure and how much of the behaviour is caused by the given structure or by unit-
level forces. As a result, in the fifth chapter of his Theory of International Politics,
Waltz undertakes the task to “contrive a definition of structure free of the attributes
and the interactions of units”88
, and he defines the international-political structure
with respect to three criteria.
The first criterion is that, whereas domestic political systems are hierarchic,
international political systems are anarchic, self-help systems89
. The second criterion
is that, in domestic politics, due to the hierarchy of authority relationships, there is a
functional differentiation among the units in the system, whereas, in international
politics, the units are functionally undifferentiated90
. The third criterion is the
distribution of capabilities among the units of the system: “Although capabilities are
attributes of units, the distribution of capabilities across units is not. The distribution
of capabilities is not a unit attribute, but rather a system-wide concept”91
.
Having defined the international-political structure independently of the attributes
of the units that compose the international system, Waltz studies anarchy as structure
and shows how structure functions as selector in a Darwinian fashion. Waltz
maintains that, under a given distribution of capabilities within the international
system, the enduring anarchic character of international politics explains continuity.
Thus, Waltz’s approach to international order is not based on the evaluation of the
units’ intentions, but it is based on the analysis of the norms of the international
system and on the distribution of capabilities.
Waltz treats the ‘system’ as a homogeneous entity (i.e. as unaffected by unit-level
forces), and also he isolates the study of the ‘system’ from the study of the ‘units’.
But, in order to determine the functioning of the system, one must know, among other
things, the relationships of the ‘components’ to the ‘ensemble’ and the ‘performance’
of the system. However, as J.G. Ruggie has pointed out, in Waltz’s Theory of
87
K.N. Waltz, op. cit. (ref. 52), p.90. 88
Ibid, p. 79. 89
Ibid, p. 88. 90
Ibid, pp. 93-97. 91
Ibid, p. 98.
42
International Politics, “structural features are sharply differentiated from unit-level
processes, and structure is the productive agency that operates at the level of the
system…The problem with Waltz’s posture is that, in any social system, structural
change itself ultimately has no source other than unit-level processes. By banishing
these from the domain of systemic theory, Waltz also exogenizes the ultimate source
of systemic change”92
.
Thus, Waltz, by failing to describe the dialectical relationship between ‘agent’ and
‘structure’, slips into the fallacy of the earliest realists’ reductionism, against which he
has warned us. For, apart from the classical realists’ form of reductionism, according
to which the international-political causes are reducible to the dark nature of the
‘agents’ (or ‘units’), there is another form of reductionism, which consists in the
absence of a dialectical understanding of the relationship between ‘agent’ and
‘structure’; according to this latter form of reductionism the international-political
causes are reducible to structural forces. Therefore, Waltz and other ‘neorealists’, by
failing to understand the kairic character of the human activity in the way that we
explained it in Chapter 1, limit their work to monistic theories, which of course cannot
explain reality.
Furthermore, Waltz, like Morgenthau, by being committed to the necessity of
power politics, cannot differentiate between what seems to be the interest of a state
and what actually is the interest of a state. For instance, the Punic Wars brought Rome
to political supremacy in the Mediterranean in the late second century BC. But those
wars triggered off domestic changes in the Roman Empire that eventually destroyed
it93
. The prolonged campaigning alienated many peasant soldiers from their ancestral
farms, an idle urban proletariat with increasing political significance gathered in
Rome, and simultaneously senators and tax farmers collecting provincial revenues
accumulated unprecedented wealth. Additionally, even though the frontiers of Roman
power continued to expand in the first century AD, its cultural integrity was
undermined by Eastern religions, such as Christianity, and the armies lost their moral
bonds with Rome and became instruments of ambitious generals coveting the imperial
title. The fall of Rome came when peoples who had been Roman subjects turned
against their former rulers. Moreover, the development of armoured cavalry weakened
the long neglected Roman agriculture, which could not satisfy the needs of the
swollen urban population and of the cavalry.
Another weakness of the theories of Morgenthau and Waltz is that they treat the
actors of the international-political system as homogeneous states. However, sub-
national groups and indigenous peoples promote politics of identity that challenge the
traditional conceptions of national community and demand group rights, thus giving
92
J.G. Ruggie, “Continuity and Transformation in the World Polity: Towards a Neorealist
Synthesis”, in: R.O. Keohane (ed.), Neorealism and Its Critics, New York: Columbia
University Press, 1986, pp. 151-152. 93
E. Gibbon, Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, London: Saturn Book, 1979.
43
rise to new forms of political community94
. Additionally, the international system
includes non-state actors, such as public international organizations, multinational