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Public Pension and Retiree Health Benei ts: An Initial Response To the Governor’s Proposal

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  • 8/3/2019 Public Pension and Retiree Health Benei ts: An Initial Response To the Governors Proposal

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    Public Pension and Retiree Health Benefts:

    An Initial ResponseTo the Governors Proposal

    M A C T A Y L O R L E G I S L A T I V E A N A L Y S T N O V E M B E R 8 , 2 0 1 1

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    A N L A O R E P O R T

    2 Legislative Analysts Office www.lao.ca.gov

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARYTe Governor presented a 12-point plan to change pension and retiree health benefts or Caliornias

    state and local government workers on October 27, 2011. Tis report provides background on the states

    retirement policy issues and our initial response to the Governors proposals.

    Our Of ces Key Principles on Public Retirement Benets. As we have noted in the past, we do not

    view the current system o defned beneft pensions or Caliornias public employees as an intrinsically bad

    thing at all. Rather, we view pensions and retiree health benefts as just one part o overall public employee

    compensationin many cases, as benefts oered in lieu o what otherwise might be higher salaries over

    the course o a public-service career. Moreover, we believe that encouraging public or private workers to

    deer a portion o their compensation to retirement represents sound public policy. Well-managed and

    properly unded retirement systems, thereore, are meritorious.

    What Is the Problem With Public Retirement Benefts?

    Caliornias current structure o public employee pension and retiree health benefts has some

    substantial problems. Tere is a notable tendency in the current system or public employers and employeesto deer retirement beneft costswhich should be paid or entirely during the careers o retirement system

    membersto uture generations. Tis leads to ununded liabilities that have spiraled higher in recent years

    and are producing cost pressures or the state and many local governments that will persist or years to

    come. Under the current system, governments have very little exibility under case law to alter beneft and

    unding arrangements or current employeeseven when public budgets are stretched, as they are today.

    Finally, there is a substantial disparity between retirement benefts that are oered to public workers and

    those oered to other workers in the economy.

    Sustaining a fnancially manageable system o public employee retirement beneftsone that is more

    closely aligned with the benefts oered private-sector workerswill require substantial, complex, and

    di cult changes by the Legislature, the Governor, local governments, and voters.

    Governors Proposal Is a Bold, Excellent Starting Point

    Would Help Increase Public Condence in Caliornias Retirement Systems. We view the Governors

    proposal as a bold starting point or legislative deliberationsa proposal that would implement substantial

    changes to retirement benefts, particularly or uture public workers. His proposals would shi more o

    the fnancial risk or public pensionsnow borne largely by public employersto employees and retirees.

    In so doing, these proposals would substantially ameliorate this key area o long-term fnancial risk or

    Caliornias governments. At the same time, the Governors proposals aim or a uture in which career

    public workers receive a package o retirement benefts that would be (1) su cient to sustain employeesstandards o living during their retirement years and (2) more closely aligned with beneft packages oered

    to private-sector workers. For all o these reasons, we believe that the Governors proposals could increase

    public confdence in the states retirement beneft systems.

    Many Details Le Unaddressed in Governors October 27 Presentation. Despite the strengths o the

    Governors pension and retiree health proposal, it leaves many questions unanswered. In particular, we do

    not understand key details o how his hybrid beneft and retirement age proposals would work. Moreover,

    A N L A O R E P O R T

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    the Governors plan leaves unaddressed many important pension and retiree health issues, including

    how to address the huge unding problems acing the states teachers retirement und, the University o

    Caliornias (UCs) signifcant pension unding problem, retiree health beneft liabilities, and other issues.

    In making signifcant changes to pension and retiree health benefts, we would urge the Legislature also to

    tackle these very di cult issues concerning theundingo benefts.

    Raising Current Workers Contributions Is a Legal and Collective Bargaining Mineeld. TeGovernor proposes that many current public employees be required to contribute more to their pension

    benefts. Others have proposed reducing the rate at which current employees accrue pension benefts

    during their remaining working years. Our reading o Caliornias pension case law is that it will be very

    di cultperhaps impossibleor the Legislature, local governments, or voters to mandate such changes

    or many current public workers and retirees. Moreover, employer savings rom these changes likely will be

    oset to some extent by higher salaries or other benefts or aected workers. Given all o these challenges,

    we advise the Legislature to ocus primarily on changes to uture workers benefts. Such changes should

    produce net taxpayer savings only over the long run but are certain to be legally viable.

    A Golden Opportunity to Make These Benefts More Sustainable

    Clearly, there is signifcant public concern about public pension and retiree health benefts. In our

    view, the current structure o these beneftswherein state and local governments provide compensation

    in orms that are very dierent rom that oered in the private sectorimpairs the publics ability to assess

    whether government is careully managing its unds and can aect the publics trust in government itsel.

    We believe that the Legislature, the Governor, and voters should change these beneftsas well as the way

    in which governments and workers und the beneftsin order to address these problems. Tese changes

    will involve di cult, complex choices. In the end, however, we believe that such changes can result in the

    public becoming more comortable with public retirement benefts. Tis, in turn, will help ensure that the

    state and local governments can continue oering such benefts in the uture.

    A N L A O R E P O R T

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    BACKGROUND: PUBLIC PENSION AND

    RETIREMENT BENEFITS TODAYA Complex System o Public Pensions

    Not Just One Pension SystemBut Many.During the frst hal o the 20 th Century, Caliornia

    began to implement a public policy to provide

    a comprehensive set o retirement benefts to

    its retired public employees. Public employees

    typically begin to accumulate rights to receive

    uture benefts the moment that they are hired,

    and the longer that they work in the state or local

    government sector in the state, the more pension

    and other retirement benefts they accumulate. Tis

    policy continues today.

    oday, pension and retiree health benefts or

    Caliornias public employees are determined in

    a largely decentralized ashion. Tis means that

    employees o the state, the public universities,

    school districts, community college districts, cities,

    counties, special districts, and other local govern-

    ments earn a variety o dierent pension and retiree

    health benefts during their careers. As such, any

    eort to modiy pension and retiree health benefts

    or public employees will prove complex, dealing

    as it may with a variety o dierent governments,

    beneft plans, and pension systems.

    A Variety o Dened Benet Pension Plans.

    Caliornia has both statewide and local public

    pension plans that oer defned benefts. Defned

    beneft pensions provide a specifc amount aer

    retirement that is generally based on an employees

    age at retirement, years o service, salary at or

    near the end o his or her career, and type owork assignment (or instance, public saety or

    non-public saety work assignment). In total,

    about our million Caliornians11 percent o the

    populationare members o one or more o the

    states 85 defned beneft public pension systems.

    Tis our million fgure includes about one million

    people who now receive beneft payments and

    around 700,000 inactive membersthat is,

    individuals who were once, but are not currently,

    public employees and who do not yet receive

    pension benefts.

    Te two largest entities managing state and

    local pension systems in the state are the Caliornia

    Public Employees Retirement System (CalPERS)

    and the Caliornia State eachers Retirement

    System (CalSRS). Combined, these two statewide

    systems serve 3.1 million active and inactive

    members, including around 750,000 membersand benefciaries now receiving beneft payments.

    While both CalPERS and CalSRS operate

    pursuant to state law, they are very dierent.

    Members o CalPERS include current and

    past employees o state government and Caliornia

    State University (CSU), as well as judges and

    classifed (nonteacher) public school employees. In

    addition, hundreds o local governmental entities

    (including some cities, counties, special districts,

    and county o ces o education) choose to contract

    with CalPERS to provide pension benefts or their

    employees. Local governments can choose rom

    a variety o plan options in CalPERS, as allowed

    in the states Public Employees Retirement Law.

    Governmental employers make contributions to

    their current and past employees pension benefts,

    as in most cases, do public employees themselves.

    Each employer generally is responsible or its

    own employees costs in CalPERS, meaning thatthe state does not directly contribute to CalPERS

    to cover pension costs or local government

    employees. (Local governments, however, oen

    do use a portion o various unding streams they

    receive rom the state government to pay a part o

    their own pension costs.)

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    Dierent governmental entities in CalPERS

    have a variety o pension contribution arrange-

    ments with their employee groups, meaning that

    some employees pay more or less than other,

    similarly situated employees o other governmental

    entities. In practice, various elements o CalPERSbeneftsbeneft amounts and employee contribu-

    tionsnow are determined in collective bargaining

    with unions that represent rank-and-fle state and

    local government employees.

    Compared to CalPERS, CalSRS oers

    an entirely dierentoen less generousset

    o benefts to teachers and administrators o

    Caliornias public school and community college

    districts. Benefts oered by CalSRS, as well as

    required payments by employees, districts, and the

    state, are specifed on a statewide basis in the states

    Education Codethat is, they apply on a generally

    equal basis to alldistricts. As such, CalSRS

    benefts generally are notdetermined through

    collective bargaining. Unlike many CalPERS

    members, CalSRS members generally do not

    participate in Social Security.

    In addition to CalPERS and CalSRS, about

    80 other defned beneft state and local pensionsystems (such as the University o Caliornia

    Retirement Plan [UCRP], the Los Angeles County

    Employees Retirement Association, and the Los

    Angeles City Employees Retirement System)

    serve about one million other Caliornians,

    including about 300,000 who currently receive

    beneft payments. County pension plans generally

    are governed by the states County Employees

    Retirement Law o 1937 (known as the 1937

    Act). Benefts and employee and employer

    contributions in these various other plans can

    vary widelytypically, subject to negotiation with

    rank-and-fle employee unions.

    Dened Contribution Plans Also Now in

    Place or Some Public Employees. Many public

    employees currently are enrolled in defned

    contribution plans, which are intended to

    supplement their defned beneft pensions aer they

    retire. Defned contribution plans include 401(k),

    403(b), and 457 plans in which the rate o contri-

    bution by the employer is fxed, sometimes serving

    in practice as a match to amounts depositedto those unds by employees. Accordingly, an

    employees defned contribution plan benefts

    equal what amount the accumulated employee and

    employer contributions can provide at retirement,

    plus investment earnings. Unlike defned beneft

    plans, thereore, defned contribution plans do not

    promise a specifc amount to be paid to the retiree

    each month or each year. Some governmental

    entities manage defned contribution plans, oen

    in conjunction with private-sector investment

    managers. For example, state employees can

    enroll in defned contributions plans managed by

    the Savings Plus Program o the Department o

    Personnel Administration (DPA). Some teachers

    also enroll in CalSRS Pension2 supplemental

    savings plan. A variety o other public and private

    defned contribution plans serve Caliornias local

    governments and school districts.

    Social Security. Social Securityestablishedin the 1930sinitially did not provide benefts

    to public employees, but in the 1950s, the ederal

    government approved amendments to the Social

    Security Act to allow states to enter into agree-

    ments with the Social Security Administration to

    provide such benefts to their public employees.

    Over time, Congress has added to these require-

    ments, essentially mandating Social Security

    or specifed public employees not covered by a

    qualifed public pension plan.

    It has been estimated that only about one-hal

    o Caliornias public employees participate in the

    ederal Social Security program. eachers and most

    public saety o cers, including corrections o cers,

    police, and frefghters, generally are not enrolled

    in Social Security. Tere are a variety o reasons

    A N L A O R E P O R T

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    why this is so. Public saety o cers generally

    are eligible or retirements at earlier ages than

    envisioned under Social Securitys beneft ormulas.

    Moreover, it is expensive or a government to

    initiate enrollment o its employees into Social

    Security without, at the same time, enacting reduc-tions in its other pension benefts. While there has

    been some discussion over the years at the ederal

    level o requiring allstate and local employees to

    be enrolled in Social Security, this proposal has

    not been accepted to date, in part because o the

    cost pressures or state and local governments that

    would be aected.

    Generally speaking, employees and employers in

    Social Security each contribute 6.2 percent o pay

    up to the Social Security earnings cap (now

    $106,800 per year)to the ederal government in

    the orm o Social Security payroll taxes. (Congress

    reduced employee payroll taxes in 2011 to help

    stimulate the economy.) Te ederal government

    essentially uses these undsin addition to amounts

    paid rom the ederal governments general undto

    pay Social Security benefts to current retirees. (Tis

    means that Social Security beneftsunlike state and

    local pension beneftsare paid on a pay-as-you-go basis, essentially making Social Security a social

    insurance system, rather than a pension system, as

    we think o it here in Caliornia.) Over time, as baby

    boomers age and the ratio o workers to retirees in

    the United States alls urther, the ederal general

    und will have to pay more and more to cover the

    cost o Social Security benefts. For this reason, in

    the uture it is likely that Congress will have to enact

    revenue increases and/or beneft reductions in order

    to keep the ederal budget on a sustainable path.

    For individuals born between 1943 and

    1954, the Social Security normal retirement

    ageat which ull Social Security benefts can

    be receivedis now 66. For individuals born in

    the years 1955 through 1959, the Social Security

    normal retirement age is somewhere between

    age 66 and 67, as specifed in law. For individuals

    born in 1960 and aer, the Social Security normal

    retirement age is 67. (Individuals generally can receive

    reduced benefts i they retire earlier than the normal

    retirement age, provided that they are at least 62.)

    Even More Variety or Retiree Health Benefts

    Medicare. Medicare is a ederal health program

    that covers individuals age 65 and older. It was

    established in 1965 and has long enrolled many

    state and local government employees. State and

    local government employees hired or rehired

    aer March 31, 1986, are subject to mandatory

    coverage by Medicare. Employers and employees

    each currently pay a 1.45 percent tax on earnings

    to cover part o Medicare program costs, which

    consist o Part A (hospital insurance), Part B

    (outpatient medical insurance), Part C (Medicare

    Advantage plans), and Part D (prescription drug

    insurance). Individuals are eligible or premium-

    ree Medicare Part A i they are age 65 or older

    and worked or at least 10 years (40 quarters)

    in Social Security and/or Medicare-covered

    employment. Accordingly, Medicare is now the

    core element o retiree health coverage or bothpublic and private retirees in the United States. In

    many public pension plans, including CalPERS,

    Medicare-eligible retirees generally must enroll

    in Part B benefts at age 65 (or earlier, i they are

    qualifed due to a disability). In 2011, Medicare Part

    B premiums typically have been around

    $100 per month.

    Retiree Health Programs o State and Local

    Governments. While Medicare is now the core

    component o retiree health coverage or state and

    local workers, there is much variety among state

    and local governments in the area o retiree health

    care. Many local governmentsespecially school

    districtsoer virtually no retiree health care

    benefts. Te state and many other local govern-

    ments, however, oer a range o retiree health

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    benefts that vary rom small to expansive. O these

    governments, many, including the state, provide

    health benefts to pre-Medicare retirees, and

    othersalso including the stateoer Medicare

    supplement plans to retirees aer age 65. Retiree

    health benefts have been subject to extreme costpressures in recent years due to the general growth

    o health care expenses, a rise in the number o

    retirees drawing the benefts, and costs resulting

    rom growing ununded liabilities, which are

    discussed below.

    For Many Career Employees, a

    Generous Set o Benefts

    As described above, there is considerable

    variety among Caliornias public retirement

    systems. As such, it is di cult to generalize about

    the specifc beneft packages provided to public

    workers and retirees today. Moreover, there have

    been numerous changes to benefts in recent

    yearssome enacted through legislation and others

    negotiated at the bargaining table. In the late 1990s

    and early 2000s, a wave o beneft enhancements

    most notably, those related to Chapter 555, Statutes

    o 1999(SB 400, Ortiz)aected benefts or state and many

    local employees. More recently, governmental budget

    problems, combined with growing public concern

    about retirement beneft costs, have resulted in a

    wave o beneft reductionsparticularly or uture

    employeesand employee contribution increases.

    Tese have aected most state employee groups, as

    well as some local employee groups.

    Replacement Ratio: Less Income Generally

    Needed in Retirement. A persons income needs

    generally are less in retirement than when working.

    Tis is because clothing and daily travel expenses

    decline, home mortgages may be paid o at this

    point in lie, and retirees may be in a lower tax

    bracket than when working. As a result, retirees

    typically need less income to maintain the same

    standard o living as when they worked.

    Te percentage o income a person has in

    retirement compared to his working income prior

    to retirement is called the replacement ratio or

    replacement rate by retirement experts. Whenpension benefts are compared to each other, it

    is typically this replacement ratio that is being

    compared. When we speak o pension benefts

    being generous, we mean that they provide a

    relatively high replacement ratio compared to other

    beneft plans in the public and/or private sectors.

    In 2005, a publication o Boston Colleges

    Center or Retirement Research said, Overall,

    the range o studies that have examined [the]

    issue consistently fnds that middle class people

    need between 65 percent and 75 percent o their

    pre-retirement earnings to maintain their liestyle

    when they stop working. Tis paper indicated

    that the majority o households retiring today are

    in pretty good shape, with about two-thirds o

    households then in that 65 percent to 75 percent

    replacement ratio range. Te paper, however,

    suggested that the coming way o baby boom

    retireeswill see lower replacement rates romSocial Security and less certain income rom

    employer pensions. Similar to the 2005 study,

    a 2010 U.S. Census Bureau paper ound that

    replacement rates or the median individualas o

    2004was between 66 percent and 75 percent o

    pre-retirement income.

    State and Local Government Benets (Not

    Including eachers). In our 2005 publication, Te

    2005-06 Budget: Perspectives and Issues (see page

    132), we compared state miscellaneous (non-public

    saety) pensions then in place with those o 15 other

    states. O the states we surveyed, Caliornia oered

    the highest retirement benefts. We also discussed

    the generous nature o public saety pension benefts

    and local government benefts then in place.

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    Since 2005, the state and some local govern-

    ments have enacted pension beneft changes

    particularly or new employees hired aer a given

    dateand increased employee contributions,

    oen through negotiation with rank-and-fle

    union representatives. Nevertheless, some localgovernments have continued to oer particularly

    generous pension benefts, including 2.5 percent

    at 55, 2.7 percent at 55 and 3 percent at 60 or

    miscellaneous employees, as well as 3 percent at

    50 benefts or public saety employees. In pension

    parlance, or example, 2.5 percent at 55 meansin

    simplifed termsthat a retiree can receive a

    beneft equal to 2.5 percent (the beneft actor or

    multiplier) o his or her fnal compensation multi-

    plied by the number o years o service i retiring at

    55. Lesser benefts are available i they retire earlier

    than 55, and higher benefts may be available in a

    ormula i a person retires aer the age indicated

    in the ormula. As we suggested in our 2005

    report, these kinds o generous beneft levels result

    in some career public service workers receiving

    pension benefts aboveand in some cases, well

    abovethe 65 percent to 75 percent replacement

    ratio described above, particularly when SocialSecurity and other sources o retirement income

    are considered. While the state and some other

    public entities have negotiated with employees

    or reductions in these generous beneft ormulas,

    CalPERS most recent annual report shows that

    a ew governments were still switching to some

    o these particularly costly beneft packages as

    recently as 2009-10.

    Te most recent version o a public pension

    comparison report prepared periodically by the

    Wisconsin Legislative Council indicates that,

    or public employees in Social Security, pension

    beneft multipliers o 2.1 percent or higher are

    rareavailable or only 7 percent o surveyed plans.

    Te report ound that, among comparable plans, the

    average pension beneft multiplier was 1.94 percent.

    For pension plans serving public employees not in

    Social Security, the report ound the average beneft

    multiplier was 2.3 percent.

    We believe that the data shows that defned

    pension benefts oered to Caliornias state, city,

    county, and special district employees have beenamong the most generous in the country in recent

    years. While there have been some reductions in

    these benefts recently, some Caliornia govern-

    ments still oer among the most generous defned

    pension benefts available anywhere in the United

    States public or private labor market today. In many

    cases, Caliornia public pension benefts or career

    public employeescoupled with other sources o

    retirement incomecan replace ar more than the

    65 percent to 75 percent income replacement ratio

    described earlier.

    eachers. Several reports have indicated that

    teachers enrolled in CalSRS receive less generous

    benefts than other kinds o public employees in

    Caliornia. In 2009, CalSRS sta presented to

    the eachers Retirement Board a study examining

    replacement ratios or teachers under CalSRS

    beneft ormulas that were to be in eect in 2011.

    Te CalSRS report ound that the medianCalSRS retiree as o 2011 (retiring aer

    29 years o serv ice) would have a retirement

    income replacement ratio o 78 percent. Tis

    consisted o a CalSRS defned beneft o

    $3,914 per month, a defned beneft supplement

    program payment o $93 per month, and a

    supplemental annuity payment rom a defned

    contribution plan o $613 per month. (Tis

    defned contribution component represented

    about 13 percent o the total assumed retirement

    income or the median CalSRS retiree.) Te

    study assumed that the median CalSRS retiree

    invested $100 per month over a 25-year career in a

    defned contribution account.

    In addition to considering the median

    CalSRS retiree, the study also showed

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    replacement ratios or CalSRS retirees at the 25th

    and 75th percentiles o income, respectively. Te

    replacement ratio or the 25th percentile retiree

    (retiring aer 18 years o serv ice) was 42 percent,

    while the replacement ratio or the 75th percentile

    retiree (retiring aer 35 years o service) was103 percent. Te report said that teachers retiring

    without employer-subsidized health coverage

    would need more income to maintain a suitable

    replacement ratio. Specifcally, it listed a recom-

    mended replacement ratio o around 77 percent

    o fnal compensation or those retired teachers

    with health care benefts and around 89 percent

    or those without health care benefts.

    Retirees With Benets o $100,000 Per Year or

    More. In recent years, there has been considerable

    public attention related to retired Caliornia public

    employees receiving annual pension benefts o

    $100,000 or more. Tese individuals are a small,

    but growing, segment o Caliornias public sector

    retirees. About 2 percent o CalPERS and CalSRS

    retirees currently receive such payments. Payments

    to these retirees now equal around 7 percent to

    9 percent o total pension payments rom the two

    systems. During their working lives, these retireesgenerally were among the longest-serving and

    highest-paid public employeesor example, senior

    executives and managers o some state and local

    agencies, school districts, and community colleges,

    as well as some employees in public saety agencies.

    Te percentage o CalPERS, CalSRS, and

    other public retirees receiving pension benefts o

    over $100,000 per year will grow in the uture or

    several reasons. Tese reasons include the eects o

    ination (which tends to increase all employees pay

    and pension benefts over time) and the eects o

    increased pension beneft provisions put in place in

    the late 1990s and early 2000s.

    Beyond the group o retirees receiving

    payments o $100,000 or more per year, many

    public retirement systems can expect to see the

    percentage o their retirees with higher pension

    beneftsand the amounts o those beneftsgrow

    or these same reasons. Tis trend is already

    apparent in data provided by the pension systems.

    In its fnancial reports, or example, CalPERS

    publishes statistics on the characteristics oemployees retiring in each fscal year. In 2003-04,

    4,831 people retired with 30 or more years o

    service, and this group retired with an average

    monthly pension o $4,553 (equating to $54,636

    per year). In 2008-09, there were 5,801 retirees

    with 30 or more years o service, and they had an

    average monthly pension o

    $5,569 ($66,828 per year)up 22 percent in

    non-ination adjusted terms compared to the

    initial beneft o the 2003-04 retiree group. Growth

    in monthly pension benefts was even greater in

    percentage terms during this period or employees

    retiring with 10 to 30 years o service. For retirees

    with 25 to 30 years o service or example, the

    average initial pension grew rom $3,308 per month

    ($39,696 per year) or 2003-04 retirees to $4,432 per

    month ($53,184 per year) or 2008-09 retireesup

    34 percent in non-ination adjusted terms.

    Tis data rom CalPERS annual reportsuggests that while the average pension beneft or

    allCalPERS retirees (including those who retired

    decades ago) is around $25,000 per year, such

    average retirees are not responsible or the bulk o

    benefts that CalPERS will pay out in the uture.

    For public employees who retired in 2008-09, the

    newest retiree group or which data is available,

    it appears that around 60 percent o CalPERS

    beneft costs are being paid to retirees with 25 or

    more years o service. Te average annual beneft

    or this group is somewhere between $53,000 and

    $66,000over double the amount paid to the

    average retiree in the system. For those 2008-09

    retirees with 25 to 30 years o service, their monthly

    defned beneft pension is replacing an average

    67 percent o their fnal career compensation; or

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    those retirees with 30 or more years o service, the

    monthly defned beneft pension is replacing an

    average 79 percent o their fnal career compen-

    sation. Some o these retirees also receive Social

    Security benefts, and some also have defned

    contribution savings, which would increase theirreplacement ratios urther. Over time, retirees like

    the 2008-09 cohort will become more o the norm

    in CalPERS and other public pension systems.

    Tendency to Deer Costs to Future Generations

    Ununded Pension Liabilities. A troubling

    trend o Caliornias state and local public pension

    systems has been the growth o substantial

    ununded actuarial accrued liabilities (UAAL).

    Put in very simple terms, an ununded liability is

    the amount that would need to be invested into a

    public pension plan today such that, when coupled

    with amounts already deposited in the und plus

    assumed uture investment earnings, all benefts

    earned to date by public employees would be

    unded upon their retirement. While there is some

    disagreement on how to value ununded liabilities

    o pension systems, it is clear that Caliornias state

    and local systems are coping with very large short-alls. Tese shortalls will push costs upward

    above what they otherwise might beor years to

    come, in some cases.

    As o June 30, 2009, CalPERS reported that

    its UAAL in its main pension und or state and

    local governments was over $49 billionconsisting

    o about $23 billion or the state and $26 billion

    or other public agencies. Because the UAAL

    uses data that smoothes investment gains and

    losses over extraordinarily long periods o time,

    CalPERS tends to communicate its unded status

    by another, more volatile measure that relies on

    the market value o its investments at any given

    time. By this measure, CalPERS main pension

    und was 61 percent unded with a $115 billion

    ununded liability, split between the state and other

    public agencies. In 2009-10, buoyed by avorable

    investment perormance, CalPERS reports that

    its unded status improved somewhatto around

    65 percent when measured based on the market

    value o assets. Fiscal year 2010-11 saw even more

    avorable investment returns.Unlike CalPERS, but like most other pension

    systems, CalSRS recognizes investment gains and

    losses in its actuarial valuations over a multiyear

    period. Due to the near-collapse o world fnancial

    markets in 2008, CalSRS and other pension

    systems sustained heavy losses, and the continued

    recognition o those losses is the major driver o the

    systems growing reported UAAL. Te most recent

    CalSRS valuation indicates the systems UAAL

    grew rom $40.5 billion as o the 2009 valuation to

    just over $56 billion as o June 30, 2010. Tis means

    that CalSRS reported unded ratio dropped rom

    78 percent as o the 2009 valuation to 71 percent in

    the June 30, 2010 valuation.

    Pension systems in Caliornia and elsewhere

    reported growth in their UAALs aer the 2008

    market collapse and then experienced a recovery

    in their unded status during the relatively strong

    investment markets o 2009-10 and 2010-11.Tese trends illustrate a primary reason that

    ununded liabilities emerge: weaker-than-expected

    investment returns. Lower-than-expected

    investment returns have been a primary reason

    or growth o ununded pension liabilities in the

    last decade. Such investment weaknessrelative to

    some pension systems assumption o 7.5 percent

    to 8 percent investment return per yearhas given

    uel to critics, who believe that these assumptions

    are imprudent and understate costs that govern-

    ments and employees should contribute or a given

    set o benefts.

    Other reasons or ununded liabilities include

    beneft increases that are implemented retroactively

    (that is, applied to previous years o service beore

    the beneft enhancement is implemented) and

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    demographic and pay changes among employees

    and retirees. I retirees live longer than expected

    by plan actuaries, ununded liabilities can result. I

    employees are paid more than expected during their

    career relative to assumptions o plan actuaries, this

    also can contribute to ununded liabilities.Ununded Retiree Health Liabilities. For many

    governments, the size o ununded retiree health

    liabilities has rivaled or exceeded their ununded

    pension liabilities. In contrast to pensions, govern-

    ments typically have not pre-unded their retiree

    health liabilities. In other words, they generally

    have never set aside undsor required employees

    to do soto cover the uture costs o retiree health

    benefts earned during their working lives. Tis

    means that uture taxpayers may bear a larger

    cost burden or these benefts. Unlike pensions,

    there are no investment returns under this type

    o unding structure to cover a large portion o

    beneft costs. While a small portion o governments

    have begun to pay down their ununded retiree

    health liabilities, such liabilities will remain a

    pressing burden or many Caliornia public entities

    as the decades progress. Te state governments

    ununded retiree health liabilities alone total about

    $60 billion, as o June 30, 2010, according to theState Controllers O ce. A report released by a

    commission in early 2008 estimated that all public

    entities in the state had a combined retiree health

    ununded liability o over $118 billion as o that

    time; that total probably has grown since then.

    Ununded Liabilities and Growing Benets

    Have Increased Costs. Increased benefts and

    the emergence o large ununded liabilities have

    increased pension and retiree health costs or many

    Caliornia governments in recent years. In Figure 1,

    we show the trend o increasing state General Fund

    costs or retirement benefts in nominal dollars. A

    major reason or the magnitude o recent growth

    in state costs is the act that public employers

    generally benefted rom

    pension holidays in the

    late 1990s and early 2000s

    due to the stock market

    bubble that temporarilyresulted in systems like

    CalPERS being ully

    unded or close to it.

    Figure 2 shows the

    contribution rates paid by

    the state as a percentage

    o pay or several key

    employee groups. (While

    state contributions as

    a percentage o pay

    were slightly higher in

    1980beore the period

    covered in Figure 2that

    period is not directly

    comparable to the present

    day since CalPERS at

    State Retirement Costs Have Been Growing

    General Fund (In Billions)

    Figure 1

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    $6

    1990-91 1993-94 1996-97 1999-00 2002-03 2005-06 2008-09 2011-12

    CalSTRSCalPERS Retirement Programsa

    CalPERS Retiree Health Programb

    Other

    aAmount for 1997-98 includes an over $1 billion state payment related to a major court case involvingCalPERS.

    bIncludes the budget item for these costs and LAO estimate of the General Fund share of the implicitsubsidy for annuitant benefits that is paid along with employees health premiums.

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    that time invested primarily in fxed-income bond

    instruments and assumed an annual investment

    return o only 6.5 percent.

    Inexible Benefts, Inexible Costs

    Strict Legal Limits on Changing Benetsand Reducing Government Costs. In our view,

    perhaps the most signifcant retirement beneft

    challenge acing Caliornia governments is that

    there is very little exibility or governmental

    employers under decades o case law that are

    extremely protective o employee and retiree

    pension rights. In Caliornia, pension benefts

    or public employees are an element o a public

    employees compensation. He or she begins to

    accumulate pension rights at the moment o hiring,

    and these benefts accumulate throughout a public

    service career. Tere is a detailed case law in the

    state that protects these benefts as contracts under

    the State and U.S. Constitutions. Pension beneft

    packages, once promised to an employee, generally

    cannot be reducedeither retrospectively or

    prospectivelywithout a governments oering

    comparable and osetting advantages (which,

    themselves, can be quite expensive). Te case law

    suggests that governments do have some power to

    alter benefts when they ace emergency situations,

    but these powers are very limited, and govern-ments, according to case law, generally will have to

    alter benefts temporarily, with interest accruing

    to employees and retirees in the meantime. In

    some cases, local governments may be able to

    alter contracts when they seek protection under

    Chapter 9 o the U.S. Bankruptcy Code.

    Negotiations Can Help, but Unions Must

    Represent Teir Members. In general, the primary

    way that the state and local governments can

    change pension benefts or current and past

    employees is to negotiate with employee groups. As

    discussed above, the state and some local govern-

    ments have successully reduced pension costs

    recently through such negotiations. Te challenge

    with this approach, however, is that unions have an

    obligation to represent their members, and so, in

    State Retirement Contribution Rates Have Increased

    As Percent of Payroll by Retirement Category

    Figure 2

    Miscellaneous Tier 1

    Correctional Officer and Firefighter

    California Highway Patrol Officers

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40%

    1990-91 1992-93 1994-95 1996-97 1998-99 2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11

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    exchange or pension concessions, they generally

    will be duty bound to seek comparable, osetting

    benefts or their members. For example, many o

    the recent state employee agreements that increased

    employee contributions to their pensions included

    uture pay increases roughly equivalent to theincrease in the employee pension contributions.

    Tis is understandable, given the history o the

    states beneft commitments and the obligations

    o unions to represent their members, but it limits

    governments to an extent rom achieving lasting

    cost savings or current and past employees

    through the negotiation process.

    For Future Employees, Government Can

    Alter Pension and Retiree Health Benets. While

    governments have very little exibility with regard

    to current and past employees retirement benefts,

    it is clear that they may change beneft promises

    prospectively or uture hires without limit.

    Disparity Between Public and

    Private Retirement BeneftsUnderlying the real policy and fscal problems o

    current public retirement systems is a sharp divide

    between public-sector and private-sector workers.

    Public-sector workers have guaranteed, defned-

    beneft pension plans, and many, but not all, o them

    have retiree health plans too. Private-sector workers

    by and large have none o these things anymore. Te

    Governors proposal, in essence, aims to reduce this

    substantial disparity.

    he Governor released his 12-point pension

    plan on October 27, 2011. In addition to making

    remarks at a press conerence, the Governor

    released a short description o the goals o

    his plan. While some o the elements o the

    plan have been included in prior legislativevehicles (and the Governor released language

    or similar proposals on March 31), our rev iew

    below is based primarily on the Governors

    pension handout rom October 27 and his press

    conerence, as well as subsequent contacts with

    administration sta concerning the plan. Drat

    legislative language to implement the Governors

    proposals would need to ill in many details

    absent rom his October 27 presentation.

    Below, we wil l review each o the 12 points in

    turn, providing, in some cases, some background

    inormation, a description o the Governors

    proposal, and our initial comments.

    EQUAL SHARINGOF PENSION COSTS

    Background

    Normal Cost and Ununded Liability

    Contributions. Contributions to pension plans

    rom employers and employees consist o two

    main components: (1) normal cost contributions,

    which generally are equal to the amount actuaries

    estimate is necessarycombined with assumed

    uture investment returnsto pay the cost o uture

    pension benefts that current employees earn in

    that year and (2) contributions to retire ununded

    liabilities. For example, CalPERS estimates that

    the normal cost or state Miscellaneous ier 1

    workers (such as state o ce workers and most CSUemployees) is now 14.4 percent o their payroll. In

    addition, the annual cost to retire ununded liabil-

    ities or Miscellaneous ier 1 workersplus some

    related beneft costsequals 10.4 percent o payroll,

    or a total required contribution o 24.8 percent

    o payroll. For CalPERS state Peace O cer and

    Firefghter workers (principally state correctional

    GOVERNORS 12-POINT PLAN

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    o cers), the normal cost is now 25.4 percent o their

    payroll, and the annual cost to retire ununded

    liabilities is 11.3 percent o payroll, or a total

    required contribution o 36.7 percent o payroll.

    Most State Workers Pay One-Hal o Normal

    Costs and One-Tird o otal Costs. Followingthe recent agreements o state employee unions to

    increase their employees contributions to CalPERS,

    over 70 percent o Miscellaneous ier 1 workers

    contribute approximately 8 percent or more o

    monthly pay to cover pension costs. Tis 8 percent

    exceeds 50 percent o the normal cost contributions

    or these employees, but, or most, represents only

    about one-third o the totalrequired contribution,

    including both normal costs and ununded liability

    contributions. In the state Peace O cer and

    Firefghter group, about 80 percent o workers now

    contribute about 11 percent o their monthly pay

    to cover pension costs. Tis represents just under

    one-hal o the normal cost contributions or these

    employees, but less than one-third o the total

    required contribution.

    With Fixed Employee Contributions,

    Employers Cover Any Cost Changes. In current law

    and most employee contracts, employee contributionsto their pensions generally are fxed. Tis means that

    the portion o the total required contribution not paid

    by workers generally is paid by the public employer

    in this example, the state. While normal costs tend to

    remain airly stable over time, assuming no changes

    in the pension beneft structure, ununded liabilities

    can change markedly rom year to year due mainly to

    upturns and downturns in the investment markets.

    Since employee contributions generally are fxed in

    labor agreements or state or local law, this means

    that the public employer can experience signifcant

    increases in total required contributions as ununded

    liabilities increase and signifcant decreases in total

    required contributions when those liabilities drop.

    Public Employee Contributions Vary. Like the

    state, some local public employers recently have

    negotiated with their unions to increase employee

    contributions to local pension plans. As the

    Governor points out, however, there remains a wide

    disparity among public employers in what portion

    o normal costs and total required contributions

    is borne by public employees themselves. In somecases, public employees make no such contribu-

    tions. Various laws, agreements, and precedents

    allow some employers to pay a portion o their

    employees contributions to pension plans. In many

    cases, such a payment merely substitutes or pay

    the employers otherwise might choose to give to

    employees, but it means that some employees may

    see no real costs or their pension benefts when

    reviewing their pay stubs. Tere is concern among

    some that many o these public employees view

    their substantial pension as a sort o ree good.

    Proposal

    Equal Sharing o Normal Costs, but Unclear

    I Sharing Would Apply to Other Costs. Te

    Governors plan proposes that all current and

    uture public employees be required to pay at least

    50 percent o the normal costs o their defned

    pension benefts. Tis seemingly would mean thatthere would be no more employer payments o

    required employee pension contributions. Tis

    requirement would be phased in at a pace that

    takes into account current contribution levels,

    current contracts and the collective bargaining

    processapparently, over several years.

    Te Governors proposal explicitly addresses

    only the employee share o normal costs and is

    unclear as to whether the 50 percent requirement

    also would apply to ununded liability contri-

    butions. It is also unclear i the 50 percent

    requirement would apply to defned contribution

    und deposits (which also can be split 50/50

    between employers and employees, in theory).

    Governor Says Tis Provides Real Near-erm

    Savings.By applying the increased employee

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    payment requirement to both current and uture

    public employees, the Governor states that this

    change would provide near-term cost relie or

    some public employers, since increased employee

    contributions would reduce contributions that

    public employers otherwise would have to make.

    LAO Comments

    Governors Proposal a Good Start in Tis

    Area. We agree with the Governor that uture

    public employees should be required to pay or

    a portion o pension contributions. We believe

    it would enhance public confdence in state and

    local retirement systems or there to be a clear,

    unambiguous statewide policy in this area. Tere

    is no single correct percentage o total required

    contributions that employees should be required

    to pay, but 50 percent is a reasonable starting

    point or the discussion.

    Important or Employees to Share in

    Ununded Liability Costs oo. We urge the

    Legislature to require that uture public

    employees bear a portion o not only pension

    normal costs, but also ununded liability

    contributions. When public employers seetheir pension contributions go up due to a

    downturn in the stock market or similar reasons,

    employees should see their contributions rise

    as well. Similarly, when public employers see

    their pension contributions drop due to stock

    market upticks, employees should beneit rom a

    reduction in their contributions.

    Like many others, we are concerned that

    public retirement boards make excessively

    optimistic assumptions concerning uture

    investment returns. We believe that requiring

    public employees to bear a portion o the cost

    (or beneit rom a port ion o the savings) when

    these assumptions prove inaccurate wi ll incen-

    tivize retirement boards to make more prudent

    investment assumptions. Moreover, requir ing

    employees to bear a portion o ununded liability

    costs would reduce the year-to-year volatility

    o government contributions to pensions. In

    eect, this change would transer a portion o

    this volatility risk rom employers (who now

    generally pay all increases due to unundedliabilities) to employees.

    Case Law: Possible or Some Current

    Employees, but Probably Not or Many Others.

    At his press conerence announcing the proposal,

    the Governor said his proposal addressed

    existing employees by increasing their contri-

    bution rate. He added, One thing we know or

    sure: under constitutional law, the employer can

    require higher contributions.

    We do not share the Governors belie that

    existing constitutional law clearly allows the

    state to require current public employees to

    contribute more to pensions. o the contrary,

    such a proposal seems to run counter to existing

    constitutional protections in case law that may

    protect many current and past public employees.

    In the nearby box (see page 18), we summarize

    the case and statutory law in this area, which

    suggests that it might be possible to increasecontributions or some current employees, but

    not or others. For many current employees, such

    contribution increases probably could be imple-

    mented only through negotiations, and in any

    event, would result in many employers increasing

    pay or other compensation to oset the inancial

    eect o the higher pension contributions. Since

    increasing current employees contributions is

    one o the only ways to substantially decrease

    employer pension costs in the short run, the legal

    and practical challenges that we describe mean

    that the Governors plan may ail in its goal to

    deliver noticeable short-term cost savings or

    many public employers.

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    HYBRID PENSION PLANFOR FUTURE EMPLOYEES

    Background

    Hybrid pension plans generally combine

    a defned beneft pension with a defned contri-

    bution retirement savings plan. Accordingly, it

    is important to understand the characteristics o

    both such plans. Te key dierence between such

    plans is the handling o investment risk. In most

    defned beneft plans, such as Caliornias state

    and local pension systems, employers bear almost

    all investment risk. Tis means that i investment

    returns o the systems over time are less than

    projected, public employer costs rise, but public

    employee costs do not change. By contrast, indefned contribution plans, an employer is obligated

    to make only a specifc amount o contributions

    in the years that employees work. I investment

    returns are less than desired, the employer is not

    obligated to contribute anything more to a defned

    contribution plan. In defned contribution plans,

    thereore, employees and retirees generally bear all

    investment risk.

    Proposal

    Hybrid Plan or Future Public Employees.

    Te Governor proposes that uture public

    employees be enrolled in hybrid retirement plans.

    Details o the Governors idea are somewhat

    unclear, but he appears to envision employer

    and employee contributions to both defned

    beneft and defned contribution plans, as well as

    employees participation in Social Security (except,

    presumably, or uture teachers and most publicsaety workers). Te Governor seems to propose

    that the state Department o Finance be empowered

    to design such hybrid plans based on the ollowing

    general goals:

    Non-Public Safety Employees. Te

    hybrid plans would be based on employer

    and employee contribution schedules

    that would aim to produce a 75 percent

    replacement ratio or non-public saety

    employees assuming a 35-year public-

    sector career. Te defned beneft pension

    plan would be responsible or aboutone-third o the 75 percent replacement

    income, the defned contribution plan

    another one-third, and Social Security the

    fnal one-third. For teachers and others

    not in Social Security, the defned beneft

    would be responsible or two-thirds o

    the 75 percent replacement income, with

    defned contribution plans responsible or

    the remaining one-third.

    Public Safety Employees. Te hybrid

    plans would be based on employer and

    employee contribution schedules that

    would aim to produce a 75 percent

    replacement ratio or public saety

    employees assuming a 30-year public-

    sector career. For those employees not

    in Social Security, as with teachers, the

    defned beneft would be responsible or

    two-thirds o the 75 percent replacement

    income, with defned contribution plans

    responsible or the remaining one-third.

    Benet Cap or High-Income Public

    Employees. Te Governors plan also reerences a

    cap on the defned beneft portion o the proposed

    hybrid plan requirement so that public employers

    do not ace high costs or pension benefts o

    uture high-income public workers. Such a cap

    might aect uture public workers like the small,

    but growing, portion o current public pensioners

    who receive pension beneft payments exceeding

    $100,000 per year. Te Governors plan provides no

    detail on how such a cap might work.

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    Strict Legal Protections Limit Governments Flexibility

    Our understanding o Caliornias detailed case law on public pensions over the last century is as

    ollows: in order to have the exibility to unilaterally implement cost-saving reductions to the pensions o

    current and past employees, public employers need to have explicitly preserved their rights to make such

    changes either at the time o an employees hiring or in subsequent, mutually-agreed amendments to the

    pension arrangement. Otherwise, reductions or these employees and retirees require that comparable,

    osetting advantages be grantedadvantages that tend to negate the pension savings.

    Comparable New Advantages Generally Required When Disadvantaging Employees. Te 1955

    Caliornia Supreme Court case,Allen v. Long Beach, is an important landmark in Caliornia pension law.

    Te court ruled that changes in a pension plan which result in disadvantage to employees should be accom-

    panied by comparable new advantages. One o the pension amendments invalidated inAllen increased

    each employees pension contribution rom 2 percent to 10 percent o salary. Te Supreme Court, in act,

    declared that this increased contribution requirement obviously constitutes a substantial increase in the

    cost o pension protection to the employee without any corresponding increase in the amount o the beneftpayments he will be entitled to receive upon his retirement.

    In Pasadena Police O cers Association v. City o Pasadena (1983), a state appellate court said the

    precedent inAllen meant that where the employees contribution rate is a fxed element o the pension

    system, the rate may not be increased unless the employee receives comparable new advantages or the

    increased contribution. Te appellate court added that while an increase in an employees contribution rate

    operates prospectively only and in eect reduces uture salaryinAllen the Supreme Court struck down

    such a change on the grounds that it modifed the system detrimentally to the employee without providing

    any comparable new advantages.

    What About Changing Future Benet Accruals?Te logic in theAllen and Pasadena Police O cers

    Association cases, among others, makes it very di cult to assume that state or local governments could

    unilaterally change the rate at which current employees accrue pension benefts or theiruture service, as

    has been suggested by various recent proposals. (Te Governor does not make such a proposal.)

    In a 1982 case, Carman v. Alvord, the Caliornia Supreme Court noted that upon entering public

    service an employee obtains a vested contractual right to earn a pension on terms substantially equivalent

    to those then oered by the employer. In the 1991 case concerning Proposition 140, the court considered

    that measures termination o then-incumbent legislators rights to earn uture pension benefts through

    continued service. In that case, the court said the termination o the beneft accrual rights or these legis-

    lators was a contract impairment and was unconstitutional under the U.S. Constitutions contract clause

    because it inringed on their vested pension rights. (Proposition 140, it should be noted, did end pension

    benefts or legislators elected aerits passage.) Furthermore, in the Pasadena Police O cers Association

    case, the appellate court noted that an employee has a vested right not merely to preservation o benefts

    already earnedbut also, by continuing to work until retirement eligibility, to earn the benefts, or their

    substantial equivalent, promised during his prior service.

    Signicant Challenges to Mandating Tat Current Workers Contribute More. While the case

    law described above is protective o current and past public employees pension rights, it indicates that

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    governments may be able to unilaterally (that is, outside o negotiations) change elements o the pension

    arrangement i they have explicitly preserved the right to do so. For example, in International Association

    o Firefghters, Local 145 v. City o San Diego (1983), the Caliornia Supreme Court ruled that a city could

    increase employee contribution rates pursuant to city charter and ordinance provisions that allowed it

    to do so. Accordingly, some public employers that have careully preserved such rights could unilaterallyimplement increases in current workers pension contributions.

    We suspect that many local governments may not be in a good position to deend their ability to

    implement such increases. While several sections o the states CalPERS and 1937 Act laws purport to

    preserve the Legislatures ability to increase certain CalPERS contribution rates or make clear that state law

    itsel does not limit local governments ability to periodically increase, reduce, or eliminate their payments

    to oset required employee contributions, local governmentspromising, as they do, a wide variety o

    retirement packages through dozens o retirement systemsmay obligate themselves contractually.

    Even in a 2009 decision upholding San Diegos ability to impose higher employee pension costs at a

    bargaining impasse, the Ninth Circuit ederal appeals court distinguished between legislatively enacted

    reductions in employers payment o a share o employees required pension contributions (allowable, the

    court ruled) and legislatively imposed increases in the totalamounto required employee pension contribu-

    tions themselves (implying the latter may be unallowable under contract law). Te Ninth Circuit stressed

    that looking into a state or local legislative bodys intentwas key to determining whether a retirement

    beneft provision was contractually protected. Accordingly, some local governments may have intended to

    include low employee contributions as a part o their pension contract, while others may not. Tis muddled,

    uncertain legal ramework seems to us inconsistent with the Governors claim that governments have broad

    legal ability to mandate current employee contribution increases. Furthermore, even i unilateral increases

    are permissible under contract law, they will directly or indirectly result in many governments having to pay

    more to employees in salaries or other orms o compensation in order to remain competitive in the labormarket. For example, recent increases in most state employees contributions negotiated with rank-and-fle

    employees were accompanied by uture salary increases o similar amounts.

    Since increasing current employees contributions is one o the only ways to substantially decrease

    employer pension costs in the short run, these substantial legal and practical hurdles mean that the

    Governors plan may ail in its goal to deliver noticeable short-term cost savings to many public employers.

    Key Lesson From Case Law: Governments Should Be Clear AboutTeirPension Rights. Te case

    law makes clear to us that governments oen have not been clear about what aspects o pension and retiree

    health benefts and contributionsi anythey can change unilaterally in the uture and which they

    cannot. For this reason, we have recommended that the Legislature require local governments to explicitly

    disclose to employeespreerably, on the day that they are hiredwhich aspects o pension and retiree

    health benefts and contributions the public entity can change unilaterally (that is, without negotiation) and

    which it cannot. I it chose to do so, the Legislature could require that such disclosures reect the results o

    collective bargaining and apply only to uture employees. (Approval o such a requirement by voters may be

    necessary to avoid the state having to reimburse local governments or this disclosure mandate.)

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    LAO Comments

    Excellent Starting Point or Discussion. We

    previously have recommended that the Legislature

    take steps to ensure that uture public workers are

    enrolled in hybrid plans. Tis can reduce substan-

    tially the risk o uture ununded pension liabilities

    by shiing a signifcant portion o the risk that

    public employers now bear or defned beneft plans

    to defned contribution plans instead. In defned

    contribution plans, employers bear no risk or

    uture investment returns, and ununded liabilities

    or these plans are not possible.

    Major Policy Shi Would Make Public

    Employees More Like Private-Sector Workers.

    We believe that moving uture public employees tohybrid plans would address a key policy concern

    relating to the current public employee pension

    systemthe growing disparity between public-

    sector and private-sector employee retirement

    benefts and security. Moving to a hybrid plan would

    bring public employees retirement packages closer

    in line with those o their private-sector counterparts

    and serve to discourage uture public employees

    rom retiring as early as their predecessors do today.

    Finally, we believe that the Governors goal to have

    career public workers have a retirement income

    equal to about 75 percent o their career income

    makes sense and is in line with studies indicating

    the replacement ratio to preserve an employees

    liestyle in retirement. (Tis is particularly true i

    the employee has supplemental employer-subsidized

    health coverage during retirement.)

    We discuss our concerns related to the

    proposed cap or high-income public workers laterin this report. Also, as discussed immediately

    below, there appear to be discrepancies between

    this part o the Governors proposal and his

    proposal to increase uture public employees

    retirement ages.

    INCREASED RETIREMENT AGESFOR FUTURE EMPLOYEES

    Background

    In Caliornia, public employee pension

    ormulas oen are reerenced in a type o

    shorthandsuch as 2 percent at 55that implies

    there is a single retirement age (in this case, 55).

    Actually, current Caliornia public employees in

    this group are eligible to begin receiving service

    retirement benefts at age 50although with a

    lower beneft actor. In most cases, however, these

    employees work longer so that they can increase

    their retirement benefts through a higher actor.

    For example, in the 2 percent at 55 group ornon-public saety state employees, employees can

    max out their actor at 2.5 percent at age 63. Even

    this, however, is not the maximum retirement

    age, as workers generally can continue to increase

    their benefts by working more years beyond age 63.

    As shown in Figure 3, in the states three largest

    public employee retirement systems, the average

    state or local employee retired at about age 60 as

    o 2009-10. Public saety employees tend to retire a

    ew years earlier. Moreover, due to recent changes

    in benefts or newly hired state employees and

    some local employees, average retirement ages in

    many o the groups shown in the fgure will tend

    to increase somewhat in the coming decades under

    current policies, even i the Governors proposal is

    not adopted.

    It is also worth noting that many retirees

    receiving benefts rom public retirement systems

    also work in other jobs during their lietime,including private-sector positions. Tese partial

    career employees can receive relatively small

    pension benefts. Calculations o the average

    monthly or annual pension benefts paid by public

    pension systems oen include these partial-career

    workers. I such workers were excluded rom these

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    calculations, average monthly benefts paid would

    be higher than shown by public pension systems in

    many cases, and average retirement ages shown in

    Figure 3 also could be aected.

    ProposalWork to a Later Age Would Be Required or

    Full Benets. Te Governors plan seemingly

    requires that all uture public employees work to a

    later age to qualiy or ull retirement benefts. Te

    Governor proposes that non-public saety pensions

    or uture employees target a retirement age at

    67 (the current Social Security retirement age or

    those workers). Future public saety workers would

    target a lower retirement age commensurate with

    the ability o those employees to perorm their jobs

    in a way that protects public saety. (As discussed

    below, it is not clear exactly what the Governor

    means in this part o his proposal. Presumably,

    this would be addressed when the administration

    provides additional details about its plan.)

    Te Governor points out that these changes

    would reduce signifcantly both pension and

    retiree health costs or governments. In particular,

    employees would haveewer, i any, years

    between retirement

    and reaching the age

    o Medicare eligibility.

    Aer the age o Medicare

    eligibility, a substantial

    portion o public-sector

    retiree health care costs

    shi to the ederal govern-

    ments Medicare program.

    LAO Comments

    Increasing Average

    Retirement Ages

    Is Essential. Given

    increased longevity, we

    believe it is appropriate to increase retirement

    ages or uture public employees. Failing to do so

    would risk a growing long-term fscal burden or

    governments supporting pension programs, since

    uture increases in longevity would then produce

    proportionate or greater increases in pension andretiree health beneft costs. Tere is no single right

    age to target, especially or public saety workers. It

    will be important, however, or the Legislature to

    set a specifc policy or public saety workers rather

    than the nebulous one that the Governors proposal

    seems to suggest.

    Te Legislature also may wish to consider

    whether the current age o minimum service

    retirement eligibility or most public employees

    age 50should be increased.

    Possible Conict With Other Parts o the

    Proposal. We are uncertain how the Governors

    retirement age proposal squares with other aspects

    o his proposal. Specifcally, i uture non-public

    saety workers are to work until age 67 to receive

    ull retirement benefts, this suggests that a public

    employee entering government service right out

    o college or high school might have to work or

    Figure 3

    Average Retirement Ages for Selected PublicEmployee Groups in 2009-10

    Age

    California Public Employees Retirement Systema

    California Highway Patrol Officers 53

    Local public safety officers 55

    State correctional officers and firefighters 60

    Other state and local employeesb 60-61

    California State Teachers Retirement Systema

    School district and community college teachers 62

    University of California Retirement Plan

    Professional and support staff members 59

    Academic faculty 63a Includes service retirements only. Disability retirements, on average, occur 8 to 11 years earlier for

    CalPERS members and about 6 years earlier for CalSTRS members.b Includes state and local miscellaneous employees, such as government office workers.

    CalPERS = California Public Employees Retirement System; CalSTRS = California State TeachersRetirement System.

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    over 40 years to receive such benefts. Yet, the

    Governors hybrid proposal envisions a 75 percent

    replacement ratio or such workers aer only 35 years

    o government service. Accordingly, it is not clear

    how the Governors plan intends to mesh the key

    variables o the expected length o a working career,replacement ratios, and retirement age.

    LIMIT SPIKINGFOR FUTURE EMPLOYEES

    Background

    Benets or Many Still Based on Single

    Highest Year o Salary. Many current public

    employees are entitled to receive pension benefts

    based on their single highest year o government

    salary. As we discussed in our 2005 P&Ireport on

    public pensions, this single-year ormula or deter-

    mining pension benefts is very rare among state

    and local employees in the United States; in act,

    it is a eature o public pensions in Caliornia and

    almost nowhere else.

    In recent years, the state and some local

    governments have moved to change the single-year

    ormula or newly hired employees by instead

    calculating their pension benefts based on theirhighest average annual compensation over a three-

    year period. Tis discourages pension spiking,

    which includes eorts o employees to change jobs

    or receive increased pay during their fnal one

    or two years o employment that increases their

    eventual pension beneft by a large amount.

    Proposal

    Require Tree-Year Final Compensation or

    Future Employees. Te Governor proposes that all

    uture public employees have their defned beneft

    pensions calculated based on their highest average

    annual compensation over a three-year period.

    LAO Comments

    Broad Consensus or Tis Change. We previ-

    ously have recommended the Governors proposal.

    Tere seems to be broad public consensus or this

    change, and it would be a small step to increase

    public confdence in public employee pension

    systems. We caution, however, that, despite

    requent headlines concerning pension spiking,

    this change probably would result in substantial

    pension cost savings or a relatively small group

    o uture employees. It is not likely to result in

    signifcant cost savings or governments.

    BASE BENEFITSON REGULAR, RECURRING PAY

    Background

    Current Rules Can Result in Some Abuses.

    Tere are some instances when public pensions

    reportedly are increased as a result o employees

    receiving additional pay rom bonuses, unused

    vacation time, overtime, and other perks. Many

    pension systems, however, already prohibit such

    compensation items rom being used to calculate

    fnal compensation or purposes o pension benefts.

    Proposal

    Establish Uniorm Rule to Prevent Abuses. Te

    Governor proposes that all public defned beneft

    pension systems prohibit these types o compen-

    sation items rom being included in fnal compen-

    sation used to determine annual pension benefts or

    uture employees.

    LAO Comment

    Broad Consensus or Tis Change. We

    recommend passage o this proposal. Such a change,

    i rigorously enorced by all pension systems and

    employers, should help increase public confdence

    in Caliornias state and local pension systems.

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    Tis change, however, might lower costs or only a

    small percentage o uture employees. Tis part o

    the proposal seems unlikely, thereore, to produce

    substantial pension cost savings or governments.

    LIMIT POSTRETIREMENT EMPLOYMENTFOR ALL EMPLOYEES

    Background

    Currently, Individuals Can Return to Public

    Sector Aer Retirement. Caliornia governments

    oen rely on retired annuitants and retired

    workers rom other public employers to work

    part-time or ull-time. Such retired workers can

    bring considerable expertise to public agencies.

    Some pension systems, such as CalPERS, limit

    retired members to working or only 960 hours

    per year or certain state and local agencies, and

    these retired annuitants services do not result in

    their accruing any additional retirement benefts.

    In other cases, an individual may be able to retire

    rom one retirement system and work or an

    employer in a dierent public retirement system,

    while accruing additional retirement credit in

    that second system. (Tis latter scenario probablyoccurs very inrequently.)

    Proposal

    Extending CalPERS Limits to All Public

    Employers. Te Governor proposes to limit all

    current and uture employees in their post-retirement

    work or Caliornia governments. Specifcally, the

    Governor wants to limit all current and uture

    employees rom retiring rom public service and

    working more than 960 hours per year or a public

    employeressentially extending the CalPERS

    post-retirement employment rules to all public

    employees. Te Governor also would prohibit all

    retired employees rom earning retirement benefts or

    service on public boards and commissions.

    LAO Comments

    Important to Strike the Right Balance With

    Tese Changes. While the Governors proposal

    in this area lacks some detail, it seems reasonable

    to us, in that it seems to strike the right balance

    on limitations on postretirement employment. In

    many cases, public employers can beneft rom the

    expertise o retired workers while saving money

    paying them little or nothing in the way o benefts.

    (A ull-time worker, by contrast, typically would

    receive substantial benefts that would add to his

    or her personnel costs.) We observe, however, that

    it will be very di cult or pension systems across

    the state to enorce this provision i it is indeed

    applied to limit a public retirees work or any stateor local employer in the state. For example, it might

    be di cult or the Los Angeles County Employees

    Retirement Association to identiy a newly hired,

    middle-aged employee who happened to be a

    retiree o, say, the UCRP.

    LIMIT FELONS RECEIPTOF PENSION BENEFITS

    Proposal

    Foreit o Pension and Related Benets.

    Te Governor proposes that public o cials and

    employees convicted o a elony in carrying out

    o cial duties, in seeking elected or appointed o ce,

    or in connection with obtaining salary or pension

    benefts oreit their pension and related benefts.

    LAO Comments

    Proposal Raises Various Issues. Te Legislature

    may want to explore certain issues regarding thisproposal. For instance, it is unclear to us whether

    this type o change would be constitutional in

    all cases as applied to current and past public

    employees. For uture public employees, however,

    the state clearly may impose such a oreiture

    requirement. In addition, would such oreiture

    be prospective only, or would repayments o some

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    or all previously paid pensions to retired elons be

    required? What i the elon cannot repay such costs?

    PROHIBIT RETROACTIVE PENSION INCREASES

    BackgroundContributor to Recent Ununded Liability

    Increases. In recent years, many Caliornia govern-

    ments have retroactively applied pension beneft

    increases to some or all employees prior years o

    service. Tis can mean, or instance, that an employee

    who worked nearly all o his career earning benefts

    based on one pension beneft ormula (or example,

    2.5 percent at 55) was able to complete that career on

    a higher pension beneft ormula (such as 3 percent

    at 50). When the change is applied retroactively, that

    worker may earn a pension beneft equal to 3 percent

    o his fnal compensation multiplied by his years o

    service, even though both he and his employer made

    contributions throughout his working lie based

    on a 2.5 percent beneft actor. Accordingly, when

    that worker retires, the government is le with an

    ununded liability to address in the coming decades.

    ProposalBan Retroactive Benet Increases. Te

    Governor proposes to ban uture retroactive

    pension increases or all public employees. Prior

    retroactive increases are constitutionally protected

    and generally cannot be changed.

    LAO Comment

    An Important Change to Make. History

    suggests that, particularly at times when pension

    systems temporarily appear overunded, retroactive

    beneft increases can be very tempting or public

    employers and employeesessentially a kind o

    ree money to provide to career public servants.

    Yet, as the Governor correctly points out, such ree

    money generally will end up costing taxpayers,

    since pension systems rarely remain overunded or

    long and ununded liabilities almost always result

    rom such retroactive beneft grants. Moreover,

    retroactive grants oen will play no roleor even a

    counterproductive rolein encouraging employee

    recruitment and retention. New recruits certainly

    do not beneft rom a higher pension beneft appliedto prior years o service. Valued career employees

    oen will be incentivized to retire earlierthan they

    otherwise would due to their ability to receive a

    higher retirement beneft.

    Given the history o public employers in this

    area and the limited instances in which such retro-

    active beneft grants would be o real value to public

    employers, we recommend that the Legislature

    approve this element o the Governors proposal.

    PROHIBIT PENSION HOLIDAYS

    Background

    A Relic o Past Boom Years in the Financial

    Markets. During the late 1990s and early 2000s,

    the tech bubble years in the stock market when

    public pension systems temporarily reported that

    they were overunded, many public employers

    substantially reduced or entirely eliminated theirannual pension contributions and, in some cases,

    public employee contributions were reduced as well.

    Tis is the key reason why state pension contribu-

    tions to CalPERS were so low in some years o

    the late 1990s, as shown in Figures 1 and 2. State

    contributions to CalSRS defned beneft program

    also were reduced during this period, contributing

    to CalSRS recent unding problems.

    Proposal

    Limit Ability o Employers to Suspend

    Contributions. Te Governors proposal would

    prohibit all employers rom suspending employer

    and/or employee contributions (related to both

    current and uture public employees) necessary to

    und annual pension costs.

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    LAO Comments

    Getting Details Right Is the Key. We agree

    that employers should be sharply limited in their

    ability to suspend regular employer or employee

    contributions. History tells us that such periods o

    overunding oen are eeting and may be based on

    temporary stock market bubbles.

    In 2008, the Public Employee Post-Employment

    Benefts Commission (PEBC) appointed by the

    prior Governor and legislative leaders agreed to

    a recommendation to restrict pension unding

    holidays. Te PEBC recommended that employers

    be permitted to implement contribution holidays

    only based on the amortization o their surplus

    over a 30-year period. In other words, contribu-tions could all to zero only in instances when

    the surplus is so great it can und 30 ull years o

    normal costs. We suggest that the Legislature use

    PEBCs recommendation as a starting point in the

    discussion in this area.

    PROHIBIT AIRTIME PURCHASES

    Background

    Widely Available, but Very Dif cult to Price.

    Pursuant to state legislation or other law, CalPERS

    and many other public pension systems have

    allowed certain eligible public employees to buy

    airtime, which is additional retirement service

    credit or years not actually worked. For example,

    a state employee can add fve years o service

    creditand, accordingly, increased retirement

    benefts laterby paying a signifcant sum o

    money to CalPERS. In theory, the public employeepays or the entire cost o this additional defned

    beneft pension credit. In practice, however, airtime