“Connecting the …… dots between economy, demographic trends and current-new property hotspots” REI Group of Companies - Presentation by Dr. Daniele Gambero PROPENOMY of Malaysian Property Market Half Year Review and Outlook 2016 Perception Vs. Reality
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PROPENOMY of Malaysian Property Market Half Year Review and Outlook 2016: Perception Vs. Reality
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“Connecting the …… dots between economy, demographic trends and current-new property hotspots”
REI Group of Companies - Presentation by Dr. Daniele Gambero
PROPENOMY of Malaysian Property Market
Half Year Review and Outlook 2016 Perception Vs. Reality
DISCLAIMER AND COPYWRITE To the best of our knowledge, all information included here falls under the fair use or public domain guidelines of copyright laws. We strive for accuracy but cannot be held responsible for any errors in information featured in the slides or incorrect attributions. REI Group of Companies uses reasonable efforts to include accurate and up to date information however REI Group of Companies makes no warranties or representations as to its accuracy. REI Group of Companies assumes no liability or responsibility for any errors or omissions in the content. The quotes, articles, news and views are not necessarily representative of the views of REI Group of Companies and its directors and Management. This Presentation has been shared for personal use and knowledge ONLY. Any inappropriate use will be prosecuted according to the law and any total or partial use of this presentation for public viewing or publishing must be pre-authorized in writing by REI Group of Companies.
- Property Market Surveys: defining the best product for each specific area
- Property Market Reporting: give developers an independent platform to take strategic decision on future development
- Property Market Analysis: research and definition of new development products based on existing market situation
- Branding: adding value by endorsement of project, branding of new development areas, defining and creating catalyzer for future development
- Creative: converting ideas in fact and having fun
…………What we do
Malaysian Economic Performance and
The Future of the Property Market
MALAYSIAN PROPERTY MARKET Setting the rules for sustainability
STABLE AND DEMOCRATIC POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH PLANNING AND EXECUTION
DEFINITION AND
DEVELOPMENT OF ECONOMIC
CULSTERS
DEFINITION AND
DEVELOPMENT OF PROPER
INFRAs
SOCIO / ECONOMIC EQUITY OR
FAIR WEALTH DISTRIBUTION
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
& REGULATORY AUTHORITY
HEALTHY GROWTH OF A REGULATED AND PROFITABLE PROPERTY MARKET
MALAYSIAN PROPERTY MARKET SUSTAINABILITY MARKET PERCEPTION….WHAT IS YOUR TAKE?
PERCEPTION & REAL FACTS
PERCEPTION & REAL FACTS
DOOM or BOOM
Malaysian Economic and Property Market Performance: ……. are we really in the bricks?
Malaysian Economic and Property Market Performance: ……. are we really in the bricks?
TO GET IT RIGHT
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE COMPARISON BETWEEN MALAYSIA & THE WORLD GDP or GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
IS THE CAPACITY OF A COUNTRY TO PRODUCE WEALTH
DEBT-to-GDP RATIO MEASURE THE CAPACITY OF A COUNTRY TO PRODUCE WEALTH EFFICIENTLY
BUDGET-to-GDP RATIO MEASURES HOW EFFICIENTLY A GOVERNMENT RULES A COUNTRY
THE BALANCE OF CURRENT ACCOUNT MEASURES COMPETITIVENESS OF A COUNTRY (EXPORT – IMPORT)
INFLATION RATE OR CPI (CONSUMER PRICE INDEX) MEASURES THE CAPACITY OF A COUNTRY IN GUARANTEEING A STRONG
CITIZENS’ PURCHASING POWER
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE MEASURES THE EFFICIENCY AND COMPETITIVENESS OF A COUNTRY’S
SERVICES, MANUFACTURING AND AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE COMPARISON BETWEEN MALAYSIA & THE WORLD
1.43%
0.32%
-1.90%
0
1
2
5.70%
4.12%
2.73%
5
4
3
2
1
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE GDP GROWTH: MALAYSIA & THE WORLD
GDP or Gross Domestic Products is the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in
a specific time period and defines the country’s growth (%) 2014 – Let’s compare
230
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
20.48%
65.30%90.60%91.80%
101.53%
229.60%
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE GOVERNMENT DEBT TO GDP RATIO:
MALAYSIA & THE WORLD
The debt-to-GDP ratio is the ratio between a country's government debt and its gross domestic product (GDP). A low debt-to-GDP
ratio shows that an economy produces and sells goods and services sufficient to pay back debts without incurring further debt
2014 – Let’s compare
-4%
-5%
-6%
-7%
-8%
-3.20%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%-3.10%
-2.80%
-3.90%
-7.60%
-5.80%
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE GOVERNMENT DEFICIT TO GDP RATIO: MALAYSIA & THE WORLD
The (budget) deficit-to-GDP ratio shows the deficit/surplus needed on a yearly basis by the Government of a country compared to the initial budget. In other words this ratio is a Government efficiency
measuring tool. 2014 – Let’s compare
-10.1 bil
-39.8 bil
-95.1 bil
-100 bil(100)
(110)
8.9 bil8.5 bil
(70)
(80)
(90)
(40)
(50)
(60)
(30)
(20)
10
0
(10)
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE BALANCE OF CURRENT ACCOUNT: MALAYSIA & THE WORLD
The current account consists of the balance of trade (Export less Import), that have taken place over a given period of time.
2014 – Let’s compare (USD Billion)
3.20%
2.20%1.90% 1.80%
1.70% 1.70%
0%
1%
2%
5%
4%
3%
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE INFLATION (CPI): MALAYSIA & THE WORLD
Inflation (Consumer Price Index CPI) shows the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and,
subsequently, purchasing power is falling. 2014 – Let’s compare
2.70%
3.50%
6.30%6.50%
8.10%
10.50%
3%
4%
5%
2%
1%
0%
7%
6%
11%
10%
9%
8%
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE UNEMPLOYMENT: MALAYSIA & THE WORLD
The unemployment rate is a measure of the prevalence of unemployment and it is calculated as a percentage by dividing the number of unemployed individuals by all individuals currently in
the labor force. 2014 – Let’s compare
GLOBAL & MALAYSIAN ECONOMY – SCORE BOARD
COUNTRYGDP
GROWTH
GOV.
DEBT
BUDGET
DEFICIT
C/A
BALANCEINFL. CPI UNEMP. TOTAL
MALAYSIA 6 5 4 6 1 6 28
AUSTRALIA 2 6 6 4 5 4 27
UNITED STATES 5 2 5 1 6 3 22
EUROPE 3 4 3 3 4 1 18
UK 4 3 2 2 3 2 16
JAPAN 1 1 1 5 2 5 15
INDEXES COMPARISON SCORE TABLE
MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE by IMF
MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE by IMF
MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE by IMF
Near term outlook: positive as Malaysia has a well diversified economy
Impact of lower oil prices: modest negative impact as Malaysia is more producer of natural gas.
Appropriate macroeconomic policy mix and fiscal consolidation well timed
Financial stability: risks pro-actively managed by BNM
Final comment by IMF: Malaysia is on track to become a high-income country, fully developed and advanced economy by 2020
MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE by WEF
MALAYSIAN ECONOMY - FACT FILE by WEF
COUNTRY
AE
- A
dva
nce
d E
con
om
ies
DA
- D
eve
lop
ing
Asi
a
20
14
-20
15
Ran
kin
g
PO
PU
LATI
ON
Mil
lio
ns
GD
P P
er
cap
ita
(PP
P)
US$
Stag
e o
f d
eve
lop
me
nt
BA
SIC
REQ
UIR
EMEN
TS
WO
RLD
RA
NK
ING
(1
44
)
EFFI
CIE
NC
Y E
NH
AN
CER
S
WO
RLD
RA
NK
ING
(1
44
)
INN
OV
ATI
ON
AN
D
SOP
HIS
TIC
ATI
ON
FA
CTO
RS
WO
RLD
RA
NK
ING
(1
44
)
AUSTRALIA AE 22 23.2 64,863 3 17 15 26
HONG KONG AE 7 7.2 42,522 3 3 3 23
JAPAN AE 6 127.3 38,491 3 25 7 2
KOREA AE 26 50.2 24,325 3 20 25 22
NEW ZEALAND AE 17 4.5 40,481 3 9 11 25
SINGAPORE AE 2 5.4 54,776 3 1 2 11
TAIWAN AE 14 23.4 20,930 3 14 16 13
CAMBODIA DA 95 15.4 1,827 1 103 100 116
CHINA DA 28 1,360.8 7,544 2 28 30 33
INDONESIA DA 34 248 5,532 2 46 46 30
LAOS DA 98 6.8 1,477 1 98 107 80
MALAYSIA DA 20 29.6 17,760 2-3 23 24 17
MYANMAR DA 134 64.9 869 1 132 134 139
PHILIPPINES DA 52 97.5 3,953 1-2 66 58 48
THAILAND DA 31 68.2 8,685 2 40 39 54
VIETNAM DA 68 89.7 5,125 1 79 74 98
MALAYSIAN PROPERY MARKET AND SEA MARKETS ANALYSIS
MALAYSIA AND THE REGION: WHERE ARE WE?
1 Hong Kong 6,170 5,553,000 37,689 134,551 41.27
2 Singapore 5,238 4,714,200 54,553 194,753 24.21
5 Thailand 850 765,000 9,062 32,353 23.65
6 Myanmar 660 594,000 1,766 6,303 94.24
7 Malaysia 418 376,200 17,760 63,403 5.93
8 Philippines 540 486,000 4,336 15,479 31.40
9 Vietnam 680 612,000 3,017 10,772 56.81
10 Cambodia 323 290,700 1,579 5,637 51.57
11 Indonesia 540 486,000 4,635 16,547 29.37
Ranking
Average price of property per contry 2014 - SEA
property value to per capita income (Average Per capita/PPP) RATIO
COUNTRY RM/psfHouse of
900 sf
GDP per
Capita Av.
PPP - USD
GDP per Capita
Av. PPP - RM
(USD/RM 3.57)
Property
Value to
Income RATIO
MALAYSIA AND THE WORLD: WHERE ARE WE? Office space
HOW MUCH OFFICE SPACE CAN I BUY WITH USD100,000,000 (one hundred million)?
Source: Knight Frank – Property.360
MALAYSIA AND THE WORLD: WHERE ARE WE? Office space
Source: Knight Frank – Property.360
MALAYSIA AND THE WORLD: WHERE ARE WE? Office space
Source: Knight Frank – Property.360
Square Meters
MALAYSIAN DEMOGRAPHIC - FACT FILE
67% < 39
Malaysian average per capita income 2014 (PPP) – Source IM/WB
USD17,760 per year = RM5,032 (per month)
Malaysian Wealth Distribution
Lowest 20% Highest 20%
Share 5.5% of Malaysian wealth Share 41% of Malaysian wealth
=
Median 60% share 53.5%
MALAYSIAN WEALTH DISTRIBUTION - FACT FILE
18,000,000
20% of Houses
as low/medium
low cost
Malaysian Wealth Distribution
Lowest 20% Highest 20%
Share 5.5% of Malaysian wealth Share 41% of Malaysian wealth
=
Median 60% share 53.5%
MALAYSIAN WEALTH DISTRIBUTION - FACT FILE
18,000,000
20% of Houses
free and open
value RM/psf
60% of Houses should have values from
minimum RM200 up to max RM700 psf
FEW CONSIDERATION ON AFFORDABLE HOUSING
MALAYSIAN AFFORDABLE HOUSING DILEMMA
POPULATION
AS AT 2013
PER CAPITA
AVERAGE
INCOME 2013
ASSUMED HH
MONTHLY
INCOME 2013 1
35% HH
MONTHLY
INCOME FOR
MORTGAGE
AVERAGE
AFFORDABLE
VALUE PER
STATE 2013 2
RM RM RM RM
1,730,000 79,752.00 10,633.60 3,721.76 815,000
5,870,000 37,851.00 5,046.80 1,766.38 390,000
3,530,000 25,302.00 3,373.60 1,180.76 260,000
1,660,000 38,356.00 5,114.13 1,789.95 390,000
2,460,000 21,250.00 2,833.33 991.67 215,000
1,080,000 33,033.00 4,404.40 1,541.54 340,000
860,000 34,109.00 4,547.87 1,591.75 345,000
2,060,000 16,316.00 2,175.47 761.41 170,000
1,580,000 26,759.00 3,567.87 1,248.75 280,000
1,120,000 23,285.00 3,104.67 1,086.63 240,000
1,710,000 10,677.00 1,423.60 498.26 105,000
240,000 18,519.00 2,469.20 864.22 190,000
3,540,000 18,603.00 2,480.40 868.14 190,000
2,630,000 41,115.00 5,482.00 1,918.70 420,000
1
2 For the house value it has been assumed: 30 years tenure and 4.5% interestPer capita income source: Department of Statistics
SARAWAK
STATE
Assumption that one of two income earner is 60% of the main one
KUALA LUMPUR
SELANGOR
JOHOR
PENANG
PERAK
NEGERI SEMBILAN
MELAKA
KEDAH
PAHANG
TERENGGANU
KELANTAN
PERLIS
SABAH
HOUSING EXISTING STOCK AND FUTURE DEMAND / SUPPLY
STATE
SUPPLY OF
LANDED TILL
2020
SUPPLY OF
LOW COST
TILL 2020
SUPPLY OF
HIGH RISE TILL
2020
TOTAL HOUSES
SUPPLY BY
2020
POPULATION
BY 2020
NEED OF
HOUSES BY
2020
KUALA LUMPUR 114,018 154,541 304,914 573,473 1,948,261 75,947
SELANGOR 862,851 486,991 353,668 1,703,510 6,305,524 398,331
JOHOR 697,308 265,460 191,659 1,154,427 3,975,353 170,691
MALAYSIA 3,733,753 1,737,630 1,148,215 6,619,598 32,606,044 3,325,748
EXISTING STOCK 2014 AND HOUSE SUPPLY TILL 2020 est.
Source: NAPIC Property Market report 2014
MALAYSIAN PROPERY MARKET ANALYSIS
THE NEXT FIVE YEARS GAME CHANGER
THE NEXT FIVE YEARS GAME CHANGER
THE NEXT FIVE YEARS GAME CHANGER
Service sector transformation: Islamic finance, O&G, ICT, healthcare, education, ecotourism and halal industry
Small is big: focus on SMEs that by 2020 will provide a total of 9.5 million jobs
Going global: enhance export oriented activities for manufacturing (chemicals, electrical, electronics, machinery and equipment)
and agriculture (farming technology, building agropreneurs and building market access)
THE NEXT FIVE YEARS GAME CHANGER
THE NEXT FIVE YEARS GAME CHANGER
Connecting each other: roads, MRT, LRT, BRT, airports
Connecting regionally: logistic
THE NEXT FIVE YEARS GAME CHANGER
THE NEXT FIVE YEARS GAME CHANGER
CONNECTING EACH OTHER: MRT, LRT and BRT MRT Line 1 to be completed and operational by 2016 & 2017 MRT Line 2 to be completed by 2022 LRT Line 3 to start construction in 2016 and completed by 2020 KTM to be enhanced in terms of frequency and services
OPTIMIZING TRANSPORT PLANNING: T.O.D. The Transit Oriented Development concept to be promoted to optimize land use and public transport infrastructure planning. TOD concepts will be expanded in urban areas to maximize access
THE LAND BELOW THE WIND AND THE 11th MALAYSIA PLAN “The Game Changer”
THE LAND BELOW THE WIND AND THE 11th MALAYSIA PLAN “The Game Changer”
THE LAND BELOW THE WIND AND THE 11th MALAYSIA PLAN “The Game Changer”
THE LAND BELOW THE WIND AND THE 11th MALAYSIA PLAN “The Game Changer”
MALAYSIAN PROPERY MARKET ANALYSIS
STOP BUYING
CONCEPT DRIVEN DEVELOPMENT
MALAYSIAN PROPERY MARKET ANALYSIS
START BUYING
DEMAND DRIVEN INVESTMENT
PENINSULAR MALAYSIA: THE FUTURE
Penang: the 8th destination worldwide to retire.
PENINSULAR MALAYSIA: THE FUTURE
Penang: the 8th destination worldwide to retire.
Ipoh: retirement homes and health tourism
PENINSULAR MALAYSIA: THE FUTURE
Penang: the 8th destination worldwide to retire.
Ipoh: retirement homes and health tourism
Klang Valley: the Southern and Western Corridors and the Megaprojects
KL – GREATER KL – KLANG VALLEY … 2020 AND BEYOND
Klang Valley 1990 Klang Valley 2012
Greater KL will reach 10 million people (Mega City) by 2020
Singapore aspires to have 6.9 million by 2030
Iskandar Malaysia aim to have 3 million by 2025
MALAYSIAN PROPERTY MARKET SUSTAINABILITY
HOUSING: CURRENT AND FUTURE DEMAND ESTIMATE IN KUALA LUMPUR/KLANG VALLEY
EXISTING-UNDER CONSTRUCTION MRT/LRT LINES
LRT Line 3 Bandar Utama – Shah Alam - Klang
1 ONE UTAMA
2 DAMANSARA UTAMA
3 TROPICANA
4 LIEN HOE
5 DATARAN PRIMA
6 PERSADA PLUS
7 STATION 3
8 TEMASYA
9 GLENMARIE
10 STADIUM
11 PERSIARAN HISHAMUDDIN
12 SECTION 14
13 SIRIM
14 UITM
15 I-CITY
16 BUKIT RAJA
17 KAWASAN 17
18 JALAN MERU
19 KLANG TOWN
20 TAMAN SELATAN
21 SRI ANDALAS
22 TESCO BKT TINGGI
23 AEON BKT TINGGI
24 BANDAR BOTANIK
25 JOHAN SETIA
LRT LINE 3 STATIONS
EXISTING MRT/LRT and INCOMING BRT LINES
KLANG VALLEY AND THE WESTERN CORRIDOR
KLANG VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN CORRIDOR
KLANG VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN CORRIDOR
LANDED <500K
HIGHRISE <500K
>900 SF
MALACCA AND THE IMPACT OF HSR-MALACCA GATEWAY
PENINSULAR MALAYSIA: THE FUTURE
Penang: the 8th destination worldwide to retire.
Ipoh: retirement homes and health tourism
Klang Valley: the Southern and Western Corridors and the Megaprojects
Malacca: touristic and shopping paradise (2015-2030)
MALACCA AND THE IMPACT OF HSR-MALACCA GATEWAY
MALACCA AND THE IMPACT OF HSR-MALACCA GATEWAY
PENINSULAR MALAYSIA: THE FUTURE
Penang: the 8th destination worldwide to retire.
Ipoh: retirement homes and health tourism
Klang Valley: the Southern and Western Corridors and the Megaprojects
Iskandar Malaysia: the most Strategically Sustainable Location in the region (SEA)
Malacca: touristic and shopping paradise (2015-2030)
Malaysian Property Market Iskandar Malaysia – Strategically Sustainable
ISKANDAR MALAYSIA: STRATEGICALLY SUSTAINABLE LOCATION
Iskandar Malaysia – From Vision to reality
Iskandar Malaysia: Offer of Affordable Houses Far Behind Demand
Iskandar Malaysia – From Vision to reality
Offer of Affordable Houses Far Behind Demand
ISKANDAR MALAYSIA: STRATEGICALLY SUSTAINABLE LOCATION
PIC
PENINSULAR MALAYSIA: THE FUTURE
Kuantan: East coast logistic hub and the committed investment from Chinese, European and American Multinational Corporation (Steel, Bio-chemical, Manufacturing
Penang: the 8th destination worldwide to retire.
Ipoh: retirement homes and health tourism
Klang Valley: the Southern and Western Corridors and the Megaprojects
Iskandar Malaysia: the most Strategically Sustainable Location in the region (SEA)
Malacca: touristic and shopping paradise (2015-2030)
SARAWAK CORRIDOR OF RENEWABLE ENERGY
Miri: almost 400,000 population O&G Centered economy
Kuching: almost 1,000,000 population Services and tertiary sector
Bintulu: 200,000 population O&G and high energy consumption industry Centered economy
SARAWAK PROPERTY MARKET SUSTAINABILITY
SARAWAK PROPERTY MARKET SUSTAINABILITY
SABAH: THE LAND BELOW THE WIND SABAH PROPERTY MARKET SUSTAINABILITY
Kota Kinabalu: almost 650,000 population Economy based mostly on services and tourism. Manufacturing remains a strong component of local GDP.
Tawau: almost 400,000 population Timber, Cocoa, Food Processing, Tourism and Services
Sandakan: almost 400,000 population Economy based on Palm Oil, Hardwood, Logistic and Tourism
SABAH DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR (SDC)
“VISION”
TO BE A LEADING ECONOMIC REGION IN ASIA
THE LAND BELOW THE WIND PROPENOMICS OF SABAH’S DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR
BY BEING A PREFERRED GATEWAY FOR TRADE, INVESTMENT AND LEISURE FOR TALENT AND BUSINESS
THE LAND BELOW THE WIND PROPENOMY OF SABAH’S DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR
GREATER GEORGE
TOWNKREATER KUANTAN
GREATER JOHOR
BAHRU
GREATER KOTA
KINABALUSARAWAK CITIES
PUBLIC TRANSPORT PUBLIC TRANSPORTURBAN PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
IMPROVING MOBILITY
AND TRAVEL EXPERIENCEGREATER KUCHING MIRI
AFFORDABLE QUALITY
HOUSINGKUANTAN WATERFRONT
CITY REJUVENATION AND
REVITALISATION
DEVELOPING AND
MODERNIZING KK AS
LIFESTYLE HUB
WASTE MANAGEMENT &
SUSTAINABLE URBAN
DEVELOPMENT
SEWERAGE
MANAGEMENT & FLOOD
MITIGATION
CRIMEIMPROVING EARLY
CHILDCARE EDUCATION
BOOSTING PUBLIC &
PRIVATE HEALTHCARE
BOOSTING TOURISM IN
GREATER KK
KEY RESULT AREAS (KRAs) IN THE CITIES
MALAYSIAN PROPERTY MARKET &
THE HUNT FOR INVESTMENT GRADE PRODUCT
WHEN?
PENINSULAR MALAYSIA: THE FUTURE
Kuantan: East coast logistic hub and East Gate of Malaysia
Penang: the 8th destination worldwide to retire.
Ipoh: retirement homes and health tourism
Klang Valley: the Southern and Western Corridors and the Megaprojects
Iskandar Malaysia: the most Strategically Sustainable Location in the region (SEA)
Malacca: touristic and shopping paradise
DRIVERS: Tourism, Health-care and retirement
DRIVERS: Health tourism & retirement
DRIVERS: Financial services, Islamic Finance, Halal, Logistic Education and more
DRIVERS: committed investment from Chinese, European and American Multinational Corporation (Steel, Bio-chemical, Manufacturing)
DRIVERS: Singapore relocation of production facilities, Medini, Education, Health-care and Health – tourism
NEXT 20 YEARS
SARAWAK CORRIDOR OF RENEWABLE ENERGY
Miri: almost 400,000 population O&G Centered economy
Kuching: almost 1,000,000 population Services and tertiary sector
Bintulu: 200,000 population O&G and high energy consumption industry Centered economy
2 to 5 YEARS
DRIVERS: O&G, Semalaju Industrial Park, Natural Gas Existing Facilities
DRIVERS: O&G Industry, related services, education
DRIVERS: High potential for tourism, education and services to O&G
SABAH: THE LAND BELOW THE WIND SABAH PROPERTY MARKET SUSTAINABILITY
Kota Kinabalu: almost 650,000 population Economy based mostly on services and Tourism. Manufacturing remains a strong component of local GDP.
Tawau: almost 400,000 population Timber, Cocoa, Food Processing, Tourism and Services
Sandakan: almost 400,000 population Economy based on Palm Oil, Hardwood, Logistic and Tourism
FOR THE NEXT 10 YEARS
5-10 YEARS
5-10 YEARS
DRIVERS: Tourism already booming can improve, O&G Services, Palm Oil, Education, Health care and Health Tourism to be imporved
DRIVERS: Palm Oil and derivates, Hardwood, Logistic with good potential for tourism
DRIVERS: Timber, Cocoa, Tourism, Food Processing and related Services
DOOM or BOOM
STILL
SKEPTICAL?
DOOM or BOOM
Investment strategies during economic downturn - Jumpstarting the Recovery through purchase of
distressed properties - Qualifying for a Mortgage as Investor - Being cash rich
CASH IS KING DURING RECESSION TIMES It’s only in your best financial interest to acquire
assets during a recession
DOOM or BOOM History should teach
The last major economic and financial crisis: - Commodity crash 1985-1988 - Asian Financial Crisis 1997-1998 - Dotcom Bust 2000 - US Credit crunch 2008
DOOM or BOOM History should teach
Commodity crash 1985-1988 - 1980/1983 +50% in values in 3 years - 1984 up to the double = 100% - 1985 marginal growth - 1986/1987 values dropped 30% - 1988/1989 +100% in two years
-30%+100% = +70%
DOOM or BOOM History should teach
Commodity crash 1985-1988 - 1980/1983 +50% in values in 3 years - 1984 up to the double = 100% - 1985 marginal growth - 1986/1987 values dropped 30% - 1988/1989 +100% in two years
-30%+100% = +70%
YEAR FACTPROFIT
LOSS
1980 Purchase 100
1981-83 +50% 150
1984 +100% 300
1985 +5% 315
1986-87 -30% 220.5
1988-89 +100% 441
DOOM or BOOM History should teach
Asian Financial Crisis 1997-1998 - 1988 till 1997 consistent growth +100% 9 yrs - 1998-1999 drop -30% from the + 100% values
-30%+100% = +70%
DOOM or BOOM History should teach
Asian Financial Crisis 1997-1998 - 1988 till 1997 consistent growth +100% 9 yrs - 1998-1999 drop -30% from the + 100% values
-30%+100% = +70%
YEAR FACTPROFIT
LOSS
1988 Purchase 100
1989-1997 +100% 200
1998-'99 -30% 140
2000-'05 +60% 224
DOOM or BOOM History should teach
DISASTERS ARE
ALWAYS FOLLOWED BY
RECOVERY!
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