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    Proposal for National Renewable Energy

    Plan for Saudi Arabia

    Abdullah M. Al-ShehriECRA

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    Plan of presentation

    Benefits and potential of renewables

    Proposal for incentivizing renewables

    Institutional responsibilities

    Next steps

    Introduction

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    77

    Industrial and agricultural processes can alsocreate some renewable potential

    Waste to Energy - Waste heat from industrial processes(e.g. steel mills, petrochemical processing, pulp and paper

    mills) can be recovered to provide energy for generation

    Landfill gas biodegradable waste in municipal landfills

    can be decomposed to produce methane, and then used as

    fuel for power generation

    Municipal solid waste incinerators can burn solid waste

    from municipal landfills to generate heat and electricity;

    there are about 431 Waste to Energy plants in Europe and

    89 in the US

    Biomass - agricultural waste (e.g. grains, weed, sawdust,

    etc.) and animal waste could be used as feedstock for

    boilers/heated steam can be used to generate electricity

    Saudi Arabiasagricultural produce

    may offer a potential forbiomass energy:

    Saudi Arabia produces, inorder of importance, wheat,barley, tomatoes, melons,dates, and citrus fruits; the

    main livestock are muttonand chickens

    Various crop/vegetableproduction (2.5 million tonsin 2004) and animal wastecould be used as feedstockto generate electricity

    However wheat production

    gradually being reduced,requiring reliance on othersources for biomass

    Waste combustionand slag

    management

    Hot flue gasesproduced andrise to boiler

    Water circulatedin the boiler

    (400C)

    Converted intohigh-pressure

    steam (40 bars)

    Fed to turbines anddrives electricity

    generator

    Residual steam inthe form of heatIn a condenser, heattransformed into water

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    Key messages

    Saudi Arabia has significant renewable energy potential, and notonly in solar and wind energy

    There are four main approaches to incentivizing renewable energy:

    - Feed in tariffsset a standard price per kWh for qualifying renewables;

    they are effective at guaranteeing a revenue stream to generators, but

    if not set at the right price can distort incentives- Central procurementinvolves an agency providing renewable energy

    contracts through competitive bidding; such an agency must be

    strong, but the process can lead to greater control over capacity and

    timing

    - Quota systemsdetermine the quantity of renewable energy to be

    procured, and allow the market to set the price; they are effective if a

    trading infrastructure is in place

    - Financial incentives and support mechanismsmake use of existing

    systems and are administratively easy, but are often insufficient

    In Saudi Arabia, feed in tariffs and central procurement are most

    relevant

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    88

    Various alternatives are deployed worldwide topromote renewable energy

    At least 64 countrieshave renewable energysupport policies

    Support policies werefirst deployed in thelate 1970s in Denmarkand the US

    As of year-end 2008,renewable capacitywas 280,000 MW,mostly wind and smallhydro

    Four main

    mechanisms are feedin tariffs, centralprocurement, quotasystems and financialincentives/supportmechanisms

    *This classification only applies to jurisdictions that solely rely on financial incentives/supportmechanisms. Virtually all jurisdictions employ financial incentives/support mechanisms along

    with one or more of the other three mechanisms (FIT, central procurement, and quotaobligation).

    Note: Finland recently implemented a FIT system but the chart does not show this because

    financial incentives/support mechanisms remain most prominent in Finland.

    Feed-in tariff

    Central procurement

    Quota obligation

    Financial incentives/supportmechanisms*

    FIT & Central procurement

    FIT and Quota obligation

    FIT/Central procurement/Quota

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    These mechanisms aim to overcome fundamentalbarriers to entry by renewables by targeting

    different aspectsAspects targeted bydifferent approaches

    Feed in tariffs set price(and may differentiate

    between technologiesand sizes of facilities)

    Central procurementsets an installedcapacity target (in MW)

    Quota system hasexplicit renewablegeneration target (inMWh)

    Financial incentivesimplicitly target thereturn on equity toproject developers

    Projects more expensive than alternativeways of generating power; chief barrier todevelopment of renewables

    Certain renewable technologies may be lessproven, and unknown risk to financiers(particularly in current credit environment)

    Zoning and building codes mayinadvertently discriminate against

    renewables, particularly small-scale Problems in dealing with multiple levels of

    government in seeking approvals

    Growing opposition to siting renewablefacilities in close proximity to residential

    areas

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    There are also Saudi specific challenges inincentivizing renewables

    Unclear commitment to renewable energy

    Uncertainty to developers on who is lead

    contract authority or how to obtain

    contract from creditworthy counterparty

    Uncertainty regarding evolution of

    industry; developers need to know how

    activities fit in with structure and that

    entity contracted with will still exist

    Extent of renewables resource base

    undefined; developers will gravitate to

    jurisdictions with most availableinformation

    Permitting and business set up process

    not well understood by developers

    Low cost of primary fuels

    Primary fuel costs

    Low and subsidized cost ofprimary fuels accentuatescost advantage of gas-firedpower stations againstrenewables in Saudi Arabia

    Indicative levelized cost of renewablesagainst gas-fired entrants in KSA

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    CCGT

    SCGT

    Wind

    Biomass

    S

    olar

    Th

    ermal

    Tidal

    SolarPV

    SaudiRiyal/MWh

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    Central procurement can benefit from a strongcentral agency and a specified target capacity

    Involve centralagency (such asSingle Buyer orgovernment itself)providing renewableenergy contracts

    through competitivebidding process

    Agency sets explicitrenewable energytarget (in MW) andissues requests forproposals (RFPs)

    Often maximumprice per unitspecified and limitsplaced on capacityby one participant

    Centralprocurement

    agency

    Renewable ProjectDeveloper A

    AuctioningProcess

    Renewable ProjectDeveloper B

    Renewable ProjectDeveloper C

    Renewable ProjectDeveloper D

    Renewable ProjectDeveloper E

    Renewable ProjectDeveloper F

    Individuallysubmit bids

    Target forprocured

    generation

    set

    Monitor biddingprocess andevaluate bids

    Select bids and

    act ascounterparty

    Bids chosen

    May be different targets for different technologies and sizes oralternatively all technologies may compete on equal footing

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    Central procurement provides greater controlover capacity and timing, but requires a strongagency to manage process

    Provides control overamount of renewable

    capacity deployed andtiming

    Can incentivize low cost

    resources

    Provides revenue stability togenerators due to long-termcontracts

    No need for any agency tosecond guess price level

    More administratively complexthan FITs; requires entities

    which are competent enough toundertake competitiveauctioning process, determineselection criteria, evaluate bids,

    devise standardized or

    individualized contracts, etc. orrely on consultants/experts

    Lag between procurement andgeneration

    Pros Cons

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    2323

    Quota systems allow the market to set the pricefor renewables and involve tradable instruments

    Determine quantity (MWh) of renewableenergy to be procured, and allow market

    to set price

    Targets often set by government; quota

    placed mainly on load serving entities

    for proportion of energy purchased fromrenewables; penalties imposed for

    failing to meet quota

    Often combined with marketable/

    tradable instruments, with transparent

    price

    Tradable instruments represent

    environmental attributes of power

    produced from renewables and can be

    bought or sold by market participants,

    often separately from underlying energy

    Set targeted quantity, determine entity tobe targeted (e.g. 10% of all electricity

    sales for distribution companies must bepurchased from renewable resources)

    Establish tradable instrument which setsprice per MWh to renewable powergenerators. Set terms of trading of

    instrument, including across jurisdictions

    Determine eligibility criteria forrenewablesunder program and whether

    different classes ofrenewables

    Establish monitoring, evaluation andverification structure to support program

    Determine penalty level to be applied toentities which do not meet target

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    Quota system can achieve given renewablequantity at lowest cost, but needs clear,consistent policy and trading infrastructure

    Can ensure specifiedquantity of renewable

    generation is achieved at thelowest cost

    No need for agencies to

    second guess the price level

    Need stable and wellcommunicated government

    policy about eligibletechnologies, who is mandatedto meet targets, etc.

    Generators are not guaranteedrevenue stream

    Needs developed tradinginfrastructure

    Can be administrativelycomplex

    Pros Cons

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    Financial incentives also can promote renewable

    development by targeting a companys ROE

    Financial incentives can influence arenewable energy developers future free

    cash flows through targeting their return on

    equity (ROE)

    Financial incentives can be directed both at

    renewable energy developers and themanufacturers of renewable energy

    products:

    Examples of financial incentives targeting

    - Investment subsidies

    -Grant

    - Low interest loans

    - Tax credits

    - Lower or zero tax rates (value-added tax,

    excluding dividends from renewable energy

    investments from income tax, etc.)

    Financial supportmechanisms in Spain

    Alongside the FIT, Spain uses avariety of financial supportmechanisms, including subsidies,tax deductions and low interestloans

    Investment subsidiescover 36.4%of installation costs for renewableenergy heating and coolingtechnologies

    The 2001 Law on Fiscal,Administrative and SocialMeasures provided corporate taxdeductionsof 10% for investmentsin non-wind based renewableenergy

    The Renewable Energy Plan 2000-10 established a financingmechanism to provide low interestloanscovering up to 70% of aninvestment to help renewableenergy developers

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    Other support mechanisms exist, such as R&D,resource mapping, and institutions to expeditepermitting

    Government funded researchto disseminate

    information on renewable energy to interested

    parties can be effective support mechanism; can

    include resource mapping showing potential of

    different renewable technologies Supporting institutions to expedite or streamline

    permitting processfor proposed projects are also

    widely used

    Some jurisdictions provide infrastructure support in

    connecting to the gridor in expanding transmissionlinesto accommodate renewable projects in

    development of prospective projects

    Net metering, which allows consumers to build small

    renewable energy systems at homes and businesses

    and sell unused energy back at the wholesale

    electricity price also used to incentivize development

    Wind mapping and netmetering in Ontario

    In Ontario, the Wind ResourceAtlas Programhas aimed to helplarge and small wind developersidentify favorable locations for

    wind development and widelypublishes such information

    The net metering programallowssmall producers of renewableenergy (who produce mainly forown consumption) to connecttheir output to the grid andreceive credits towards their

    energy costs. The value ofgenerated renewable electricity iscalculated at the same price aswhat a consumer would pay for akWh of energy

    In 2009 Green Energy Actproposal to create a RenewableEnergy Facilitation Officeto shareinformation with developers on

    permitting process

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    The CDM mechanism has been used in China topromote renewable energy

    The Clean Development Mechanism

    (CDM) is a component of the Kyoto

    Protocol that allows industrialized

    countries to offset carbon emission

    reductions by buying certified credits

    from non-industrialized signatories;credits under CDN known as Certified

    Emission Reduction Credits (CERs)

    As of April 2008, 18% of all CDM projects

    were in China, the leading country

    27% of these projects involvedrenewable energy, and were mainly

    hydro based

    Aligning national renewable energy

    regulations with CDM policies could

    increase ability to earn future credits

    Qualification for CDM projects To qualify for earning CERs, project needs

    to be in non-annex 1 country, which isparty to the Kyoto Protocol

    Also need for a Designated OperationalEntity (DOE)/ Designated National Authority(DNA), which is independent legal entityaccredited and designated by CDMExecutive Board to validate proposed CDMprojects and verify and certify emissionreductions

    Saudi Arabia eligible to participate in CDM;Egypt, Jordan, Israel, Qatar and UAE allhave DNAs and host or are registering aCDM project

    Source: Bloomberg

    CER Prices (Sep 2007 Dec 2008)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Sep-0

    7

    Nov-0

    7

    Jan-0

    8

    Mar-

    08

    May-0

    8

    Ju

    l-08

    Sep-0

    8

    Nov-0

    8

    Price(US$)

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    3333

    Financial incentives and support mechanisms areadministratively straight forward, but if politicized

    can create uncertainty and often insufficient

    Financial incentives make

    use of existing mechanisms(e.g. tax and benefit system)

    Administratively straightforward

    If constantly changed, due to

    political factors, can createuncertainty to projectdevelopers (e.g. sunsetperiod of PTC)

    Often insufficient on own;

    need one of preceding toolsto incentivize renewablesfurther

    Pros Cons

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    Plan of presentation

    Benefits and potential of renewables

    Proposal for incentivizing renewables

    Institutional responsibilities

    Next steps

    Introduction

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    Renewable energy can provide Saudi Arabiawith significant benefits

    Helps diversification of fuel andtechnology sources

    Can reduce growth of Saudi emissions

    (NOx, SOx and CO2), effluents and

    water usage

    Reduces opportunity costs ofsubsidized fuel inputs

    Provides alternative means of serving

    remote areas

    Can foster creation of a domestic

    market for renewable energy products

    Introduces new players into wholesale

    market, enhancing innovation and

    potentially competition

    Can be more scaleable than

    conventional technologies

    Subsidized fuel inputs

    Natural gas and petroleum productssold to power producers at ratesconsiderably below market prices

    A reduction in use of subsidized fuelsfor future capacity could potentially

    increase export revenues, even ifrenewable energy itself is subsidized

    Domestic fuel charges for power facilitiesrelative to current global market prices

    Source: Bloomberg, proprietary contracts

    0

    2

    4

    6

    810

    12

    14

    Light fuel oil(SR/liter)

    Heavy fuel oil(SR/liter)

    Ethane gas(SR/MMBtu)

    Domestic fuel charges

    Global market prices

    Saudi Riyals

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    99

    Renewable energy plan is needed to incentivizedevelopers to build; it also signals efforts arebeing taken by KSA to reduce greenhouse gases

    A plan is needed to providepotential investors with clearunderstanding of how they will getpaid, how much, who will make the

    payment, and have confidence incommitment of authorities torenewables

    If properly designed, a plan canensure that renewable projects will

    be developed in a cost-efficientfashion

    As increasing pressure oncountries to reduce greenhousegas emissions, can show stepsare being taken by Saudi Arabia

    The Copenhagen Conference

    Successor agreement to Kyoto beingsought to reduce greenhouse gasemissions

    65 Heads of States have thus far

    committed to attending the conference,scheduled to end on December 18th

    Agreement on a global target for thereduction of greenhouse gasemissions and timeline to achievetarget are key objectives of conference

    Will require commitment fromdeveloped countries to reduce theirCO2 emissions, while developingcountries contribute to a collectivesolution through sharing oftechnologies, research anddevelopment

    Any agreement on global climateregime should not restrain economic

    growth or distort competition

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    Developing a renewable energy plan is consistentwith developments in neighboring countries

    UAE Established carbon-neutral, zero

    waste city and launched $250million company to develop newrenewable energy sector (MasdarInitiative)

    Considerable use of solar energy:parking meters, water heating,cooling, and 500 MW plant

    Opened solar-cell production line

    Lebanon

    Developingproject for solar-powered desalination plant

    Significant installed hydro Increasing installations of solar

    water heaters

    Syria Completed wind farm feasibility

    study Establishing National Center for

    Energy Studies and Researchtodevelop a National RenewableEnergy Plan

    Significant amount of installedhydro, biomass and solar waterheaters

    Jordan Developed energy sector strategy

    with a goal of 5% of renewables by2015

    Established a National EnergyResearch Center

    Established a solar energyindustry: stand-alone PV, PVpumping systems, R&D and

    training Two operating wind farms

    Qatar

    Investing $20 million forRenewable Energy Center

    Set up a $403 million clean energyfundwith the UK

    Building solar complex of 3,500MW by 2013

    Oman Study proposing a National

    Renewable Energy Plan publishedin 2008; evaluating proposed pilotschemes

    Significant use of solar waterheatingsystems

    PV used for power in remote

    areas Significant R&D

    Yemen Significant PVapplications for

    both urban and domestic use

    Established solar water heaterindustry

    Kuwait

    Goal of 5%of total electricityfrom renewable energy by 2020

    Call for $150 million for R&D

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    1313

    But future potential from other renewableresources should not be ignored

    Wind energy and speeds in KSA

    From available data, mean annual windenergy between 250 and 500 kWh/m2 onRed Sea, dropping to 50 kWh/m2 inland

    Annual average wind speeds of 3.2 to5.3 miles per second

    Available data does not appearcomprehensive

    -

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000CHP installed capacity (MW)

    in select countries

    Wind- best potential lies along

    Arabian Gulf and Red Sea coast

    Waste to energy incineration with

    energy recovery most potential

    using urban solid waste; 0.3-1.1 GW

    of installed capacity estimated tobe technically feasible

    Geothermal there are 10 hot

    springs with varying deep

    temperatures of 50 to 120oC

    Other innovative technologies,such as hydrokinetic energy and

    waste heat recovery exist

    CHP using the heat for cooling

    purposes via absorption cycles;

    efficiency rate as as high as 80-90%

    compared to 47-60% for CCGTs

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    14

    There are Saudi-specific challenges in promotingrenewables

    Low cost/subsidization of primary fuels

    Uncertainty on who is lead contractauthority or how to obtain contract fromcreditworthy counterparty maydiscourage investors

    Uncertainty regarding evolution ofindustry; developers need to know howactivities fit in with structure and thatentity contracted with will still exist

    Extent of renewables resource base is

    undefined; developers will gravitate tojurisdictions with most availableinformation

    Permitting and business set up processnot well understood by developers

    Indicative levelized cost ofrenewables against gas fired

    entrants in Saudi Arabia

    0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

    Solar PV

    Tidal

    SolarThermal

    Biomass

    Wind

    SCGT

    CCGT Levelized costs ofgeneration at world

    market gas prices(green = subsidizedelement)

    Upper and lowerrange of

    levelized costs

    SR/

    MWh

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    Plan of presentation

    Benefits and potential of renewables

    Proposal for incentivizing renewables

    Institutional responsibilities

    Next steps

    Introduction

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    Mechanisms to promote renewable energy shouldencourage the lowest cost resources, betransparent, and be tailored to the jurisdiction

    Instrument should attempt to incentivize the lowest cost, mostefficient resources, rather than encourage a gold rush frominefficient entry

    Mechanism should be transparent, flexible and administrativelystraightforward

    Option chosen should be tailoredto the specific institutionalcapacity and market structure of thejurisdiction

    Ideally if a price is being set for renewables, a device forrevealing the priceshould be formulated rather than agencieshaving to second guess

    Instrument should consider geographical distributionofprojects and grid impact

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    1717

    Procurement arrangements base eligibility onenvironmental attributes

    Suggested initial qualifyingresources

    Minimum size:greater than 10MW

    Emissions:zero emissions,except for qualifying biomassfuels and waste to energyfacilities

    Online date:project must beoperating no later than threeyears from date of award

    Biomass:any biomass fuels mustbe procured within KSA andemission and effluent levelsshould be consistent with KSA

    regulations

    Waste to energy:waste should bedelivered from radius no greaterthan 100 km from facility (ifdelivery is solely by road), andemissions and effluent levelsshould be consistent with KSA

    standards

    Eligibility standards based onenvironmental attributes rather thantechnologies

    Initially a size limitation would be imposed,as administering multiple small contracts

    administratively burdensome for REPD Initial procurement arrangements designed

    with anticipation of seeking contracts up to2,000 to 4,000 MW by September 2011

    Also requirement projects be connected to

    transmission voltage level, as projects atdistribution voltage may cause additionalcost incurrence (except in remote areas)

    Requirements can be revised in futurerounds, including possibility of energy

    efficiency projects

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    1818

    Contracts would be for 20 years or more, withselection based on a scoring mechanism

    Proposed selection criteria Bids would be submitted for contractterms of 20 years; could be submittedfor longer terms if results in lowerlevelized cost

    Request for EOIs would include draft

    standard contract template for commentby potential developers; commentsused by REPD to refine template

    On award of contract, negotiations willbe related to specifics of contract

    addendums/exhibits and projectdevelopment milestones, not contractitself

    Drafts of addendums/exhibits tocontract would be part of RFP

    submission

    Levelized cost

    Technological diversity

    Geographical diversity

    Impact on grid

    Impact on reliability

    Likelihood of reaching completion(including both technical and

    financial considerations)

    Each category would be allocatedcertain number of points, reflectingREPDs weightings; proposal would

    be scored by multiple evaluators;average score would determine

    selection

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    1919

    20 year contract terms are consistent with centralprocurement processes in other jurisdictions andPWPA lengths

    Lengths of recent centralprocurements (in years)

    20 year length is consistent with

    recent procurements in other

    jurisdictions, including in Arizona,

    California, and Ontario, as shown

    in accompanying box Also consistent with recent length

    of power and water purchase

    agreements (PWPAs) for

    Independent Water and Power

    Producers (IWPPs), including:- 20 year PWPA for Shoaiba 3

    project in KSA

    - 25 year PWPA for Hidd project in

    Bahrain 0 20 40

    Arizona Public ServiceCompany*

    City of Palo Alto(California)*

    Ontario Power Authority

    Pacific Gas andElectricity Company

    Southern CaliforniaEdison*

    Southwestern PublicService Company*

    Source: applicable entities websites; *consistutes maximum

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    2121

    An initial Renewable Resource Inventory wouldoccur prior to the first procurement round

    Importance of continuallyupdating resource mapping for

    potential investors

    Need for Saudi Arabia to assure up-to-date dataabout renewableenergy resources is publicly

    available and accessible Program would build upon initial

    Renewable Resource Inventory,including regular updates andconsideration of new technologiesand improvements to old ones

    Work of National Renewable Energy

    Laboratory (NREL) in the US is oneexample

    Maintenance of RenewableResource Inventory would beappropriate role for SREO inconjunction with REAC andPresidency of Meteorology and the

    Environment (PME)

    Need for Renewable Resource Inventoryto assess economic and technical

    feasibility of renewable projects in Saudi

    Arabia

    Based on generic projects across

    multiple technologies at appropriate

    scale (at minimum covering solar, wind,

    municipal waste and geothermal)

    Would identify most promising regions

    and approximate technologically

    feasible amounts of capacity at current

    technology

    Also provide guidance on how land and

    other inputs can be obtained in most

    promising regions

    Should be on fast-track basis, completed

    by mid-2010 in conjunction with REAC

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    22

    Competitive procurements would occur on arepeated cycle and have three distinct periods

    December

    2010

    March2011

    June2011

    September

    2011

    December

    2011

    December

    2013

    March2014

    June2014

    September

    2014

    December

    2014

    June2016

    expressions ofinterest due for

    2011 procurement

    request forproposals

    issued for 2011procurement

    response to 2011procurement RFP

    due

    winning biddersselected for 2011procurement

    referent prices issuedby technology for

    January 2012-March2014

    expressions ofinterest due for 2014

    procurement

    request forproposals issued

    for 2014procurement

    response to 2014procurement RFP

    due

    winning biddersselected for 2014

    procurement

    referent pricesissued by

    technology forJanuary 2015-

    March 2017

    NREP review

    In 2017 the same cycle will be repeated, dependent upon results of NREP review

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    2323

    Referent pricing would be used to serve as a formof FIT in between procurement rounds

    Envision procurement rounds heldtriennially

    Results of 2011 procurement used to

    inform prices for procurements in-

    between 2011 and 2014 rounds; new entity

    REPD would use results to establish

    referent prices for each technology

    (expressed in Riyals per MWh in each

    year)

    Qualified bidders would execute standard

    contract at referent price

    Prior to 2014 procurement, REPD would

    commission study determining whether

    any adjustments should be made (e.g. on

    size threshold, connection to distribution

    level voltage, inclusion of energy

    efficiency projects, etc.)

    Submission of EOI

    End of March

    Notification EOI accepted

    End of June

    Submit project application

    End of September

    Sign contract

    End of December

    Indicative timeline for eachprocurement round

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    2626

    The shortfall would primarily be covered throughconventional tariffs and the Balancing Fund

    Voluntary REC pricing inUS

    Voluntary certificatedprograms in the US,otherwise known as non-compliance renewable

    energy certificates (RECs)

    have value

    The two key methods for recovering the costs ofrenewable energy procurement will be:

    - Selling the energy from the contracts, compensated

    at a rate equivalent to conventional generation

    under the tariff

    - Charging remaining shortfall to the government as

    part of the Balancing Fund (designed to stabilizerates)

    In future, green certificates could also be marketed

    by REPD to buyers wishing to establish

    environmental credentials:

    - Initially envision system as being purely voluntary

    through quarterly auctions; platform could be used

    later for transition to private procurement or trading

    of environmental attributes

    - Voluntary green certificates produced non-zero

    values in other jurisdictions; even small payment

    will help offset added costs of renewables

    procurement

    Selected green e tradable

    renewable certificate prices inthe US for 2008 ($/MWh)

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    National -any

    technology

    National -landfill gas

    National -wind

    WECC -wind

    National -solar

    California -wind

    Bid pri ce (2008)

    Offer price (TRC)

    Source: Evolution Markets

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    2727

    FIT in other jurisdictions show extent of costdifferential from existing Saudi tariffs

    Source: OPA FIT price schedule as at September 30th, 2009; Reinhard Hass et al (2008) and EREC, RES National PolicyReviews, European Renewable Energy Council, April2008; exchange rate to SR uses 2008 average

    Note: In disaggregating the generation component from the total tariff, the revenue requirement allocation from LEIs tariff modelto ECRA over the 2007-09 period is used

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    halala

    /kWh

    Wind

    Solar

    Existing average tariff

    Estimation of generation componentof existing average tariff

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    Plan of presentation

    Benefits and potential of renewables

    Proposal for incentivizing renewables

    Institutional responsibilities

    Next steps

    Introduction

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    44

    There are three key implementing bodies to beestablished within existing or soon to be createdinstitutions

    Ministry of Waterand Electricity

    (MoWE)

    King AbdullahCity for Science

    and Technology

    (KACST)

    Saudi PowerProcurement

    Company (SPPC)

    Saudi RenewableEnergy Office

    (SREO)

    RenewableEnergy Academic

    Council (REAC)

    RenewableEnergy

    ProcurementDivision (REPD)

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    2929

    Implementation bodies, within existing or soon tobe created institutions, need to be established

    Creating implementation bodies within existing organizations orsoon to be created institutions will:

    - minimize extent new entities need to be chartered;

    - allow the use of existing oversight mechanisms; and

    - potentially keep costs lower, as less need for new boards or more expensivebureaucracy

    Propose a Saudi Renewable Energy Office (SREO) in the Ministry ofWater and Electricity to play key role in defining renewable targets,and working with project developers to assist permitting and overalldevelopment process

    Renewable Energy Procurement Division (REPD) in Saudi PowerProcurement Company (SPPC) to act as counterparty to renewableenergy contracts, and develop and run procurement process

    Another implementation body is Renewable Energy AcademicCouncil (REAC), which it may be beneficial for King Abdullah City of

    Science and Technology (KACST) to host

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    1616

    SREO would set a target percentage of generationfrom renewables, initially 10% by 2020

    Target amount of renewableenergy would be set by SREOin consultation with its parentministry and ECRA

    Proposed target level takes

    into account technicalfeasibility, project gestationperiods, costs and impact onreliability

    10% target by 2020

    corresponds to around 8,500MW level over last 10 years;has been achieved in severalcountries, including Spain(10,563 MW ) and Germany(19,304 MW).

    Proposed target percentage of load derivedfrom renewable energy, 2014-20

    Indicative renewable capacity at 40% loadfactor (MW)

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    2014 2017 2020

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    2014 2017 2020

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    3232

    SREO would create an ombudsman/liaison officeto provide single window permitting

    SREO liaison office

    As part of SREO, a liaison Officewould be devoted to working withrenewable energy projectdevelopers

    Would particularly assist

    developers through permittingprocess (what permits needed,how filled out, and likely timing fordecisions); can provide for allpermits being applied forsimultaneously

    Key role to play in inter-Ministerial

    coordination As part of duties, would develop a

    how to guide for renewable

    project developers, which willinclude focus on market rules andmechanisms, permitting andenvironmental standards

    Problems with permitting for renewable energyproject developers across the world

    Need to shepherdmultiple permit

    applicationsthrough diverseagencies at

    different levels ofgovernment

    Deadlinesforconsideration of

    permits may not beconsistentwithfinancing orconstruction

    schedules

    At times,requirementsfromdifferent agencies

    may becontradictory

    Challenges can beexacerbated if

    foreign developerunfamiliarwith

    local procedures

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    3333

    Renewable ombudsman offices are used in otherjurisdictions, including Canada and Australia

    Renewable Energy Facilitation Officein Ontario, Canada

    In Ontario, the Renewable EnergyFacilitation Office (REFO) was establishedunder 2009 Green Energy Act

    REFO is located within the Ministry ofEnergy and Infrastructure

    Aims to provide single window accesspoint for information on renewable energyproject requirements

    Provides information on regulatoryapprovals and permits, incentives underthe Ontario FIT program, and how to bringa renewable energy project to life

    Opportunity for renewable energydevelopers to set up with REFO acoordinated orientation meeting todiscuss and clarify project requirements

    The Office of Clean Energy inQueensland, Australia

    Established in October 2008, as partof the Department of Employment,Economic Development andInnovation in the Queensland

    government

    The Office of Clean Energy aims to bea one stop shop assisting potentialdevelopers by helping to fast trackeligible clean energy projects

    Role includes removing regulatorybarriers to renewable energy industrydevelopment

    Part of role is also identifying,mapping and sourcing potentialrenewable energy locations aroundthe state

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    Plan of presentation

    Benefits and potential of renewables

    Proposal for incentivizing renewables

    Institutional responsibilities

    Next steps

    Introduction

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    3636

    Next steps are for a COM decision, creation ofimplementation bodies and gearing up for initialprocurement

    Council ofMinisters

    decision onadoption ofdeterminedrenewable

    energy plan,supported

    by

    regulations

    Step 1 Step 2

    Establishimplementation

    bodies SREO,REPD andREAC, and

    RenewablesInterconnection

    Planning andOversight

    Group

    Step 3 Step 4

    Focus begins oninitial

    procurementround andrequirements

    including:

    amount to beprocured;

    determining

    exact weightingsand scoringmechanism; and

    development ofthe standardcontract template

    Step 5

    Considernew building

    codes andstandards,

    trainingschemes

    and ways toincentivizesolar water

    heating

    Creation ofRenewables

    WorkingGroup andbegin InitialRenewables

    ResourceInventory

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    3737

    A Renewables Working Group and InterconnectionPlanning and Oversight Group would be created

    A Renewable Working Group would be responsible for coordinating theinitiation phase of the NREP:

    - Would initially consist of representatives from ECRA, Ministry of Water and

    Electricity and Ministry of Finance

    - Would meet monthly until Implementation Bodies have been established

    - Once established, ECRA, and heads of each Implementation Body would sit on

    the Group

    - During meetings, each member will provide monthly report on progress in

    establishing the Bodies

    A Renewables Interconnection Planning and Oversight Group would

    also be created to plan and monitor the impact on the transmission grid:

    - Developers will need accurate estimates of transmission interconnection costs

    - Need to also identify which grid strengthening projects necessary to

    accommodate significant renewable energy in particular regions

    - Also need to assure interconnections and grid strengthening occurs in timely

    fashion once need identified

    - Will consist of members form REPD, ECRA and STC

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    3838

    New building codes and standards and training inrenewables would complement the NREP

    Building codes and standards should beconsidered:

    - Assure existing codes do not unnecessarily

    prevent installation of renewable energy

    facilities

    - Determine extent to which codes for new

    buildings can encourage energy efficiency

    Players such as REAC and Ministry of

    Labor and Social Affairs may focus on

    creating training programs in renewable

    energy field for skilled workers:

    - New jobs unlikely to occur immediately

    - Programs should focus on technical skills;

    recognizing that many technologies not labor

    intensive once installed

    - Energy efficiency programs (particularly

    building retrofits) may generate moreemployment

    Building standards

    Throughout the world, variousstandards are being developed to ratebuildings on their sustainability, oftenincluding: site selection, water use,energy consumption, materials used,indoor environmental quality, and

    innovation and design process

    Often projects can be rated in stages:in design, on completion, and after thebuilding is occupied

    Known standards include:

    - The Green Starsystem of the Australian

    Green Building Council;- The US Leadership in Environmental

    Design (LEED) ratings;

    - The British Research EstablishmentEnvironmental Assessment Method(BREEAM); and

    - The recently unveiled PearlDesignSystem ratings by the Abu Dhabi Urban

    Planning Council (Estidama initiative)

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    3939

    Incentivizing solar water heating may be anotherpillar of Saudi Arabias renewable plan

    Solar water heaters can be used to heat water for

    variety of residential, commercial and industrial

    uses, including space heating and cooling

    In Spain, standards introduced where 60 percent

    of hot water demand must be met by solar water

    heating in all new and/or renovated buildings

    Many countries, including Greece, Japan, China

    and Turkey have succeeded in making solar

    water heaters standard technology that

    competes with conventional systems

    Source: World Energy Council, May 2007

    Solar water heatersin operation

    Solar water heating in Turkey Significant potential for future

    growth in solar generally:

    - Technically feasible solarpotential in Turkey is estimatedat 88 million tons of oilequivalent per year

    -40 percent of this is consideredeconomically usable, ths ofwhich is suitable for thermal use,and th for electricity production

    The Turkish solar water heatingmarket is the third largest in theworld and has increased by 15%per annum from 2001 onwards,

    reaching over 5,000 MWth Turkish manufacturing capacity

    for solar water heaters was 1million m2 per year in 2008

    A solar water heating systemcosts approximately200-300/m2

    in Turkey

    Source: MDPI (Sensors) Feb 2008

    -

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,00035,000

    40,000

    45,000

    50,000

    MWth

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    Thank You