PRME Seminar “Responsible Management of GHG Emissions” Fri 14 October 2011 Gujji Muthuswamy Department of Management Faculty of Business and Economics
Dec 19, 2015
PRME Seminar “Responsible Management of GHG Emissions”
Fri 14 October 2011Gujji Muthuswamy
Department of Management
Faculty of Business and Economics
The context for the presentation
• View Climate Change in three parts: – Climate Science (What is it, Why, How etc.) – Mitigation of Emissions (How shall we reduce it? Carbon pricing mechanism is
just one way of reducing Greenhouse gases (GHG)– Adaptation (How will we adapt to a more hostile climate?)
• Each part requires input from many disciplines: – Science / Engineering, – Economics / Finance / Accounting, – Law – Medicine, etc.
• The University has three major functions:– Research (building new knowledge)– Teaching (Disseminating knowledge and building new researchers)– Outreach ( contribution to public policy, consultancy, communication).
• Thus we have a 3-D matrix comprising 3 aspects, ‘n’ disciplines, and 3 functions.
The focus of this presentation
• It is a very broad canvass but provides a structure for our thinking both at the macro level (e.g. University’s overall strategy) and at Faculty / Department level ( e.g. what should XYZ Department do?).
• My presentation looks at a small part of this canvass:– A brief outline of the carbon pricing mechanism– Perspective of one Faculty, i.e. Business and Economics.
• A structure to look at the issue .
Pricing the carbon - Basics
• GHG emitted by many economic activities e.g. Power generation, transport, cement, steel, aluminium, chemical, refineries, agriculture, and households. – (e.g. burning coal in power station results in CO2 emissions from
the chimney).
• CO2 is now at zero cost So no economic incentive to reduce emissions Impact on Climate change.
• Australia burns coal for about 80% of its electricity needs.
• Electricity generation accounts for about 37% of our total GHG emissions.
This presentation is based on “Securing a clean energy future – The Australian Government’s Climate Change Plan”, July 2011
Pricing the carbon – (contd)
• If carbon is priced into the economic process:• Cost of power generation will go up; and hence• Cost of electricity to the consumer overall will go up • Also, cost of coal-fired electricity, now low, will go up more because
they emit more CO2 (compared to gas fired ), and • Renewable technologies will become even more competitive,
because they emit almost no CO2
• So, how do you create a price for carbon? – Direct mechanisms: Carbon Tax, Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS)– Indirect mechanisms: Regulations (e.g. Building and appliance
efficiency), Renewable Energy Target Scheme, Energy Efficiency Certificate scheme, Subsidies and incentives labelled “Direct Action” schemes.
Top 500 emitting
businesses
Australian total emissions = 542 Mil Tonnes
Tax / ETS affects only the Top 500 emitters in:
Electricity, waste, rail, domestic aviation and shipping, industrial processes, fugitive emissions,
GHG
Customers & Householders
Top 500 emitting
businesses
GHG emissions
Demand for Products & services
Customer demand, e.g. for electricity, drives the supply side and hence the GHG emissions.
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
Customers & Householders
Top 500 emitting
businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
Demand for Products & services
All other businesses
Need 1 permit to emit 1 Tonne of GHG
July 12: Issue about 337 Mil permits at $ 23/Tonne (set by Govt)
Collect $ 7.740 Bil.in 2012/13
Collect $ 24.5 Bil in 3 years to 2015.
ETS from 2015. Price determined by market forces.
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
Customers & Householders
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Demand for Products & services
GHG emissions
Example of EITEs: Aluminium, Steel, Cement, Pulp & paper etc.
$ 9,2 Bil worth of free permits in 2012/15 period.
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Demand for Products & services
GHG emissions
Free permits to EITEs to minimise ‘carbon leakage’
94% for high intensity and 66% for moderate emission intensity activities.
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Pay $ to close some
Demand for Products & services
GHG emissions GHG emissions
$ 5.5 Billion worth of free permits over 6 years to generators emitting more than 1 Tonne/MWh.
Aust average is 0.88 Tonnes/ MWh
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Pay $ to close some
Prices go up Demand for
Products & services
GHG emissionsGHG emissions
Affected businesses will pass on costs to customers and householders.
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Financial Compensation $$
Pay $ to close some
Prices go up Demand for
Products & services
GHG emissionsGHG emissions
About $14.9 Bil of assistance to householders out of $24.5 Bil permit revenue in 2012-15.
Tax reduction and cash assistance.
ASSISTANCE NOT LINKED TO PERMIT PRICES.
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Investment in Renewable
Technologies----------
Investment in R&D
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Uses permit revenue $$
Financial Compensation $$
Pay $ to close some
Prices go up Demand for
Products & services
GHG emissionsGHG emissions
Invest $ 10 Bil over 5 years plus other assistance
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Investment in Renewable
Technologies----------
Investment in R&D
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Uses permit revenue $$
Financial Compensation $$
Pay $ to close some
Prices go up
Incentive to reduce permit costs by reducing GHG emissions.
Demand for Products & services
GHG emissionsGHG emissions
Expect investment by industries in low emissions technologies
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Investment in Renewable
Technologies----------
Investment in R&D
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Uses permit revenue $$
Financial Compensation $$
Pay $ to close some
Prices go up
Incentive to reduce permit costs by reducing GHG emissions.
Demand for Products & services
GHG emissionsGHG emissions
Investment inEnergy
efficiency
Promotes energy efficiency
# 23 Mil over 5 years
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Investment in Renewable
Technologies----------
Investment in R&D
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Uses permit revenue $$
Financial Compensation $$
Pay $ to close some
Prices go up
Incentive to reduce permit costs by reducing GHG emissions.
Demand for Products & services
GHG emissionsGHG emissions
Investment inEnergy
efficiency
Promotes energy efficiency
$
$
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Investment in Renewable
Technologies----------
Investment in R&D
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Uses permit revenue $$
Financial Compensation $$
Pay $ to close some
Prices go up
Incentive to reduce permit costs by reducing GHG emissions.
Demand for Products & services
GHG emissionsGHG emissions
Investment inEnergy
efficiency
Promotes energy efficiency
$
$
Carbon Farming Initiative
(creates ACCU)
Promote carbon sinks
$ 1.2 Bil in 5 yrs
Government issues permits.
Fixed price: “Carbon tax”Variable price via ETS.
Gets $
GlobalCompetitors to
Aust EITEs
Overseas customer
Customers & Householders
Investment in Renewable
Technologies----------
Investment in R&D
Energy intensive trade exposed
Sector(EITE)
High emissions power stations
Top 500 emitting
businesses
All other businesses
Permits
$
GHG emissions
MostlyFreePermits
No$
Maintain Exports
$
Uses permit revenue $$
Financial Compensation $$
Pay $ to close some
Prices go up
Incentive to reduce permit costs by reducing GHG emissions.
Demand for Products & services
GHG emissionsGHG emissions
Investment inEnergy
efficiency
Promotes energy efficiency
$
$
Carbon Farming Initiative
Promote carbon sinks
Forward Estimates: Total for 2012-15 ($ Bil)Ref: Appendix C “Securing a clean energy future”
Permit + other revenue 27.3
Household assistance 15.4
Support for jobs (EITEs)
10.3
Clean Energy Finance Corporation
0.9
Energy security (assistance to generators)
3.1
Land & bio diversity 1.2
Governance 0.4 31.2
Net Impact (3.9)
Governance
• New regulatory agencies– The Climate Change Authority– Clean Energy Regulator– Productivity Commission Reviews– Energy Security Council– Australian Renewable Energy Agency
• Other agencies– Clean Energy Finance Corporation
• New programs– Carbon Farming Initiative (aimed at the farming sector)– Energy Savings Initiative (applies to energy retailers only)
• Existing major program– Renewable Energy Target Scheme (applies to energy retailers only) – Energy Efficiency Opportunities program (applies to all big energy users).
Implications for AcademiaMajor topic: GHG mitigation via Carbon pricing
Department : XYZ
Sub topics Research Teaching Outreach
GHG measurement & reporting
Investment in mitigation projects
Carbon and energy markets operation
Accounting, auditing
Compliance with regulations
Pricing and Risk Management
Cash flow management