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RICS Market Survey

Jul 07, 2018

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    RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008 1RICS EconomicsFirst Quarter 2008

    RICS construction market surveyUnited Kingdom

    Workload growth, while remaining positive, slowedsharply to the lowest level since Q1 1996. Scotlandcontinues to be the strongest performer, followed byWales. The North, where workloads are now falling andthe net balance is the lowest since Q3 1995, is by far theweakest. Growth in the other regions remains positive,albeit at a slower pace.

    In the industrial sector, workloads recovered strongly inNorthern Ireland, London and the South East. It remainsstatic in Wales and the rates of growth slowed somewhatin Scotland and the North. Infrastructure workloads grewsignificantly with London and the South East recoveringstrongly, solid growth in Wales and a second successiveincrease in Scotland. The workload in Northern Irelandfell for the third quarter in a row.

    However these two sectors were the bright spots in anotherwise worsening national picture. Public housing andprivate commercial workloads continued to grow but at aslower pace than in the previous quarter. The former

    recovered strongly in the Midlands and improved in theSouth West, but slipped significantly in Wales and theNorth and to lesser extent in other regions. Meanwhilecommercial workloads are now falling in the South West,North and Northern Ireland. While workload growthremained positive in other regions, they also sufferedreductions — London and the South East were the leastaffected and Wales the most.

    But the biggest changes came in private housing andother public works. Workload growth in these two sectorsturned negative for the first time since 1999. Privatesector housing workload growth, having weakened overfive successive quarters, is now falling. The fall is duemainly to a downturn in the North, but private housingweakened in all regions and is now static in London and

    the South East, Wales, the Midlands and NorthernIreland. Public non-housing workload growth is stillpositive in London and the South East, the Midlands andScotland, but is falling in other regions. The contraction

    was most pronounced in Northern Ireland. TheMidlands were least affected.

    New enquiries grew at a slower pace in all sectorsexcept infrastructure. Private housing new enquiriesslowed particularly sharply and are now growing at theslowest pace since the data started being collected in2006 Q2.

    Surveyors’ expectations were downbeat across theboard. On workload and employment expectations,sentiment was still positive but below the survey’s longrun average and the worst since 2003. Respondentsare expecting profit margins to fall for only the secondtime in the survey’s history.

    Skills shortages reduced and now equal the record lowset in 2006Q1. Northern Ireland saw a dramatic fall inshortages and they remain particularly low in London

    and they Midlands. Scotland saw the only increase inskills shortages and has the tightest labour market ofany UK region.

    Change in workloads, UK% Balance

    Construction industry slowssharply in the first quarter

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Expected change over % of surveyors

    the next quarter - % balance* reporting recruitment

    Rise % Same % Fall % Balance* Workloads Employment difficulties

    2006 Q2 34 57 10 24 48 39 36

    Q3 31 60 10 21 48 42 29

    Q4 34 58 8 26 58 47 32

    2007 Q1 36 56 7 29 57 54 33

    Q2 31 58 12 19 55 45 34

    Q3 26 65 9 17 45 34 34Q4 27 63 11 16 44 35 34

    2008 Q1 22 58 20 1 30 31 28

    * Balance = Proportion of surveyors reporting a rise in workloads minus those reporting a fall

    Please note that data for workload, employment, profit margin expectations and skill shortages are now weighted by region

    and have been revised.

    Total contribution to the survey was 149 forms.

    Proportion of surveyors reporting a rise, fall

    or no change in construction workloads for quarter

    ----------------------------------------------------------Not Seasonally Adjusted------------------------------------------------------

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    2 RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008

    • Workload growth, while remaining positi ve,slipped to the low est level since Q1 1996.

    • Scotland continues to be the str ongestperformer, followed by Wales.

    • The North, where workloads are now fallingand the net balance is the lowest since Q31995, is by far the weakest.

    • Growth in t he remaining regions remainpositive, albeit at lower levels.

    Change in total workloads% Balance

    National workloads 

    • Workload growth in the commercial sector

    weakened, but remains positive, whilstworkload in the industrial sectoraccelerated.

    • Commercial workloads are now falling inthe South West, North and Northern Ireland.While workload growth r emained positive inother regions, they also su ffered reductions— London and the South East was the leastaffected and Wales the most.

    • In the industrial sector, work load recoveredstrongly in Northern Ireland and Londonand the South East. It remains static inWales and the rates of grow th slow edsomewhat in Scotland and the North.

    Change in private/public housing workloads% Balance

    Change in private commercial workloads% Balance

    Total workloads

    Private/public housing

    • Growth in public s ector housing slipped,but remains solid. It recovered strongl y inthe Midlands and improved in the SouthWest, but s lipped signifi cant in Wales andthe North and to lesser extents in otherregions.

    • The private sector housing w orkload,growth having weakened over five suc ces-sive quarters, is now falling. The fall is duemainly to a downturn in the North, but pri-vate housing weakened in all r egions and isnow static in London and the South East,Wales, the Midlands and Northern Ireland.

    Private commercial/industrial

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    -50

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Public Housing Private Housing

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    Private Commercial Private Industrial

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    RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008 3

    • Employment expectations, havingrisen slightly last quarter, decreasedsomewhat and are now below thesurvey’s long run Q1 average.

    • Respondents from Scotland remainedthe most positive, followed closely bythose in the South East.

    • Respondents in the South West werethe most pessimistic.

    Public non-housing and infrastructureChange in public non-housing/infrastructure workloads% Balance

    • Public non-housing workloads declinedslightly in Q4. Workload growth is stillpositive in London and the South East,the Midlands and Scotland, but is fallingin other regions. The contraction wasmost pronounced in Northern Ireland. TheMidlands were least affected.

    • Infrastructure workload grew significantlywith London and the South Eastrecovering str ongly, solid grow th in Walesand another successive increase inScotland. The workload in NorthernIreland fell for the third quarter in a row.

    Expected workloadsExpected change in workloads% Balance

    Expected employmentExpected change in employment% Balance

    • Confidence in future w orkloads pulledback for the fift h consecutive quarterand is now below the survey’s long runaverage.

    • Respondents from Scotland remainedthe most positive, followed those in the

    South East.

    • Respondents in the South West, whileremaining posi tive, were the mostdownbeat.

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Public non-housing Infrastructure

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Next 12 months

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Next 12 months

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    4 RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008

    Regional information 

    Expected profit margins

    London and South East Change in workloads, London and South East% Balance

    Expected change in profit margins% Balance

    Labour availabilitySurveyors reporting recruitment difficulties, trades persons% reporting “yes”

    • Overall, respondents now expect profitmargins to fall and expectations are thelowest in the survey’s his tory. Only re-spondents in Scotland and Northern Ire-land expect growth in profits, and only i nNorthern Ireland are expectations higherthan the long t erm average for a region.

    • The falls i n expectations were most pro-nounced in the South East, the Midlandsand the North. Expectations remainedpositive in Scotland and Northern Irelandand stable in Wales.

    • The proportion of respondents report-ing skills shortages fell having re-mained remarkably constant in previousquarters.

    • The only respondents in Scotland re-ported ri se and the net balances weresignificantly lower in Northern Irelandand the North.

    • London, continue to enjoy exceptionallylow levels of skil ls shortages and theshortages in the Northern Ireland andthe Midlands reach the lowest levels inthe survey’s history.

    • Overall workloads remained positive,but growth slowed for the fourth con-secutive quarter. There was substantialgrowth in the private industrial sector,an upturn in the infrastructure sectorthat reversed the negative balancesreported in the previous two quarters

    • Profit expectations fell to the lowestlevel in the survey’s history, but work-load expectations, although reducingfor the f ifth c onsecutive quarter, remainstrong and employment expectationsrose.

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Next 12 months

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 200

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    RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008 5

    North 

    Change in workloads, North% Balance

    Scotland Change in workloads, Scotland% Balance

    Northern Ireland Change in workloads, Northern Ireland% Balance

    • Overall, workloads declined, but thepicture is mixed: private housing work-fell to the low est balance in the sur vey’shistory, pri vate commercial i s negativefor the first t ime sinc e Q3 2002 andother public works is falling, but growthin the pri vate industrial, infrastructureand public housing sectors whi leslower remain positi ve.

    • Respondents profits expectations fell toits lowest level in the survey’s history.However, workload and employmentexpectations, while lower, remain quite

    positive although low er than the na-tional averages. Skills shortages whilehave eased significantly.

    • Despite having slowed, Scottish w ork-load growth is now the UK’s strongest.

    • Infrastructure work load increased for asecond quarter, public housing grow thremains stro ng. Growth in pri vate hous-ing, while weaker, is the strongest in theUK. Growth s lipped the most in the

    other public work and private commer-cial sectors.

    • While profit expectations slipped to thelowest level since Q2 2003, they are themost positi ve in the UK.

    • Workload and employment expectationsremain relatively high and skill short-ages rose.

    • Workloads reduced, but overall thebalance remained positive. Workload inthe private industrial sector ros e. Publichousing slipped the least to slightlybelow the national average. Privatehousing and infrastructure workloadsare no longer growing and other publicworks and pri vate commercial both fell.

    • Confidence in anticipated profi tsslipped for the third quarter in succes-sion, and are now negative. Workloadand employment expectations slipped,but remain positi ve.

    • Skill shor tages reduced dramatically tothe lowest level, for any region, in thesurvey’s history.

    -50

    -25

    0

    25

    50

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 200

    Quarterly series Underlying trend, 4 quarter moving average

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 200

    Quarterly data Underlying trend, 4 quarter moving average

    -60

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 200

    Quarterly data Underlying trend, 4 quarter moving average

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    6 RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008

    South West 

    Wales 

    Midlands and Eastern

    • Workloads slipped substantially andgrowth is now only slightly positi ve.Despite two quarters of recovery, thepublic sector housing f igure is thelowest in the UK. Private housingslipped significantly, but growthremains pos itive. Private commercial i snow declining, but pri vate industrialrose for the second succ essive quarter.The infrastructure sector is remainsstable. Other public sector work fell.

    • Respondents’ confi dence is low . Whileworkload expectations remain

    marginally positive, profit margins areexpected to fall, and employmentexpectations, while positive, remain thelowest in the UK.

    • Overall workload growth s lipped, but issecond only t o Scotland. Public andprivate housing workl oads, havingrisen, are again static. Growth in privatecommercial slowed to the low est levelsince Q2 2005. Workloads remainedstable in the pri vate industrial sector.Infrastructure workloads rose for thesecond quarter in succession. Otherpublic sector workload growth slippedback, but remains the highest in the UK.

    •  Anticipated workload growth i s thelowest since Q3 2003, but theemployment outlook rose for thesecond successive quarter. Antici patedprofits remain stable.

    • Workload growth slowed. Private

    commercial slowed significantly.Private housing is no longer growing,but public hous ing recovered strongly,private industrial workload grew andinfrastructure again grew slightl y.

    • Profits are expected to fall and the netbalance is the l owest in the sur vey’shistory. Workload and employmentexpectations are more pessimistic wi thworkload expectations the lowest sinc eQ2 2005.

    • Skill shortages eased for the thirdsuccessive quarter to the lowest level inthe survey’s history.

    Change in workloads, Wales% Balance

    Change in workloads, South West% Balance

    Change in workloads, Midlands and Eastern% Balance

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20 06 2007 2008

    Raw data Underlying trend - Four quarter moving average

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 200

    -60

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 200

    Quarterly data Underlying trend, 4 quarter moving average

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    RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008 7

    John Sherriff FRICSSherriff Tiplady Associates"Procurement documentationappears to be declining in level ofdetail, etc. and this puts morepressure on contractors' tendersetc. Procurement procedures forpublicly funded projects areresulting in an increase in tenderlevels in an attempt to reducebusiness risk to the client."

    Robert Walton BSc FRICSMowlem Aqumen DefenceServices"Since the turn of the new near,contractors have sharpened theirpencils in tendering in competitionon the back of fears of a downturn

    in commercial property orders.They are filling their order bookswhile they can."

    LONDON

    Bola Abisogun BSc (Hons) MRICS Accessible Advice - City"With such a diverse number ofkey capital projects coming onstream, it has become whollyapparent that the larger, nationalplayers are indeed experiencingbottlenecks in the sourcing ofrequisite white and blue collarstaff. This is likely to continue tobe an issue for seniormanagement, and exacerbated by

    the repatriation of EU andinternational personnel."

    Bruce McAra MRICSTurner & Townsend CostManagement"Two stage tendering is provingchallenging in controlling pricesand predictability. A number ofcontractors seem to be increasingthere tenders at 2nd stage whichmay be due to market forces or anunresponsive market."

    NORTH EAST

    Walter Jonas FRICSBaker Mallett LLP

    "There has been a gradual declinein enquiries and workload over thelast six months reported by localcontractors and subcontractors.Suppliers' prices are holdingsteady as a direct result of this.These factors are causing aneasing in tender prices that willprobably continue until mid 2008."

    NORTH WEST

    R S Hayward FRICSHayward Associates (Cumbria) Ltd"Planning embargo byGovernment is stopping re-development of brownflield andredundant buildings in many areas

    despite a desperate need for newaffordable housing. Even when thePlanners are on board with theschemes, the Housing Corporation

    funding limits and controls makethe projects unaffordable withoutsome alternative sales which thenare at variance with the localplanners requirements. Thewhole situation is a "non funny"farce!"

    Bruce McAra MRICSTurner & Townsend CostManagement"The construction market is fairlystable given the completion ofmajor redevelopment projects inrecent years."

    D L Nicholson FRICSJohnstons"Uncertainty in the nuclear sector

    has a "knock on" effect elsewherein Cumbria's economy and,coupled with the current creditsqueeze, is having the effect ofeither canceling or postponingprivate sector projects."

    C H Nixon BSc FRICSThornber & Walker"Apart from private housing whichis a no go area, all other sectorsremain buoyant with lots ofenquiries. Just don't mention the'R' word."

    Brian Williams MRICSFletcher McNeill"The first quarter of 2008 appears

    to be marginally quieter thanpreviously although the secondand third quarters shouldimprove"

    NORTHERN IRELAND

    Peter Carson FRICSV B Evans & Co"Indecision in local government isa major factor."

    W H M McEvoy FRICSW H McEvoy Limited"Due to the downturn in houseprices, the market for constructionis not as buoyant as it was thistime last year."

    Hugh N Samuel McGurk MRICSWilliamson Johnson Partnership"Private housing sale costs havedropped considerably over thelast quarter, as have house sales.Contractors have been reportinga renewed keenness in tenderlevels caused by housingdevelopment contractors seekingwork in other areas"

    John Reid MRICSK S & P"The banking credit crunch is nowaffecting housing developmentwith a marked reduction in newschemes coming forward."

    George Williamson MRICSBrian Canavan Associates"There is uncertainty in salesprices of residential property

    Chartered Surveyor market comments 

    EAST MIDLANDS

    Diane Anstey BSc(Hons) MRICS Anstey & Associates"The gloomy market conditionshave not resulted in a decreasein tender rates."

    Greg Fanning BSc (Hons)MRICSThe Davidson Partnership"Public Sector works areincreasingly secured byframeworks, and public sectorclients are introducingcompetition within theseframeworks"

    Simon Holden MRICS A E Thornton-Firkin & Partners

    "Fear regarding the impact of aneconomic slowdown is onpeople's minds - more so than inlast quarter. Front end contactsare reporting a noticeableslowdown, and this, coupled withreal developer and private sectorcaution, leads to nervousness.However, enquiries continue toarrive and current workloadshows no obvious signs ofslowing down. A mixedmessage."

    Ian McKinlay FRICSGleeds"In certain sectors our clients are

    relaxing their requirements inrespect to specialist sectorknowledge. Clearly this is areflection of difficulties inresourcing their projects withideal teams. Conversely, havingsome sector specialists hasassisted in securing workload."

     Alan Robinson FRICSTompkins Robinson Surveyors"Current workload remains busywith annual emphasis onachieving year-end spendinglevels. Future prospects basedon the level of new enquiries overthe last three months make foruncertainty.

    EASTERN

    Brian Austin FRICSHaden Young Limited"There are opportunities in healthand education and variousframeworks that compensate forthe lack of developer led work."

    David Jenney FRICSHeckler Associates"Volume housebuilders arecutting back, making the sub-contract market slightly easier,but that is affected by theOlympic programme"

     Anthony Parisi FRICSJohnson & Partners"There a lack of competent/quality building surveyors."

    which in many areas continue to fall.This coupled with a nervousness ofpotential buyers wanting to avoidentering into an immediate negativeequity situation have effectivelybrought new build projects (housing)to a halt."

    SCOTLAND

    David Adam FRICSWJR Christie & Partners"The lack of professional consultantsto produce construction informationis an issue."

    Neil Cameron FRICSTulloch Homes Ltd"The ever-increasing number ofconsultees to planning applications

    is prolonging the planning processand delaying project starts byseveral months."

    David Cation MRICSSystems Aluminium Limited"Several projects have beenpostponed whilst funding isreviewed."

    Ronnie Dool FRICS BScTurner & Townsend"Current high levels of activity willcontinue in the short to medium termwith anticipated health sector activityincreasing towards year-end."

    John Fletcher FRICS

    John Fletcher Associates"Labour shortages are an issue."

    Tom Greig FRICSGardiner & Theobald"The shortage of contractors,particularly on the larger and morecomplicated projects, is makingcompetitive tender lists more difficultto compile. With at least five majorprojects in the Edinburgh pipeline,this shortage will increase withcontractors becoming even moreselective."

    Stephen Johnston BSc FRICSDavid Adamson & Partners"General increase in the volume of

    all types of construction work, inhand and planned, coming after arelatively quiet period is puttingpressure on limited resources (inShetland) leading to pricesincreasing and probable delays tosome contracts."

    John Macdonald MRICSMacdonald Alexander"Public utility companies are stillcausing significant disruption toconstruction projects and thisinfluence appears to be a primefactor in programme and costoverruns. Despite what governmentand the various related industry

    organisations state, this problem has just not been addressed."

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    RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008 9

    EASTERN

    Brian Austin FRICSHaden Young Limited"Currently no particular projectscausing distortion to labour costsand availability of resource. Basemetal prices on increase again."

    Michael Harris MRICSPhilip Pank & Partners"Steelwork costs and availabilityare preventing projects fromstarting quickly."

    David Jenney FRICSHeckler Associates"Concrete up by 9%Copper up by85%"

     Anthony Parisi FRICSJohnson & Partners"Not yet, but there is a definitefeeling that contractors are waitingfor the "Olympic factor" to kick in."

    John Sherriff FRICS

    Sherriff Tiplady Associates"No apparent change."

    Robert Walton BSc FRICSMowlem Aqumen DefenceServices"Structural steelwork hasincreased. Steel has increased inprice and fabricators are busy.Fenestration systems areexpensive just now as well."

    LONDON

    Bola Abisogun BSc (Hons) MRICS Accessible Advice - City"Continued inflationary costpressures prevail with marked

    increases on base commodities, adirect consequence of currentglobal demand(s). Key publicsector projects appear to beselectively procured amidst anawareness of labour and potentialmaterial shortages."

    Bruce McAra MRICSTurner & Townsend CostManagement"In the South East a combinationof Olympics,associated projects,Heathrow plans, major projects inthe city are projected to outstripcapacity particularly in the fit outmarket."

    Michael Morter BSc MRICS Abacus Project Services Ltd"None"

    NORTH WEST

    R S Hayward FRICSHayward Associates (Cumbria) Ltd"Continuing delays by Utilitiescompanies delaying completionsof many projects"

    Jack Lyall FRICSThomas and Adamson"Impact of Olympics could cause ashortage of professional andskilled tradesmen in Northwest."

    Bruce McAra MRICS

    Turner & Townsend CostManagement"Major projects in Liverpool suchas Arena & Convention Centre

    and Paradise StreetDevelopment.Steel and coppercomponent based materials."

    D L Nicholson FRICSJohnstons"There are no particular projectscausing distortion to the local

    markets. There have been notablechanges in material prices onsteelwork, copper, sand andaggregates."

    C H Nixon BSc FRICSThornber & Walker"Mechanical and electricalinstallation costs still continue torise disproportionately to otherbuilding elements."

    NORTHERN IRELAND

    W H M McEvoy FRICSW H McEvoy Limited"There is a general downturn inconstruction demand which hasresulted in no skills shortages."

    Hugh N Samuel McGurk MRICSWilliamson Johnson Partnership"Ready mix concrete costs haveincreased considerably in NorthernIreland"

    SCOTLAND

    David Adam FRICSWJR Christie & Partners"PFI schools projects increasedthe requirement for professionalstaff working for contractors"

    Ronnie Dool FRICS BScTurner & Townsend"Ongoing general high level of

    activity putting pressure on allresources and materials."

    John Fletcher FRICSJohn Fletcher Associates"London building boom, theforthcoming Olympics"

    Tom Greig FRICSGardiner & Theobald"Most materials have increaseddue to the uplift in fuel charges,with copper and glass being morethan the norm. Steelwork is to goup by £60/tonne shortly."

    Harris FRICSNorthcroft"Timber prices appear to be stillrising."

    Hamish Howard MSc MRICSPentarq"None."

    Colin McFadden BSc MRICSMcLeod & Aitken Ltd"Lack of qualified and suitablyexperienced QSs"

    T McQuade MRICS BScMorham & Brotchie"Large housing stock transfer fromlocal authority to newly formedhousing association has reducedworkload in short term. Futureworkload in repair and

    maintenance, as well as new buildwork, should however increasesignificantly in the longer term."

    John Meechan FRICSGardiner & Theobald"Structural steel continues to be arising cost and services are harderto get at competitive prices."

    David Miller BSc FRICS MAPSMcGown Miller Partnership

    "Major PPP Scheme commencingon site."

    Martin Reid FRICS FCIOBThomas & Adamson"No particular projects. We find thelack of big contractors (£15m plus)causes commercial projects to beexpensive if the contractorsbecome committed elsewhere.Curtain walling, concrete, re-bar."

    David Taylor FRICSCBA"Steelwork and glass"

     A Ron Thomson MRICSThomson Gray Partnership"The focus is currently on the 2012Olympics, however, Poland andthe Ukraine are to host the 2012UEFA European Championshipswhich we anticipate will put furtherstrain on the UK constructionindustry."

    SOUTH EAST

     Anthony Green MRICSHadland Manning Bullock &Partners"Local Natural stone, copper, steelproducts generally"

    Michael Morter BSc MRICS Abacus Project Services Ltd"Competition with London"

    Robert Owen BSc(Hons) MRICSBoxall Sayer Ltd"Copper and materials containingcopper are increasing in price."

    Peter Read FRICSChristopher Smith Associates"Oil based product prices underpressure."

    SOUTH WEST

    Douglas Cawley BSc MRICSDouglas Cawley & Associates"Need more tradesmen i.e. startapprenticeships."

    T R M Denley FRICS

    Denley King Partnership"We are not aware of any largeprojects in this area which areaffecting labour costs/availability."

    Christopher Pacey FRICSChristopher Pacey"Costs of certain key materialshave risen out of proportion to costof living."

    John Tilley BSc MRICSComplete ConstructionManagement Ltd"This area is still suffering from theafter effects of the summer floods,especially in the £100K to £500kcontractsCopper prices"

    Nicholas Trolley MRICSDickson-Powell Partnership"Oil based and metal based

    materials have inflated costs overpast three months."

    Christopher Varey FRICS FFBBeaufort Ellis Associates"No"

    WALES

    John Peel MRICSJ O Peel & Associates"HIPs and interest rate beginningto impact on housing sales, but(little) impact on alteration andimprovement work."

    Nicholas Soady BSc MRICSRPA Chartered QuantitySurveyors"There is not yet a noticeableeffect in the South Wales marketfrom the Olympics."

    Neil Taylor FRICS BScChandlerKBS"The activity in the utilities androad schemes remains high

    maintaining pressure onresources."

    Wyn Walters MRICSFaithful & Gould"A mad panic to completeObjective 1 projects by the end ofthe programme in South and WestWales is the main focus atpresent."

    WEST MIDLANDS

     Andy Irvine FRICSDTZ Debenham Thorpe"Not yet experiencing, butanticipate 2012 to impact."

    Lee Jones BSc MRICS

    Davis Langdon LLP"The costs of steelwork is rising,both reinforcement andstructural."

    Malcolm Sales MRICSMalcolm Sales"The cost of aggregates is anissue."

    YORKSHIRE & HUMBERSIDE

    David Bishop MRICSDBA Management Ltd"Market fluctuations in specialistsystems and technologiesassociated with residentialperformance is an issue – whilst

    higher costs are experienced atpresent, we anticipate morecompetitive prices."

    Paul Mackie MRICSRex Procter & Partners"There is a continued shortage ofprofessional staff at a intermediateand senior level, and uncertaintyin the economic climate affectingconfidence across thedevelopment arena"

    Park MRICSJonathan Appleyard & Trew"Steel prices are increasingquarter on quarter."

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    10 RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008

    Chris Brooks FRICSDavis Langdon01733 362000

    Raymond Burch BScMSc FRICS APABDB Surveying Ser-vices01799 531251

    Kevin Gill FRICSGill Associates01473 214646

    Michael Harris MRICSPhilip Pank & Part-ners01603 625 158

    David Jenney FRICSHeckler Associates

    01234 354 269

    Robert Juniper FRICSDaniel Connal Part-nership01206 562727

    Robert Muir MRICSRobert K Muir Char-tered Building Survey-ors01279 441911

    Mark O'Neill BScMRICSDavis Langdon &Everest01908 304700

    Mark O'Neill BScMRICSDavis Langdon Ever-est01908 304700

     Anthony Parisi FRICSJohnson & Partners01442 212755

    John Sherriff FRICSSherriff Tiplady Asso-ciates01223 872717

    B H Smith MRICSBrian H. Smith & Associates

    01603 700000

    Robert Walton BScFRICSMowlem AqumenDefence Services01603 737 864

    John Wilson MRICSJohn Wilson & Co01582 584336

    Contributor details John Reid MRICSK S & P02890 650009

    J M P SammonFRICSJames Sammon &Company028 7127 1323

    P Watson MRICSIan Kirkpatrick & Associates028 9127 1118

    George WilliamsonMRICSBrian Canavan Associates028 703 58484

    Scotland 

    David Adam FRICSWJR Christie &Partners01382 459988

    B J Byrne MRICSBryan Byrne Con-sultants0141 848 7201

    Neil CameronFRICSTulloch Homes Ltd1463229300

    David CationMRICS

    Systems AluminiumLimited01236 787300

    Ronnie Dool FRICSBScTurner & Townsend0141 221 5358

    John FletcherFRICSJohn Fletcher Asso-ciates01324 873042

    Tom Greig FRICSGardiner & Theo-bald

    0131 221 9555

    Hamish HarrisFRICSNorthcroft0131 226 1677

    Brian HorsburghBSc Dip Proj Man(RICS) FRICSBinnie Murray andHutton0141 889 8833

    G G Houston EsqKLM Partnership01382 739511

    C H Nixon BScFRICSThornber & Walker01772 722288

    Kevin Shea FRICSKevin Shea Associ-ates01204 307303

    C J Taylor FRICSTaylor Hutchinson &Partner0151 708 5939

    John WardlawFRICSWardlaw Surveyors01768 891821

     Andrew Webster

    FRICSCalvert & Webster01706 344826

    Brian WilliamsMRICSFletcher McNeill0161 881 5216

    Northern Ireland

    Peter CarsonFRICSV B Evans & Co02890 457000

    John H DowseMRICSMoore McDade

    Dowse02890 661903

    Robert J IrvineMRICS

    028 6638 7780

    John MurrayMRICSCyril Sweett Ltd028 703 43518

    W H McEvoyFRICSW H McEvoy Lim-ited02890 669541

    Hugh McGurkMRICSWilliamson JohnsonPartnership02891 813354

     Alex Murton MRICSHood McGowanKirk028 9066 7932

    John O'Neill FRICSJohn D D O'Neill028 7035 5155

    London 

     Abisogun BSc (Hons)

    MRICS Accessable Advice -City020 7608 0600

    Colin Bateman BScMRICSGeorge Corderoy & Co.02070 151920

     Andrew Halstead BScFRICS FonsEDonald Halstead Asso-ciates0208 445 7721

    Stephen JacksonFRICS BSc

    W S Jackson & Associ-ate020 8349 8131

    Gary Kitt MSc DipLawMRICS MCIOB FCIArbDriver Consult020 7377 0005

    Bruce McAra MRICSTurner & TownsendCost Management0121 262 1100

    W H M McEvoy MRICSSummers Inman020 7242 9152

     Ailsa McGregor BSc

    (Hons) MRICS MRSHMcGregor Consultancy07971 694956

    Michael Morter BScMRICS Abacus Project Ser-vices Ltd01277 234984

    Peter Read FRICSChristopher Smith As-sociates020 8943 2157

    North East 

     Alan Dunn BSc MRICS

    Hall & Partners0191 275 1600

    Walter Jonas FRICSBaker Mallett LLP0191 226 7390

    Colin McFadden BScMRICSMcLeod & Aitken Ltd0113 246 9669

     Ailsa McGregor BSc(Hons) MRICS MRSHMcGregor Consultancy07971 694956

    East Midlands

    Diane Anstey BSc

    (Hons) MRICS Anstey & Associates01604 890299

    Michael Armson FRICS Armson & Partners01332 558935

     Anthony Barnes BScMRICSSimons Estates Ltd08082 023991

    Greg Fanning BSc(Hons) MRICSThe Davidson Partner-ship0121 442 4070

    David Gwynne FRICSDavid J Gwynne01604 637612

    T Hartley BSC FRICSFaithful & Gould1159574800

    Simon Holden MRICS A. E. Thornton-Firkin &Partners01522 537466

    Jonathan HowardFRICSFletcher King Howard01604 622721

    Ian McKinlay FRICSGleeds0115 977 8000

    Nicholas Porter FRICSNic Porter Associates01636 674585

    Robert Quincey FRICSQMP01604 880808

     Alan Robinson FRICSTompkins RobinsonSurveyors01933 223307

    Robert Spencer FRICSSir William Baird & Part-ners01332 347203

    Peter Willows FRICSW T Partnership0115 950 6351

    Eastern 

    Brian Austin FRICSHaden Young Limited01923 295087

    Laurence Brett MRICSDavis Langdon LLP01223 351258

    Richard Neal MRICSBalfour Beatty Man-agement01642 356688

    George Penrice MCI- Arb FRICSSanderson Weatherall0191 261 2681

    Martin Round DipSurvMRICSFaithful & Gould0191 233 4413

    Malcolm Scott LLBMRICS ACIARBThompkins andThompkins0191 239 9421

    North West

    I G Backhouse FRICSDesign Group Ches-ter01244 320543

    John Bridge FRICSJ P Jelly& Partners01260 224022

    E T Cookson MRICSEamonn T. Cookson& Co.01704 537 411

    Colin Eldridge BScMRICSDavis Langdon

    0161 819 7600

    Stephen Gittins BSc(Hons) MBA MRICSWalfords0151 236 0946

    R S Hayward FRICSHayward Associates(Cumbria) Ltd01900 825781

    David Latham MRICSDavis Langdon &Everest0161 819 7600

    M I Lomas FRICS

    John Gibbs Partner-ship01606 551498

    Jack Lyall FRICSThomas and Adamson0161 833 1160

    Bruce McAra MRICSTurner & TownsendCost Management0121 262 1100

    D L Nicholson FRICSJohnstons01228 520137

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    RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008 11

     Adrian Howard MScMRICSPentarq01856 872022

    Stephen JohnstonFRICS BScDavid Adamson &Partners01595 696788

    Gilbert Lawrie Dip BSMRICSHouston PropertyConsultancy01505 382006

    Donald MacDonaldMRICSOgilvie ConstructionLtd

    01786 812273

    John MacdonaldMRICSMacdonald Alexander0131 558 1978

    Ian McBroom MRICSBrownriggs01786 464998

     Alistair McCrackenBSc FRICSReid Associates0141 248 6545

    Colin McFadden BScMRICS

    McLeod & Aitken Ltd0113 246 9669

     Ailsa McGregor BSc(Hons) MRICS MRSHMcGregor Consul-tancy07971 694956

    T McQuade MRICSBScMorham & Brotchie01631 563721

    John Meechan FRICSGardiner & Theobald0141 568 7300

    David Miller BSc

    FRICS MAPSMcGown Miller Part-nership01387 254 283

    Keith Milne FRICSDavid Adamson0131 229 7351

    Danny Nisbet BScMRICSElim Construction Ltd01505 612713

    Bruce Rae FRICSD. I. Burchell & Part-ners01382 202712

    Martin Reid FRICSFCIOBThomas & Adamson0131 225 4072

     Alan Smith MRICSWalfords0131 226 2791

    J B Sneddon FRICSSummers Inman0131 556 9464

    John Strachan MRICSHJG Samuel & Part-ners01903 743231

    David Taylor FRICSCBA0141 248 5802

     A Ron ThomsonMRICSThomson Gray Part-nership0131 226 5076

    South East

    Keith Andrews BScMRICSEC Harris020 7391 2718

    Peter Bushnell FRICSPeter Bushnell Associ-ates01234 714447

    Richard Colston FRICSNigel Rose and Part-ners0118 977 4702

    Bill Dixon FRICSShambrooks Ltd01892 540399

    Kevin Dougall MRICSThe Andrews Partner-ship01344 460100

    Peter Ficken BScMRICSPITA ConstructionConsultants Ltd

    020 8893 3333Robin Goddard BScMRICSBrodie Plant Goddard01306 887070

     Anthony Green MRICSHadland Manning Bul-lock & Partners01295 253521

    Michael GullifordFRICSGulliford & Smith020 8941 6850

    Graham Harvey-Browne BSc FRICSCM Parker Browne020 7928 1066

    Philip Jones FRICSRidge & Partners

    James Le May MRICSLe May & Co020 8893 3341

     Andrew Martin MRICSPDD Surveyors01908 690630

    Bruce McAra MRICSTurner & TownsendCost Management0121 262 1100

    David Metcalf FRICSCalford Seaden Part-nership01689 888222

    Paul Moore BScMRICSEBM01702 557447

    Graham Moore FRICSMS Associates01243 539378

    Michael Morter BScMRICS Abacus Project Ser-vices Ltd01277 234984

    Robert Owen BSc(Hons) MRICSBoxall Sayer Ltd01243 792220

    Peter Read FRICSChristopher Smith As-sociates020 8943 2157

    Tony Sumners FRICSKing Sumners Partner-ship01489 578811

     Andrew Wainewright

    FRICSJohn Smith Projects01962 861688

    South West

    Phillip Baker FRICSBaker Ruff Partnership01823 251356

    Paul Bridges MRICSBSc (Hons)Leslie Clark Construc-tion Consultants0117 973 8195

    Douglas Cawley BScMRICSDouglas Cawley & Associates01736 798200

    Peter Churchill MRICSW T Hills01392 218010

    Paul Clark FRICSWood & Weir Ltd01242 239788

    T R M Denley FRICSDenley King Partner-ship01202 715300

    M E Hallam MRICSCroot & Partners

    01305 788 666

    Richard Harvey FRICSGleeds0117 317 3200

    John King FRICSNigel Rose and Part-ners01242 577998

    David Lake BSc MRICSDavid Lake01822 834218

    Simon Large BScFRICS MAPMMagna Partnership Ltd01285 640460

    Christopher PaceyFRICSChristopher Pacey01258 840917

    David Perry MRICSWm G Weller & SonLtd.01209 215621

    Ray Plowman FRICSBailey Partnership01752 229 259

    Martyn Stubbs MRICSNixey Powell Partner-ship

    01225 424213John Tilley BSc MRICSComplete ConstructionManagement Ltd01242 227974

    B J Tipling FRICSJenkins Hansford &Partnership01278 785090

    Nicholas Trolley MRICSDickson-Powell Part-nership0117 973 2431

    Christopher VareyFRICS FFBBeaufort Ellis Associ-ates01793 542324

    Wales

    S P Baker FRICSHills02920 220438

    Geraint Morgan MRICSWatkins Jones & SonsLtd01248 362516

    Leonard Morley FRICSTweeds01352 756161

    D H Nurcombe FRICSNurcombe Yates &Partners02920 451065

    John Peel MRICSJ O Peel & Associates01970 625355

    Nicholas Soady BScMRICSRPA Chartered Quan-tity Surveyors02920 226846

    Neil Taylor FRICS BScChandler KBS0292035 2300

    Wyn Walters MRICSFaithful & Gould02920 485181

    West Midlands

    Paul Anderson BScFRICSRLF0121 456 1474

     Adrian Aston FRICSMAPMWakemans Ltd0121 454 4581

    Paul Beeston BSc(Hons) MRICSRider Levett Bucknall0121 503 1500

    Tony Clewett FRICSOsbornes (QuantitySurveyors) Ltd024 7656 1510

    Susan Fullard FRICS AMRSHFullard Rosier01564 779262

    P S Griffin MRICSNicol Thomas Limited0121 643 4571

     Andy Irvine FRICSDTZ DebenhamThorpe0121 200 2050

    Mark Janssens BSc(Hons) FRICSFaithful and Gould0121 483 5483

    Lee Jones BScMRICSDavis Langdon LLP0121 710 1100

     A H Millward MRICS Allan Reynolds Part-nership01902 771802

    Bob Pattern BSc

    Hons FRICSFranklin & Andrews07798 854306

    Malcolm SalesMRICSMalcolm Sales01538 757233

    G C Smith FRICSTownsend & Renau-don01782 744888

    Clive Stanway FRICSCyril Orchard & Part-ners01952 608445

    Yorkshire & Hum-berside

    David Bishop MRICSDBA Management Ltd01302 719919

    Robert Boyle FRICSMAPMV B Johnson & Part-ners01924 897373

    G E Firth FRICSFirth Partnership01226 206021

    Bob Macgregor

    FRICSGVA Grimley0870 900 89 90

    Paul Mackie MRICSRex Procter & Part-ners01274 693622

    Bruce McAra MRICSTurner & TownsendCost Management0121 262 1100

    Jonathan ParkMRICS Appleyard & Trew01423 871471 

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    12 RICS construction market survey first quarter 2008

    For general information about the construction market,

    contact the RICS Library information service on FAX :

    020 7334 3784, or the RICS Construction Faculty on

    020 7334 3733.

    The construction market survey is available from the

    RICS web site www.rics.org, along with other quarterly

    and monthly surveys covering residential sales &

    lettings, commercial property, and the farmland market.

    If you wish to subscribe to any of the RICS Market

    Surveys, and receive the latest editions as they are

    released, please contact Building Cost Information

    Service (BCIS): [email protected], T +44(0)20 7695

    1500

    Subscription rates are:

    Housing market survey (12 issues per year)Non RICS members £200 per year

    RICS members £155 per year

     All other quarterly surveys (4 issues per year)

    Non RICS members £135 per year

    RICS members £95 per year

    For database enquiries, please contact Janet Guilfoyle

    on +44 (0)20 7334 3890

    The Royal Institution of

    Chartered Surveyors

    12 Great George Street

    Parliament Square

    London SW1P 3AD

    T +44 (0)20 7222 7000

    F +44 (0)20 7334 3795

    [email protected]

    www.rics.org

    RICS contacts 

    Construction market information 

    Survey subscription information

    and data enquiries