References 1. W.H. Press, B.P. Flannery, S.A. Teukolsky, and W.T. Vetterling, Numerical Recipes, The Art of Scientific Computing (FORTRAN Version), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1990). 2. J. Ford, How Random is a Coin Toss? Physics Today, 40 (April 1983). 3. W. Feller, Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. I, J. Wiley and Sons, New York (1950). 4. F. Reif, Statistical Physics, Berkeley Physics Course - Volume 5, McGraw-Hill, New York (1967). 5. G.P. Yost, Lectures on Probability and Statistics, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory Report LBL-16993 Rev. (June 1985). 6. R.Y. Rubenstein, Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method, J. Wiley and Sons, New York (1981). 7. F. James, A Review of Pseudorandom Number Generators, CERN- Data Handling Division DDj88j22, CERN, CH-1211, Geneva 23, Switzerland (December 1988). 8. Pierre L'Ecuyer, Efficient and portable combined random number generators. Comm. ACM 31, 742 (1988). 9. G. Marsaglia and A. Zaman, Toward a Universal Random Num- ber Generator, Florida State University Report, FSU-SCRI-87-50 Florida State University, Tallahasee, FL 32306-3016 (1987): 10. G. Marsaglia, A current view of random number generators, in Com- puter Science and Statistics: Proceedings of the Sixteenth Sympo- sium on the Interface, L. Billard, ed., p. 3, Elsevier Science Publish- ers, North Holland, Amsterdam (1985). 11. F. James, A review of pseudorandom number generators, Camp. Phys. Comm. 60, 329-344 (1990). 12. M. Luscher, A portable high-quality random number generator for lattice field theory simulations, Compo Phys. Comm. 79, 100 (1994). 13. F. James, RANLUX: A Fortran implementation of the high-quality pseudorandom number generator of Luscher, Compo Phys. Comm. 79, 110 (1994). 14. V.L. Hirschy and J.P. Aldridge, Rev. Sci. Inst. 42,381-383 (1971). 15. F. James, Probability, statistics and associated computing tech- niques, in Techniques and Concepts of High Energy Physics II, Thomas Ferbel, ed., Plenum Press, New York (1983).
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References
1. W.H. Press, B.P. Flannery, S.A. Teukolsky, and W.T. Vetterling, Numerical Recipes, The Art of Scientific Computing (FORTRAN Version), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1990).
2. J. Ford, How Random is a Coin Toss? Physics Today, 40 (April 1983).
3. W. Feller, Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. I, J. Wiley and Sons, New York (1950).
4. F. Reif, Statistical Physics, Berkeley Physics Course - Volume 5, McGraw-Hill, New York (1967).
5. G.P. Yost, Lectures on Probability and Statistics, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory Report LBL-16993 Rev. (June 1985).
6. R.Y. Rubenstein, Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method, J. Wiley and Sons, New York (1981).
7. F. James, A Review of Pseudorandom Number Generators, CERNData Handling Division DDj88j22, CERN, CH-1211, Geneva 23, Switzerland (December 1988).
8. Pierre L'Ecuyer, Efficient and portable combined random number generators. Comm. ACM 31, 742 (1988).
9. G. Marsaglia and A. Zaman, Toward a Universal Random Number Generator, Florida State University Report, FSU-SCRI-87-50 Florida State University, Tallahasee, FL 32306-3016 (1987):
10. G. Marsaglia, A current view of random number generators, in Computer Science and Statistics: Proceedings of the Sixteenth Symposium on the Interface, L. Billard, ed., p. 3, Elsevier Science Publishers, North Holland, Amsterdam (1985).
11. F. James, A review of pseudorandom number generators, Camp. Phys. Comm. 60, 329-344 (1990).
12. M. Luscher, A portable high-quality random number generator for lattice field theory simulations, Compo Phys. Comm. 79, 100 (1994).
13. F. James, RANLUX: A Fortran implementation of the high-quality pseudorandom number generator of Luscher, Compo Phys. Comm. 79, 110 (1994).
15. F. James, Probability, statistics and associated computing techniques, in Techniques and Concepts of High Energy Physics II, Thomas Ferbel, ed., Plenum Press, New York (1983).
244 References
16. R. Roskies, Letters to the Editor, Physics Today, 9 (November 1971).
17. L.G. Parratt, Probability and Experimental Errors in Science; an elementary survey, J. Wiley and Sons, New York (1961).
18. J. Neyman, Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London A236, 333 (1937).
19. E.L. Lehman, Testing Statistical Hypotheses, J. Wiley and Sons, New York, second edition (1986).
20. D.B. DeLury and J.H. Chung, Confidence Limits for the Hypergeometric Distribution, University of Toronto Press, Toronto (1950).
21. R.D. Cousins and V. Highland, Nuc. Inst. f3 Meth. A320, 331 (1992); R.D. Cousins, Am. J. Phys. 63, 398 (1995).
22. G.J. Feldman and R.D. Cousins, Unified approach to the classical statistical analysis of small signals, Phys. Rev. D57, 3873 (1998).
23. B.P. Roe and M.B. Woodroofe, Improved probability method for estimating signal in the presence of background, Phys. Rev. D60, 053009 (1999).
24. B.P. Roe and M.B. Woodroofe, Setting confidence belts, Phys. Rev. D, in press (2001).
25. H. Cramer, Mathematical Methods of Statistics, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ (1946).
26. R.A. Fisher, Statistical Methods, Experimental Design and Scientific Inference, a re-issue of Statistical Methods for Research Workers, The Design of Experiments, and Statistical Methods and Scientific Inference, Oxford University Press, Oxford (1990).
27. P. Janot and F. Le Diberder, Combining 'Limits,' CERN PPE 97-053 and LPNHE 97-01 (1997).
28. P. Cziffra and M. Moravscik, A Practical Guide to the Method of Least Squares UCRL 8523, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory Preprint (1958).
29. V. Blobel, Unfolding Methods in High-Energy Physics Experiments. DESY preprint DESY 84-118, DESY, D2000, Hamburg-52, Germany (December 1984).
30. D.L. Phillips, A technique for the numerical solution of certain integral equations of the first kind, J. ACM 9, 84 (1962).
31. A.N. Tikhonov, On the solution of improperly posed problems and the method of regularization, Sov. Math. 5, 1035 (1963).
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33. C.E. Shannon, A mathematical theory of communications, Bell Sys. Tech. J. 27, 379,623 (1948); Reprinted in C.E. Shannon and W. Weaver, The Mathematical Theory of Communication, University of Illinois Press, Urbana (1949).
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36. Glen Cowan, Statistical Data Analysis, Oxford Clarendon Press (1998).
37. RE. Cutkosky, Theory of representation of scattering data by analytic functions, Ann. Phys. 54, 350 (1969). RE. Cutkosky, Carnegie-Mellon Preprint CAR 882-26, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 (1972).
38. Jay Orear, Am. J. Phys. 50, 912 (1982); D.R Barker and L.M. Diana, Am. J. Phys. 42,224 (1974).
39. F. James, Function Minimization, Proceedings of the 1972 CERN Computing and Data Processing School, Pertisau, Austria, 10-24 September, 1972, CERN 72-21 (1972). Reprints of Dr. James article available from the CERN Program Library Office, CERN-DD Division, CERN, CH-1211, Geneva, 23 Switzerland.
40. F. James, M. Roos, MINUIT, Function Minimization and Error Analysis, CERN D506 MINUIT (Long Write-up). Available from CERN Program Library Office, CERN-DD division, CERN, CH-1211, Geneva, 23 Switzerland.
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55. C. Akerlof (private communication) calculated the table values.
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Index
A a posteriari probability 3, 4 a priari probability 1, 3, 4,
119-122 acceptance rejection method
69-71,79 arcsine law 88 arrangements 30,39,40 asymptotic efficiency of an esti-
Bernoulli trials 35, 42, 61, 62, 115 betting odds for A against B 207 biased estimate 167 binomial coefficient 29, 30, 40 binomial distribution (see distri-
butions, binomial) birth and death problem 84 Breit-Wigner distribution (see
distributions, Breit-Wigner) bridge hands of cards 30, 32, 40 Brownian motion 17 bubble chamber 167 Buffon's Needle 13 C Cauchy distribution (see distribu
runs distribution 237, 238 Smirnov-Cramer-Von Mises
distribution 233-235 Student's distribution 51, 56,
128, 194 two dimensional normal distri-
bution 97-99, 105, 106 dividing data in half 140 drunkard's walk 17 E effective variance method 184,
185 efficiency of an estimate 149, 151 efficiency of detector 78, 79 elitist method 164 ellipse of concentration 97 ellipsoid of concentration 100, 102 equations of constraint 221-223,
225 error estimate 17, 24, 27, 51, 56,
57,122,142,173-177,189, 197, 198, 204, 225
Index 249
errors in quadrature 20 excess (see kurtosis) expectation value 6, 7, 26, 93,
168,171,172,203,205,226 exponential distribution (see dis-
tributions, exponential) extrapolated point 197 F F distribution (see distributions,
F) factorials 29, 31, 32, 136, 137 fair coin 57, 212 Feller, W. 3, 238 Fisher's lemma (see lemma of
Fisher) fluctuations 106, 107 frequency function (see density
function) frequentist approach 122, 124,
132, 138 G gambler's ruin 89, 90 games of chance 87,90 gamma distribution (see distribu
tions, gamma) gamma function 55 gaussian distribution (see distri
butions, normal) generating functions 58, 60-62, 65 geometric distribution (see distri-
not-a-knot condition 214, 216 P Parratt, L.G. 122 partial correlation coefficient 101 PCSAS v permutations 39 pivotal quantity 128 plural scattering 112 Poisson distribution (see distribu-
tions, Poisson) Poisson postulate 38 Poisson trials 62 population mean 154 prior probability 132 probability 1-3 probability of causes 119 propagation of errors 19, 22, 114 pseudorandom number v, 13,
66-71, 73, 75-80, 108, 109, 199
Index 251
Q quality function 192, 194 quadratic form 93, 94, 99, 100
semi-positive definite quadratic form 93, 99, 100
queueing theory 81-83 quickline 85, 86 R radioactive decay chain 84 random number (see pseudo-random
number) random variable 5-7, 19,36,59,
63, 65, 66, 92, 107, 108, 168 random walk 17 randomization test 240 randomness I, 2 RANMAR 71-73 Rayleigh probability distribution
(see distributions, Rayleigh) regression analysis 146, 173-178 regression line 94, 95, 98, 100 regression plane 100 regular estimate 149 regularization method 180, 218 regularization parameter 181 relative frequency 2, 3 Renyi theorem 237 resolution function 218, 219 RMARIN 72, 73 robust 194 root N law 15, 22 runs 238 runs distribution (see distribu-