Private Insurance Healthcare Dollar Private Insurance Healthcare Dollar 30 30¢ Physician Physician Services Services Healthcare Cost Trends 31 31¢ Hospital Hospital Care Care 14 14¢ Prescripti Prescripti on on Drugs Drugs 11 11¢ Admin Admin 10 10¢ Other Other Medical Medical Services Services 3¢ Nursing Nursing Home & Home & Home Home Health Health 1¢ Durable Durable Medical Medical Product Product s Source: BCBSA April, 2003
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Private Insurance Healthcare Dollar 30¢ Physician Services Healthcare Cost Trends 31¢ Hospital Care 14¢ Prescription Drugs 11¢ Admin 10¢ Other Medical.
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Private Insurance Healthcare Dollar Private Insurance Healthcare Dollar
3030¢¢
Physician Physician ServicesServices
Healthcare Cost Trends
3131¢¢
HospitalHospitalCareCare
1414¢¢
PrescriptionPrescriptionDrugsDrugs
1111¢¢
AdminAdmin1010¢¢
Other Other Medical Medical
Services Services
33¢¢
Nursing Nursing Home & Home & Home Home HealthHealth
11¢¢
Durable Durable Medical Medical
ProductsProducts
Source: BCBSA April, 2003
US Attitude Toward Health Care Benefits
• Entitlement attitude: Employees feel it is a right due to
them by their employer
• Similar to pension plans turning to consumer driven
401(k) plans - we have been seeing health care plans
taking this path of consumer driven
Definitions - Benefit Plans
• Traditional Indemnity Plans– Major medical plan design, usual coinsurance of 20%,
with a deductible
• Managed Care
• Health Maintenance Organizations: HMOs
• Preferred-Provider Organizations: PPOs
• Point-of-Service Plans: POS
• HMO: a closed system, providing comprehensive services, assuming full financial risk
• POS: combines HMO style controls (e.g. gatekeeper) with PPO freedom to go outside
• PPO: allows out-of-plan usage (with higher co-pays) generally fee-for-service
Common Forms of Managed Care Vary in Degree of Integration
Most
Degree of Integration
Least
Recent Factors Influencing the Growth of Health Benefit Costs
Aging Population
• U.S. male’s healthcare spending doubles in the 45 to 54 age group; rises 50% in the 55 to 64 group
• In the US, One in five people will be 65 or older by 2030.
Nurse Shortage Growing More AcuteNurse Shortage Growing More Acute
Key Cost Drivers: Hospital Nursing Shortage
Source: U.S. Census Bureau data, Internal Release Date: April 2, 2001; and National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses, 2002, HRSA, Bureaus of Health Professions, Division of Nursing
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
2,400
2,500
2001
2003
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
Shortage of 434,000 Nurses in 2020
Required
Available
Obesity and Sedentary Lifestyle Factors
• Chronic disease
• Impaired physical function
• Impaired quality of life
• At least 300,000 premature deaths
• About $90 billion in annual U.S. direct health care costs
Archives of Internal Medicine
Large Claims Drive Most of the Cost
5%
53%
10%
25%
35%
19%
50%
3%
% of Employees % of Claims
$150 per person
$20,000 perperson
Annual Change in Average Total Health Benefit Cost, 1996-2005
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Total Health Benefit Cost for Active Employees: All Employers 1996-2003
$3,703 $3,594$3,817
$4,097$4,430
$4,924
$5,616
$6,430
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003*
Average Annual Premium Costs for Covered Workers, Single and Family 2005
$3,782 $3,767$4,150
$3,914 $4,024
$9,979
$10,456
$11,090$10,801 $10,880
$-
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
Traditional HMO PPO POS All Plans
Source: The Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust's Employer Health Benefits Annual Survey 2005
Single Coverage
Family Coverage
Percent of Premium Paid by Workers 2000-2005
Source: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits: 2005
11%
29%
14%
26%
14%
26%
16%
28%
16%
27%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Single Family
'88 2000 2001 2002 2003 1988 2000 2001 2002 2003
Reaction to Spiraling Costs
• HMO Act (1973) introduces federal policy support for managed care provided through organized delivery systems
• Self-funding of benefits
• Cost-shifting to employees
• Managed care
History of Medical Expense Coverage
CONSUMERISM
• Employees will now need to be aware of the actual
costs of their health care and to become savvy health
care consumers.
Future Outlook
• Smaller Employers hit harder …..
• The threshold of pain for employers is 12%--at which point employers take action (Mercer, 2003)
• What things look like if employers do nothing? Chart
Plan Costs at Expected Increases Per Year
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Pla
n C
os
t P
er
Ac
tiv
e E
mp
loy
ee
Traditional
HMO
PPO/POS
$15,196
$11,665
$13,372
Responses by Smaller Employers
• 19% made changes to health plans
• 65% increased deductibles and co-pays
• 35% switched insurers
• 30% increased employee share of premium
• 29% cut back on scope of benefits
• 26% increased the scope of benefitsEBRI, January 2003 Issue Brief
Prescription Drug Facts
• Spending on prescription drugs rose 11.3% last year, rising to $182 billion
• Constitute only a relatively small proportion of overall health care spending (about 9.4%), but
• Prescription drug costs accounted for 44% of the increase in total health care spending
• Controlling prescription drug costs is a primary issue in controlling the rise in health care costs
• Fastest-growing component of health care spending
Prescription Drug Cost Increases
13.8%
16.9%
18.3%17.8%
16.9%17.5%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003*
c. 2003 Mercer Human Resource Consulting
Growth in Prescription Costs
• Increased utilization
– More drugs being prescribed
– Multiple drugs to treat multiple conditions
– Physicians greater trend to treat using drugs
• Increased drug prices
– Lack of true competition in the market
• Increased Direct-to-Consumer Marketing
Growth in Prescription Costs
• Promotion of drugs to providers
• Drug samples
• Highest cost drugs are most commonly prescribed
• High priced drugs have rapidly rising prices
• High priced drugs are most heavily advertised
Employers Pay Biggest Portion of the Cost
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Private PlansIndividualsGovernment
Percent of US Drug Expenditures by Payer
43.9%
34.3%
21.8%
Source: Prescription Drug Trends, Kaiser Family Foundation (November 2002)
Versus Consumers Who
• Want access to the “best” drugs
• Generally don’t have knowledge of how much the drug actually costs when paying a small co-pay
• As a result of direct-to-consumer advertising, the consumer is more aware of the drugs that exist that may improve their health and lifestyle
– More likely to try new meds and fill Rx
– Process endears providers to patients
Drug Cost Control Strategies
• Preferred drug lists & formularies
• Use of multi-tiers
• Increase co-pays
• Percentage co-pays
• Expanded use of generics
• Require participating doctors to write “brand necessary.”
Drug Cost Control Strategies (cont.)
• Drug utilization review (DUR)
– To catch overuse, interactions, length of use, etc.
• Disease management
• Use of managed care
• Cover over-the-counter drugs
• Pharmacy counseling
• Consumer education
• Evaluation of pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs)
Retiree Health Care
• Stagnant economy + fast-rising health care cost =
hastened decline of retiree health benefits
Firms That Offer Retiree Health Coverage, 1993 - 2003
Source: Mercer National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Plans, 2003
28%
21%
35%
46%
40%
28%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1993 1999 2003
Offer Coverage to Medicare-eligible Retirees
Offer Coverage to Pre-Medicare-eligible Retirees
Retiree Health Benefits Trends Percentage of Firms Offering
Source: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits: 2003
66%
38%
10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1988 2003 2003 - (All Small Firms, <200 Workers)
All Large Firms (200+ Workers)
Retiree Health Care
• Stagnant economy + fast-rising health care cost =
hastened decline of retiree health benefits
• Watson Wyatt survey of 56 larger employers (5,000+)
– 20% have already eliminated retiree plans for new hires
– 17% now require retirees to pay the full premium
Disease Management (DM): Approach
• Preventive programs to educate and get the proper services into the hands of patients with chronic illnesses
• Chronic illnesses regular hospital utilization
• Prescribed routine of wellness, prevention and treatment to avoid or to delay acute episodes.
Disease Management Programs
• Purpose: Improve quality of care and health outcomes while decreasing health-care costs
• Companies purchase these services through their insurance provider or separately from DM companies such as Health Management Corporation
Disease Management
• Focus on conditions including:
– high blood pressure, high cholesterol
– excess weight; diabetes
– Asthma; heart conditions, oncology
• In 2002, 11 chronic conditions accounted for 58% of total health-care plan payments
Watson Wyatt
Source: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits: 2003
Percentage of Firms’ Opinions on the Effectiveness of Cost Containment Strategies
14%
22%
10%
6% 51%
49%
44%
54%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Consumer-Driven Health Plans(High Deductible Plans w/
HSAs)
Disease Management
Higher Employee Cost Sharing
Tighter Managed Care Networks
Very Effective
Somewhat Effective
68%
66%
59%
57%
Eliminate Health Care Insurance
• Trend among smaller employers has been to eliminate health care insurance:
– 60% of the 41 million that do not have insurance are members of families who own or work for small businesses.
• Cash-out option: One alternative to offering benefits
– The employer pays workers higher wages in lieu of insurance. The worker can choose to buy health insurance on the individual market.
– Shifting employer dollars from benefits to wages.