© Fraunhofer ISI Kerstin Cuhls with many thanks to Bruno Gransche HUMAN-TECHNOLOGY BOUNDARY SHIFTS – OR COOPERATION? Finland 2012
Dec 07, 2014
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Ke r s t i n C u h l s w i t h m a n y t h a n k s t o B r u n o G r a n s c h e
HUMAN-TECHNOLOGY BOUNDARY SHIFTS – OR COOPERATION?
Finland 2012
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1. BMBF Foresight 2007-2009
2. Future Field Human Technology Cooperation
3. Future Questions for a Ubiquitious Society
4. Outlook and Question to be discussed
Agenda
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• Identifying new research and technology focuses,
• Identifying (and deriving ) areas of activity covering a range of research and innovation fields,
• Analysing potential fields of technology and innovation in which strategic partnerships might be possible,
• Deducing priority areas of research and development activity.
1. Objectives of the BMBF Foresight Process
Future topics evaluated for 14 start fields
Topics, actors, recommended actionin 7 new forms of future fields
2nd report
November 2007
%
1st report
ResearchWorkshop of expertsMonitoring 1st wave
Online survey
Analysis of potential:Actors and topics
3rd report
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%
% %
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% %
%
in 14 start fields
Differentiated evaluation
Synopsis ofresearchesMonitoring 2nd wave
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Selection according to criteria, re-clustering
June 2009
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%
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Mapping of future topics
First re-clustering
Topic searches BMBF Foresight
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On behalf of the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) The BMBF's Foresight Process (2007-2010)
The BMBF's Foresight ProcessThe Seven Fu tu re Fie lds
ProductionConsumption2.0
Human-Technology Cooperation
DecipheringAgeing
Sustainable Living Spaces
Transdisciplinary Models and Multi-Scale Simulation
Time Research
Sustainable Energy Solutions
http://www.bmbf.de/en/12673.php
Biological clocks/ Chronobiology
Ultra-precise/ultra-short time measurement and 4D imaging
• Understanding Biological clock(s) in people: avoiding disease, targeted therapies (chronopharmacology)
• Connections shift work/ energy implementation/ Adiposity, hormonal influences, effects of melatonin
• effects of social factors on human rhythms
• Concentrated learning at times when people learn best
• Dealing with time on scales beyond classical time scales
• New time structures in a society with more older and fewer younger people
• New sources of light
• 4D imaging/ short-term observation (e.g. Compact x-ray lasers for biomedical examinations, processes of the human body)
• Atto (second) electronics – control of processes on an atomic time scale
• Intramolecular energy transport (e.g. energy -efficient electronics, molecular computers)
• GPS applications (e.g. precision farming, machine remote maintenance)
• Optimised synchronisation of media and wireless communication
Parallelising or synchronising (efficiency processes)
• Making processes “more efficient” instead of just faster
• Synchronise internet server:speed, saving energy
• Synchronising production processes
• Structuring, parallelising, initiating innovation processes
Time Research
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the availability of large amounts of information through digitalising and fast Internet connections,
the ability of machines to interpret information using semantic technologies
profound knowledge of the human brain and the development of neuroprosthetics,
real-time processing of large masses of information in a range of technological systems due to considerable increases in computing power and the miniaturisation of switching networks,
a broader range of potential applications, thanks to the greater integration of different components
in the smallest space due to micro-systems technology,
wireless networking and ubiquitous embedding of systems,
greatly improved pattern recognition algorithms,
broader access to satellite-supported positioning.
2 . Fu t u r e F i e l d H u m a n -Te c h n o l o g y C o o p e r a t i o n :
Developments that create a new innovat ion dynamic
Human-Technology-
Teams
Neuroprosthetics, -implants
Philosophy of technology
NeuroenhancementIntelligent prosthetics
Autonomous robotics
AI research
Software Agents
Ambient Intelligence
Intelligent automation
Assessment of the consequences of technology
Affective Computing
Anthropology
Aesthetics
Brain-Machine-Interface
Sensors
VR-Immersion
Semantic technologies
Adaptive environments
Social robotics
Pervasive Computing
Nanoethics/Neuroethics
Technical genesis/ Innovation research
Physical Avatars
Behavioural sciences (Neuro/Psycho)Telepresence /Teleaction
Micro-systems technology
Intelligent materials
Semantics
Anthropomatics
Media technology/image sciences
Social structure analysis/social policy
Empirical social research
Human-Machine-Culture
Redefininghumanity
1
2
3
4
Machineagents
Human-Machine-Systems
Human Technology Cooperation
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New innovation dynamic
Relative amount of publications to these keywords 2000-2009
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
1
0.00000
0.00050
0.00100
0.00150
0.00200
0.00250
0.00300
0.00350
0.00400
0.00450
neuroscience*
0.00000
0.00005
0.00010
0.00015
0.00020
0.00025
embedded system*
semantic* web*
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
0
20
1
0.00000
0.00020
0.00040
0.00060
0.00080
0.00100
0.00120
0.00140
0.00160
robotic*
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increasingly dense technological surroundings expanding technical structure of human life
Why Human-Technology Boundary Shiftsn e w p rox i m i t y t o p e o p l e , t h e i r b o d i e s , b r a i n s a n d d a i l y l i v e s
BIDIRECTIONAL OLED-MICRODISPLAY, Fraunhofer IPMS
ambient assistive living, smart environments, ambient intelligence
mixed-, augmented reality robotic exoskeletons “physical Avatars”, VR-
immersion, telepresence and teleaction
various Assistance Systems anthropomimetic robots software agents (virtual broker) neuroprostetics, implants …
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Shifts between human and technology
distributed agency in hybrid human-technology constellations
‚shared spaces‘ or penetration of formerly separated spheres
non-identifiability in communication and everyday life
Increasing exposure to black boxes (finance algorithms, emergency systems)
Shifts round human via technology
human self-concept configuration via anthropomimesis (human-human)
stressing the „genetic porosity“ by cross-species genetics(human-animal)
increasing impact power through techniques to an superhuman/godlike extend(human-supernatural)
Self-alienation to some kind of Posthumans(humanT1-humanT2)
3. Future Questions:Human-Technology Boundary Shifts ambiguity
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Increasing impact powernegat i ve U top ians
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Anthropomimesisembod ied cogn i t i on , human lea rn ingand deve lopment
Left: iCub an open source cognitive humanoid robotic platform http://www.icub.org/ Above: CB2 robotic child created at Osaka University, Japan Right: ECCEROBOT Embodied Cognition in a Compliantly Engineered Robot http://eccerobot.org/
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Hybrid human-technology constel lat ionsseamless i n te rac t i on
Left: HAL (Hybrid Assistive Limb®) y Cyberdyne Middle above: BBCI berlin brain computer interface Middle below left: OLED microdisplay based Eyetracking HMD, Fraunhofer IPMS, 2011 Middle below right: VI-Bot (DFKI) Virtual Immersion for holistic feedback control of semi-autonomous robots Right: Amanda Boxtel, before this 18 years reliant on a wheelchair. Now having a walk in the park with E-Legs by Berkeley Bionics
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We observe more and more that human-technology cooperations/ combinations/ ubiquitious society topics can be observed in commercials and as attractive.
What ist your impression about the following picture?
4. Outlook and further question for discussion
Atractiveness of prosthesis ???
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Anthropomimetischer Robotertorso - ECCEROBOT
Thank you very much!
For further information:Dr. Kerstin [email protected] [email protected]
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Eccerobot: http://www6.in.tum.de/Main/ResearchEccerobot
Forest Walker: http://www.gizmag.com/raytheon-significantly-progresses-exoskeleton-design/16479/picture/121265/
E-Legs: http://blog.makezine.com/archive/2010/10/berkeley-bionics-introduces-elegs-e.html?pagewanted=all
Wirbelsturm: http://www.geodz.com/deu/d/tropischer_Wirbelsturm
Ambient Intelligence: http://www.acatech.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Baumstruktur_nach_Website/Acatech/root/de/Publikationen/Stellungnahmen/acatech_bezieht_Position_intelligente_Objekte_web.pdf
VI-Bot: http://robotik.dfki-bremen.de/de/forschung/projekte/unterwasserrobotik/vi-bot.html
BMBF-Foresight-Prozess:
BMBF: http://www.bmbf.de/de/12673.php
Fraunhofer-ISI: http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/v/projekte/bmbf-foresight.php
Zukunftsfelder neuen Zuschnitts http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/v/download/publikationen/_Foresight-Prozess_BMBF_Zukunftsfelder_neuen_Zuschnitts.pdf
Etablierte Zukunftsfelder: http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/v/download/publikationen/_FP_BMBF_Etab_Zukunftsf_Zukunftst.pdf
Bruno Gransche M.A.
Competence CenterInnovation and Technology Management and ForesightFraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research IS
Breslauer Straße 48 | 76139 Karlsruhe | GermanyPhone +49 721 6809-424 | Fax +49 721 [email protected]