PV impact on TEP load
Real-Time PV Power ForecastingWill HolmgrenPostdoctoral Research
AssistantDepartment of PhysicsUniversity of ArizonaAlex Cronin,
Associate Professor, PhysicsAntonio Lorenzo, Grad Student, Opt.
Sci.
Eric Betterton, Dept. Head, Atmo. Sci.Mike Leuthold,
Meteorologist, Atmo. Sci.Chang Ki Kim, Post doc, Atmo. Sci.
Ardeth Barnhart, Director, UA-RENRey Granillo, Developer,
UA-REN
PV impact on TEP loadCan we achieve high PV penetration and
maintain grid stability?Maybe if we have reliable power
forecasts!
45 MW / 30 min25 MW / 2 min55 MW / 1 min on 9/26PV Power
Variability
Predicting power using PV data
Real-time data sources map+ Springerville+ Black Mountain
TFS to UA 1 min warningTechnicians for SustainabilityLocal PV
installerUA Physics andAtmospheric SciencesTFS to UA 1 min
warning
TFSUATFS to UA 1 min warning
Retrospective forecasts based on data from 100
rooftopsNetwork-based ForecastsBuilding system to do this in
real-time
Retrospective forecasts based on data from 100
rooftopsNetwork-based ForecastsBuilding system to do this in
real-time
Hybrid forecastingPV Assets MapACE Scenario SimulationsReserve
PolicyPV PowerForecastResource PlanningMarketingOperationsForecast
GUIFor UtilitiesIrradiance SensorsDG Metering DataSky CamerasWRF
ModelHybrid method forirradiance forecastingUtility Co.Hybrid
forecasting utility integrationATMO Wind forecasting for TEP
Solar forecasting for TEP
Correct features, only wrong by 1 hourThis is good!Real time
clearness maps
Website for TEP
Website for TEP
Website for TEP