PROPRIETARY Any use of this material without specific permission of the European Climate Foundation is strictly prohibited ROADMAP 2050 A practical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
PROPRIETARY Any use of this material without specific permission of the European Climate Foundation is strictly prohibited ROADMAP 2050 A practical guide.
Mar 26, 2015
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PROPRIETARYAny use of this material without specific permission of the European Climate Foundation is
strictly prohibited
ROADMAP 2050A practical guide to a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
Administrator
ROADMAP 2050 PARTNERS
Transmission System Operators
NGOs
Manufacturers
Plus 40 more companies, NGOs and research institutes
Core Working Group participants Further outreach
Siemens
WWF
KEY STAKEHOLDERS WERE INVOLVED BY PROVIDING INPUT AND REVIEWING RESULTS
Utilities
THE DECARBONIZATION PATHWAYS ANALYSED ARE SUSTAINABLE, TECHNICALLY FEASIBLE, AND HAVE A POSITIVE IMPACT ON THE ECONOMY
1 Based on the McKinsey Global GHG Cost Curve2 Large efficiency improvements already included in the baseline3 CCS applied to 50% of industry (cement, chemistry, iron and steel, petroleum and gas, not applied to other industries) SOURCE: McKinsey Global GHG Abatement Cost Curve; IEA WEO 2009; US EPA; EEA; Roadmap 2050 Technical Analysis
AT LEAST 80% CO2 EMISSION REDUCTION
ENERGY EFFICIENCY & FUEL SHIFT GIVE OVERALL DEMAND
ELECTRICITY DEMAND 2050(EU-27 + Norway & Switzerland)
Energy production mix over the year, TWh per week
40% RES30% CCS
30% nuclear
60% RES20% CCS
20% nuclear
80% RES10% CCS
10% nuclear
THREE SPECIFIC PATHWAYS MODELED INCLUDING BOTH GENERATION AND GRID COSTS
RES DIVERSITY CONTRIBUTES TO CONSISTENT SUPPLY
COMBINING REGIONAL DEMAND CURVES REDUCES VOLATILITY
INTER-REGIONAL TRANSMISSION REQUIREMENTS
1313
3
2
2
1
2
2
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
Requirements on top of the baseline
2050, GW
CURTAILMENT IS KEPT LOW THROUGH GRID EXPANSION AND BACK-UP
CAPACITY
40% RES 30% CCS30% nuclear
80% RES 10% CCS10% nuclear
60% RES 20% CCS20% nuclear
Transmission & generation capacity requirements
Transmission Back-up and balancing RES curtail-ment1, %DR, %Pathways
Baseline
ANNUAL CAPEX DEVELOPMENT
COST OF ELECTRICITY
LONG TERM EU27 GDP
DECARBONIZING THE ECONOMY SAVES MONEY
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