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Copenhagen, 7 August 2008 Press conference Financial results for the first half of 2008 - Stability in the midst of financial unrest
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Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

Jun 07, 2019

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Page 1: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

Copenhagen, 7 August 2008

Press conferenceFinancial results for the first half of 2008- Stability in the midst of financial unrest

Page 2: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Difficult times- Volatile capital markets

Page 3: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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DKr m H1 2007 H1 2008 Index

Net interest income 11,804 12,901 109

Net fee income 4,571 4,271 93

Net trading income 4,001 3,518 88

Other income 1,552 1,968 127

Income from insurance 669 -837 -

Total income 22,597 21,821 97

Operating expenses 12,530 12,933 103

Profit before credit losses 10,067 8,888 88

Credit loss expenses 5 1,114 -

Profit before tax 10,062 7,774 77

Tax 2,433 1,967 81

Net profit 7,629 5,807 76

Group accounts, first half of 2008- Stable income despite financial unrest; rising credit loss expenses

Income statement

Page 4: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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The Danish housing market- Losses remain very low at Realkredit Danmark

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RD: No. loans in arrears 3 and 6 months

Total No. loans: approx. 430,000

RD: No. repossessed propertiesNo. loans No. properties

1238

8

Page 5: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Lending to commercial property: 8% of total credit- Of which developere below 1%

Breakdown of commercial const. & prop.

DKr bn Denmark Ireland GroupRental comm. 52.0 12.0 172.9Developers 1.6 6.5 15.7

Others 7.1 2.1 22.6

Total 60.7 20.6 211.2

Page 6: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Credit loss expenses- Rising, but still below the average for a business cycle

Expected average loss over a business cycle

DKr m Credit loss expenses

-200

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Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08

Page 7: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Finland- IT problems interfered with the migration

Page 8: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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International units gaining significance

Income, Banking Activities

Denmark Outside Denmark

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H1 2007 H2 2007 H1 2008

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IncomeInternational banking activitiesas % of total banking activities

%

Page 9: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Financial literacy- New virtual universe for 5- to 7-year-olds

www.pengeby.dk

Page 10: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Danske Parent Study Loan- New socially responsible product for students with children

ADVISORY SERVICES

ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN

Page 11: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Group accounts, first half of 2008- Stable income, but rising credit loss expenses

Income statement

Lending up 10%

Deposits up 14%

DKr m H1 2007 H1 2008 Index

Net interest income 11,804 12,901 109

Net fee income 4,571 4,271 93

Net trading income 4,001 3,518 88

Other income 1,552 1,968 127

Income from insurance 669 -837 -

Total income 22,597 21,821 97

Operating expenses 12,530 12,933 103

Profit before credit losses 10,067 8,888 88

Credit loss expenses 5 1,114 -

Profit before tax 10,062 7,774 77

Tax 2,433 1,967 81

Net profit 7,629 5,807 76

Page 12: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Banking Activities Denmark- Good income growth; higher loan losses

� Lending ↑ 7%

� Net interest income ↑ 6%

� Income ↑ 4%

� Profit before tax ↓ 12%

� Profit before tax DKr 4,471m

Page 13: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Banking Activities Finland- Good volume despite focus on integration

� Lending ↑ 8%

� Net interest income ↑ 24%

� Income ↑ 16%

� Profit before tax ↓ 89%

� Profit before tax DKr 48m

Page 14: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Sweden� Lending ↑ 22%

� Net interest income ↑ 7%

� Income ↑ 7%

� Profit before tax ↑ 16%

� Profit before tax DKr 534m

Banking Activities Sweden- Strong growth leads to sound advance in earnings

Sweden

Page 15: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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� Lending ↑ 31%

� Net interest income ↑ 23%

� Income ↑ 16%

� Profit before tax ↑ 14%

� Profit before tax DKr 523m

Banking Activities Norway- High growth continues in healthy economy

Page 16: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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� Lending* ↑ 22%

� Net interest income ↓ 11%

� Income ↓ 12%

� Profit before tax ↑DKr 280m

� Profit before tax DKr 253m* Measured in GBP.

Banking Activities Northern Ireland- Earnings growth despite falling FX rate and higher loan losses

Page 17: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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� Lending ↑ 19%

� Net interest income ↑ 15%

� Income ↑ 9%

� Profit before tax ↓ 68%

� Profit before tax DKr 18m

Banking Activities Ireland- High growth falters because of abrupt economic downturn

Page 18: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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� Lending ↑ 29%

� Net interest income ↑ 48%

� Income ↑ 59%

� Profit before tax ↑ 101%

� Profit before tax DKr 175m

Banking Activities Baltics- Surge in earnings growth

Page 19: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Danske Markets - Record-high customer activity, but also effects of financial unrest

� Income ↓ 23%

� Trading activities ↑ 39%

� Profit before tax ↓ 40%

� Profit before tax DKr 1,075m

Page 20: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Danske Capital- Lower activity because of financial volatility

� Assets under mgt ↓ 11%

� Income ↓ 5%

� Profit before tax ↓ 21%

� Profit before tax DKr 422m

Page 21: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Danica Pension- Sound business trend, but result hurt by losses on equity holdings

� Premium income ↑ 23%

� Return on investments -2.2%

� Profit/loss before tax ↓DKr 1,506m

� Profit/loss before tax DKr -837m

Page 22: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Outlook for 2008- Banking Activities will continue to grow, but forecast uncertain

Expectations in detail√ Income growth in Banking Activities of 4%-7%

√ Expenses increase 2%-4%

√ Profit before credit loss expenses, ex trading income and income from insurance business, up 10%-20%

√ Net trading income lower than in 2007

√ Income from insurance business negative because risk allowance postponed

√ Rise in credit loss expenses approaches average for a business cycle

Assumptions in detail! Weighted economic growth for DB markets of 1.6%

vs. average for EU of 1. 4%

! Interest rates in core markets unchanged

! Lower lending growth than in 2007

! Continuation of volatility in capital markets

! Increased uncertainty about results because of the capital markets

! Risk allowance at Danica cannot be booked

Profit before credit loss expenses, ex net trading income and income from insurance business, up 10%-20%

Net trading income lower than in 2007

Negative result from insurance business

Increase in credit loss expenses

Page 23: Presse Q2 2008 - UK - danskebank.com file. 10 Danske Parent Study Loan - New socially responsible product for students with children ADVISORY SERVICES ADVANTAGEOUS LOAN. 11 Group accounts,

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Please use the microphones in front of the armrests

Q&A session will not be webcastwww.danskebank.com