FEWS NET [email protected]www.fews.net FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good in November with carryover stocks, early supplies from above-average 2015/16 regional harvests and international rice and wheat imports. Markets remained disrupted throughout the Lake Chad Basin (Page 3). In East Africa, maize prices increased seasonally in surplus-producing areas of Uganda and Tanzania. Below average harvests are anticipated in Ethiopia and Sudan, putting pressure on markets. Markets remain disrupted by insecurity in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen (Page 4). In Southern Africa, regional maize production for the 2015/16 marketing year is estimated to be below-average. Significant maize deficits are seen in and Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Mozambique. Maize prices increased as stocks tightened with the progression of the lean season, especially in Malawi, and are well above-average price levels across the region (Page 5). In Central America, maize prices continued to seasonally decline across the region with supplies from the recent Primera season (main maize harvest). Red bean prices decreased early in El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua with the early start of the bean harvest (Postrera). Locally-produced bean and maize availability remained below-average in Haiti, while imported commodity prices remained stable (Page 6). In Central Asia, wheat availability remained good region-wide. Prices are below their respective 2014 levels in surplus-producing areas (Page 7). International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize, wheat, rice, and soybean prices were stable in November and below their respective 2014 levels (Figures 2 and 3). Crude oil prices decreased and remained below- average (Page 2). Figure 1. FEWS NET regional price indices and FAO Food Price Index, January 2010 – November 2015 Sources: FAO and FEWS NET. The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others for their assistance in providing price data.
28
Embed
PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 · 12/31/2015 · PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015 KEY MESSAGES In West Africa, market availability was good
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect
the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government
PRICE WATCH November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015
KEY MESSAGES
In West Africa, market availability was good in November with carryover stocks, early supplies from above-average 2015/16 regional harvests and international rice and wheat imports. Markets remained disrupted throughout the Lake Chad Basin (Page 3).
In East Africa, maize prices increased seasonally in surplus-producing areas of Uganda and Tanzania. Below average harvests are anticipated in Ethiopia and Sudan, putting pressure on markets. Markets remain disrupted by insecurity in South Sudan, Somalia, and Yemen (Page 4).
In Southern Africa, regional maize production for the 2015/16 marketing year is estimated to be below-average. Significant maize deficits are seen in and Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Mozambique. Maize prices increased as stocks tightened with the progression of the lean season, especially in Malawi, and are well above-average price levels across the region (Page 5).
In Central America, maize prices continued to seasonally decline across the region with supplies from the recent Primera season (main maize harvest). Red bean prices decreased early in El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua with the early start of the bean harvest (Postrera). Locally-produced bean and maize availability remained below-average in Haiti, while imported commodity prices remained stable (Page 6).
In Central Asia, wheat availability remained good region-wide. Prices are below their respective 2014 levels in surplus-producing areas (Page 7).
International staple food markets remain well supplied. Maize, wheat, rice, and soybean prices were stable in November and below their respective 2014 levels (Figures 2 and 3). Crude oil prices decreased and remained below-average (Page 2).
Figure 1. FEWS NET regional price indices and FAO Food Price Index,
January 2010 – November 2015
Sources: FAO and FEWS NET.
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food
insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for
key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges
partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence
Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others
International rice prices were stable in November and below 2014 levels (AMIS). Global stocks at the end of 2015 are generally stable with 2014 levels. The Thai government continued to offload large volumes of public stocks. Growing conditions are unfavorable in parts of Southeast Asia, including Thailand, due to El Niño (InterRice).
International maize prices were stable with stable export prices in the world’s largest producer and exporter countries, including the United States (U.S.), Argentina, Brazil, and Ukraine (Figure 2). Global prices were below 2014 levels reflecting record level global supplies (AMIS and FAO).
International wheat prices were stable as pressure from abundant global supplies and low export demand offset concerns over dry weather conditions in the Black Sea region and U.S. Global prices were still well below (by over 20 percent) their respective 2014 levels (AMIS and FAO).
International soybean prices remained stable and well below 2014 levels. Global supplies are at an all-time record high with favorable conditions as harvests end in the northern hemisphere (AMIS).
International crude oil prices decreased, remaining at the lowest level since 2009, and were, on average, significantly below 2014 levels (U.S. Energy Information Administration and World Bank).
Outlook
Global rice production projections for 2015/16 are slightly below 2014/15 record levels due to the El Niño climate phenomenon and reduced production forecast in the U.S., India, and Thailand (IGC). World demand is projected to outgrow production and global stocks may decline for the first time since 2005 (IGC and InterRice).
Global maize production is projected to be slightly below to last year’s record crop (USDA FAS and IGC). Although global maize demand for 2015/16 is projected to be near 2014 levels, large inventories in Argentina, Brazil, India, and the U.S. indicate that world ending stocks will remain high (AMIS).
Global wheat production projections for 2015/16 are expected to surpass the 2014/15 record level based on larger crops in Canada and the E.U., leading to a 13-year high stock level ending in 2016 (USDA FAS and AMIS). Ukraine’s exports are expected to be the second highest ever. Prices are expected to remain below-average (USDA FAS).
Global soybean 2015/16 production forecasts are slightly above the 2014/15 record levels. Global demand may grow over 2015/16 based on signs of expanding demand in Asia and South America (AMIS).
International crude oil prices are expected to stabilize and remain lower than their respective 2014 levels over the remainder of 2015 (U.S. Energy Information Administration and World Bank). However, fuel prices may increase in some importing countries due to the depreciation of the local currency vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar and local fuel price policies.
Figure 2. Food commodity prices in selected international
markets, January 2010 – October 2015
Figure 3. Global Market Indicators, 2015/16 compared to
2010-2014 average
Sources: FAO and World Bank.
Staple food price trends across the countries monitored by FEWS NET will vary considerably in the coming months in response to
local and regional market conditions; international market trends will play a more limited role in most countries (Figure 1). Fuel price
trends in FEWS NET countries will depend on both international market conditions, the evolution of local exchange rates in relation
to the U.S. Dollar, and the design and implementation of local fuel import and price policies.
Supplies on markets continued to improve in November as harvests were ongoing or recently completed across the region. Demand remains relatively low in production zones and average in urban centers. Aggregate regional cereal production is expected to be above average in 2015/16 (Figure 4); regional maize and rice production reached record high levels. Imported rice also contributes to regional staple food availability. Cross-border trade remains dynamic in all the commercial basins in the region.
The exception to this general trend is in the greater Lake Chad area, where the effects of Boko Haram have resulted in below-average production in 2015/16 and significant market disruptions. There have likewise recently been a resurgence of attacks in Northern and Central Mali, although the market impacts have been limited. In Ghana, the joint effects of below-average production (maize) and the depreciation of the local currency in Ghana have led to reduced regional exports.
Prices generally followed their seasonal trends in November, decreasing for millet, sorghum, tubers, and cash crops and stable to decreasing for imported rice. The prices for maize (Figure 5), on the other hand, did not decline seasonally in central Niger (Gaya and Niamey) due to late harvests and below-average imports from supplying countries (Benin and Ghana).
Insecurity affected some regional trade routes, causing some atypical monthly prices increases for sorghum in N’Djamena, Chad, which normally imports from neighboring Nigeria. Moreover, in Niger, millet prices went up in various localities compared to the previous month due to increased demand by cattle herders for stocks’ replenishment in light of the transhumance.
Harvests in Ebola-affected Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea are estimated to be average, with production surpluses recorded in several areas. Market activities continue to progressively improve thanks to some partial lifting of population movement restriction, market closure, and trade restriction measures.
Outlook
Market supplies will continue to improve as harvests progress throughout the region in December. Institutional demand is expected to be average. Prices are expected to follow their regular seasonal trends across much of the region in the upcoming months, even as some producers focus on selling off cash crops rather than cereals.
Imports of rice and wheat from international markets are expected to proceed without any major disruptions.
Trade in the greater Lake Chad area will likely remain disrupted and prices and market supplies volatile in the coming months.
Figure 4. West Africa Regional cereal production (000s
MT)
Source: Authors’ calculations based on CILSS 2015 data.
Figure 5. Maize prices in Ghana, Niger, and Benin
(USD/kg)
Source: Authors’ calculations based on ONASA, SIMA Niger, SONAGESS, and WFP data.
Markets are generally well supplied in Uganda and Tanzania. Maize prices followed their respective seasonal trends in Uganda in November, by continuing to increase. Prices increased seasonally in the northern bimodal southern surplus-producing highland areas of Tanzania. Exportable surpluses of maize and dry beans continued supplying deficit areas of neighboring countries through both formal and informal exports.
In Kenya, staple food prices declined with the progression of the October-to-February long rains harvests in the main-producing North Rift. Stocks of regionally-imported commodities in main consumption centers reinforced market supplies and price trends.
The economy in South Sudan has been heavily affected by domestic civil strife and reduced state revenues attributed to the global decline in oil prices (a main source of national revenues). The recent sharp depreciation of the SSP has put upward pressure on the cost of imported commodities. In areas directly affected by conflict, staple food markets remain very thin and prices volatile. Staple food prices increased sharply in October and November in Greater Equatoria due to below-average local harvests coupled with outbursts of conflict and unrest that disrupted key marketing corridors (Figure 6).
The availability of carryover stocks from the well above-average 2014/15 rainfed season in Sudan helped to offset some of the effects of below average production during the current 2015/16 rainfed sorghum season. Sorghum prices were atypically stable during the post-harvest period in Al Qadarif, a surplus-producing area (Figure 7).
In Ethiopia, consecutive above-average Meher harvests have offset some of the effects of the recent below-average Belg season. Staple food prices declined in many areas following the June-to-August Belg, but not as quickly as they normally do. Prices of small ruminants in the northern agropastoral regions are atypically low due to poor animal body conditions.
Staple food availability and market activities remain disrupted in conflict-affected areas of southern Somalia. The crisis in Yemen continues to affect import flows and security along key national marketing corridors, resulting in highly variable staple food prices.
Outlook
Staple food prices are expected to continue following their respective seasonal trends in Uganda and increase earlier than usual in Tanzania, but remain with range of their respective five-year average levels.
Staple food prices in South Sudan are expected to remain volatile through the post-harvest period due to the effects of high levels of uncertainty and high transport costs on grain marketing. The official exchange rate was allowed to float as of mid December 2015, which narrowed the gap between the official and parallel market exchange rates.
Recent FEWS NET reporting has indicated that the strong ongoing El Niño is raising the risk of significant flooding in parts of the region and below-average rainfall in others. Either outcome may affect food availability and access in countries like Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, and Somalia. In Sudan, staple food prices are expected to increase earlier than usual over the 2015/16 marketing year, but remain within range of 2014/15 levels due to the abundance of carryover stocks and international wheat imports.
FEWS NET will continue to closely monitor staple food availability and prices in Yemen over the coming months.
Figure 6. Grain prices in Juba, South Sudan (SSP/kg)
Source: WFP VAM, South Sudan.
Figure 7. Sorghum prices in surplus areas of East Africa
In Southern Africa, maize availability continued to decline seasonally in November with the progression of the lean season. Supplies are tighter than usual throughout the region as a result of significantly below-average harvests that ended in June (Figure 9). The regional maize deficit was revised downwards based on updated harvest and carry-over stock level assessments, but is still estimated to be more than 500,000 MT.
Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Mozambique face the greatest national maize deficits in the region, leading to significant import requirements. Zambia remains the regions’ major exporter this year, with large formal maize exports to Zimbabwe and Malawi. South Africa increased white maize exports to the region in November, mostly to Namibia, Botswana, and Lesotho, while yellow maize regional exports remained stable. Malawi also informally imported maize from Zambia and Mozambique.
Maize grain prices remained stable or increased and are
significantly above respective 2014 and five-year
average levels across the region (Figure 8). Although
Zimbabwe’s national average maize price remained the
highest in the region (in USD terms), prices continue to
be atypically stable due to the strength of the USD and
the high volumes of maize imports from Zambia. In
contrast, prices started increasing earlier and sharper
than usual in Malawi last month, following the start of
ADMARC maize sales at subsidized prices in September,
as a result of the supply shortage, high import volumes,
and significant deprecation of the Malawian Kwacha. Maize grain and maize meal prices increased in Zambia for a
second consecutive month, with significant increases in surplus areas, reflecting rapidly declining supplies resulting
from high export levels. The Zambian Kwacha (ZMW) recovered in November, appreciating by about 16 percent against
the USD, but Zambia’s export parity prices remained the lowest in the region, encouraging continued demand.
Outlook
Regional maize supplies are expected to be below-average over the remainder of the 2015/16 marketing year, with notable deficits in Zimbabwe, Malawi, and Mozambique. Export levels from Zambia are expected to decline but continue to help alleviate deficits in Malawi and Zimbabwe. South Africa is expected to continue to export to Mozambique, along with other parts of the region, although at below-average levels.
Maize prices will continue to increase in December and remain above respective five-year average levels across the region. Price increases are expected to be especially high in Malawi given the large local deficits and ongoing currency depreciation.
As a result of the El Niño climate phenomenon, abnormal rainfall patterns in Southern Africa will likely delay the start and reduce production of the 2016 harvest. A delayed start of the season is likely to exacerbate maize shortages in Malawi ahead of the harvest, with ADMARC supplies estimated to be insufficient this year and may be exhausted in March. If 2016 harvests are below-average, many countries in the region may face shortages over the 2016/17 marketing year that are greater than the current shortages, given the low carry-over stocks expected at the end of the 2015/16 marketing year.
Figure 8. White maize prices in Southern Africa
Sources: Malawi Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water
Development (MITM), Zambia Central Statistics Office, and SAFEX.
Figure 9. Estimated total maize supply in Southern Africa
(‘000s MT) as of Nov 30, 2015
Sources: FEWS NET estimates and Government Ministries, SADC,
In Central America, the Primera harvest (mainly maize) was below-average but increased supplies, while the Postrera harvest (mainly red beans) started early in November with favorable prospects. Availability and prices of imported rice and wheat flour remained stable in Haiti, while locally-produced black bean supplies were below-average and prices increased.
Red bean supplies from the Postrera harvest began to reach markets slightly earlier than usual in early November, causing prices to atypically decrease again in Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Honduras when they typically increase. Red bean prices are well below the atypically high 2014 prices, and have now also fallen below five-year average levels due to the projected average Postrera harvest. In Guatemala, freshly harvested beans from the Postrera harvest in the Eastern region reached markets, and imported black beans from Mexico continued to augment supplies as well. With adequate supply levels, black bean prices were seasonally stable, below 2014 levels, and similar to the five-year average.
White maize prices seasonally declined following the Primera harvest in Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua. However, the seasonal price decline was late this year and prices remain above 2014 and average levels, except Guatemala, as a result of below-average Primera production. Maize prices in Guatemala (and Mexico) were below or similar to 2014 and average levels (Figure 10). Guatemala maintained above=average supplies with imports from Mexico, while El Salvador imported from the U.S. and Mexico to increase its supplies.
In Haiti, staple food availability was adequate. Prices of local maize flour continued to increase following the poor spring maize harvests, which was estimated at 60 percent of normal production. Black bean prices increased during the post-harvest period and remained well above respective 2014 and five-year average levels (by 49 to 125 percent; Figure 11). Internationally imported rice and wheat prices remain stable due to stable international markets and despite the recent depreciation of the Gourde. Maize flour prices followed imported rice and wheat trends.
Outlook
In Central America, based on favorable prospects for the Postrera harvest (the main bean harvest) in El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala, red and black bean prices are expected to continue to seasonally decrease. Although the impact of El Nino in Nicaragua remains uncertain, it could limit the Apante harvest causing atypical bean price increases in Nicaragua and a reduced source of supplies for El Salvador and Honduras. Red bean price trends will depend on those effects in the coming months, but prices are expected to stay above average but below atypically high 2014 levels. Prices of white maize are expected to seasonally increase and remain above 2014 and average levels in Honduras, Nicaragua, and El Salvador, but remain similar to 2014 and average levels in Guatemala.
In Haiti, harvests are expected to be up to 30 percent below-average. Prices of locally-produced black bean prices will likely remain stable during the harvest period and then increase steadily thereafter. Prices of imported rice and wheat flour will limit the extent to which local maize flour grain and prices increase. FEWS NET will monitor closely the extent to which the recent depreciation of the Haitian Gourde vis-à-vis the USD affects rice and wheat import volumes and prices.
Figure 10. White maize prices in Central America
Figure 11. Black bean prices in Haiti
Sources: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and
FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria
(DGECA), Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de
Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio
de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion de Guatemala (MAGA).
PRICE WATCH December 2015
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 7
CENTRAL ASIA Current Situation
Regional availability and price trends varied considerably across Central Asia with the progression of the 2015/16 marketing year and in November (Figure 12 and Table 1). However, as detailed in the Central Asia Regional Wheat Supply and Market Outlook, regional deficits are expected to be filled through intra-regional trade.
Wheat grain export prices in Kazakhstan, the region’s largest exporter, stabilized in November after decreasing between August and October 2015. Price are over 20 percent below the five-year average. Stable prices are attributed to increased regional demand, driven by the depreciation of the Kazakh tenge (KZT) and resulting relatively lower prices.
Wheat flour prices have been stable at record high levels in Tajikistan since April 2015. Supplies from recent harvests have improved availability at local markets, but have not been sufficient to offset the effects of the sharp depreciation of the Somoni (TJS). Wheat flour prices remain above the average by more than 20 percent in this wheat grain and wheat flour importing country.
In Pakistan, another regional wheat flour exporter, wheat grain and flour prices remained stable between October and November in most major markets but slightly seasonally increased in some wheat-deficit provinces. Prices are nearly stable in major markets compared to 2014 and five-year average levels, reflecting average wheat production coupled with higher than average carry-over stocks.
In Afghanistan, wheat grain prices slightly increased in some markets following the arrival of winter season, but are similar to respective 2014 levels in all major markets. Imported wheat flour prices were stable or decreased in many areas because of steady imports from Pakistan and Kazakhstan. The Afghani (AFN) depreciated consistently since June 2015 against international currencies affecting prices of imported food. Its impact was more noticeable in Kabul compared to other markets where price fluctuations are more common.
Outlook
Regional availability and price trends are expected to continue varying across Central Asia over the 2015/16 marketing year.
The wheat harvest is almost complete in Kazakhstan and is expected to be eight percent higher than last year’s production. With average wheat production this year the stock levels also increased slightly supporting normal wheat grain and flour exports to the Central Asian countries (USDA/FAS).
Price trends in Tajikistan will depend largely on the extent to which lower regional export prices are offset by the depreciating value of the TJS.
Average wheat production in 2015 (25.5 MMT) and above average stocks from previous years will support wheat grain and flour prices to be stable for coming months in Pakistan. The Federal Committee on Agriculture (FCA) has fixed the wheat production target for 2015/16 at 26 MMT, similar to last year. If the country achieves the target, stock levels, which are already at 25 percent more than last year (7 MMT), will increase further. The government of Pakistan may need to intervene further in markets to sustain its price stability with its consistently increasing stocks.
In Afghanistan, prices may increase further in December when households start stocking ahead of the winter months. Prices may seasonally increase during upcoming lean season (February to April) but no anomaly is expected because of the average domestic and regional wheat availabilities.
Figure 12. Wheat prices in Selected markets of Central Asia
(USD/kg)
Source: WFP, VAM; APK Inform Agency, Kazakhstan.
Table 1. Regional wheat availability and price trends
PRICE WATCH ANNEX 1 November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
► ▼
-5 3 6 ▼ ► ▲
▲ ▼Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
-3 3 0 ► ► ►
-6 0 -10 ▼ ► ▼-9 -8 1 ▼ ▼ ►
-8 -7 -12 ▼ ▼ ▼-6 -5 3 ▼ ▼ ►W
est
Afr
ica
-15
▼ ▲
Burkina Faso Chad
0 4 7 ► ► ▲
-5 -5 0 ▼ ▼ ►-2 12 6 ► ▲ ▲
-10 -10 20 ▼
▼ ▼
Chad
0 -7 -4 ► ▼ ▼Burkina Faso Chad
0 -9 22 ► ▼ ▲-9 0 4 ▼ ► ►
-13 -14 -6 ▼
▲ ▲
Chad
-1 -5 -11 ► ▼ ▼
3 27 39 ► ▲ ▲-10 -2 -9 ▼ ► ▼
3 10 31 ►
-15 -8 ▼ ▼ ▼
Chad
-5 -16 -13 ▼ ▼ ▼
-30 -17 -11 ▼ ▼ ▼0 0 -5 ► ► ▼
-32
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 1 provides
prices and price changes for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The prices are final monthly average prices for November 2015.
-13 -13 -13 ▼ ▼ ▼0 -5 7 ► ▼ ▲
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United
States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
Commodities included in the Annex are the staples most often consumed by the poor in the indicated market. Additional commodities provided are important commodities consumed in the
same areas or fuel prices that affect food prices. Final monthly average prices are used. The symbols (▲►▼) depict the direction of price changes: the red upward-facing arrow denotes an
increase of five percent or greater. The blue horizontal arrow denotes no change or changes that are smaller than 5 percent, and the green downward-facing arrow denotes price decreases
that are five percent or greater. The three arrows respectively correspond to the percent change in prices this month compared to last month, last year, and the five-year average. The “-“
symbol indicates that data are not available. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported prices are retail.
PRICE WATCH ANNEX 2 November 2015 Prices December 31, 2015
Wes
t A
fric
a
Figure 1. Millet prices in West Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 2. Sorghum prices in West Africa (2010 - 2015)
Figure 3. Maize prices in West Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 4. Rice prices in West Africa (2010 - 2015)
East
Afr
ica
Figure 5. Dry bean prices in East Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 6. Sorghum prices in East Africa (2010 - 2015)
Sources of prices in West Africa: Information System on agricultural markets (SIMA) Niger, Agricultural Market Observatory (OMA) Mali, Burkina Faso SONAGESS, Information System
market (SIM) in Senegal and FEWS NET.
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 2 provides prices
trends for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported
prices are retail.
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the
view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
____________________* imported rice
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Moundou, Chad Solenzo, Burkina FasoSegou, Segou centre, Mali Maradi, NigerKaolak, Senegal
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Maradi, Niger Moundou, ChadSegou, Segou centre, Mali Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina FasoKano, Nigeria (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Bol, Chad Malanville, Benin
Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso Kano, Nigeria (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Bamako, Mali Dakar, Tilène, Senegal
Monrovia, Red Light, Liberia Nouakchott, Mauritania
Figure 11. White maize prices in Central America (2010 - 2015) Figure 12. Dry bean prices in Central America (2010 - 2015)
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
Figure 9. White maize prices in Southern Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 10. Bean and cowpea prices in Southern Africa (2010 - 2015)
East
Afr
ica
Figure 7. Maize prices in surplus areas of East Africa (2010 - 2015) Figure 8. Maize prices in deficit areas of East Africa (2010 - 2015)
December 2015
**
**
**
*
Sources of prices in East Africa: Food and Agriculture Market Information System (FAMIS) FSTS/FEWS NET in Somalia, Uganda Bureau of Statistics and Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of
Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), Ministry of Agriculture of Kenya, Arid Lands Resource Management Project (ALRMP), SIFSIA, WFP VAM
Sources of prices in Southern Africa: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of Malawi, Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM)) of Tanzania, Ministry of
Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of Zambia, SAFEX, WFP and FEWS NET.
____________________* black beans ** red beans
____________________* dry beans** cowpeas
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Lilongwe, Malawi Lusaka, Zambia
Harare, Zimbabwe Maputo, Mozambique
Mbeya, Tanzania (W) Randfontein, South Africa
USD/kgUSD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Dodoma, Tanzania (W)
Maputo, Mozambique Nampula, Mozambique
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Guatemala City, Guatemala (W) Managua, NicaraguaSan Salvador, El Salvador San Jose, Costa Rica (W)Tegucigalpa, Honduras
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Guatemala City, Guatemala Managua, Nicaragua (W)San Salvador, El Salvador Mexico City, Mexico (W)Tegucigalpa, Honduras
USD/kgUSD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75Ja
n 1
0
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (W)Eldoret, Kenya (W) Kampala, Uganda (W)Qorioley, Somalia Songea, Tanzania (W)
Figure 15. Wheat grain prices in Central Asia (2010 - 2015) Figure 16. Wheat flour prices in Central Asia (2010 - 2015)
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
Figure 13. Imported Rice Prices in Haiti (2010-2015) Figure 14. Black bean prices in Haiti (2010 - 2015)
Sources of prices in Central America and Caribbean: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria (DGEA),
Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion de
Guatemala (MAGA).
Sources of prices in Central Asia: Afghanistan, WFP and FEWS NET.
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00Ja
n 1
0
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, HaitiJacmel, Haiti Jérémie, HaitiPort-au-Prince, Haiti
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
Jan
10
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 1
0
Oct
10
Jan
11
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 1
1
Oct
11
Jan
12
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 1
2
Oct
12
Jan
13
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 1
3
Oct
13
Jan
14
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 1
4
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 1
5
Oct
15
Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, HaitiJacmel, Haiti Jérémie, HaitiPort-au-Prince, Haiti