Radon and Lung Cancer in New Hampshire · Radon and Lung Cancer in New Hampshire ... Low Ed, Male Low Ed, Female Maternal Smoking Low ... 489 249 522 279 465 100 1000 Male Female

Radon and Lung Cancer in New Hampshire

Making The Connection Making The Connection for Risk Communicationfor Risk Communication

Megan Tehan, EpidemiologistMegan Tehan, EpidemiologistMatthew Cahillane, Program ManagerMatthew Cahillane, Program Manager

April 22, 2005April 22, 2005

Presentation Overview

What is radon?What is radon?

What are its health effects?What are its health effects?

Awareness, attitudes and actions of Awareness, attitudes and actions of NH citizensNH citizens

Associating radon with lung cancer for Associating radon with lung cancer for better risk communicationbetter risk communication

What is Radon?Radioactive gasRadioactive gas

Colorless and odorlessColorless and odorless

Exposure potentialExposure potential

Enters home primarily through basementsEnters home primarily through basements

Easily detectableEasily detectable

Class A carcinogenClass A carcinogen

What are Radon’s Health Effects?

LUNG CANCERLUNG CANCERIt’s almost that simpleIt’s almost that simple

Radon and Lung Cancer

Second leading cause of lung cancer Second leading cause of lung cancer (behind smoking)(behind smoking)

Nationally, an estimated 10Nationally, an estimated 10--14% of lung cancer 14% of lung cancer is related to radon exposureis related to radon exposure

NH is probably closer to 20%NH is probably closer to 20%

What do NH Citizens know about Radon?

NH BRFSS 2000NH BRFSS 2000Heard of Radon? 81% YESHeard of Radon? 81% YES

Is it unhealthy? 93% YESIs it unhealthy? 93% YES•• What are the health effects? What are the health effects?

49% Lung Cancer49% Lung Cancer27% Other Cancer27% Other Cancer24% Non24% Non--Cancer IllnessCancer Illness

Bottom line: only 1/3 of NH adults are awareBottom line: only 1/3 of NH adults are aware

What are NH citizens doing about Radon?

NH BRFSS 2000NH BRFSS 2000Have you tested your home for Radon?Have you tested your home for Radon?

1994 17% YES1994 17% YES2000 28% YES2000 28% YES

Some progress, but still:Some progress, but still:

300,000 homes untested300,000 homes untested

100,000 homes likely high radon100,000 homes likely high radon

Radon and Lung Cancer: Making the Connection

What do NH residents know about radon?What do NH residents know about radon?

What do they know about lung cancer?What do they know about lung cancer?

What do they know about radon and lung cancer?What do they know about radon and lung cancer?

CONCLUSION: Increased public awareness may CONCLUSION: Increased public awareness may increase testingincrease testing

Current Depictions of Radon Risk

United States by countyUnited States by county

NH by countyNH by county

NH by townNH by town

EPA Map of Radon zones

Radon Maps for NH

EPA predicts Our data suggests

1987-1989 1987-2002

Radon in Granite State Towns

Toward a Linkage of Radon and Lung Cancer

Technically Technically –– Create a database with both Create a database with both radon data and lung cancer dataradon data and lung cancer data

Conceptually Conceptually –– Use linked data to increase Use linked data to increase public awareness of the radonpublic awareness of the radon--lung cancer lung cancer associationassociation

Data Linkage MethodsRecord level data from multiple databases:Record level data from multiple databases:

NH Cancer Registry: Lung Cancer cases 1987NH Cancer Registry: Lung Cancer cases 1987--2001 (N=11066) 2001 (N=11066) NH Radon Database: Test results 1987NH Radon Database: Test results 1987--2002 2002 (N=15,000+) (N=15,000+) US Census, NH Birth filesUS Census, NH Birth files

Aggregated and linked at NH town level Aggregated and linked at NH town level (N=259)(N=259)

Useful statistics for radon, not for lung cancerUseful statistics for radon, not for lung cancer

Lung Cancer Risk Factors by Town Radon Risk CategoryAnalysis I: Towns divided into radon risk categories - HIGH, MIDDLE, and LOW (N=3)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Radon >4 Radon>12

BelowPoverty

Low Ed,Male

Low Ed,Female

MaternalSmoking

Low

Medium

High

Lung Cancer Incidence by Town Radon Risk

Lung Cancer Incidence, NH population age 65+ 1987-2001 by Radon Exposure

Risk

217

489

249

522

279

465

100

1000

Male Female

Lung

Can

cer I

ncid

ence

per

10

0,00

0

Low Risk Med Risk High Risk

Data Linkage and PresentationAnalysis II:Analysis II: Towns aggregated into Hospital Towns aggregated into Hospital Service Areas (N=23)Service Areas (N=23)

HSAsHSAs more precise than countiesmore precise than countiesMore appropriate than townMore appropriate than town--level for cancer level for cancer statisticsstatisticsBased around hub communitiesBased around hub communitiesEnables geographic presentation of dataEnables geographic presentation of data

Data Analysis and PresentationHSA example IHSA example I

Lends possible explanation to unexpectedly Lends possible explanation to unexpectedly high lung cancer rates in some areashigh lung cancer rates in some areas

•• Maternal smoking used as proxy for the Maternal smoking used as proxy for the “smoking culture” “smoking culture”

•• Lung Cancer Incidence for females age Lung Cancer Incidence for females age 65+ used for exposure length and 65+ used for exposure length and comparative geographic stabilitycomparative geographic stability

•• Radon rankings: % of tests >4 Radon rankings: % of tests >4 picospicos/L/L

NH Hospital Service Area Rankings

HSA: Rochester ExeterDerry Dover

Lung Cancer

0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0

Plymouth

Peter bor ough

Ber l in

Clar emont

Por tsmouth

Colebr ook

Laconia

Lebanon

Manchester

Li ttleton

Conway

Concor d

Wol f ebor o

Haver hi l l

Keene

Fr ankl in

Nashua

New London

Lancaster

Dover

Exeter

Der r y

Rochester

Lung Ca nc e r I nc i de nc e i n Fe ma l e s Age 6 5 + , 19 8 0 - 19 9 5

Incidence

Maternal Smoking

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Exeter

Der r y

Lebanon

Por tsmouth

Nashua

New London

Dover

Manchester

Concor d

Conway

Colebr ook

Keene

Plymouth

Peter bor ough

Laconia

Rochester

Wol f ebor o

Haver hi l l

Lancaster

Ber l in

Li ttleton

Clar emont

Fr ankl in

S mok i ng pr e v a l e nc e ( %)

Prevalence

Radon

.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0

Clar emont

Fr ankl in

Haver hi l l

Laconia

Lebanon

Peter bor ough

Keene

New London

Concor d

Li ttleton

Plymouth

Lancaster

Wol f ebor o

Nashua

Colebr ook

Der r y

Manchester

Exeter

Rochester

Por tsmouth

Dover

Ber l in

Conway

R a don t e st s >= 4 pCi / L ( %)

> 4 pci

Data Analysis Methods

HSA example IIHSA example IIOn the other hand…On the other hand…

HSAsHSAs highest in radon exposure highest in radon exposure potential do not conform to this potential do not conform to this patternpattern

NH Hospital Service Area Rankings

HSA: Conway Berlin

Lung Cancer

0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0

Plymouth

Peter bor ough

Ber l in

Clar emont

Por tsmouth

Colebr ook

Laconia

Lebanon

Manchester

Li ttleton

Conway

Concor d

Wol f ebor o

Haver hi l l

Keene

Fr ankl in

Nashua

New London

Lancaster

Dover

Exeter

Der r y

Rochester

Lung Ca nc e r I nc i de nc e i n Fe ma l e s Age 6 5 + , 19 8 0 - 19 9 5

Incidence

Maternal Smoking

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Exeter

Der r y

Lebanon

Por tsmouth

Nashua

New London

Dover

Manchester

Concor d

Conway

Colebr ook

Keene

Plymouth

Peter bor ough

Laconia

Rochester

Wol f ebor o

Haver hi l l

Lancaster

Ber l in

Li ttleton

Clar emont

Fr ankl in

S mok i ng pr e v a l e nc e ( %)

Prevalence

Radon

.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0

Clar emont

Fr ankl in

Haver hi l l

Laconia

Lebanon

Peter bor ough

Keene

New London

Concor d

Li ttleton

Plymouth

Lancaster

Wol f ebor o

Nashua

Colebr ook

Der r y

Manchester

Exeter

Rochester

Por tsmouth

Dover

Ber l in

Conway

R a don t e st s >= 4 pCi / L ( %)

> 4 pci

Communicating the Risk: Current Radon Efforts

Outreach to home inspectors and real estate Outreach to home inspectors and real estate industryindustry

Annual survey and free test kits target Annual survey and free test kits target specific geographic areas with higher riskspecific geographic areas with higher risk

Phone follow up to homeowners with high Phone follow up to homeowners with high radon test resultsradon test results

Communicating the Risk: Future EPHT Activities

Coordinate outreach efforts with Coordinate outreach efforts with environmental and health professionals environmental and health professionals in high risk in high risk HSAsHSAs

Work with local American Cancer Society Work with local American Cancer Society to carry the radonto carry the radon--lung cancer messagelung cancer message

Time EPHT outreach efforts to coincide Time EPHT outreach efforts to coincide with next fall’s radon testing seasonwith next fall’s radon testing season

End of PresentationQuestions and AnswersQuestions and Answers

Data Analysis and Presentation

HSA Example IIIHSA Example IIIMap overlay of radon and lung cancerMap overlay of radon and lung cancer

Under construction

Along with:Along with:

Adding mortality data to linked townAdding mortality data to linked town--level filelevel file

Assessing population migration and Assessing population migration and mobilitymobility

Refining SES risk measures Refining SES risk measures Including townIncluding town--level smoking estimates level smoking estimates by ageby age

Making the Link to Communicate Risk

If you’re thinking about radon in relation to If you’re thinking about radon in relation to lung cancer right now, lung cancer right now,