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Real Estate Investments TVM - Compounding $ Today Future $ Discounting Time Value of Money
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Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Dec 15, 2015

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Page 1: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

TVM -

Compounding

$ Today Future $

Discounting

Time Value of Money

Page 2: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Future Value (FV)

Definition -

»

FV = ?

0 1 2 N

PV=x

FVn = PV(1 + i)n

Page 3: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Future Value Calculations

Suppose you have $10 million and decide to invest it in a security offering an interest rate of 9.2% per annum for six years. At the end of the six years, what is the value of your investment?

What if the (interest) payments were made semi-annually?

Why does semi-annual compounding lead to higher returns?

Page 4: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Future Value of an Annuity (FVA)

Definition -

»

FVA = ?

0 1 2 N

i

iFVA

n

n

1)1(

AA A

Page 5: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Ordinary Annuity vs. Annuity Due

Ordinary Annuity

A AA

0 1 2 Ni%

A A

0 1 2 Ni%

Annuity Due

A

Page 6: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Future Value of an Annuity Examples

Suppose you were to invest $5,000 per year each year for 10 years, at an annual interest rate of 8.5%. After 10 years, how much money would you have?

What if this were an annuity due?

What if you made payments of $2,500 every six-months instead?

Page 7: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Present Value (PV)

Definition -

»

FV = x

0 1 2 N

PV= ?

PV = P0 = FV / (1 + i)n

Page 8: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Present Value Calculations

How much would you pay today for an investment that returns $5 million, seven years from today, with no interim cashflows, assuming the yield on the highest yielding alternative project is 10% per annum?

What if the opportunity cost was 10% compounded semi-annually?

Why does semi-annual compounding lead to lower present values?

Page 9: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Present Value of an Annuity (PVA)

Definition -

» PVA = ?

0 1 2 N

ii

PVAn)1(

11

AA A

Page 10: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Present Value of an Annuity Examples

How much would you spend for an 8 year, $1,000, annual annuity, assuming the discount rate is 9%?

What if this were an annuity due?

What if you were to receive payments of $500 every six-months instead?

Page 11: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

TVM Properties Future Values

An increase in the discount rate

An increase in the length of time until the CF is received, given a set interest rate,

Present Values An increase in the discount rate

An increase in the length of time until the CF is received, given a set interest rate,

Note: For this class, assume nominal interest rates can’t be negative!

Page 12: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Definition -

Perpetuities

PVperpetuity = ?

0 1 2

i

PMT

RateInterest

PaymentPVPerpetuity

$$ $

Page 13: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Perpetuity Examples

What is the value of a $100 annual perpetuity if the interest rate is 7%?

What if the interest rate rises to 9%?

Principles of Perpetuities:» »

Page 14: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Uneven Cash Flow Streams Description -

Ex. Given a discount rate of 8%, how much would you be willing to pay today for an investment which provided the following cash flows:

Year Cashflow Present Value

1 1002 2003 250

4 200

5 400

Page 15: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Uneven Cash Flow Streams

Ex. Given a discount rate of 8%, what is the future value of the following cash flows stream:

Year Cashflow Future Value

1 1002 2003 250

4 200

5 400

Page 16: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Nominal vs. Effective Rates

Nominal Rate - Effective Rate -

What’s the difference?

1Rate Nominal

1

m

mEAR

Page 17: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Nom. vs. Eff. Rate Examples

Ex. #1: A bond pays 7% interest semi-annually, what is the effective yield on the bond?

A credit card charges 1.65% per month (APR=19.8%), what rate of interest are they effectively charging?

What nominal rate would produce an effective rate of 9.25% if the security pays interest quarterly?

Page 18: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Amortization Amortized Loan -

Ex. Suppose you borrow $10,000 to start up a small business. The loan offers a contract interest rate of 8.5%, and must be repaid in equal, annual installments over the next 4 years. How much is your annual payment?

What percentage of your payments go toward the repayment of principal in each year?

Page 19: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Amortization Schedules

Year Beg. Bal. PMT INT PRIN End. Bal.

1 $10,000

2

3

4

Year #1, Principal % =Year #2, Principal % =Year #3, Principal % =Year #4, Principal % =

Page 20: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

Continuous Compounding

Definition/Description -

inninn eFV

e

FVPV

inn ePVFV

Page 21: Real Estate Investments David M. Harrison, Ph.D. Texas Tech University  TVM - Compounding $ TodayFuture $ Discounting Time Value of Money.

Real Estate Investments

What is the present value of $200 to be received 2 years from today, if the discount rate is 9% compounded continuously?

How much more would the cash flow be worth if the discount rate were 9% compounded annually?

What is the future value, in 10 years, of a $5,000 investment today, if the interest rate is 8.75% compounded continuously?

How much lower would the future value be if the interest rate were 8.75% compounded annually?

Does Compounding Matter?