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Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova September 2016
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Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Sep 09, 2020

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Page 1: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Public Opinion SurveyResidents of Moldova

September 2016

Page 2: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Detailed Methodology

2

• The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Ališauskienė from the public opinion and market research company, Baltic

Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the International Republican Institute. The field work was carried out by

Magenta Consulting.

• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face-

to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.

• The main sample consisted of 1,516 permanent residents of Moldova older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote. The

survey also contained an oversample in the capital of Chisinau. It is representative of the general population by age,

gender, education, region and size of the settlement.

• Multistage probability sampling method was used with the random route and next birthday respondent’s selection

procedures.

• Stage One: All districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups. All regions of Moldova were surveyed.

• Stage Two: Selection of the settlements – cities and villages.

o Settlements were selected at random.

o The number of selected settlements in each region was proportional to the share of population living in a particular

type of the settlement in each region.

• Stage Three: Primary sampling units were described.

• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent.

• The response rate was 61 percent.

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was funded by the National Endowment for Democracy.

Page 3: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Mood of the Country

Page 4: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction?

4

34%

30%33% 32%

27%

31%

19%

40%

37%

42%

33%

41%38%

22% 21%

38%

41%

13% 11%10%

58%61%

57%54%

58%55%

66%

42%

51%

47%

54%

45%

53%

73% 74%

51%

47%

79%

83% 82%

8% 9% 10%

14% 15% 14% 15%17%

12% 11%13% 14%

9%

5% 5%

11% 12%

8%

5%

8%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Mar-

04

Nov-0

4

Apr-

06

Mar-

07

Apr-

08

Nov-0

8

Jun-0

9

Nov-0

9

Feb-1

0

May-1

0

Sep-1

0

Feb-1

1

Aug-1

1

Dec-1

1

Jan-1

2

Jun-1

4

Sep-1

4

Oct-

15

Mar-

16

Sep-1

6

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer

*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal which resulted in nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks.

Page 5: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction?

5

10%

13%

82%

80%

8%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer

Page 6: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today?

6

1%

4%

3%

30%

31%

38%

15%

15%

7%

50%

46%

49%

4%

4%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough

I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast No change is taking place

Don’t know/No answer

Page 7: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

7

3%

5%

3%

4%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

5%

3%

5%

2%

2%

4%

6%

1%

1%

23%

26%

24%

24%

13%

20%

9%

8%

11%

14%

18%

25%

23%

15%

13%

20%

22%

4%

6%

6%

37%

37%

36%

32%

30%

30%

22%

34%

24%

30%

28%

27%

34%

20%

31%

33%

24%

16%

23%

25%

25%

22%

27%

27%

29%

28%

42%

39%

38%

30%

26%

22%

17%

31%

28%

23%

21%

34%

32%

30%

9%

6%

5%

10%

20%

15%

20%

10%

21%

19%

17%

18%

18%

29%

22%

14%

19%

42%

36%

35%

3%

4%

5%

4%

6%

5%

5%

7%

4%

5%

6%

5%

3%

3%

4%

6%

7%

4%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed?

Page 8: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

8

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

4%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

4%

1%

1%

16%

23%

25%

19%

11%

15%

9%

7%

8%

11%

14%

16%

18%

13%

10%

18%

21%

4%

5%

7%

48%

47%

44%

41%

37%

39%

32%

46%

36%

42%

36%

34%

43%

39%

41%

45%

38%

24%

32%

42%

22%

20%

22%

23%

25%

27%

36%

34%

36%

29%

29%

31%

18%

28%

29%

24%

19%

33%

33%

24%

10%

5%

5%

9%

16%

14%

17%

9%

16%

15%

14%

15%

14%

17%

15%

9%

15%

35%

27%

23%

1%

1%

1%

5%

9%

4%

5%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed?

Page 9: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

9

6%

11%

1%

2%

1%

24%

27%

6%

14%

13%

29%

24%

21%

34%

35%

17%

11%

30%

21%

20%

7%

12%

32%

19%

17%

17%

15%

10%

10%

14%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/No answer

In your opinion, how will economic situation of Moldova change in the next 12 months?

Page 10: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment?

10

(Three spontaneous answers)

39%

29%

29%

18%

16%

13%

11%

9%

8%

7%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Corruption

Unemployment

Low income/Pensions

Poverty

Bad government

Emigration

Economic crisis

High prices/Inflation

Political crisis

Roads

The stolen billion*

Social assistance

Instability in the country

Crime

Education problems

Low standard of living

Uncertainty about the future

Healthcare system

Bad president

Citizen indifference

*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal which resulted in nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks.

Page 11: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

11

43%22%

13%

10%

8%

7%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Roads

Unemployment

Water supply/Drinking water

Cleanliness

Low income/Pensions

Bad mayor

Corruption

Transportation

High prices/Inflation

Gas supply

Sanitation/ Lack of sewerage

Emigration

Poor conditions at schools

Insufficient street lighting

Poverty

Expensive utilities/Housing

Lack of qualified medical personnel

No pharmacy

Lack of parks

Lack of cultural centers/Activities

Social assistance

Bad infrastructure

Lack of play grounds for children

Traffic jams

What are the most important problems that your village/town is facing at the moment?

(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 12: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

12

52%

17%

10%

8%

8%

6%

5%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Low incomes/Financial problems

Unemployment

Expensive utilities/Housing

Health problems

High prices/Inflation

Emigration

Poverty

Expensive medicines/Poor medical service

Poor social assistance

Housing/Utilities

Loneliness

Water supply

No problems

What are the most important problems facing you and your household?

(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 13: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova?

13

2%

2%

1%

5%

2%

2%

1%

3%

4%

2%

5%

3%

5%

3%

1%

4%

9%

1%

3%

2%

24%

26%

25%

21%

17%

21%

16%

27%

22%

27%

23%

29%

25%

23%

18%

41%

31%

7%

11%

12%

44%

44%

43%

41%

41%

42%

41%

37%

37%

40%

41%

36%

39%

36%

43%

30%

26%

23%

22%

26%

17%

14%

14%

18%

24%

20%

25%

20%

27%

21%

24%

21%

22%

29%

27%

16%

26%

66%

58%

54%

13%

14%

17%

15%

16%

15%

17%

14%

10%

10%

8%

10%

9%

9%

11%

9%

7%

3%

6%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer

Page 14: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

14

18%

22%

17%

7%

13%

6%

15%

17%

24%

53%

40%

43%

7%

8%

10%

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Democracy is definitely more important to me

Democracy is somewhat more important to me

Economic prosperity is somewhat more important to me

Economic prosperity is definitely more important to me

Don’t know/No answer

If you could have only one or the other, which is more important to you: a democratic system of government or a prosperous economy?

Page 15: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Are people in Moldova afraid to openly express their political views?

15

27%

25%

23%

28%

29%

26%

30%

30%

30%

25%

31%

25%

34%

31%

28%

27%

17%

42%

39%

27%

31%

32%

27%

27%

28%

29%

32%

27%

25%

27%

30%

31%

26%

32%

30%

24%

26%

26%

25%

25%

26%

20%

22%

24%

19%

22%

24%

24%

19%

22%

18%

23%

28%

24%

30%

19%

17%

16%

14%

14%

15%

14%

16%

13%

10%

14%

17%

17%

18%

10%

16%

9%

15%

17%

11%

15%

4%

5%

5%

10%

8%

6%

9%

6%

5%

8%

6%

5%

7%

4%

3%

4%

12%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

March 2016

September 2016

Majority are afraid Many are afraid Some are afraid Nobody is afraid Don't know/No answer

Page 16: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view?

16

57%

58%

71%

74%

78%

24%

21%

14%

12%

9%

8%

11%

9%

6%

7%

11%

10%

6%

8%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change)

Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system

Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order

Don't know/No answer

Page 17: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Views on Corruption

Page 18: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

18

72%66%

64%

60%

62%

61%

58%

53%

57%

59%

61%

80%

73%

81%

73%

87%

87%

89%

24%

25%

26%

25%

27%

31%

33%

37%

31%

33%

29%

15%

21%

14%

18%

8%

8%

7%

2%

3%

2%

5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

1%

5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

5%

8%

10%

6%

5%

3%

5%

7%

4%

6%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

November 2004

March 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

Janaury 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

It is a very big issue It is a big issue It is not a big issue It is not an issue at all Don't know/No answer

Is corruption a big problem in Moldova today?

Page 19: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Do you consider the country to be governed in the interest of the majority of people or the interest of some groups?

19

17%

5%

78%

90%

5%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2016

September 2016

Majority of people Some groups Don't know/No answer

Page 20: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

What, in your opinion, is the greatest cause of corruption in Moldova?

20

43%

23%

20%

7%

2%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Lack of government control and oversight

The actions of business leaders and oligarchs

Poverty and necessity

Education levels of citizens

Custom and history

Other

Don't know/No answer

Page 21: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Where, in your opinion, is corruption most present in Moldova?

21

22%

19%

14%

11%

9%

8%

5%

2%

5%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

The Parliament

Public servants (doctors, teachers, policemen)

Prime Minister and Cabinet

Judical branch

Business leaders, oligarchs

Political parties and leadership of parties

The President

Local officials

Other

Don't know/No answer

Page 22: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Upcoming presidential election

Page 23: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential elections?

23

76%

64%

18%

25%

2%

4%

2%

4%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2016

September 2016

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 24: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the upcoming presidential elections?

24

56%

68%

64%

28%

23%

26%

6%

4%

4%

8%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-29 years oldN=222

30-49 years oldN=383

50+ years oldN=598

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 25: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

25

If the presidential elections were held next Sunday, and the following individuals participated in the election, for whom would

you vote?(Likely voters)

12%

2%

4%

>1%

>1%

1%

1%

3%

3%

5%

12%

13%

13%

30%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Don't know/No answer

Would not vote

Other

Pavel Filip

Alexandru Tănase

Oleg Brega

Mihai Ghimpu

Dumitru Ciubasenco

Iuria Leanca

Vladimir Voronin

Marian Lupu

Andrei Nastase

Maia Sandu

Igor Dodon

*Due to a March 4, 2016 ruling of the Moldovan Constitutional Court, Moldovan citizens will directly elect the president on October 30,

2016. This will be the first popular election of the president since 1996.

Page 26: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

26

Who would you vote for in a second round if the individual you first mentioned did not participate?

(Likely voters)

38%

13%

16%

>1%

1%

1%

1%

6%

3%

4%

4%

7%

11%

6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Don't know/No answer

Would not vote

Other

Pavel Filip

Alexandru Tănase

Oleg Brega

Mihai Ghimpu

Dumitru Ciubasenco

Iuria Leanca

Vladimir Voronin

Marian Lupu

Andrei Nastase

Maia Sandu

Igor Dodon

Page 27: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Politics

Page 28: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

How much interest do you have in politics?

28

27%

23%

25%

21%

25%

22%

34%

30%

32%

28%

32%

34%

29%

37%

28%

31%

34%

35%

31%

30%

31%

28%

26%

29%

29%

31%

30%

30%

31%

29%

26%

29%

30%

33%

32%

29%

28%

30%

39%

29%

41%

48%

46%

49%

45%

46%

35%

39%

36%

41%

41%

36%

40%

29%

38%

39%

35%

33%

29%

40%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2004

November 2004

March 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

June 2009

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2010

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Interested Medium interest Not interested Don't know/No answer

Page 29: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Which political party or political movement best represents your point of view?

29

(Spontaneous)

24%

10%

10%

9%

6%

3%

2%

1%

1%

23%

11%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

Political party ”Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu)

Our Party (Usatii)

Communist Party of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

Other

None of the parties

Don’t know/No Answer

Page 30: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

The Government

Page 31: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

What is your opinion of each of the following institutions?

31

64%

59%

52%

50%

41%

39%

34%

31%

31%

30%

23%

23%

21%

17%

14%

13%

12%

10%

23%

25%

34%

40%

50%

53%

44%

62%

62%

51%

54%

64%

64%

76%

75%

79%

82%

83%

13%

16%

14%

10%

9%

8%

22%

7%

7%

19%

23%

13%

15%

7%

11%

8%

6%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Moldovan Orthodox Church

Romanian Orthodox Church in Moldova

Army

Moldovan mass media

Education system

Local authorities

International Monetary Fund

Police authorities

Healthcare system

Professional associations

Trade unions

Central Bank

Central Electoral Commission

Moldovan Government

Courts of justice

Political parties

Moldovan Parliament

President’s Office

Favorable Unfavorable Don’t know/No answer

Page 32: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

What is your opinion of the activity of each of the following Moldovan ministers?

32

47%

44%

40%

39%

36%

35%

34%

33%

30%

30%

30%

28%

24%

22%

17%

17%

15%

41%

29%

43%

40%

45%

50%

55%

54%

54%

56%

61%

52%

65%

66%

72%

72%

74%

12%

27%

17%

21%

19%

15%

11%

13%

16%

14%

9%

20%

11%

12%

11%

11%

11%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ministry of Culture

Moldova Academy of Science

Ministry of Youth and Sports

Ministry of Informational Technologies and Communications

Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration

Ministry of Defense

Ministry of Education

Ministry of Agriculture and Food Industry

Ministry of Internal Affairs

Ministry of Environment

Ministry of Health

Ministry of Regional Development and Construction

Ministry of Labor, Social Protection and Family

Ministry of Transport and Road Infrastructure

Ministry of Economy

Ministry of Finance

Ministry of Justice

Positive Negative Don’t know/No answer

Page 33: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Do you approve or disapprove of the parliamentary majority consisting of the Democratic Party, Liberal Party and former

members of the Liberal Democratic Party and Communist Party?

33

1%

2%

13%

10%

22%

27%

52%

55%

11%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

Page 34: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Do you approve or disapprove of the forming of the Filip government?

34

4%

3%

19%

17%

21%

26%

42%

45%

14%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

*On January 20, 2016, the parliament approved a new government under Prime Minister Pavel Filip. This government was formed with

the support of multiple political parties and independent parliamentarians.

Page 35: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Do you approve or disapprove of the Filip government?

35

5%

2%

20%

20%

19%

28%

42%

41%

14%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know/No answer

Page 36: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

36

18%

17%

11%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Job creation

Wages/Pensions

Tackling corruption

Boosting the economy

Consumer prices

Roads

Social assistance

Utilities prices

Agricultural development

Emigration

Recovering the stolen billion

Disconnect between the government and citizens

Social order

Poverty

What are the most important problems that the Filip government must solve?

(Three spontaneous answers)

Page 37: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Do you think the Moldovan Parliament is responsive to the needs of citizens like you?

37

1% 7%

6%

20%

29%

70%

63%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Stongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know/No answer

Page 38: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Parliamentary elections

Page 39: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Do you support the idea of early parliamentary elections?

39

66%

70%

68%

25%

18%

22%

9%

12%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2106

September 2016

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 40: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections?

40

75%

61%

18%

26%

3%

5%

2%

5%

1%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

March 2016

September 2016

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 41: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next parliamentary elections?

41

56%

64%

62%

25%

25%

26%

8%

4%

5%

9%

5%

3%

2%

2%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

18-29 years oldN=222

30-49 years oldN=383

50+ years oldN=598

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/No answer

Page 42: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

42

45%

38%

34%

32%

27%

27%

23%

21%

20%

16%

13%

8%

7%

7%

4%

47%

47%

56%

48%

60%

60%

64%

70%

71%

55%

45%

39%

81%

83%

38%

1%

5%

2%

9%

2%

4%

4%

2%

2%

16%

29%

40%

3%

2%

45%

7%

10%

8%

11%

11%

9%

9%

7%

7%

12%

13%

13%

9%

7%

13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Igor Dodon

Maia Sandu

Renato Usatii

Andrei Nastase

Dorin Chirtoaca

Pavel Filip

Iurie Leanca

Marian Lupu

Vladimir Voronin

Andrian Candu

Alexandru Tanase

Liliana Palihovici

Vlad Plahotniuc

Mihai Ghimpu

Viorel Cibotaru

Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard Don't know/No answer

What is your opinion of the following Moldovan politicians or members of the Moldovan government?

Page 43: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

43

26%

12%

12%

11%

8%

5%

3%

1%

1%

5%

4%

12%

7%

10%

8%

3%

9%

4%

4%

1%

1%

12%

10%

32%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu)

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

Our Party (Usatii)

Communist Party of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

Other

None of the parties

Will not vote

Don’t know/No Answer

First choice Second choice

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which

political party would you vote?

Page 44: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties participated in the election, for which

political party would you vote?

44

29%

14%

13%

12%

8%

5%

3%

1%

1%

3%

11%

Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu)

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

Our Party (Usatii)

Communist Party of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

Other

None of the parties

Don’t know/No Answer

(Nationwide likely voters, N=1047)

Page 45: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?

(Spontaneous)

45

27%

16%

16%

12%

12%

6%

4%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

7%

21%

6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Igor Dodon

Maia Sandu

Andrei Nastase

Renato Usatii

Marian Lupu

Vladimir Voronin

Iurie Leanca

Pavel Filip

Zinaida Grecianii

Dorin Chirtoaca

Mihai Ghimpu

Ion Sturza

Oleg Brega

Oazu Nantoi

Vladimir Plahotniuc

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

Page 46: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

In the last 12 months, have you ever seen any political activists working in your city/village?

46

27%

30%

16%

66%

63%

81%

7%

7%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 47: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Have you seen any political activists working in your area in the last 12 months?

47

16%

29%

81%

69%

3%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 48: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

If yes, which political party did the political activists in your area represent?

(Nationwide, N=191)

48

60%

24%

16%

11%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

1%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Dodon)

Democratic Party of Moldova (Lupu)

Our Party (Usatii)

Political party "Dignity and Truth Platform” (Nastase)

Political party “Action and Solidarity” (Sandu)

Liberal Party (Ghimpu)

Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Cibotaru)

Communist Party of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin)

European People’s Party of Moldova (Leancă)

Other

Don’t know/No Answer

Page 49: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Women and Youth in Moldova

Page 50: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

If there are two candidates running for office and they have the same qualifications, aside from the fact that one is a man and one

is a woman, which candidate are you more likely to support?

50

23%

17%

15%

35%

44%

44%

27%

31%

37%

14%

8%

4%

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Would vote for the female candidate Would vote for the male candidate

Makes no difference to me Don’t know/No answer

Page 51: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women.”

51

32%

43%

52%

29%

28%

27%

11%

10%

9%

5%

4%

4%

23%

15%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/No answer

Page 52: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of young people.”

52

35%

50%

60%

28%

24%

26%

10%

9%

6%

6%

3%

2%

20%

14%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know/No answer

Page 53: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

International Relations

Page 54: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

How would you assess the current relations between Moldova and…

54

62%

57%

47%

47%

43%

19%

23%

26%

28%

21%

14%

15%

16%

18%

32%

5%

5%

11%

7%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Romania

European Union

USA

Ukraine

Russia

Good Neither good, nor bad Bad Don't know/No answer

Page 55: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

55

(Nationwide)

56%

14%

53%

14%

62%

26%

57%

26%

38%

10%

37%

11%

27%

8% 8%

29%

14%

26%

18%

2%

18%

3%

16%

7%

27%

8%

27%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Economic partner Economic threat Political partner Political threat

European Union Russia Romania Ukraine United States None Don't know/No answer

Which of these countries do you consider to be the greatest economic partner, economic threat, political partner and political

threat for Moldova?

22%

Page 56: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which one should it be?

56

46%

38%

43%

40%

42%

45%

44%

43%

1%

3%

4%

8%

11%

14%

9%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

European Union Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer

Page 57: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

If Moldova could only join one international economic union, which one should it be?

57

40%

60%

43%

27%

8%

6%

9%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

European Union Customs Union/Eurasian Union Other Don’t know/No answer

Page 58: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

If a referendum were held today on Moldova joining NATO, how would you vote?

58

31%

19%

16%

21%

31%

35%

40%

42%

15%

19%

24%

21%

23%

27%

20%

16%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

For Moldova joining NATO Against Moldova joining NATO Would not vote Don’t know/No answer

Page 59: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

If a referendum were held today on Moldova joining NATO, how would you vote?

59

21%

30%

42%

36%

21%

23%

16%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Moldova

Chisinau

For Moldova joining NATO Against Moldova joining NATO Would not vote Don’t know/No answer

Page 60: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

What do you think the future of Transnistria should be?

60

80%

61%

65%

68%

69%

68%

72%

65%

60%

61%

66%

66%

67%

60%

56%

48%

60%

12%

21%

21%

19%

18%

17%

12%

16%

18%

20%

17%

16%

16%

15%

26%

26%

24%

1%

3%

2%

1%

2%

4%

2%

3%

5%

6%

6%

7%

7%

8%

8%

7%

3%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

4%

4%

4%

5%

5%

8%

7%

8%

8%

5%

7%

6%

11%

5%

13%

7%

4%

11%

7%

7%

6%

5%

6%

8%

9%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

5%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

April 2006

March 2007

April 2008

November 2008

November 2009

February 2010

May 2010

September 2010

February 2011

August 2011

December 2011

January 2012

June 2014

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

Ordinary region of Moldova, without any autonomy Autonomy within the Republic of Moldova

A part of the Russian Federation A part of Ukraine

Independent Don't know/No answer

Page 61: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Given the current Russian activities in Ukraine, do you consider Russian troops in Transnistria to be a threat to Moldova?

61

46%

36%

32%

34%

28%

33%

26%

20%

21%

27%

36%

39%

5%

4%

6%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September 2014

October 2015

March 2016

September 2016

They are a real threat to Moldova

They are maybe a threat to Moldova, depending on events in Ukraine

They are not a real threat to Moldova

Don’t know/No answer

Page 62: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Demographics

Page 63: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Demographics

47%

53%

18%

32%

50%

16%

23%

34%

25%

5%

73%

7%

8%

7%

86%

9%

1%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Men

Women

18-29

30-49

50 and older

Primary/ Non-complete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Non-complete higher

Romanian

Moldovan

Russian

Ukrainian

Other

Russian Orthodox

Romanian Orthodox

Other

None

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UCATIO

NETH

NIC

ITY

RELIG

ION

63

Nationwide

Page 64: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Demographics

2%

9%

2%

4%

4%

8%

5%

2%

4%

33%

7%

15%

3%

1%

1%

37%

43%

9%

24%

35%

8%

3%

22%

22%

56%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Manager/Director/Patron

Specialist

Technician

White collar

Services/Trade

Blue collar

Unqualified worker

Farmer

Student

Retired (not working)

Housewife

Unemployed/Looking for a job

Unemployed/Not looking for a job

Other

No answer

My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm

The salary or income of some of the members of family

Sale of products of the part-time farm

Use of products of the part-time farm

Social benefits

The help of relatives/Friends in a form of money or food and goods

No answer

Chisinau

Mid-sized/Small town

Rural area

OCCU

PATIO

NBASIC

SO

URCES O

FLIV

ELIH

OO

DSETTLEM

EN

TTYPE

Nationwide

Page 65: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Demographics

46%

54%

28%

35%

37%

4%

15%

30%

51%

11%

76%

8%

4%

1%

85%

9%

1%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Men

Women

18-29

30-49

50 and older

Primary/ Non-complete secondary

General secondary

Vocational secondary

Higher/Non-complete higher

Romanian

Moldovan

Russian

Ukrainian

Other

Russian Orthodox

Romanian Orthodox

Other

None

GEN

DER

AG

EED

UCATIO

NETH

NIC

ITY

RELIG

ION

65

Chisinau

Page 66: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

Demographics

3%

18%

4%

8%

7%

7%

3%

9%

24%

7%

7%

1%

1%

1%

47%

54%

32%

3%

3%

91%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Manager/Director/Patron

Specialist

Technician

White collar

Services/Trade

Blue collar

Unqualified worker

Farmer

Student

Retired (not working)

Housewife

Unemployed/Looking for a job

Unemployed/Not looking for a job

Other

No answer

My salary or the income of enterprise or family farm

The salary or income of some of the members of family

Sale of products of the part-time farm

Use of products of the part-time farm

Social benefits

The help of relatives/Friends in a form of money or food and goods

No answer

Chisinau

Mid-sized/Small town

Rural area

OCCU

PATIO

NBASIC

SO

URCES O

FLIV

ELIH

OO

DSETTLEM

EN

TTYPE

Chisinau

Page 67: Public Opinion Survey Residents of Moldova...• Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between September 1–23, 2016 through face to-face interviews

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