Q1 2021 Trading update Management Call 30 April 2021
Q1 2021Trading updateManagement Call
30 April 2021
Disclaimer
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 2
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Introduction
Nikolay IvanovChief Financial Officer
Q1 2021 highlights
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 4
Сonsolidated crude steel output fell by 1.7% QoQ mainly due to unscheduled downtime of the sintering machine at EVRAZ ZSMK
Total sales of steel products dropped by 9.9% QoQ, driven primarily by lower sales of semi-finished products amid reduced steel availability due to lower
pig-iron production volumes as well as seasonal decline in sales of construction products and local decrease in demand for rails in Russia
Total raw coking coal production climbed by 7.8% QoQ as Uskovskaya mine finished moving to a new longwall and the Erunakovskaya mine dealt with the
impact on its production from higher gas levels in Q4 2020. Razrez Raspadsky increased its volumes by 120% QoQ after resuming production in Q3 2020
Coking coal concentrate production grew by 3.6% QoQ, mainly due to increased coal mining volumes
External sales of iron ore products fell by 30.1% QoQ following a decline in concentrate production at EVRAZ KGOK which went down due to lower Fe
content in mined ore and severe weather conditions, resulted in unscheduled equipment repairs. In addition, shipments of iron ore products to EVRAZ NTMK
were increased to restore reserves
Sales of vanadium products fell by 19.7% QoQ due to serving the more active Chinese oxide market (supported by destocking) as well as accelerating
oxide sales by changing the regional oxide sales mix in Q4 2020
Q1 2021 total numbers
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 5
Product, kt Q1 2021 Q4 2020
Q1 2021/
Q4 2020,
change
Q1 2020
Q1 2021/
Q1 2020,
change
Total crude steel production 3,409 3,467 -1.7% 3,559 -4.2%
Russia 2,921 3,044 -4.0% 3,121 -6.4%
North America 488 423 15.4% 438 11.4%
Total raw coking coal mined 6,492 6,021 7.8% 5,692 14.1%
Total coking coal concentrate
production4,236 4,088 3.6% 3,747 13.1%
Iron ore products production 3,394 3,642 -6.8% 3,595 -5.6%
Total sales of steel products 3,071 3,410 -9.9% 3,225 -4.8%
Semi-finished products 1,406 1,707 -17.6% 1,443 -2.6%
Finished products 1,665 1,703 -2.2% 1,782 -6.6%
Total sales of third-party steel
products134 209 -35.9% 175 -23.4%
Sales of coking coal products 2,824 2,797 1.0% 3,278 -13.8%
Sales of iron ore products 311 445 -30.1% 355 -12.4%
Sales of vanadium final products1 3,378 4,207 -19.7% 3,168 6.6%
Note: numbers in this table may not add up to totals due to rounding1 in tonnes of pure vanadium
Global trends in Q1 and outlook for Q2 2021
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 6
Global coking coal prices, $/t Semi-finished products prices, $/t
China's restrictions on Australian coal imports led to a fall in prices on FOB Australia basis, however Australian coal supply remains high thanks to “take or
pay” agreements with ports and railways. A low-priced environment looks to stay in Q2 2021
Iron ore prices remained at the high levels. Strong demand may continue as China’s construction season will keep demand elevated
CIS billet and slab export prices were on the way up as the higher offers from producers were gaining traction. The market is getting used to the increased
price level and should intensify purchases at the beginning of the construction season
The environmental restrictions on steel production in China which were announced in Q1 2021 are likely to allow prices for final products to remain on
elevated levels
Source: CRU, Metal Expert
Billet, export Black Sea FOB Slab, export Black Sea FOB
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21
Long steel prices, $/t
Rebar, US FOB Midwest Rebar, China EXW
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21
Hard coking coal Low-Vol, spot, CFR China (RS)
Hard coking coal Low-Vol, spot, FOB Australia (LS)
190
200
210
220
230
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21
Cash costs
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 7
Cash cost of washed coking coal, $/tCash cost of Russian iron ore products, $/tCash cost of slab of Russian steel plants, $/t
Slab cash-cost increased QoQ mainly due
to higher raw material prices
Iron ore products cost increased QoQ due
to lower production volumes and unfavorable
forex effect
Washed coking coal cash-cost increased
QoQ mainly due to change in product mix
Source: Company informationSource: Company information Source: Company information
200
224
277
Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021
3537
40
Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021
31
26
34
Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021
Steel segment
Nikolay IvanovChief Financial Officer
Steel segment - production
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 9
Crude steel, ktPig iron, ktIron ore products, kt
Output of iron ore products decreased by
6.8% QoQ due to unscheduled equipment
downtime at EVRAZ ZSMK as well as due to
reduced production at EVRAZ KGOK amid
lower Fe content in mined ore and severe
weather conditions
Pig iron production decreased by 5.9%
QoQ, mainly due to lower iron ore products
output at EVRAZ ZSMK. Another factor was
capital repairs at EVRAZ NTMK’s blast
furnace no. 6 in February 2021
Crude steel output went down by 4.0%
QoQ, in line with the decline of pig iron
production volumes
Source: Company informationSource: Company information Source: Company information
EVRAZ ZSMK
EVRAZ NTMK
Sinter
Pellets
Concentrate EVRAZ ZSMK
EVRAZ NTMK
1,272 1,2601,130
1,287 1,259
1,556 1,5321,556
1,5641,424
2,828 2,7922,686
2,8512,683
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
EVRAZ ZSMK EVRAZ NTMK
1,141 1,114 1,013 1,111 1,111
1,9801,878
1,8801,933 1,810
3,1212,992
2,8933,044
2,921
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
EVRAZ ZSMK EVRAZ NTMK
1,665 1616 1,607 1,660 1,574
916 905 833928
921
1,014939 1,068
1,054899
3,5953460 3,508
3,642
3,394
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
Concentrate Sinter Pellets
Steel segment - sales
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 10
Finished products sales, ktSemi-finished products sales, ktIron ore products sales, kt
Sales of iron ore products went down by
30.1% QoQ following decline in Fe content in
mined ore and severe weather conditions at
EVRAZ KGOK as well as due to higher
shipments to EVRAZ NTMK in order to
restore reserves
Sales of semi-finished products
decreased by 17.6% QoQ due to reduced
steel availability amid lower pig-iron
production volumes
Sales of construction products declined
by 6.0% and railway products by 12.8%
QoQ following seasonally lower demand and
price volatility as well as local decline in
demand of RZD for rails and shift of
execution deadlines for some tenders
Source: Company informationSource: Company information Source: Company information
Railway products
Construction products
Other productsBillets
Slabs
Other
355
446
486
445
311
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
570737
436
849666
656
820
735
722
624
175
114
138
136
116
1,401
1,670
1,309
1,707
1,406
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
Other steel products Billets Slabs
839 783925
845 794
358311
310320
279
157
157
159174
163
1,353
1,251
1,3941,339
1,236
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
Other steel products Railway products Construction products
Vanadium
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 11
Vanadium final products sales*, tGross vanadium slag production*, tVanadium price, $/kgV
The average Ferrovanadium MB index has
increased to $30.9/kgV in Q1 2021,
supported by strong demand recovery in
Europe and North America
Gross slag production volumes declined
QoQ due to scheduled equipment
maintenance
Sales of vanadium products fell by 19.7%
QoQ due to serving the more active Chinese
oxide market (supported by destocking) as
well as accelerating oxide sales by changing
the regional oxide sales mix in Q4 2020
Source: Company informationSource: Company information Source: Company information
*In tonnes of pure vanadium
LMB FeV mid
4,979 5,098
4,419
5,0374,798
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
3,168
2,450
2,779
4,207
3,378
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
Coal segment
Evgeny TerekhovCommercial Director, Coal division
Coal segment - production
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 13
Raw coking coal (mined), kt Coking coal concentrate (production), kt
Raw coking coal output climbed by 7.8% QoQ, most of the growth came from the Novokuznetsk site, where the Uskovskaya mine finished moving to a new
longwall and the Erunakovskaya mine dealt with the impact on its production from higher gas levels in Q4 2020
Mezhdurechensk site’s overall output was little changed, Razrez Raspadsky increased its volumes by 120% QoQ after resuming production in Q3 2020
Output of coking coal concentrate rose by 7.0% QoQ, mainly due to increased coal mining volumes
Source: Company informationSource: Company information
5,692
4,1654,775
6,021
6,492
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
3,261 3,3243,398
3,615
3,869
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
Coal segment - sales
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 14
External sales, kt Intersegment sales, kt
External sales volumes of coking coal concentrate grew by 5.4% QoQ amid higher production volumes
External sales volumes of raw coking coal fell by 44.3% QoQ, due to a change in the product mix as the Group worked to maximise concentrate shipments
Intersegment sales volumes of coking coal products dropped by 7.4% QoQ, mainly due to lower shipments of Zh and K-grade coal as the mines built up
reserves to keep supply stable while moving to new longwalls in the summer. In addition, temporary stripping work at Raspadsky-Koksovy reduced the
availability of OS-grade coal for sale
Source: Company informationSource: Company information
Raw coal
Coal concentrate
Raw coal
Coal concentrate
2,5722,309
2,638 2,547 2,684
707
492
822
250139
3,278
2,800
3,460
2,797 2,824
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
Raw coal Coal concentrate
1,132 1,167 1,202 1,1661,044
492
712 622
496
497
1,624
1,8801,824
1,663
1,540
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
Raw coal Coal concentrate
Steel, North America segment
Olesya AfanasyevaChief Financial Officer, EVRAZ North America
Steel, North America segment
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 16
Crude steel - production volumes, kt Steel products - sales volumes, kt
Crude steel production climbed by 15.4% QoQ amid quick recovery of demand for flat products from the market downturn caused by the COVID-19
pandemic driving the increased output of EVRAZ Regina (Canada), accompanied by higher production at EVRAZ Pueblo (US) due to improved market
conditions and the resumption of operations after a planned maintenance shutdown in Q4 2020
Sales of flat-rolled products surged by 48.8% QoQ as market conditions strengthened in Q1 2021
Sales of construction products increased by 12.3% QoQ amid improved demand and additional available steel capacity as the seamless mill remained idle
Sales of railway products grew by 8.2% QoQ on improving market demand from major railways
Tubular products sales volumes decreased by 8.0% QoQ, primarily driven by the completion of 2020 orders
Source: Company informationSource: Company information
EVRAZ Regina (Canada)
EVRAZ Pueblo (US)
Flat products
Tubular products
Railway products
Construction products
Semi-finished products
251210
181 196227
188
175
153
227
261
438
385
334
423
488
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
EVRAZ Regina EVRAZ Pueblo
156 163
91 84 77
100 69
100 113168
106107
91 99
108
6668
6168
76
90
54
517
461
343364
429
Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21
Semi-finished products Construction products Railway products Flat-rolled products Tubular products
Outlook
Nikolay IvanovChief Financial Officer
Operational outlook for Q2 2021
EVRAZ Q1 2021 Trading update management call 18
Steel segment
In Q2 2021, pig iron production volumes are expected to slightly increase following the completion of equipment downtime in Q1 2021 at EVRAZ ZSMK
Iron ore pellets and sinter production volumes are expected to remain flat
Coal segment
In Q2 2021, raw coal production is expected to decrease QoQ amid the longwall move at the Alardinskaya and Raspadskaya mines
This will be partly offset by favourable mining and geological conditions at the Esaulskaya mine, as well as a planned production increase at the Razrez
Raspadsky open pit
Steel, North America segment
In Q2 2021, steel production is expected to remain flat QoQ amid a planned maintenance outage at EVRAZ Regina
We expect the market sentiment to remain strong and improve QoQ in the product segments we serve
For tubular products, the improved market demand for OCTG will allow us to restart some of our OCTG facilities that have been idle since 2020
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