Presentation to the Committee of 100 Sabine Pass LNG and Liquefaction Pat Outtrim Vice President – Government and Regulatory Affairs February 8, 2012
Dec 15, 2015
Presentation to the Committee of 100Sabine Pass LNG and Liquefaction
Pat OuttrimVice President – Government and Regulatory AffairsFebruary 8, 2012
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This presentation contains certain statements that are, or may be deemed to be, “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1933, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included herein are “forward-looking statements.” Included among “forward-looking statements” are, among other things:
Statements that we expect to commence or complete construction of a liquefaction facility by certain dates, or at all;
Statements that we expect to receive authorization from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, or FERC, or the Department of Energy, or DOE to construct and operate a proposed liquefaction facility by a certain date, or at all;
Statements regarding future levels of domestic or foreign natural gas production and consumption, or the future level of LNG imports into North America or exports from the U.S., or regarding projected future capacity of liquefaction or regasification facilities worldwide;
Statements regarding any financing transactions or arrangements, whether on the part of Cheniere or at the project level;
Statements regarding any commercial arrangements marketed or potential arrangements to be performed in the future, including any cash distributions and revenues anticipated to be received;
Statements regarding the commercial terms and potential revenues from activities described in this presentation;
Statements that our proposed liquefaction facility, when completed, will have certain characteristics, including a number of trains;
Statements regarding our business strategy, our business plan or any other plans, forecasts, examples, models, forecasts or objectives: any or all of which are subject to change;
Statements regarding estimated corporate overhead expenses; and
Any other statements that relate to non-historical information.
These forward-looking statements are often identified by the use of terms and phrases such as “achieve,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “example,” “expect,” “forecast,” “opportunities,” “plan,” “potential,” “project,” “propose,” “subject to,” and similar terms and phrases. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, they do involve assumptions, risks and uncertainties, and these expectations may prove to be incorrect. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, including those discussed in “Risk Factors” in the Cheniere Energy, Inc. and Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. Current Reports on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are incorporated by reference into this presentation. All forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these ”Risk Factors”. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.
Forward Looking Statements
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In the Beginning…
Cheniere Energy was formed in 1996 to fund an exploration project, “the Cameron Project”, to evaluate, explore and develop drilling prospects in southwest Louisiana
Two gas discoveries were made – “Redfish” and “Stingray”
By 1999 the company had licensed 8,800 square miles of seismic data and reprocessed this data using cutting edge technology
By the late 1990’s natural gas drilling was yielding less production per well at higher costs suggesting gas production could not sustain the growing U.S. demand and providing an opportunity to import LNG
By 2001 Cheniere had assembled an experienced LNG project development team to evaluate the economic feasibility of delivering LNG to North America
This team then began to evaluate suitable locations to construct one of the first new LNG import terminals in more than 25 years
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U.S. Gas Pipeline SystemGulf Coast-centered transmission system reaches all US markets
TerminalCapacity Holder
BaseloadSendout (MMcf/d)
Canaport 1,000Repsol
Everett - Suez 700
Cove Point 1,800BP, Statoil, Shell
Elba Island 1,800BG, Marathon, Shell
Gulf LNG 1,300 Angola LNG, ENI
Lake Charles - BG 1,800
Freeport 1,500ConocoPhillips, Dow, Mitsui
Sabine Pass 4,000Total, Chevron, Cheniere
Cameron 1,500Sempra, ENI
Golden Pass 2,000ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips, QP
Altamira 700Shell, Total
Costa Azul 1,000Shell, Sempra, Gazprom
Total 19,100
EverettEverett
Cove Point Cove Point
Elba IslandElba Island
Lake CharlesLake Charles
Sabine PassSabine PassFreeportFreeport
Golden PassGolden Pass
CameronCameron
Costa AzulCosta Azul
CanaportCanaport
AltamiraAltamira
Gulf LNGGulf LNG
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Operational since 2008 Cost ~$1.6 billion Vaporization
– ~4.3 Bcf/d peak send-out
Storage– 5 tanks x 160,000 cm (16.9 Bcfe)
Berthing / Unloading– Two docks– LNG carriers up to 267,000 cm– Four dedicated tugs
Land– 1000 acres in Cameron Parish, LA
Accessibility – Deep Water Ship Channel– Sabine River Channel dredged to 40 feet
Proximity – 3.7 nautical miles from coast
– 22.8 nautical miles from outer buoy LNG Re-Exporting Capability
Sabine Pass LNG
Aerial view of Sabine Pass LNG Terminal
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Cheniere in the Community
Cheniere has invested over $6 million in surrounding communities
Major Projects: Johnson Bayou Rural Health Clinic, Economic Development and Planning Office
PILOT Program: Providing advance tax payments to Cameron Parish in the aftermath of Hurricane Rita
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Sabine Pass LNG
The Shale Gas Revolution
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
US
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TCF U.S. Natural Gas Resource Base • 2,612 TCF of total recoverable reserves
• 700 TCF recoverable shales
• 400 TCF of shales economical below $6/MMBtu
U.S. Natural Gas Resource Base • 2,612 TCF of total recoverable reserves
• 700 TCF recoverable shales
• 400 TCF of shales economical below $6/MMBtu
Source: 2011 BP Statistical Review (Global Reserves); Advanced Resources International US Natural Gas Resources & Productive Capacity, August 2010 (US Resource Base) ; MIT, The Future of Natural Gas, 2009 (shales economic below $6)
1,216 Tcf Unconventional
272 Tcf Proved Reserves
1,124 Tcf Conventional
Global Natural Gas Reserves
Unconventional gas is abundant globally, but only the U.S. has the technical capability to develop at present
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U.S. Gas Consumption vs. Production
Source: EIA historical, September 2011 Short-Term Energy Outlook (2011 data)
Hot Summer & Cold Winter
Hot Summer & Cold Winter
Since 2005 U.S. production growth ~ 4.9 Tcf vs. demand growth ~ 2.6 Tcf Net imports declined ~1.6 Tcf (-50%) over the period ~ 1 Tcf production added each year since 2006 The U.S. is on pace to be a net gas exporter by mid-decade
US Gas Production
18.0 18.5 19.3 20.1 20.6 21.6 22.9
22.0 21.723.1 23.2 22.8
24.1 24.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E
Tcf
U.S. Gas Consumption
U.S. Gas Production
1010
Resulting Productive Capacity Estimates Vast
Existing conventional production to continue declining from current 40% share of supply
Unconventional production, led by gains in gas shales, projected to achieve capacity of 50+ Bcf/d
Total North American productive capacity 90+ Bcf/d by 2020
Unconventional gas is currently a critical
component of U.S. supply and will continue to grow
into the future
Unconventional gas is currently a critical
component of U.S. supply and will continue to grow
into the future
$6.50 HH Price
$5.50 to $7.00 HH Price
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Gas Substitution in Transportation Sector
~40 Bcf/d Surplus with NGV Subsidy
Production Data: EIA (2005-2010), Advanced Resources Intl "US Natural Gas Resources and Productive Capacity mid-2010 Update" (Post-2010), August 2010.
NGV Data: EIA AEO 2010 Alternative Case – “Natural gas as a fuel for heavy trucks” 2027 Incentive Phaseout Case
0
10
20
30
40
50
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
US Production Change Since 2005
NGV Demand AEO 2011
NGV Demand High Subsidy
Bcf/d
Actual
Projected @ $7/Mcf
U.S. NGV demand w/heavy subsidies would reach 4 Bcf/d by 2032 – 21 years (EIA forecast)
Louisiana gas production +4 Bcf/d in 2 years U.S. gas production +4 Bcf/d in 1 year
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Gas Use in US Power Generation Sector
0
10
20
30
40
50
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
US Production Change Since 2005
NCI Spring 2010 Carbon Plus Case
EIA AEO 2011 Reference Powergen
Bcf/d
Actual
Projected @ $7/Mcf
Production Data: EIA (2005-2010), Advanced Resources Intl "US Natural Gas Resources and Productive Capacity mid-2010 Update,“ August 2010 (Post-2010).
Powergen Data: EIA AEO 2011 Reference Case; Navigant Consulting Inc.’s Spring 2010 Reference Case, "Market Analysis for Sabine Pass LNG Export Project", August 23, 2010
~26 Bcf/d surplus with CO2 limits
$4 gas prices have caused ~2.5 Bcf/d of coal switching – not sufficient to absorb supply growth
Near-term switching limited by 40+ GW of modern coal & renewables due online thru 2015
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Sabine Pass LNG
The Future
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Proposed SPL Project: Brownfield Development Utilizing Existing Assets
Current Facility 1000 acres in Cameron Parish, LA 40 ft ship channel 3.7 miles from coast 2 berths; 4 dedicated tugs 5 LNG storage tanks (17 Bcf of storage) 4.3 Bcf/d peak regasification capacity 5.3 Bcf/d of pipeline interconnection to
the US pipeline networkLiquefaction Expansion Construction contract w/Bechtel for Phase 1 Up to four liquefaction trains designed with
ConocoPhillips’ Optimized Cascade® Process technology
Six GE LM2500+ G4 gas turbine driven refrigerant compressors per train
Gas treating and environmental compliance Modifications to the Creole Trail Pipeline for
bi-directional service Sixth tank if needed for fourth train
Existing operational
facility
Proposed expansion
Significant infrastructure in place including storage, marine and pipeline interconnection facilities; pipeline quality natural gas to be sourced from U.S. pipeline network
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Sabine Pass LiquefactionInfrastructure and Jobs
Infrastructure Investment ~ $10 B including– $2.3 B materials & equipment – Over $2 B potential U.S. sourced equipment– More than $1 B construction wages/benefits
Direct Jobs– 100-200 permanent jobs at the terminal– Average construction jobs of 1,800 for four to six years– Peak of 3,000 – 13 million man-hours
Indirect Jobs– Will support ~50,000 permanent jobs in natural gas industry– Construction timeline 2012-2018
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Sabine Pass LiquefactionApproximate Project Timeline – Trains 1 & 2
2010 2010
NEPA Notice(beginning of 6
month consultation
period w. FERC)
Initial commercial discussions with
counterparties under CA
Initial discussions with local, political,
and regulatory constituents
Public Announcement
2011 2011 2012 2012 20152015
File FERCApplication
Obtain construction
financing commitments
FERCAuthorizationto Commence Construction
Full Notice to Proceed for
EPC CommenceFull
Commercial Bi-
directionalService
NOTE: Timeline represents an estimate of expected events and is continually changing.Actions outlined in red are completed.
Start up Liquefaction Train 1
All Permit
s grante
d
DOE Authorization to export LNG to
Free Trade countries
As of January 2012
FEED Complete
Sales Purchas
e Agreeme
nts Signed
Train 2 will start up 6 to 9 months after Train 1.
Trains 3 and 4 start up will be similarly staggered.
DOE Authorization to export LNG to non-Free
Trade countries
File DOE Applications
to export LNG produced in
USA
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Sabine Pass LNG
The Case For LNG Exports
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Cove Point Cove Point
Lake Charles Lake Charles
Sabine Pass Sabine Pass
CameronCameron
Export Terminals
Source: Office of Oil and Gas Global Security and Supply, Office of Fossil Energy, U.S. Department of Energy; U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
U.S. LNG Export Projects
Jordan CoveJordan Cove
Company Capacity(Bcf/d)
DOE Filing
FERC Filing
Sabine Pass Liquefaction
2.2 Corpus Christi Liquefaction
1.8 *
Freeport LNG Expansion
2.8 *
Lake Charles Exports
2.0 Dominion Cove Point
1.0 Jordan Cove Energy Project
1.2 Cameron LNG 1.7 Gulf Coast LNG Export
2.8
Freeport Freeport
Corpus Christi Corpus Christi
Gulf LNG Gulf LNG * FERC Pre-Filing Process
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Attractive Oil Linked Market Prices
~ 12% – 15% of Oil Prices~ 12% – 15% of Oil Prices
Source: PIRA, Platts
$3.85
$9.51
$14.97$12.45
Regional Natural Gas & LNG Prices
0
6
12
18
Jan-
04M
ar-0
4M
ay-0
4Ju
l-04
Sep
-04
Nov
-04
Jan-
05M
ar-0
5M
ay-0
5Ju
l-05
Sep
-05
Nov
-05
Jan-
06M
ar-0
6M
ay-0
6Ju
l-06
Sep
-06
Nov
-06
Jan-
07M
ar-0
7M
ay-0
7Ju
l-07
Sep
-07
Nov
-07
Jan-
08M
ar-0
8M
ay-0
8Ju
l-08
Sep
-08
Nov
-08
Jan-
09M
ar-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
l-09
Sep
-09
Nov
-09
Jan-
10M
ar-1
0M
ay-1
0Ju
l-10
Sep
-10
Nov
-10
Jan-
11M
ar-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
l-11
Sep
-11
$/MMBtu
NBP IFERC HH Monthly Japan avg LNG European Gas Contract
Spread between oil linked and U.S. natural gas prices averaging $9–$11/mmbtu
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Europe - LNG Import Terminals (Bcf/d)
10.14
5.46
Mediterranean
2009 2015
2.392.53
5.92
NW Europe
2009 2015
23.42
7.68
UK & Ireland
2009 2015
2009 LNG Imports6.8 Bcf/d
LNG Terminals (Bcf/d)
Existing 16.09
Firm 7.50
Proposed 19.06
Total 42.65
3.11
Current Importers
Potential Importers
Belgium Bulgaria
France Croatia
Greece Cyprus
Italy Germany
Netherlands* Ireland
Portugal Poland
Spain Romania
Turkey Sweden
UK Ukraine
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Asia – Emerging Markets
KrishnaGodavari
Basin
2.51.1
Central Asia11
Proved*
China West-East #2 Pipeline +2.9 Bcf/d
China West-East #2 Pipeline +2.9 Bcf/d
Turkmenistan-China Pipeline
+3 Bcf/d
Turkmenistan-China Pipeline
+3 Bcf/d
Unconventional Gas Potential
Proved Reserves (Tcm)
Major Pipelines
22.5
26
131
India KJV Pipeline
+2.8 Bcf/d
India KJV Pipeline
+2.8 Bcf/d
2009 2020
LNG Terminals (Bcf/d) Existing
Under Construction
Planned
22
Regas Terminals in Latin
LNG Terminals (Bcf/d)
Existing
Firm
Proposed
0.5
3.4
6.4
2009 2015
Current Importers Potential Importers
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Dominican Republic
Mexico
Puerto Rico
Honduras
Jamaica
Uruguay
Pipelines
Existing
Under Construction
17
234
12
Proved Reserves (Tcf)
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Source: BP Statistical Review 2011, Cheniere Research
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Expanding U.S. Natural Gas Exports Will…
Promote stability in domestic natural gas pricing by raising domestic natural gas productive capacity; and
Stimulate state, regional and national economies through job creation, increased economic activity and tax revenues, including the direct creation of approximately 3,000 engineering and construction jobs during the course of the project and, indirectly, 30,000 - 50,000 permanent jobs in the exploration and production sector
Reduced reliance on foreign sources of oil by promoting domestic production of petroleum and by encouraging the drilling of wells in areas where there is a significant amount of natural gas associated with crude oil and natural gas liquids (“NGL”)
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Expanding U.S. Natural Gas Exports Will…
Improve U.S. balance of payments through the exportation of approximately 2 Bcf/d of natural gas valued at approximately $5 billion, and the displacement of $1.7 billion in NGL imports thus furthering the President’s National Export Initiative
Promote liberalization of the global natural gas trade through the fostering of a global, liquid market, based on prices cleared in free and openly traded natural gas markets
Advance national security and the security of U.S. allies through diversification of global natural gas supplies
Increase economic trade and ties with foreign nations, including neighboring countries in the Americas, and displace environmentally damaging fuels in those countries
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