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QUANTITATIVE QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Department of Atmospheric Science Science University of Missouri- University of Missouri- Columbia Columbia Columbia, MO Columbia, MO
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QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Dec 20, 2015

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Page 1: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATAWEATHER RADAR DATA

Neil I. FoxNeil I. FoxDepartment of Atmospheric Department of Atmospheric

ScienceScienceUniversity of Missouri-ColumbiaUniversity of Missouri-Columbia

Columbia, MOColumbia, MO

Page 2: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

With thanks toWith thanks to

• Mike Roberts (KRCG – TV)Mike Roberts (KRCG – TV)– Also Matt Chambers and Kelly GreenAlso Matt Chambers and Kelly Green

• Stacy Allen (Premier Marketing Stacy Allen (Premier Marketing Group)Group)

Page 3: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

ContentContent

• What’s the problem?What’s the problem?

• Why use media radars?Why use media radars?

• Why not use them?Why not use them?

• Let’s see an example!Let’s see an example!

Page 4: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

US Nexrad networkUS Nexrad network

Page 5: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Factors limiting the utility of the WSR-88D to detect Factors limiting the utility of the WSR-88D to detect or measure weather phenomena or measure weather phenomena (Adapted from Wilson) (Adapted from Wilson) 

Weather Weather Typical max Range limitingTypical max Range limitingPhenomena Phenomena Range (km) FactorsRange (km) FactorsSupercellSupercell mesocyclone mesocyclone 150-230 150-230 resolution, overshootresolution, overshoot hookecho hookecho 40-160 40-160 resolution, overshoot resolution, overshoot

Mini-supercellMini-supercell miso (<4kmmiso (<4km)) or or mesocyclone mesocyclone 30-110 resolution, overshoot30-110 resolution, overshoot hookecho hookecho 10- 70 10- 70 resolution, overshoot resolution, overshoot

   Misocyclone Misocyclone 10- 70 resolution, overshoot 10- 70 resolution, overshoot Tornado VortexTornado Vortex 10-130 resolution, overshoot 10-130 resolution, overshoot

Signature Signature Microburst/MacroburstMicroburst/Macroburst 20-50 overshoot 20-50 overshoot reflectivity signature reflectivity signature 100-250 overshoot 100-250 overshoot velocity signature velocity signature 30-100 overshoot resolution 30-100 overshoot resolution

Page 6: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Precipitation EstimationPrecipitation Estimation convective rain convective rain 100-200 100-200 overshoot, overshoot, resolutionresolutionstratiform Rain stratiform Rain 75-150 overshoot, 75-150 overshoot, brightband brightband resolution resolution

lake effect snow lake effect snow 40-100 overshoot, 40-100 overshoot, clutter.clutter.

WindsWinds 20-120 overshoot, 20-120 overshoot,

Convergence LinesConvergence Lines (warm season) (warm season) 40-120 overshoot, 40-120 overshoot,

resolution, resolution, Melting levelMelting level 25-70 resolution 25-70 resolution

(bright (bright band). band).

Winter stormsWinter storms 40-200 overshoot 40-200 overshoot

Page 7: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Range related errors in Precip Range related errors in Precip estimationestimation

Page 8: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Relative Beam heightsRelative Beam heights

St Louis: KLSX

Fulton Pleasant Hill, KEAX

Page 9: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Not so simpleNot so simple

• Media radars usually don’t give a full Media radars usually don’t give a full volume scan, so we cannot say that volume scan, so we cannot say that information is ‘better’ (more useful) information is ‘better’ (more useful) even when beam is lower.even when beam is lower.

Page 10: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Beamwidths (resolution)Beamwidths (resolution)

St Louis Fulton Pleasant Hill, KC

Page 11: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Use of broadcast radarsUse of broadcast radars

• Regular low-level PPIRegular low-level PPI

• Flexibility when desiredFlexibility when desired– But must put broadcasters’ needs firstBut must put broadcasters’ needs first

Page 12: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Benefits to be gainedBenefits to be gained

• Low-level cold season precipLow-level cold season precip

• Low-level modification of warm Low-level modification of warm season precipitationseason precipitation

• Low-level and small-scale (high-Low-level and small-scale (high-resolution) rotationresolution) rotation

• BoundariesBoundaries

Page 13: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Low-level rotationLow-level rotation

• Ideally we want to observe this at Ideally we want to observe this at more than one elevation to confirm:more than one elevation to confirm:– That it’s realThat it’s real– That it has some vertical extentThat it has some vertical extent

Page 14: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

LimitationsLimitations

• Quality ControlQuality Control

• CalibrationCalibration

• Staffing considerationsStaffing considerations

• Only PPIOnly PPI

Page 15: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Benefit to BroadcastersBenefit to Broadcasters

• PublicityPublicity

• Community serviceCommunity service

• Radar is not really used most of the Radar is not really used most of the timetime

Page 16: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

S-band

1 Beamwidth

250kW

25m tower

Page 17: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Example from the tornado Example from the tornado outbreak of 4 -10 May 2003outbreak of 4 -10 May 2003

• Numerous rotations spotted (and Numerous rotations spotted (and shown on TV) using the radar, but shown on TV) using the radar, but not detected by NWS radarsnot detected by NWS radars

• Some (small) hook echo features Some (small) hook echo features clearly observable were not so clear clearly observable were not so clear with NWS radar imagery with NWS radar imagery

Page 18: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

CharitonChariton County is roughly 105 km from the radar County is roughly 105 km from the radar site in Fulton and the beam height is roughly 1550 site in Fulton and the beam height is roughly 1550 m.  KEAX is 150 km: 2750 m.  KLSX is 210 km away: m.  KEAX is 150 km: 2750 m.  KLSX is 210 km away:

4300 m.4300 m.

Page 19: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

The Northern Audrain County The Northern Audrain County Cell:Cell:From Fulton :  56 km @ 670 mFrom Fulton :  56 km @ 670 mFrom KEAX:   200km @ 4150 From KEAX:   200km @ 4150 mmFrom KLSX:   135 km @ 2300 From KLSX:   135 km @ 2300 m.m.

The Boone County Cell:From Fulton:  48 km @ 550m.From KEAX: 165 km @ 3100 m.From KLSX:  160 km @ 2850 m

Page 20: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

Not aloneNot alone

• Using the radar as a supplement to Using the radar as a supplement to NWS can provide valuable additional NWS can provide valuable additional informationinformation

• There’s a long way to go before we There’s a long way to go before we can integrate these datacan integrate these data

Page 21: QUANTITATIVE APPLICATIONS OF BROADCAST MEDIA WEATHER RADAR DATA Neil I. Fox Department of Atmospheric Science University of Missouri-Columbia Columbia,

This winterThis winter

• Routine data collection (inc. Level II Routine data collection (inc. Level II CRAFT data)CRAFT data)

• Cold season precipitation Cold season precipitation comparisonscomparisons

• Assessment of potential benefits to Assessment of potential benefits to local interestslocal interests