"The biggest picture of all: science, resources, and getting the message across" Resource efficiency as a global concern Alan Belward
"The biggest picture of all: science, resources, and getting
the message across"
Resource efficiency as a global concern
Alan Belward
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Presentation Overview
• Global responses to the challenge of efficient use of our planet’s resources test science
• Science to advance knowledge, science for international policy, science for decision making
• Opportunities and challenges ahead
image source; USDA, Martin H.
http://cdn.wn.com/
Freshwater Fuel Food
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The Science - Policy nexus• Importance of scientific advice to policy-making is
growing• The direction science takes is not always isolated from
political influence• Industry and other interest groups have vested
interests -
and a role to play• Public perceptions and misperceptions often reflect
media coverage and both can influence policy-makers
image source; JRC, NYT web, UN Climate talks picture
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Access…Source A. Nelson and H. Uchida Copyright European Communities
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Photo credit Thomas Faivre-Duboz
…to global resources
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Photo credit championsportsradio.com/, JRC
… with global consequencesPhoto credit Thomas Faivre-Duboz, modified by Alan Belward
Deforestation; emissions ~ 1.2 Pg C yr–1
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… requiring global actions 5.8 mha/yr, 13 mha/yr globally Photo credit Thomas Faivre-Duboz, modified by Alan Belward
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Photo credit championsportsradio.com/, JRC
Emissions; van der Werf et al, 2009, Nature BiogeoSciences5.8 mha/yr humid tropics Achard et al. (2002), Science 297, 999-1002
13 mha/yr globally FAO (2010) Global Forest Resource Assessment Key Findingshttp://www.fao.org/forestry/fra/fra2010/en/
…less than 3 seconds to clear a sports fieldPhoto credit Thomas Faivre-Duboz, modified by Alan Belward
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Photo credit championsportsradio.com/, JRC
Emissions; van der Werf et al, 2009, Nature BiogeoSciences5.8 mha/yr humid tropics Achard et al. (2002), Science 297, 999-1002
13 mha/yr globally FAO (2010) Global Forest Resource Assessment Key Findingshttp://www.fao.org/forestry/fra/fra2010/en/
… every 3 seconds of every dayPhoto credit Thomas Faivre-Duboz, modified by Alan Belward
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Source Bartholome and Belward JRC
The most local of processes – deforestation occurs one-tree-at-a-time
The most global of processes – deforestation occurs in all forest areas
It is rapid – millions of ha/yr; and slow – its always been part of human activity
1973 1991 2001 2005 2009
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25th July 1973
7th July 1991
11th July 2001
21st July 2005
9th August 2009
20 km
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50,000 km2 of natural vegetation converted to agriculture every year since the 1970s
50 km
White Nile Irrigation Scheme – pre expansion 1975And after construction 2000 (images Landsat)
Analysis Brink and Eva 2008
1975
20 km
Source A. Brink H. Eva JRC
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Africa’s population has doubled since 1970sSource: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2010). World
World Population Prospects, the 2010 RevisionPopulation Prospects: The 2010 Revision, New York: United Nations.
• less land per person
• Increasing pressure on environment and population
• food insecurity
• conflict and migration
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Cross-border, cross sectoral problems• Action
must be implemented
nationally – sovereign responsibilities
• Methods must be transparent – and verifiable
• Measurements must be made anywhere on the planet
• International consensus is needed on the science underpinning methods
• Capacity building is needed in many parts of the world
• Engagement of government, industry, national and supra-
national organisations
is critical
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Lessons learned• Science matters
– central to innovation and better lives. Legislation founded on scientific evidence increasingly shapes our world
• Science doesn’t have all the answers– interdisciplinary approaches are needed as policy makers
demand harmonized views embracing economic, social, environmental, ethical and various scientific dimensions
• Industry matters– core interest groups have vested interests in policy-making.
Scientific outcomes can often be better if industry is involved• Public opinion matters
– …and public debate is instrumental in forming it. Scientists must engage in real dialogue
• Co-operation and collaboration matter– working together through necessity has changed to working
together to a common end