Prof. Anatoly Zolotukhin

Prof. Anatoly Zolotukhin

Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and GasNational Research University

Moscow, Russia

Neftegaz conference Moscow, June 27, 2012

Regional & Global Solutions for Sustainable Gas Supply:

Russia Perspective

April 21, 2023 1

2

Assessment of Undiscovered Oil and Gas in the ArcticDonald L. Gautier, et al.Science 324, 1175 (2009);DOI: 10.1126/science.1169467

Undiscovered Gas

2

3

Russian unconventional gas resources

April 21, 2023 3

Ref: Е. Perlova, June 2011Ref: Е. Perlova, June 2011

Russia’s conventional HC reserves & resources

Ref.: D. Khramov, Rus-Norw Seminar, June 20, 2011

Total: 355 BTOE

4April 21, 2023

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HC Resources of the Russian Arctic Shelf

April 21, 2023

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41,7 BTOE – Europe Arctic resources

Europe Arctic Offshore – HC Potential

6April 21, 2023

Forecasted petroleum production from the Russian shelves, 2010-2030

Добыча УВ на российском шельфе

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2010 2015 2020 2030

Мл

н Т

НЭ

в г

од Каспийское

море

Сахалин

Арктическиеморя

Caspian Sea

Offshore Sakhalin

Arctic seas

Mill

ion

TO

E p

er y

ear

Oil and gas production forecast from the Russian shelves

7April 21, 2023

Gas consumption per capita

Source: BP statistical review on World Energy, 2011 8

Global supply and balance in 2015

Source: Timera Energy graphic based on IEA data

April 21, 2023 10

Russia’s unique position to supply demand growth for both piped gas and LNG to global markets

Source: Exxon Mobil 2010 The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030

April 21, 2023 11

Opportunity for Russia to meet a rising Asian import requirements

Source: James Henderson, The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, March 2012

April 21, 2023 12

Forecasts and Uncertainty

Source: James Henderson, The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, March 2012

April 21, 2023 13

Source: PFC Energy (Novatek, 2011)

2005 Forecast of global gas market in 2010

April 21, 2023 14

Source: PFC Energy (Novatek, 2011)

2010 – Global gas market forecast changes

Major gas trade movements

Source: BP statistical review on World Energy, 2011 15

Shtokman

Snøhvit

Skrugard

Goliat

Snøhvit LNG

The Barents Sea:An area of international energy cooperation

Fedynskoye

Gazprom

Rosneft

Lukoil

Statoil

ENI

ExxonMobil

June 15, 2012 16

Total

We can have a safe, secure and reliable development of arctic resources… only through cooperation, not competition, among arctic nations.

Any other way of doing this… will not benefit any nation in the long run.

Assistant Secretary of State Daniel S. Sullivan,Oct. 15, 2007

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Thank you!

Prof. Anatoly ZolotukhinE-mail: [email protected]/Fax: +7 499 135 75 16

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