REGOGNIZING THE AIRPORT MEGAZONE

REGOGNIZING

THE AIRPORT MEGAZONE A N D I T S R O L E I N T H E T O R O N T O R E G I O N

A PRESENTATION TO THE THE GTAA BY PAMELA BLAIS, PHD RPP MCIP, PRINCIPAL, M E T R O P O L E CONSULTANTS NOVEMBER 7, 2016

OUR REGION FACES MANY CHALLENGES

MANAGING RAPID GROWTH AND PROVIDING INFRASTRUCTURE

0

4000

8000

12000

16000

2001 2011 2021 2031 2041

POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT GROWTH IN THE GGH

(Thousands)

Population

Employment

AUTO DEPENDENCE, GHGS, CONGESTION

$11,000,000,000/yr

ADDRESSING THE CHALLENGES

A KEY MOMENT

WHAT IS THE AMZ AND WHY IS CRITICAL TO THE SUCCESS OF THE REGION

SPATIAL ECONOMIC STRUCTURE OF THE GGH, 2011

A SIGNIFICANT CONCENTRATION OF JOBS

AMZ= 300,000 JOBS

INCLUDES ONE OF FIVE REGIONAL “SKIDS”

AMZ EMPLOYMENT, 2011

• Tradeable, “core” activities

• Warehousing and transportation jobs

• 60,000 finance and business services jobs

CONCENTRATIONS IN KEY INDUSTRIES

CORE EMPLOYMENT CHANGE 2001-2011

NET CORE EMPLOYMENT CHANGE 2001-2011: -3,110

IT’S ONE OF FEW GROWTH LOCATIONS

AMZ EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR, 2001-2011

+20,725

-18,630

NET CHANGE CORE EMPLOYMENT: +10,660 TOTAL EMPLOYMENT: +22,550

ATTRACTING 40,000 JOBS

IT CONTAINS MANY ECONOMIC ASSETS

IT HOLDS SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL

WITHIN ACC ONLY Vacant sites: 57 ha Surface parking: 60 ha Est. 50-70,000 more jobs

94%

IT GENERATES A LOT OF TRAVEL, ALMOST ALL BY CAR

TOTAL DAILY WORK TRIPS TO THE AMZ: 268,000 TOTAL DAILY ALL-PURPOSE TRIPS TO THE AMZ: 546,000 ALL TOLD, OVER 1 MILLION DAILY TRIPS TO AND FROM

WORKERS ARRIVE FROM ALL DIRECTIONS

ORIGIN OF TRAVEL, WORK TRIPS

HOW DO OUR CURRENT PLANS ADDRESS THE AMZ?

0 20000 40000 60000 80000

Uptown Waterloo

Downtown St. Catherines

Downtown Peterborough

Downtown Kitchener

Downtown Guelph

Downtown Cambridge

Downtown Brantford

Downtown Barrie

Downtown Oshawa

Downtown Hamilton

Downtown Burlington

Downtown Brampton

Midltown Oakville

Downtown Milton

Downtown Pickering

Newmarket Centre

Richmond Hill/Langstaff

Markham Centre

Vaughan Corporate Centre

Missisauga City Centre

Etobicoke Centre

Scarborough Centre

North York

Yonge-Eglinton Centre

AMZ SKID

UGCS TOTAL EMPLOYMENT, 2011

WHERE THE JOBS AREN’T

GROWTH PLAN CONCEPT

GROWTH PLAN CONCEPT

WHERE THE GROWTH ISN’T

-10000 10000 30000 50000

UGCS: OLDER CENTRES

UGCS: 905

UGCS: OTHER T.O.

UGC: T.O. CORE

EMPLOYMENT CHANGE 2006-2011

TRANSIT TO THE AMZ

TA K E A W AY S

Recognize the AMZ & other Megazones in the Growth Plan

Transportation investments need to be chosen, prioritized and

planned on a TRULY REGIONAL basis

An AMZ-centric transportation plan is needed

Create reurbanization plans for the AMZ and other megazones

– Addressing the megazone as a whole

– Integrating transit, land use/reurbanization and economic

development planning

1.

2.

3.

4.

TO ADDRESS OUR REGION’S CHALLENGES

THANK YOU