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Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Nov 28, 2014

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Economy & Finance

jdstein

Slides presented November 6, 2010 at LDS Self-Reliance Fair, Rexburg Idaho
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Page 1: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Retirement Planning

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As we obey the counsel to avoid and get out of debt now, we use our agency and obtain liberty to use our disposable income for helping and blessing others.

- Robert D. Hales, October 2010

Page 5: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

To those of you who are not yet to the season of life when you might serve a couple mission, I urge you to prepare now for the day you and your spouse may do so. As your circumstances allow, as you are are eligible for retirement, ....

- Thomas S. Monson, October 2010

Page 6: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Social Security

Defined BenefitPlans

Personal Savings(IRAs / 401k)

EmploymentEarnings

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Defined Benefit Only

Defined Contribution Only

Both DB and DC Plans26

67

7

22

16

62

Worker Participation Percentage by Plan Type

Source: Employee Benefits Research Institute

1979 2008

%

%

%

%

%

%

Page 8: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Social Security

Employer Pension

401(k) - IRA Savings66

11

13

49

19

21

21

21

42

Largest Source of Retirement Income

Source: Pew Research Center

Current Retirees Baby Boomers Ages 41-49Adults Ages 18-40

%%

%

%%

%

%

%

%

Page 9: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

How Much?

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Inflation Longevity Market

Spending Income Issuer

HealthcareHousehold

Shock Public Policy

Retirement Risks

Source: Retirement Income Industry Association

Page 11: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Inflation Longevity Market

Spending Income Issuer

HealthcareHousehold

Shock Public Policy

Investment Related Retirement Risks

Source: Retirement Income Industry Association

Page 12: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

How Long?

Page 13: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

For healthy 65 year-old couples

50% chance one spouse will live to age 92

Source: Annuity 2000 Mortality Tables, New York Life

Page 14: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

For healthy 65 year-old couples

25% chance one spouse will live to age 97

Source: Annuity 2000 Mortality Tables, New York Life

Page 15: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Mind the Gap

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Gap = Living Expenses lessSocial Security & Pension

$50,000 - $20,000 = $30,000

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Social Security Estimate

www.ssa.gov/oact/quickcalc/index.html

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Spending Rate = Gap / Nest Egg

$30,000 / $750,000 = 4%

Page 19: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2% 3% 3.5% 4% 4.5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%

30% Equity 70% Fixed 50% Equity 50% Fixed 70% Equity 30% Fixed

Annual Spending Rate

Probability of Retirement Ruin - 65 Year Old

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2% 3% 3.5% 4% 4.5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%

60 Year Old 65 Year Old 70 Year Old

Annual Spending Rate

Probability of Retirement Ruin - 50% Equity / 50% Fixed

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Page 21: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

13.1%

29.2%

Probability of Ruin

50% Equity 50% Fixed Income Portfolio

6.3%

4.5%-28.0%

Spending RateReturn

Page 22: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

1%

Page 23: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

10%

Page 24: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Single Premium Immediate Annuity

also know as

Lifetime Income Annuity

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Lifetime Income Annuity Estimate

www.immediateannuities.com

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Joint Life Income (100% to Survivor)

65 Year Old Couple

$30,000 annual = $504k

Page 27: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Real interest rate (i.e. net of inflation) 3%

Years until retirement 25

Current Savings $150,000

Annuity Cost $504,000

Additional Savings for Inflation Protection $100,000

Minimum Annual Savings to Fund Annuity $9,427

Min Annual Savings to Fund Annuity + Protection $12,090

Simple Retirement Calculator

Page 28: Retirement Planning - Self Reliance Fair

Simple Retirement Calculator

bit.ly/aqDyWn

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3% ???

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Questions and Answers