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Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova March 2016
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Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Feb 13, 2017

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Page 1: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Public Opinion SurveyResidents of Moldova

March 2016

Page 2: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Detailed Methodology

2

• The survey was coordinated and analyzed by Dr. Rasa Ališauskienė from public opinion and market research company

Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried

out by Magenta Consulting.

• Data was collected throughout Moldova (except in Transnistria) between March 11-25, 2016 through face-to-face

interviews at respondents’ homes.

• The main sample consisted of 1,500 permanent residents of Moldova older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote with an

oversample in the capital Chisinau. It is representative of the general population by age, gender, education, region and

size of the settlement.

• Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection

procedures.

• Stage one: all districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups. All regions of Moldova were surveyed.

• Stage two: selection of the settlements: cities and villages.

o Settlements were selected at random.

o The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular

type of the settlement in each region.

• Stage three: primary sampling units were described.

• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent.

• Response rate was 50 percent.

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was funded by the National Endowment for Democracy.

Page 3: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Overwhelming Dissatisfaction with Status Quo

Page 4: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction?

4

30%33% 32%

27%

31%

19%

40%

37%

42%

33%

41%

38%

22% 21%

38%

41%

13% 11%

61%57%

54%58%

55%

66%

42%

51%47%

54%

45%

53%

73% 74%

51%

47%

79%83%

9% 10%14% 15% 14% 15%

17%

12% 11%13% 14%

9%

5% 5%11% 12%

8%5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Nov-0

4

Apr-

06

Mar-

07

Apr-

08

Nov-0

8

Jun-0

9

Nov-0

9

Feb-1

0

May-1

0

Sep-1

0

Feb-1

1

Aug-1

1

Dec-1

1

Jan-1

2

Jun-1

4

Sep-1

4

Oct-

15

Mar-

16

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer

*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal which resulted in nearly $1 billion missing from three state

banks.

Page 5: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment? Nationwide

5

(Three spontaneous answers)

34%

32%

28%

13%

10%

10%

10%

10%

7%

5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Unemployment

Corruption

Low income/Pensions

Poverty

Emigration

Economic crisis

Bad government

High prices/Inflation

Political crisis

Government does not care about the people

Roads

Economic situation/Development/Stability

Instability/Chaos in the country

Thefts

Expensive utilities/Housing

The stolen billion

Social assistance

Low standard of living

Publc indifference

Oligarchy

Page 6: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

6

30%

26%

25%

15%

11%

11%

10%

9%

8%

7%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Corruption

Low income/Pensions

Unemployment

Economic crisis

Political crisis

Poverty

Emigration

High prices/Inflation

Bad government

Economic situation/Development/Stability

Government does not care about the people

Thefts

Social assistance

Roads

The stolen billion

Instability/Chaos in the country

Education problems

Public indifference

Expensive utilities/Housing

Oligarchy

Healthcare system

Low standard of living

Bad politicians

Justice reform

What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment?

Chisinau(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 7: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Is corruption a big problem in Moldova today?

7

72%

66%

64%

60%

62%

61%

58%

53%

57%

59%

61%

80%

73%

81%

73%

87%

87%

24%

25%

26%

25%

27%

31%

33%

37%

31%

33%

29%

15%

21%

14%

18%

8%

8%

2%

3%

2%

5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

1%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

5%

8%

10%

6%

5%

3%

5%

7%

4%

6%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

It is a very big issue It is a big issue It is not a big issueIt is not an issue at all Don't know/No answer

Page 8: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the majority of people or the interest of some groups?

8

17%

8%

78%

89%

5%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Majority of people Some groups Don't know/No answer

Page 9: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view?

9

57%

58%

71%

74%

24%

21%

14%

12%

8%

11%

9%

6%

11%

10%

6%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change)

Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system

Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order

Don't know/No answer

Page 10: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today?

10

1%

4%

3%

30%

31%

30%

15%

15%

10%

50%

46%

52%

4%

4%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015(Nationwide)

March 2016(Nationwide)

March 2016(Chisinau)

I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace

I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough

I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast

No change is taking place

Don’t know/No answer

Page 11: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority of the Liberal Democratic Party, Democratic Party, Liberal Party and ex-

Communist Party MPs?

11

4%

2%

10%

12%

19%

22%

55%

55%

12%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

Page 12: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Do you approve or disapprove of the new Filip government?

12

3%

6%

20%

17%

22%

18%

45%

43%

10%

16%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Chisinau

Moldova

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

Page 13: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

What are the most important problems that the Filip government must solve?Nationwide

13

26%

25%

14%

12%

8%

6%

6%

5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Job creation

Wages/Pensions

Tackling corruption

Boosting the economy

Utilities Prices

Public order

Consumer prices

Recovering the stolen billion

Living conditions

Social assistance

Roads

Poverty

Disconnect between the government and citizens

Courts /Judicial reforms

The dismissal of the bad lawmakers

Emigration

The need for concrete reforms

Relation with Russia

(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 14: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

14

24%

21%

19%

19%

12%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Wages/Pensions

Boosting the economy

Job creation

Tackling corruption

Utility prices

Recovering the stolen billion

Consumer prices

Social assistance

Living conditions

Courts/Judicial reforms

Public order

Roads

Political stability

Disconnect between the government and citizens

Fees/Taxes

The dismissal of the bad lawmakers

Plahotniuc's and Filat's role in politics

Emigration

Poverty

Develop agriculture

Healthcare/Hospitals

Education/Kindergartens

What are the most important problems that the Filip government must solve?Chisinau

(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 15: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

What is your opinion of each of the following institutions?Nationwide

15

67%

59%

57%

55%

47%

43%

38%

36%

34%

31%

27%

25%

25%

20%

19%

17%

17%

17%

24%

29%

30%

37%

43%

50%

39%

40%

46%

63%

67%

57%

63%

67%

75%

76%

76%

77%

9%

12%

12%

8%

10%

7%

23%

24%

20%

6%

6%

18%

12%

13%

6%

7%

7%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Moldovan Orthodox Church

Romanian Orthodox Church in Moldova

Army

Moldovan mass media

Education system

Local authorities

Professional associations

International Monetary Fund

Trade unions

Healthcare system

Police authorities

Central Electoral Commission

Central Bank

Courts of justice

Moldovan Government

Political parties

President’s Office

Moldovan Parliament

Favorable Unfavorable Don’t know/No answer

Page 16: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

16

63%

60%

59%

57%

52%

47%

44%

39%

34%

32%

29%

28%

25%

23%

18%

18%

14%

14%

28%

30%

27%

39%

43%

37%

39%

50%

63%

63%

53%

68%

69%

70%

78%

78%

80%

82%

9%

10%

14%

4%

5%

16%

17%

11%

3%

5%

17%

4%

6%

7%

4%

4%

5%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Moldovan Orthodox Church

Army

Romanian Orthodox Church in Moldova

Moldovan mass media

Education system

International Monetary Fund

Professional associations

Trade unions

Healthcare system

Local authorities

Central Electoral Commission

Police authorities

Central Bank

Courts of justice

Moldovan Government

President’s Office

Political parties

Moldovan Parliament

Favorable Unfavorable Don’t know/No answer

What is your opinion of each of the following institutions?Chisinau

Page 17: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova?

17

2%

2%

1%

5%

2%

2%

1%

3%

4%

2%

5%

3%

5%

3%

1%

4%

9%

1%

3%

24%

26%

25%

21%

17%

21%

16%

27%

22%

27%

23%

29%

25%

23%

18%

41%

31%

7%

11%

44%

44%

43%

41%

41%

42%

41%

37%

37%

40%

41%

36%

39%

36%

43%

30%

26%

23%

22%

17%

14%

14%

18%

24%

20%

25%

20%

27%

21%

24%

21%

22%

29%

27%

16%

26%

66%

58%

13%

14%

17%

15%

16%

15%

17%

14%

10%

10%

8%

10%

9%

9%

11%

9%

7%

3%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer

Page 18: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy?

18

18%

22%

7%

13%

15%

17%

53%

40%

7%

8%

October 2015

March 2016

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Democracy is definitely more important to me Democracy is somewhat more important to me

Prosperity is somewhat more important to me Prosperity is definitely more important to me

Don’t know/No answer

Page 19: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed?

19

3%

5%

3%

4%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

5%

3%

5%

2%

2%

4%

6%

1%

23%

26%

24%

24%

13%

20%

9%

8%

11%

14%

18%

25%

23%

15%

13%

20%

22%

4%

6%

37%

37%

36%

32%

30%

30%

22%

34%

24%

30%

28%

27%

34%

20%

31%

33%

24%

16%

23%

25%

22%

27%

27%

29%

28%

42%

39%

38%

30%

26%

22%

17%

31%

28%

23%

21%

34%

32%

9%

6%

5%

10%

20%

15%

20%

10%

21%

19%

17%

18%

18%

29%

22%

14%

19%

42%

36%

3%

4%

5%

4%

6%

5%

5%

7%

4%

5%

6%

5%

3%

3%

4%

6%

7%

4%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

Page 20: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed?

20

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

4%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

4%

1%

16%

23%

25%

19%

11%

15%

9%

7%

8%

11%

14%

16%

18%

13%

10%

18%

21%

4%

5%

48%

47%

44%

41%

37%

39%

32%

46%

36%

42%

36%

34%

43%

39%

41%

45%

38%

24%

32%

22%

20%

22%

23%

25%

27%

36%

34%

36%

29%

29%

31%

18%

28%

29%

24%

19%

33%

33%

10%

5%

5%

9%

16%

14%

17%

9%

16%

15%

14%

15%

14%

17%

15%

9%

15%

35%

27%

1%

1%

1%

5%

9%

4%

5%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

Page 21: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

In your opinion, how will economic situation of Moldova change in the next 12 months?

21

6%

11%

1%

2%

24%

27%

6%

14%

29%

24%

21%

34%

17%

11%

30%

21%

7%

12%

32%

19%

17%

15%

10%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same

Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer

Page 22: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

What are the most important problems your town/village is facing at the moment?

Nationwide

22

40%

21%

14%

10%

10%

8%

7%

5%

5%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Roads

Unemployment

Cleanliness

Water supply/Drinking water

Insufficient street lighting

Transportation

Low income/Pensions

Expensive utilities/Housing

High prices/Inflation

Sanitation/Lack of sewerage

Corruption

Bad infrastructure

Bad mayor

Gas supply

Poverty

Lack of cultural centers/Activities

Lack of parking lots

No city hall/No mayor

Emigration

Traffic

Homeless dogs

Lack of parks

(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 23: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

23

41%

33%

13%

10%

8%

8%

7%

7%

5%

5%

5%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Roads

Cleanliness

Transportation issues

Unemployment

Lack of parking lots

Unauthorized buildings

Bad infrastructure

Corruption

Traffic

Expensive utilities/Housing

High prices/Inflation

Bad mayor

Ecological situation

Low income/Pensions

Public indifference

Lack of parks

Insufficient street lighting

Too many markets and stores

Homeless dogs

Criminality

No city hall/No mayor

What are the most important problems your town/village is facing at the moment?

Chisinau(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 24: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

What are the most important problems facing you and your household? Nationwide

24

54%

21%

13%

11%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Low incomes/Financial problems

Unemployment

Expensive utilities/Housing

High prices/Inflation

Expensive medicines/Poor medical services

Poverty

Emigration

Poor social assistance

Health problems

Low living standard

(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 25: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

25

56%

24%

18%

14%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Low incomes/Financial problems

Expensive utilities/Housing

High prices/Inflation

Unemployment

Health problems

Poverty

Expensive medicines/Poor medical services

Shortage of living space

Low living standard

Poor social assistance

Emigration

No problems

What are the most important problems facing you and your household? Chisinau

(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 26: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Do you think the dissolution of the Soviet Union was a good or bad thing?

26

36%

35%

32%

29%

54%

52%

56%

59%

10%

13%

11%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

Good thing Bad thing Don't know/No answer

Page 27: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Looking to New Political Leaders

Page 28: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or members of the Moldovan government?

Nationwide

28

50%

45%

45%

40%

34%

28%

25%

22%

19%

18%

17%

17%

17%

13%

11%

10%

10%

10%

7%

6%

43%

41%

49%

30%

56%

58%

57%

72%

51%

61%

41%

45%

75%

52%

79%

36%

61%

82%

86%

88%

1%

6%

1%

19%

3%

7%

7%

19%

10%

27%

21%

2%

23%

3%

42%

18%

2%

1%

1%

6%

8%

5%

11%

7%

7%

10%

6%

11%

11%

15%

17%

6%

12%

7%

12%

11%

6%

6%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Renato Usatii

Maia Sandu

Igor Dodon

Andrei Nastase

Iurie Leanca

Dorin Chirtoaca

Pavel Filip

Vladimir Voronin

Adrian Candu

Valeriu Strelet

Natalia Gherman

Alexandru Tanase

Marian Lupu

Corina Fusu

Nicolae Timofti

Eugen Carpov

Dumitru Diacov

Mihai Ghimpu

Vlad Filat

Vlad Plahotniuc

Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard Don't know/No answer

Page 29: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

29

61%

57%

46%

38%

37%

36%

26%

26%

24%

24%

23%

18%

17%

16%

15%

13%

13%

12%

10%

5%

33%

21%

49%

58%

59%

61%

54%

62%

44%

61%

41%

79%

79%

64%

38%

67%

84%

81%

85%

92%

3%

13%

2%

1%

1%

12%

5%

15%

7%

22%

1%

13%

37%

12%

1%

2%

3%

9%

3%

3%

4%

2%

8%

7%

17%

8%

14%

2%

4%

7%

10%

7%

2%

5%

4%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Maia Sandu

Andrei Nastase

Iurie Leanca

Renato Usatii

Igor Dodon

Dorin Chirtoaca

Adrian Candu

Pavel Filip

Alexandru Tanase

Valeriu Strelet

Natalia Gherman

Marian Lupu

Vladimir Voronin

Corina Fusu

Eugen Carpov

Dumitru Diacov

Mihai Ghimpu

Nicolae Timofti

Vlad Filat

Vlad Plahotniuc

Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard No answer

What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or members of the Moldovan government?

Chisinau

Page 30: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?Nationwide

30

27%

24%

16%

13%

8%

6%

6%

3%

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

9%

16%

6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Renato Usatii

Igor Dodon

Maia Sandu

Andrei Nastase

Vladimir Voronin

Marian Lupu

Iurie Leanca

Ion Sturza

Zinaida Grecianii

Oazu Nantoi

Vlad Filat

Dorin Chirtoaca

Pavel Filip

Mihai Ghimpu

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

(Spontaneous)

Page 31: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?Chisinau

31

25%

20%

19%

17%

5%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

9%

18%

4%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Maia Sandu

Igor Dodon

Andrei Nastase

Renat Usatii

Iurie Leanca

Vladimir Voronin

Marian Lupu

Ion Sturza

Oazu Nantoi

Vlad Filat

Mihai Ghimpu

Dorin Chirtoaca

Zinaida Grecianii

Alexandru Tanase

Natalia Morari

Niolae Chirtoaca

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

(Spontaneous)

Page 32: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

32

17%

17%

11%

7%

6%

5%

2%

2%

1%

1%

22%

9%

8%

15%

17%

4%

4%

7%

4%

3%

2%

1%

27%

8%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Our Party (Usatii)

Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat)

European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

Nationwide Chisinau

Which political party best represents your point of view?(Spontaneous)

Page 33: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How much interest do you have in politics?

33

27%

23%

25%

21%

25%

22%

34%

30%

32%

28%

32%

34%

29%

37%

28%

31%

34%

35%

31%

31%

28%

26%

29%

29%

31%

30%

30%

31%

29%

26%

29%

30%

33%

32%

29%

28%

30%

39%

41%

48%

46%

49%

45%

46%

35%

39%

36%

41%

41%

36%

40%

29%

38%

39%

35%

33%

29%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

Interested Medium interest Not interested Don't know/No answer

Page 34: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential elections?

34

76%

74%

18%

18%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

*Due to a March 4, 2016 ruling of the Moldovan Constitutional Court, Moldovan citizens will directly elect the president on

October 30, 2016. This will be the first popular election of the president since 1996.

Page 35: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential elections?

Nationwide

35

83%

74%

75%

13%

20%

19%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-29 years old(N=210)

30-49 years old(N=406)

50+ years old(N=585)

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 36: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential elections?Chisinau

36

74%

69%

79%

21%

20%

14%

3%

5%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-29 years old(N=159)

30-49 years old(N=199)

50+ years old(N=230)

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 37: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

In a direct election for the President, for whom would you vote?

37

20%

18%

12%

10%

6%

5%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

4%

14%

11%

16%

17%

16%

3%

3%

3%

3%

1%

3%

2%

3%

5%

15%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Renato Usatti

Igor Dodon

Andrei Nastase

Maia Sandu

Vladimir Voronin

Marian Lupu

Iuria Leanca

Vlad Filat

Ion Sturza

Oazu Nantoi

Mihai Ghimpu

Other

Would not vote

Don't know/No answer

Nationwide Chisinau

Page 38: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Do you support the idea of early parliamentary elections?

38

66%

70%

25%

18%

9%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 39: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections?

39

75%

72%

18%

18%

3%

4%

2%

3%

1%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 40: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections?

Nationwide

40

82%

74%

74%

13%

19%

20%

1%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

18-29 years old(N=210)

30-49 years old(N=406)

50+ years old(N=585)

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 41: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections?Chisinau

41

73%

72%

72%

18%

17%

18%

4%

5%

4%

1%

3%

4%

4%

3%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

18-29 years old(N=159)

30-49 years old(N=199)

50+ years old(N=230)

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 42: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which

political party would you vote?

42

21%

20%

12%

12%

6%

6%

4%

2%

2%

1%

4%

2%

9%

10%

18%

20%

18%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

10%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Our Party (Usatii)

Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca)

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

Other

None

Will not vote

Don't know/No answer

Nationwide Chisinau

Page 43: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which

political party would you vote?Likely Voters

43

21%

20%

12%

12%

7%

6%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

9%

11%

19%

21%

19%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

1%

3%

1%

10%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Our Party (Usatii)

Party of Socialists of The Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

Political party "Action and Solidarity" (Sandu)

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform" (Nastase)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

European Peoples' Party of Moldova (Leanca)

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

Other

None

Will not vote

Don't know/No answer

Nationwide (N=1125) Chisinau (N=529)

Page 44: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

International Relations

Page 45: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

How would you assess the current relations between Moldova and…

45

60%

55%

47%

45%

41%

17%

21%

24%

26%

15%

16%

20%

16%

20%

40%

6%

4%

13%

9%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Romania

European Union

USA

Ukraine

Russia

Good Neither good, nor bad Bad Don't know/No answer

Page 46: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

46

(Nationwide)

57%

22%

55%

22%

64%

30%

59%

30%

38%

12%

36%

12%

28%

18% 19%

29%

22%

26% 25%

17%14%

3%

15%

3%

14% 15% 14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Economic partner Economic threat Political partner Political threat

European Union Russia Romania Ukraine United States None Don't know/No answer

Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest economic partner, economic threat, political partner and political

threat for Moldova?

22%

Page 47: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

47

(Chisinau)

68%

15%

66%

14%

59%

38%

49%

39%

51%

9%

49%

10%

33%

16% 17%

34%

17%

32%

21%

1%

15%

1%

15%

5%

18%

6%

18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Economic partner Economic threat Political partner Political threat

European Union Russia Romania Ukraine United States None Don't know/No answer

27%

Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest economic partner, economic threat, political partner and political

threat for Moldova?

Page 48: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which one should it be?

48

46%

38%

43%

56%

42%

45%

44%

32%

1%

3%

4%

5%

11%

14%

9%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014(Nationwide)

October 2015(Nationwide)

March 2016(Nationwide)

March 2016(Chisinau)

The European Union The Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer

Page 49: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

If a referendum was held today on Moldova joining NATO, how would you vote?

49

31%

19%

16%

28%

31%

35%

40%

32%

15%

19%

24%

19%

23%

27%

20%

21%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014(Nationwide)

October 2015(Nationwide)

March 2016(Nationwide)

March 2016(Chisinau)

For Moldova joining NATO Against Moldova joining NATO Would not vote Don’t know/No answer

Page 50: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

What do you think the future of Transnistria should be?

50

80%

61%

65%

68%

69%

68%

72%

65%

60%

61%

66%

66%

67%

60%

56%

48%

12%

21%

21%

19%

18%

17%

12%

16%

18%

20%

17%

16%

16%

15%

26%

26%

2%

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

8%

7%

8%

8%

5%

7%

6%

11%

5%

13%

1%

3%

2%

1%

2%

4%

2%

3%

5%

6%

6%

7%

7%

8%

8%

7%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

4%

11%

7%

7%

6%

5%

6%

8%

9%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 14

October 2015

March 2016

Ordinary region of Moldova, without any autonomy Autonomy within the Republic of Moldova

Independent A part of the Russian Federation

A part of Ukraine Don't know/No answer

Page 51: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Given the current Russian activities in Ukraine, do you consider Russian troops in Transnistria to be a threat to Moldova?

51

46%

36%

32%

36%

28%

33%

26%

28%

21%

27%

36%

32%

5%

4%

6%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014(Nationwide)

October 2015(Nationwide)

March 2016(Nationwide)

March 2016(Chisinau)

They are a real threat to Moldova

They are maybe a threat to Moldova, depending on events in Ukraine

They are not a real threat to Moldova

Don’t know/No answer

Page 52: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Women and Youth in Moldova

Page 53: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications aside from the fact that one is a man and one is

a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?

53

23%

17%

35%

44%

27%

31%

14%

8%

October 2015

March 2016

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Would vote for the female candidate Would vote for the male candidate

Makes no difference to me Don’t know/No answer

Page 54: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women”

54

32%

43%

29%

28%

11%

10%

5%

4%

23%

15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/No answer

Page 55: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of young people”

55

35%

50%

28%

24%

10%

9%

6%

3%

20%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/No answer

Page 56: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Demographics

Page 57: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Demographics

47%

53%

18%

34%

49%

18%

20%

33%

28%

2%

76%

6%

8%

8%

88%

7%

3%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Men

Women

18-29

30-49

50 and older

Primary/ Non-complete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Non-complete higher

Romanian

Moldovan

Russian

Ukrainian

Other

Russian Orthodox

Romanian Orthodox

Other

None

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UCATIO

NETH

NIC

ITY

RELIG

ION

57

Nationwide

Page 58: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Demographics

2%

6%

1%

4%

9%

10%

6%

1%

4%

29%

4%

16%

3%

3%

2%

39%

47%

8%

23%

36%

14%

1%

2%

21%

22%

57%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Manager/Director/Patron

Specialist

Technician

White collar

Services/Trade

Blue collar

Unqualified worker

Farmer

Student

Retired (not working)

Housewife

Unemployed/Looking for a job

Unemployed/Not looking for a job

Other

No answer

My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm

The salary or income of some of the members of family

Sale of products of the part-time farm

Use of products of the part-time farm

Social benefits

The help of relatives/Friends in a form of money or food and goods

Something elese

No answer

Chisinau

Mid-sized/Small town

Rural area

OCCU

PATIO

NBASIC

SO

URCES O

F L

IVELIH

OO

DSETTLEM

EN

TTYPE

Nationwide

Page 59: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Demographics

46%

54%

27%

34%

39%

8%

18%

28%

45%

37%

36%

19%

1%

4%

85%

8%

3%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Men

Women

18-29

30-49

50 and older

Primary/ Non-complete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Non-complete higher

Romanian

Moldovan

Russian

Ukrainian

Other

Russian Orthodox

Romanian Orthodox

Other

None

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UCATIO

NETH

NIC

ITY

RELIG

ION

59

Chisinau

Page 60: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

Demographics

3%

11%

3%

8%

10%

10%

7%

0%

7%

23%

3%

9%

2%

2%

2%

50%

57%

2%

3%

34%

11%

2%

0%

92%

0%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Manager/Director/Patron

Specialist

Technician

White collar

Services/Trade

Blue collar

Unqualified worker

Farmer

Student

Retired (not working)

Housewife

Unemployed/Looking for a job

Unemployed/Not looking for a job

Other

No answer

My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm

The salary or income of some of the members of family

Sale of products of the part-time farm

Use of products of the part-time farm

Social benefits

The help of relatives/Friends in a form of money or food and goods

Something elese

No answer

Chisinau

Mid-sized/Small town

Rural area

OCCU

PATIO

NBASIC

SO

URCES O

F L

IVELIH

OO

DSETTLEM

EN

TTYPE

60

Chisinau

Page 61: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova - IRI

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