REVIEW: Presidential Preference Election PREVIEW: May 17 ...recorder.maricopa.gov/voteroutreach/pdf/english/4 - 2016 PRES PRE… · presidential preference elections historical data

REVIEW: Presidential Preference Election

PREVIEW: May 17, 2016 Special & August 30, 2016 Primary Elections

Turnout

Early Ballots

Provisional Ballots

Doing the Math

1,238,792 Eligible Registered Voters

621,976 Counted Ballots

50.21% Turnout of eligible voters (621,976/1,238,792 = 50.21%)

PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE ELECTIONS

HISTORICAL DATA

2004 2008 2012 2016 2016

Estimate Actual

TOTAL ELECTION DAY TURNOUT 21.50% 22.47% 9.06% 6.74% 7.12%

TOTAL EARLY VOTING TURNOUT 7.05% 31.85% 35.25% 38.33% 43.09%

TOTAL TURNOUT 28.55% 54.32% 44.31% 45.07% 50.21%

DEMOCRATIC ELECTION DAY TURNOUT 21.50% 24.33% Not applicable 6.22% 6.65%

DEMOCRATIC EARLY VOTING TURNOUT 7.05% 30.08% Not applicable 36.78% 40.58%

TOTAL DEMOCRATIC TURNOUT 28.55% 54.41% Not applicable 43.00% 47.23%

REPUBLICAN ELECTION DAY TURNOUT Not applicable 21.13% 9.09% 7.14% 7.49%

REPUBLICAN EARLY VOTING TURNOUT Not applicable 33.14% 35.35% 39.57% 45.06%

TOTAL REPUBLICAN TURNOUT Not applicable 54.27% 44.44% 46.71% 52.55%

GREEN ELECTION DAY TURNOUT Not applicable Not applicable 1.23% 2.38% 2.57%

GREEN EARLY VOTING TURNOUT Not applicable Not applicable 8.54% 12.51% 14.18%

TOTAL GREEN TURNOUT Not applicable Not applicable 9.77% 14.89% 16.75%

Republican Turnout

371,129 Votes Cast / 706,301 Eligible Voters = 52.55% 52.55%

Democratic Turnout

47.23%

250,495 Votes Cast / 530,389 Eligible Voters = 47.23%

Green Turnout

16.75%

352 Votes Cast / 2,102 Eligible Voters = 16.75%

REQUESTED 897,247

RETURNED 536,183

COUNTED 533,772

Reasons for not counted

710 Bad Signature

137 Deceased

1,549 No Signature

15 Spousal Exchange

2,411

(536,183 – 533,772 = 2,411)

RECEIVED 24,630

COUNTED 4,631

NOT COUNTED 19,999

REASONS FOR NOT COUNTED

Not registered 1,162

Incomplete 115

Not eligible to vote 18,322

Early ballot returned & counted 168

Insufficient ID 45

E-pollbook duplicate Provisional 187

Including both PEVL

& one time requests

11,500 estimated mail ballot voters went to the polls March

22, 2016. They received a standard ballot instead of having to

vote a provisional ballot.

How Maricopa did the

Math…….

ESTIMATED

(based on 2008 PPE)

ACTUAL

Total Registered Voters 1.9 million

Total Independent/No

Party Voters

750,000

Total qualified to

participate

1.2 million 1,238,792

Total qualified to receive

early ballots

890,000 897,247

Total possible voters at

the polls

310,000 341,545

Calculation 310,000 x 23% 341,545 x 24%

Equals # of Election Day

voters

71,300 83,489

# of voters per polling

place

1,188 1,391 (rounded up to

1,500)

# of poll workers per

polling place

5 to 7 13 to 15

# of check in lines 2 with paper rosters 4 to 5 with e-Pollbooks

# of polling places 60 (71,300 / 1,188 = 60) 60 (83,489 / 1,500 = 56)

What did you experience on Election Day?

May 17, 2016 Preview

WHAT’S ON THE BALLOT? http://www.azsos.gov/elections/voting-election/election-information

PROPOSITION 123 – Amendment to the Constitution relating to Education Finance

HCR 2001

PROPOSITION 124 – Amendment to the Constitution relating to Public Retirement Systems

SCR 1019

SB 1428

UOCAVA BALLOTS

VOTER REGISTRATION DEADLINE

POLLING PLACES

Amendment to the Constitution relating to Education Finance

House Concurrent Resolution 2001

Increases annual distributions from the State Land Trust Permanent Endowment Fund from 2.5% to 6.9% to benefit K-12 schools, colleges, and other beneficiary institutions.

Includes

A $259,266,200 distribution in fiscal year 2016

Protections for state funds in the case of a severe economic downturn

HCR 2001

Amendment to the Constitution relating to Public Safety Retirement Systems

Senate Concurrent Resolution 1019

Permits the state to adjust certain benefits in the Public Safety Personnel Retirement System to alleviate system underfunding,

Including

The replacement of the current permanent benefit increase structure with a cost of living adjustment that is indexed for inflation

Capped at 2% per year

SCR 1019

EARLY VOTERS

AND

UNIFORMED & OVERSEAS CITIZENS ABSENTEE VOTING ACT (UOCAVA) VOTERS

EARLY VOTING IMPORTANT DATES

FIRST DAY TO REQUEST - February 14, 2016

BEGINS - April 20, 2016

LAST DAY TO REQUEST - May 6, 2016

DEADLINE TO TURN IN - May 17, 2016

WHEN & WHERE TO TURN IN EARLY BALLOT

When mailing ballot – Recommend May 11, 2016

In Person between 4/20/16 & 5/17/16 – MCTEC, Downtown, Mesa Offices

On Election Day – MCTEC, Downtown, Mesa and any polling place within the county

UOCAVA IMPORTANT DATES BEGINS - April 4, 2016

ENDS – May 17, 2016 at 7:00 pm

April 18, 2016

August 30, 2016 Preview

90 Day Notice-June 1, 2016 All voters on the Permanent Early Voting List (PEVL) are

sent a 90 day notice.

Partisan voters are notified they will receive an early ballot by mail.

Independent voters are asked to select an early ballot type:

Republican

Democrat

Green

City/Town Only

33 Day Notice-July 28, 2016

In Maricopa County, Independent voters on PEVL who have not yet selected an early ballot type will be sent a second notice.

NOTE: Independent voters on PEVL who do not request a specific ballot type will not receive a ballot by mail.

Federal Races

U.S. Senator

U.S. Congressman – All 9 Districts

State Races

Corporation Commissioner – 3 Seats

County Races

Assessor

Attorney

Board of Supervisors – All 5 Districts

Recorder

School Superintendent

Treasurer

Justice of the Peace – 9 Districts

Constable – 9 Districts

Plus Two 2-year terms to fill vacancies

Precinct Committeemen

Local Issues (?)

FILING DEADLINE:

JUNE 1, 2016

• Republican: 6,385

• Democrat: 4,987

• Libertarian: 717

• Total: 12,089 available precinct committeemen offices

Military and Overseas Citizens (UOCAVA) Voting Begins

July 16, 2016

Early Voting Begins

August 3, 2016

UOCAVA – The Uniformed and

Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting

Act

Republicans

Democrats

Libertarians

Green

Independents (Other Voters)

Republican Ballot

Democratic Ballot

Libertarian Ballot

Green Ballot

Choose: Republican Ballot

Democratic Ballot

Green Ballot

City/Town Ballot

3 Languages

English

Spanish

Tohono O’odham

5 Formats

Standard

Spanish (Bilingual ballots are mailed in the Primary, available in Spanish upon request in the General)

Large Print

Braille

Touch Screen Voting Machines (provides audio of ballot)

DIRECT ALL VOTERS INTERESTED IN WORKING AT

THE POLLS TO CONTACT:

• Colleen M. Redmond

• Board Worker Recruiter Staff Supervisor

• 602-372-3713

• [email protected]

• BILINGUAL BOARDWORKERS MUST:

• Speak with a staff member to verify bilingual aptitude.

• Attend a bilingual boardworker training ($25

compensation, not required).

• STEP UP PROGRAM

• 16 & 17 year olds

• Get credit for being at school

• Need a signed form from parent/school

MAY 4, 2016 @ 10:00 am