Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimum in South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University of Technology, Pretoria, South Africa. 1 THE CASE OF REDUCED VERTICAL SEPARATION MINIMUM IN SOUTH AFRICA: A SYSTEMS THEORY APPROACH P.C. Bester, P.H.J. de Waal, A. Ehmke, D.J. Lochner and C.J. van Zyl Senior Management Programme: Tshwane University of Technology Abstract Globalisation caused an increase in air transport (passenger and cargo) that placed demands on air traffic planners that exceeded the available capacity of the air navigation system. Reduced Vertical Separation Minimum (RVSM) was introduced to add an additional six flight levels in the most economical flight band. This was implemented globally and Africa, including South Africa, is the last piece in the RVSM puzzle that needs to be completed. Based on a broad theoretical overview of systems theory and more specifically the Biomatrix theory, the implementation of RVSM in the South African airspace is discussed. This discussion is based on the assumption that the South African airspace is a system that is part of various other systems. People around the globe are more connected to each other than ever before, goods and services produced in one part of the world are increasingly available in all parts of the world. Information and money flow more quickly than ever and international communication and travel are commonplace. This trend is called globalisation (Anon, 2005a), a term that entered popular discourse in the late 1980s and describes the internationalisation of economies and societies. Within this global evolution, air transport is an important facilitator of international exchanges between countries and continents and the reliability and speed of these exchanges (passengers and goods) are important factors of integration and economic development (African Union, 2005). The last two decades saw an annual growth of 7,4% in air transport in Europe alone and it is predicted that 1996’s figures will double by 2015 (Sultana, no date). This increase is also reflected globally in the past five years’ air transport (passengers and cargo) statistics. The International Air Traffic Association’s (2005) International Traffic Statistics for the period January 2004 to January 2005 saw an annual global growth of 10,4% in air
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Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
1
THE CASE OF REDUCED VERTICAL SEPARATION MINIMUM IN SOUTH
AFRICA: A SYSTEMS THEORY APPROACH
P.C. Bester, P.H.J. de Waal, A. Ehmke, D.J. Lochner and C.J. van Zyl
Senior Management Programme: Tshwane University of Technology
Abstract
Globalisation caused an increase in air transport (passenger and cargo) that placed demands on air traffic
planners that exceeded the available capacity of the air navigation system. Reduced Vertical Separation
Minimum (RVSM) was introduced to add an additional six flight levels in the most economical flight band. This
was implemented globally and Africa, including South Africa, is the last piece in the RVSM puzzle that needs
to be completed. Based on a broad theoretical overview of systems theory and more specifically the Biomatrix
theory, the implementation of RVSM in the South African airspace is discussed. This discussion is based on
the assumption that the South African airspace is a system that is part of various other systems.
People around the globe are more connected to each other than ever before, goods and
services produced in one part of the world are increasingly available in all parts of the
world. Information and money flow more quickly than ever and international
communication and travel are commonplace. This trend is called globalisation (Anon,
2005a), a term that entered popular discourse in the late 1980s and describes the
internationalisation of economies and societies. Within this global evolution, air transport is
an important facilitator of international exchanges between countries and continents and
the reliability and speed of these exchanges (passengers and goods) are important factors
of integration and economic development (African Union, 2005).
The last two decades saw an annual growth of 7,4% in air transport in Europe alone and it
is predicted that 1996’s figures will double by 2015 (Sultana, no date). This increase is
also reflected globally in the past five years’ air transport (passengers and cargo) statistics.
The International Air Traffic Association’s (2005) International Traffic Statistics for the
period January 2004 to January 2005 saw an annual global growth of 10,4% in air
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
2
transport, compared to the 22,9% growth that was measured for the period January 2000
to January 2005 (International Air Traffic Association, 2005).
Such an increase often places demands on air traffic planners that exceed the available
capacity of the air navigation system to accommodate air traffic, necessitating major
changes to air traffic management systems to cope with the continued growth. This
continued growth in civil aviation across the globe as well as in South Africa (RVSM News,
2000) created the need for solutions that would ensure a safe, secure, efficient and
environmentally friendly air navigation system at the global, regional and national levels. If
not addressed, this may have negative consequences not only for the South African
aviation industry, but also for the general economic health of the country.
One of the emerging challenges for air traffic planners globally was to accommodate the
ever-increasing number of aircraft in the air without hampering flights in any way. Planners
thus had to create solutions that would increase airspace capacity. As a result it was
decided to increase the flight levels in the most economical flight band (between FL 2901
and FL 410 inclusive), thus creating more airspace and consequently minimising delays
and increasing savings on fuel (EUROCONTROL, no date a; RVSM News, 2002). See
figure 1 for a graphic representation of these flight levels.
Subsequently a new concept was introduced, namely Reduced Vertical Separation
1 The flight level that starts at approximately 29 000 feet above sea level.
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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Minimum (RVSM) which added an additional six flight levels (EUROCONTROL, no date a;
RVSM News, 2000) to the band FL 290-FL 410 (inclusive).
Mr Kevin Ewels, the RVSM Project Manager of Air Traffic Navigation Services in South
Africa (Ewels, 2005) states that the African airspace is currently the only area in the world
that does not use RVSM: “…the last piece of the RVSM puzzle that needs to be
completed…” (Ewels, 2005). Provision is, however, made to ensure smooth transition
between RVSM and non-RVSM airspace by means of transition areas2. Ewels (2005) has
indicated that this procedure is not an option for South Africa internally because of safety
implications, but there is transition airspace between RVSM and non-RVSM countries.
This has the implication that airliners and business jet aircraft that are non-RVSM will not
be allowed to fly between FL 290 and FL 410 in countries that use RVSM. They have to
route at or below FL 280 (Ewels, 2005). This could be costly to a number of operators in
terms of fuel burn, perhaps making some long-range flights impractical or even impossible.
Under certain conditions some exceptions3 are made. It is thus possible that aircraft
without RVSM-approved equipment will have priority over those that do, although it would
be the exception rather than the rule.
Ewels (2005) further points out that the situation in Africa is worsening. Intercontinental
flights are steadily increasing, thus placing added demands on effective global airspace
management to facilitate safe and efficient flight to benefit all stakeholders. It is specifically
in the RVSM band of flight levels where most congestion is experienced during these
flights, especially during the so-called peak hours. South Africa is also affected by the
worldwide increase in air transport, especially when taking into consideration that it is
becoming increasingly competitive in the global market. The additional six flight levels
provided by RVSM airspace will alleviate this problem.
2 Within transition airspace special procedures allow air traffic controllers to transit both RVSM and non-RVSM civil and state aircraft. Flight crews may expect to change from conventional flight levels to RVSMflight levels and vice versa (International Civil Aviation Organisation, no date). Within transition airspace airtraffic controllers will continue to provide 2 000 feet vertical separation minimum (VSM) between a non-RVSM approved aircraft and any other aircraft.3Exceptions are made for state and military, police and customs aircraft (White Paper for Defence, 2000).After special coordination provision can also be made for aircraft on initial delivery, aircraft that have RVSMcertification but are in need of maintenance for those systems, aircraft on humanitarian or mercy flights,aircraft engaged in aerial photography (note this only applies while in the area of the photography, not theflight to and from the area), aircraft conducting flight checks of navigational aids (same note as photo surveyaircraft), and aircraft conducting an RVSM monitoring flight with a geographic positioning monitoring system.These aircraft will be allowed to operate within RVSM airspace, and will be given 2 000 feet of verticalseparation from all other aircraft (RVSM News, 2000).
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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From the above it is clear that Europe’s problem of congested airspace has become
Africa’s and more specifically South Africa’s challenge to remain internationally competitive
in the global community. This is the central issue in this paper and the implementation of
RVSM in South Africa is used to understand this problem in relation to the systems theory
(cf Higgs & Smith, 2002:33). A brief discussion of systems theory is followed by a brief
overview of the Biomatrix as a contextual model of systems theory. This model is then
applied to illustrate the implementation of RVSM in South African airspace with specific
reference to what has been done internationally concerning RVSM and how it affects
Africa and South Africa specifically. Possible solutions to the problem are proposed.
Although various authors define systems theory and systems thinking differently (Higgs &
Smith, 2002:33-34; Irving, 1999; Pegasus Communications Inc., 2005) the concepts of
systems theory and systems theory approach are used interchangeably in this discussion.
What is systems theory?
A considerable body of literature deals with the concept of systems and systems theory.
The term systems is etymologically related to the classical Greek term σύστημα (systema)
which, depending on context, can be translated with “…that which is put together, a
composite whole; a composition; a college, assembly…” (cf Liddel and Scott, 1974:683). A
more comprehensive definition is offered by Bertalanffy (1961:38), who defines a system
as sets of elements standing in interrelation. From a philosophical perspective Schmidt
(1978:661) defines a system as a grouping of a complex into a single and well-organised
whole, in which each part takes its fixed place in relation to the whole and other parts.
Another description is offered by Robertshaw, Mecca and Rerick (1978:13), who refer to a
system as a time-varying configuration of people, hardware and procedures organised for
the purpose of accomplishing certain functions. Yet another comprehensive definition is
provided by the Cambridge International Dictionary of English (1995:1482), which defines
the term “system” as “…a set of connected items or devices that operate together...” In a
more recent discussion of systems theory Pegasus Communications Inc. (2005) refers to a
system as a group of interacting, interrelated and interdependent components that form a
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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complex and unified whole. Common to the suggested definitions (lexicographical,
historical and philosophical) is therefore the notion of wholeness.
Thus the essential tenet of systems theory, as opposed to preceding scientific
paradigmata, is that it sees things as a whole. The antecedent paradigm, known as
“atomism” (Higgs & Smith, 2002:33), “…tried to explain observable phenomena by
reducing them to an interplay of elementary units investigable independently of each
other…” (Bertalanffy:37f). Thus, the essence of systems theory is summarised by Higgs
and Smith (2002:33) when they define systems theory as a general science of
organisation and wholeness, which can also be regarded as a philosophy that claims that
life is a system of which we are part. The key assumption behind this theory is therefore
that everything, including human beings, is a system of some kind.
Various examples of such systems are identified in literature (Higgs & Smith, 2003:32-38;
Pegasus Communications Inc., 2005; Robertshaw, Mecca & Rerick, 1978:13-14), for
instance the human body, the circulatory system in man’s body, predator/prey
relationships in nature, the ignition system of a car. Thus everything, including living and
nonliving systems, is seen as a whole and no entity of any description whatsoever can be
properly understood unless one takes into account its total system. An entity cannot be
understood outside the bigger system of which it forms a part, such as an individual
human being who cannot be understood outside his or her social and cultural system
(Higgs & Smith 2002:33; Pegasus Communications Inc., 2005). This confirms the
interacting, interrelated and interdependent components of the complex and unified whole.
Accordingly, the implementation of RVSM in South Africa cannot be understood properly
unless viewed as part of the global air traffic management system. Thus, in this paper the
assumption is made that South African airspace is viewed as part of South Africa as a
system, which is part of a larger system, namely the global world, of which the global air
traffic management system is part.
Higgs and Smith (2002:34) refer to modern systems theory according to which the
following is essential to all systems: the parts of the system work together in some way;
the system is a whole; all systems have goals or purposes; all systems have input and
output; all systems take inputs and turn them into outputs; all systems absorb and
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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generate some form of energy; systems need to be controlled; systems work in a certain
order and systems are specialised. Burger (2005) refers to the essence of systems
thinking as the whole being more than the sum of its parts; new properties develop at the
level of the whole and systems are co-produced, which means that something that
happens in one area also influences the other areas. In support Pegasus Communications
Inc. (2005) has identified various characteristics of systems such as that every system has
a purpose within a larger system; all the parts of a system must be present for the system
to carry out its purpose optimally; the parts must be arranged in a specific way for the
system to carry out its purpose; systems change in response to feedback and systems
maintain their stability by making adjustments based on feedback.
Biomatrix theory as a contextualisation of systems theory
A further contribution to the field of systems thinking was made by Jaros, Cloete, Dostal,
Edwards, Horváth and Muller (Biomatrix Web, 2005). From a multidisciplinary perspective
(biomedical engineering, medicine, public health, technology development, education, art,
psychology, futurism and business management) they developed the Biomatrix theory,
which is also a meta-systems theory since it integrates the key concepts of other systems
approaches into a coherent theory, adding some unique systems concepts and providing a
meta-systems theory through the coherent and synergistic integration of these concepts.
This is almost an eclectic theory developed from other views of systems theory.
According to the Biomatrix Web (2005) the term biomatrix is derived from the words bios
(life) and matrix (mould) that literally means pattern of life, or how life is organised. Burger
(2005) confirms that the Biomatrix theory is a form of systems theory when he refers to the
definition and essence of systems thinking. The Biomatrix Web (2005) highlights the
unique contribution of Biomatrix theory to the field of systems thinking. In essence the
Biomatrix is viewed as an interacting web of systems, consisting of thread-like activity
systems and knot-like entity systems (Biomatrix Web, 2005). These entities display activity
and move through time and space with a specific purpose across system boundaries.
Burger (2005) emphasises that the Biomatrix consists of three sub-webs, namely the
naturosphere (nature), psycho-sociosphere (humans) and techno-sphere (technology).
The naturosphere consists of ecological dimensions (e.g. air, water, soil, flora, fauna),
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
Inc., 2005; Schmidt, 1978:661f) suggest advantages and disadvantages of systems,
thinking both on the conceptual level and the level of its application. Thus, when analysing
and solving problems such as the implementation of RVSM in the South African airspace,
these aspects need to be kept in mind. Subsequently the pros and cons of systems theory
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
8
will be discussed briefly.
Pros and cons of systems theory
Advantages include the simplicity of the theory (despite its emphasis on complexity)
according to which everything can be described in terms of a system and a function; its
encouragement of the breaking down of artificial barriers, hence encouragement of
openness, the fact that it can be applied to anything and everything, that it incorporates the
role of the environment, can assist in bringing together and understanding seemingly
disparate functions and operations, considers the satisfaction of needs for survival and the
notion that needs of a sub-system should be satisfied within the overall system, and in the
end can help with the design of smart, enduring solutions to problems.
Systems theory is not without any limitations, however, and it has also received its share
of criticism. According to Smith and Higgs (2002:37-38) it is mainly political and social
analysts who claim that it supports the status quo and is “blind” to social injustice and
ignores the real problem, which is the misuse of power. Critics also claim that systems
theory fails in discovering the truth, tends to ignore problems that arise from specific
contexts, and is not good at dealing with human and social issues. Smith and Higgs (2002:
36-39) warn that persons using systems theory should also be careful of over-analysis.
Irving (1999), on the other hand, raises another key issue and that is that it views the
organisation and environment as concrete items, that functional unity and harmony are not
always possible and that the metaphor of an organism becomes an ideology. Schmidt
(1978:661f) also warns against the latter when he notes that the phenomenology of
Husserl served to highlight the dangers of so-called “systems thought” as a mode of
practising a discipline such as philosophy. It is also applicable to other disciplines, as it
attempts a priori to posit systems and is therefore prone to construct and shape reality,
rather than to interpret it. According to Schmidt (1978:661f) even great thinkers such as
Kant, Hegel and Marx fell victim to this danger and it has been claimed that the main
contribution of these systematists lies in the things that did not fit into their systems.
The above-mentioned, however, does not limit the use of systems theory to understand
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
9
problems such as the challenges faced by the Republic of South Africa in implementing
RVSM in its airspace. The utility of systems theory to analyse and solve problems is
supported by Higgs and Smith (2002:34), who postulate that in many ways systems theory
is problem-centred, as it sees the world and human activity largely as a process of
problem solving. As mentioned above, the systems approach to solving problems
distinguishes itself from the more traditional analytic approaches by emphasising the
interactions and connectedness of the different components of a system. In support the
Biomatrix Web (2005) states that the Biomatrix as a multileveled and multidimensional
framework is ideal for problem analysis and systems redesign. It is also ideal for the
tackling of pervasive and “messy” problems such as poverty, unsustainable development,
pandemics and infrastructure problems.
It is Higgs and Smith’s (2002:33) conclusion that the fact that systems thinkers are good at
analysing and solving problems, as well as the indication that they are good at dealing with
issues rather than people, that makes this an applicable approach to understand the
solving of problems associated with the implementation of RVSM in South Africa as a case
for analysis. In that case the Biomatrix as a form of systems theory can be used to analyse
the case.
Before the implementation of RVSM in South African airspace is used as a case study, it is
important to gain a common understanding of what a case is. Mitchell (1999:180-200)
develops a working definition of a case study when he characterises it as a detailed
examination of an event (or series of related events) that the analyst believes exhibits the
operation of some identified general theoretical principle. Stake (2000:435-454), however,
cautions that not everything is a case. He defines a case as both a process of inquiry
about the case and the product of that inquiry. He also says that the more the object of
study is a specific, unique, bound system, the greater the usefulness of the
epistemological rationales of the case study as such. Thus, the implementation of RVSM
in South African airspace can be viewed as a case, as this study is both a process of
inquiry as well as the product (outcome) of that process. Lastly, the South African airspace
can also be viewed as a specific, unique bound system that forms part of various other
systems, which in turn also form part of other systems.
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
10
When addressing the implementation of RVSM in the South African airspace it is important
to keep in mind the ideal systems design steps identified by Burger (2005). The first step in
ideal systems design is to identify problems, the second to brainstorm ideals, the third to
create design, the fourth to design an implementation process, the fifth to make an
implementation design and the last to implement the design.
As mentioned above, the implementation of RVSM in South Africa cannot be discussed in
isolation and it will therefore be discussed as part of the global air traffic management
system. Thus, Africa, more specifically South Africa, is facing challenges to align its
airspace with global airspace.
Background to the case of RVSM in South Africa
The search for possible solutions for congested airspace did not start recently, but already
when another technical problem was identified. The European Air Traffic Control
Harmonisation and Integration Programme (2001) indicates that it dates back to the late
1950s when the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) recognised that as a
result of the reduction in accuracy of pressure-sensing of barometric altimeters with
increasing altitude, there was a need above a certain flight level to increase the prescribed
vertical separation minimum (VSM) of 1 000 ft between aircraft in flight. Initially it was a
problem identified within the dimensions of the techno-sphere, which is a technological
component.
In 1960, an increased VSM of 2 000 ft was established for use between aircraft operating
above FL 290, except where a lower flight level was prescribed. The selection of FL 290
was not so much an empirically based decision as a function of the operational ceiling of
aircraft at that time (European Air Traffic Control Harmonisation and Integration
Programme, 2001; International Civil Aviation Organisation, 2002). Thus the decision was
based on limitations in the techno-sphere and it took place in the ecological dimension of
the naturosphere.
In 1966, this changeover level was established at FL 290 globally. At the same time, it
was considered that the application of a reduced VSM above FL 290 was a distinct
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
11
possibility in the not too far distant future. Accordingly, the ICAO provisions stated that
such a reduced VSM could be applied under specified conditions within designated
portions of airspace on the basis of regional air navigation agreements, thus confirming the
interrelatedness of systems.
In the late 1970s, faced with rising fuel costs and growing demands for more efficient
utilisation of the available airspace, the ICAO initiated a comprehensive programme of
studies to examine the feasibility of reducing the 2 000 ft VSM applied above FL 290, to
the same 1 000 ft VSM as applied below FL 290 (European Air Traffic Control
Harmonisation and Integration Programme, 2001). This confirms the interrelatedness
between the various webs as pressure or stress (telentropy) in the psycho-social sphere
(economic dimensions) placed pressure on the techno-sphere to search for solutions in
order to decrease the telentropy due to rising fuel costs; the resultant technology would be
used in the naturosphere’s ecological dimension (airspace). Thus, technology could
enable more economic use of airspace, confirming the interface between the three
spheres as postulated by the Biomatrix Web (2005). This is part of the first step in system
design (Burger, 2005) that is the identification of the problem.
Throughout the 1980s, under the overall guidance of the ICAO’s Review of the General
Concept of Separation Panel (RGCSP), various studies were conducted by Canada,
Japan, member states of EUROCONTROL4 (France, Germany, the Kingdom of the
Netherlands, and the United Kingdom - in an extensive cooperative venture, which was
coordinated by the EUROCONTROL Agency), the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics and
the United States under the auspices of the ICAO. The primary objectives of these studies
were to decide whether global implementation of the RVSM would satisfy predetermined
safety standards, be technically and operationally feasible and provide a positive benefit-
to-cost ratio. In December 1988 the results of these exhaustive studies were considered
(International Civil Aviation Organisation, 2002). This phase is similar to Step 2 of ideal
system design that refers to the brainstorming of ideals. The involvement of so many
countries in the process confirms Pegasus Communications Inc.’s (2005) statement that
all the system’s parts must be present for the system to carry out its purpose optimally.
4 Europe Aviation Control
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
12
These studies employed quantitative methods of risk assessment to support operational
decisions concerning the feasibility of reducing the VSM. The risk assessment consisted of
two elements: firstly, risk estimation, which concerns the development and use of methods
and techniques with which the actual level of risk of an activity can be estimated, and
secondly, risk evaluation, which concerns the level of risk considered to be the maximum
tolerable value for a safe system (International Civil Aviation Organisation, no date:5-6;
International Civil Aviation Authority, 2002). The level of risk that is deemed acceptable is
termed the target level of safety (TLS). The basis of the process of risk estimation was the
determination of the accuracy of height keeping performance of the aircraft population
operating at/above FL 290. This was achieved through the use of high precision radar to
determine the actual geometric height of aircraft in straight and level flight. This height was
then compared with the geometric height of the flight level to which the aircraft had been
assigned to determine the total vertical error of the aircraft in question. Given this
knowledge, it was possible to estimate the risk of collision solely as a consequence of
vertical navigation errors of aircraft to which procedural vertical separation had been
applied correctly. The RGCSP then employed an assessment TLS (2.5 x 10-9 fatal
accidents per aircraft flight hour) to assess the technical feasibility of a 300 m (1 000 ft)
vertical separation minimum above FL 290 and also for developing aircraft height keeping
capability requirements for operating with a 300 m (1 000 ft) VSM.
This assessment concluded that a 300 m (1 000 ft) VSM above FL 290 was technically
feasible without imposing unreasonably demanding technical requirements on the
equipment and that it would provide significant benefits in terms of economy and en-route
airspace capacity. The technical feasibility referred to the fundamental capability of aircraft
height keeping systems, which could be built, maintained, and operated in such a way that
the expected, or typical, height keeping performance would be consistent with the safe
implementation and use of a 300 m (1 000 ft) VSM above FL 290. In reaching this
conclusion on technical feasibility, the panel identified the need to establish airworthiness
performance requirements in the form of a comprehensive Minimum Aircraft Systems
Performance Specification for all aircraft that would be operated in RVSM airspace, new
operational procedures and a comprehensive means of monitoring for safe operation (cf
European Air Traffic Control Harmonisation Programme, 2001; International Civil Aviation
Organisation, no date). Consequently, of the various measures identified for the flight level
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
13
band most affected, the implementation of RVSM was considered to be the most cost-
effective technological means of meeting this need.
It was thus clear that accurate aircraft altimeter systems are essential to the introduction of
a 1 000 ft VSM. Altimeters must be accurate to 20 m to satisfy ICAO Document 9574
(International Civil Aviation Organisation, 2002) for the implementation of RVSM. All
operators that operate in RVSM airspace need to ensure that their aircraft are suitably
equipped. Hence, the results demonstrated that the reduction of vertical separation was
safe, cost-beneficial and feasible without the imposition of unduly demanding technical
requirements. Once again the above-mentioned confirms the interaction between the
naturosphere, techno-sphere and the psycho-sociosphere. It can thus be concluded that
this is part of the third step in ideal system design, namely to create a design.
The additional six flight levels introduced resulted in various advantages (International Civil
Aviation Organisation, 2002). Additional airspace capacity offers more operational
flexibility for air traffic controllers, meaning that they have the potential to handle up to 20%
more aircraft in some areas, en route sector capacity increases reduce in-flight delays and
economic benefits derive from fuel savings for airlines. Furthermore, aircraft operators are
able to use optimum height profiles and carry more payload, thus more passengers, and
environmental benefits result from reduced fuel burn. The environmental benefits refer
specifically to the naturosphere. Thus confirming that changes in one part of the system
have an effect on other parts of the system.
Studies showed that the types of aircraft and the essentially unidirectional flow of air traffic
in the North Atlantic (NAT) Minimum Navigation Performance Specification airspace made
this region an ideal candidate for the first implementation of RVSM. Planning for
implementation of RVSM commenced in 1990, suggesting the fourth and fifth step in ideal
system design by referring to the design of the implementation process and the making of
an implementation design. Part of the fifth step was the first stage, which was called the
operational evaluation phase, using the 1 000 ft RVSM. This commenced on 27 March
1997 at and between FL 330 and FL 370 inclusive. A second stage, which extended the
use of RVSM between FL 310 and FL 390 inclusive, began in October 1998. RVSM was
introduced fully in the European airspace on 24 January 2002, which is the sixth step in
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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ideal system design, namely the implementation of the design. From a global perspective
the implementation of RVSM in Africa and more specifically South Africa is part of the sixth
step that still has to be completed.
Implementing RVSM in the South African airspace
A comprehensive implementation plan for RVSM in the South African airspace though, will
require a critical assessment of South Africa’s specific needs in this regard. To this effect
Burger (2005) states that systematic problem solving, in this case applicable to the
implementation of RVSM in the South African airspace, would require the creation of
synergies that balance the factors and elements between the different spheres,
“…mediated by technological and societal development and respecting the carrying
capacity of nature...” (Burger, 2005). However, in the (as yet) absence of specific
implementation plans and assessments, South Africa is probably only at Step 1 of an ideal
system design (Burger, 2005), that is, the identification of problems. Step 6, the
implementation of a design, seems to be a distant ideal at this point.
As far as Step 1 is concerned, South Africa is experiencing telentropy in the naturosphere,
which has a rippling effect on the other two spheres, hence confirming the specific
interrelationship between the three levels in the entity system, namely the naturosphere,
psycho-sociosphere and techno-sphere as postulated by the Biomatrix theory. Concerning
the naturosphere, the relationship between the RVSM problem and the physical dimension
specifically is quite clear, as the introduction of additional flight levels between FL 290 and
FL 410 are directly related to atmospheric pressure, the accurate measurement of it within
the factor altimetry and radar guidance equipment. However, from a systems theory
perspective the problem is wider than only the naturosphere, for South Africa not only
faces the challenge of congested airspace during peak hours, but it also has to stay
internationally competitive in the global community and is furthermore confronted with
technological advances in the field of air traffic management that might have a negative
economic effect on the country if not managed properly.
Besides the global benefits with respect to additional airspace capacity, reduced in-flight
delays, economic and environmental benefits, implementation of RVSM will have various
other benefits for South Africa: the increase in airspace capacity will ensure that South
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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Africa will become and remain more competitive in the global market with specific
reference to a foreseen increase in international conferences, political gatherings and
sport ventures, particularly the preparations for the 2010 World Cup Soccer event that will
place additional demands on South Africa’s air transport capacity. Against this background
schedule delays have a severe impact on the economy, technology, society and
productivity. In providing an effective air traffic and navigational system, South Africa will
merge with ease in globalisation and networking, which will have a positive effect that will
cascade down and create possibilities in every organisational arena, including that of job
creation. This once again confirms the interrelation between the various elements of the
2005; Schmidt, 1978:661f). Continuous change in an ever-changing international market
and competitive local environment is important to survive in order to stay abreast of
technology and information.
The above-mentioned confirms that the various elements are also in a transactional
relationship to the techno-sphere level as the technological processing of matter, energy
and information. Data and technological components are critical factors to system
analyses and systems design as part of a possible solution to the South African airspace
and the RVSM problem. The economic dimension is very prominent concerning both
impact and/or effect on the psycho-sociosphere. While non-implementation of RVSM in
the South African airspace will hamper long-term national economic growth, the initial
implementation of RVSM will have negative financial effects for airline budgets, both non-
RVSM national carriers and private airlines. As such, a transactional relationship is also
established between the psycho-sociosphere and the techno-sphere.
The second step in ideal system design (to brainstorm ideals) is followed by a third step,
the creation of a design. As far as South Africa is concerned it is not necessary to go
through these two steps, as it has already been done globally. Solving the problem of
RVSM in the South African airspace will require intervention in all three spheres or levels
in the entity systems. Burger (2005) states that intervention in the naturosphere requires
“working within the laws of nature,” that intervention in the techno-sphere requires the
design of new systems, or the “fixing” of old systems and that intervention in the psycho-
sociosphere requires ideal systems redesign. As could be deduced from its
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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implementation elsewhere (NAT and European regions), RVSM is a tested system in this
regard.
South Africa thus only has to “fine-tune” the design that was implemented globally in order
to contextualise it for the unique South African situation. A typical example of this is, as
indicated by Ewels (2005) that for safety reasons South Africa will not implement transition
airspace within its own airspace. However, South Africa also has to cooperate regionally
because if one of its neighbouring states or for that matter any of the other African states
do not want to implement RVSM then it has no utility for South Africa to implement RVSM
in its own airspace. RVSM News (2002) indicates that a particular feature of the RVSM
programme has been the strong collaborative way of working both within the
EUROCONTROL Agency and also externally between the agency and the various
stakeholders (countries), thus confirming that “working together” is essential as postulated
by the proponents of systems theory who refer to a system’s
interconnectedness/wholeness/interrelationship/collaborativeness. This confirms Burger’s
(2005) statement that the essence of systems thinking is that the whole is more than the
sum of its parts. This will be followed by the fourth step, which is the design of an
implementation process.
During the design of an implementation plan for RVSM in the South African airspace the
problem solvers need to take cognisance of the fact that interventions would have a
specific impact or effect on the different spheres or levels in the entity systems, which in
turn can cause telentropy in other parts of the system. This view is confirmed by the
implementation documents (RVSM News, 2002), which indicate that the process has an
impact on and demands changes in various systems in order to ensure an effective
international aviation system. This confirms the interdependency, interrelatedness and
wholeness of a system such as international airspace as postulated in the literature
Inc., 2005; Schmidt, 1978:661; Scott, 1974:683). A detailed analysis should thus be done
to create possible scenarios of the effects on adjacent or related systems.
There will also be an impact on the seven aspects of the system as listed by Burger (2005)
and the Biomatrix Web (2005). Based on the assumptions behind systems theory the
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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implementation of RVSM in South Africa will necessitate interventions in the processes
and structure of the local system necessitating changes in pilot training, procedural
adjustments and new publications, changes in air traffic controller training and adjustments
to air traffic controller procedures; changes in the radial navigation routes in order to fit in
with adjacent neighbouring countries to avoid level step-up and step-down (transition
airspace), adjustment to new flight schedules due to increased air space capacity and
finally, newly developed airspace structures to accommodate non-RVSM-equipped military
aircraft to keep their autonomy of freedom (Republic of South Africa, 2000). These
interventions into the governance (Biomatrix Web 2005) aspect of the Biomatrix confirm
the necessity for the development of policies and procedures that will guide the
implementation of RVSM.
Furthermore the RVSM News (2002) indicates that preparations should be made for the
installation of approved equipment in aircraft and that this equipment will need to be
calibrated annually. International airfields and logistical support should be geared for an
increase in traffic on the ground. Thus, the more people can fly, the more will transit
through the aircraft. In analysing this situation it can even be said that more toilet paper
and coffee will be needed at the airport. This, however, is the “over-analysis” that Higgs
and Smith (2002:36-38) warns against when they refer to criticism against systems theory.
Although this might seem like over-analysis, it confirms the interaction and connectedness
between the elements of the system, thus confirming that these aspects should be taken
into consideration when implementing RVSM in South Africa. This is followed by the
making of an implementation design and finally the implementation of this design.
Non-compliance with international standards when implementing RVSM in South African
airspace increases the likelihood that there will be more in-flight delays due to the
transition areas that aircraft have to go through, that it would be less economical because
of less fuel saving, since optimal flight levels cannot be used by all airlines and aircraft
operators and that the environment would not be able to benefit from reduced fuel burn. It
is foreseen that the use of South African airspace would not be seen as economically
feasible and fewer airlines will travel to South Africa or it would be more costly to travel to
South Africa. This might have another implication, namely that fewer tourists might visit
South Africa, which would have a negative impact on the South African economy. The
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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above-mentioned confirms the interconnectedness and relatedness of various issues with
the South African airspace as a system (Bertalanffy, 1961:11; Higgs & Smith, 2002:36-37;
There are not only positive aspects to the implementation of RVSM; it is like a two-sided
coin that also has a negative side to it. Firstly, RVSM equipment is expensive and
calibrations need to be done annually to keep flight operators RVSM-certified in order to
allow operations above FL 290. This implies that some of the smaller flight operators
would not be able to compete with the bigger companies and might even lead to a loss of
jobs in the domain of air transport. Older version aircraft without RVSM equipment will
have to fly below FL 290, which will have serious economic implications for the particular
operator owing to an increase in fuel consumption. This will also influence the environment
as a result of an increase in pollution arising from increased fuel consumption. At present
state aircraft are exempted from having RVSM equipment. This could lead to possible
delays for military aircraft and will place an additional burden on air traffic controllers who
need to be specialised to accommodate military and non-RVSM-equipped aircraft with
traditional 2 000 ft separation. Thus, this will also have an impact on the South African
National Defence Force’s (SANDF) autonomous flight and freedom of flight.
In order to prevent any flight delays the SANDF, as a system within a system, has to
implement very specialised air traffic control services, sufficient air traffic control training
and procedures to accommodate these aircraft. Restricted airspace reserved for military
operations will also be affected. This airspace needs to remain reserved to provide
required airspace for daily operational, autonomous and unrestricted flight. The concept of
flexible use of airspace5 will continue to provide portions of airspace as required daily on a
temporary basis.
The impact of incongruence in one part of the system in the aviation community can be
demonstrated by the recent seven-day labour action against South African Airways (SAA).
According to the Pretoria Beeld 23 July 2005 (Pelser, 2005:1), 75 out of 95 flights were
cancelled on the first day of the strike. The SABC 2 News (South African Broadcasting
5 Flexible use of airspace is a concept inherited from EUROCONTROL and entails the shared use of allavailable airspace by all stakeholders, thus making previously restricted airspace available to all airspaceusers.
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
19
Corporation, 2005) at 19:00 on 25 July 2005 indicated an estimated daily loss of 25 million
rand. The strike had serious implications internationally and left thousands of very
frustrated people stranded at airports all over the globe. Jacaranda 94.2 (Anon, 2005b)
indicated on the 08:00 news on Tuesday 26 July 2005 that the Johannesburg International
airport had run out of luggage trolleys because of all the stranded passengers. Other
airlines, such as British Airways-Comair, had to charter several additional flights in an
attempt to compensate for the SAA crisis. This example clearly illustrates the impact of a
non-compliant component in the aviation system and it serves as a case that confirms that
all these elements are part of a bigger system. The same results can therefore be
expected in an over-saturated airspace dilemma that South Africa is already experiencing
with an international influx of aircraft during major national events.
Conclusion
The above-mentioned confirms the necessity of implementing RVSM in the South African
airspace. In this process South Africa is faced with various challenges, one of which is the
process to be followed in implementing RVSM. From the discussion above it can be
concluded that systems theory and more specifically the Biomatrix theory has definite
utility for air traffic planners in solving this problem. The Biomatrix can thus be used as an
effective tool to facilitate the implementation of RVSM in South African airspace. It is clear
that the worldwide implementation of RVSM has a global impact on various systems and
also on South Africa, not only on the air traffic management system but also economically,
confirming the interrelatedness of the various components of the system. Problem solvers
should take cognisance that telentropy in one part of a system might have a rippling effect
on other parts of the system. In order to solve a problem in one part of a system it might be
necessary to implement an intervention in another part of the system.
Biomatrix theory provides a new way of looking at the problem of congested airspace and
the development of possible solutions. It furthermore provides a theoretically profound yet
practical methodology for solving problems in smaller and larger systems such as
business organisations, governments and international bodies. It can be concluded that
Biomatrix is a comprehensive approach suitable for solving and understanding problems.
Other challenges or problems can be addressed by using the systems theory approach
Bester, P. C., de Waal, P. H. J., Ehmke, A., Lochner, D, J., & van Zyl, C. J. (2005). The case of Reduced Vertical Separation Minimumin South Africa: A systems theory approach. Unpublished manuscript, Department of Public Management, Tshwane University ofTechnology, Pretoria, South Africa.
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because it will ensure that all aspects relevant to the problem or all aspects that might be
influenced by interventions are considered.
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