2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence Funded by the EBRD Shareholder Special Fund Broadband acceleration study part 2: methodology and supporting findings Presentation of study results 2 February 2016 • Matt Yardley, Ian Adkins, Andrew Daly Funded by the EBRD Shareholder Special Fund
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2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence
Funded by the EBRD
Shareholder Special Fund
Broadband acceleration study part 2:
methodology and supporting findings
Presentation of study results
2 February 2016 • Matt Yardley, Ian Adkins, Andrew Daly
Funded by the EBRD Shareholder Special Fund
2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence
Funded by the EBRD
Shareholder Special Fund
Contents
2
Our approach
Forecasting demand
Network scenario modelling
Socio-economic benefit
Results to conclusions
2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence
Funded by the EBRD
Shareholder Special Fund
3 Contents
Our approach
Forecasting demand
Network scenario modelling
Socio-economic benefit
Results to conclusions
2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence
Funded by the EBRD
Shareholder Special Fund
We would like to thank the wide range of stakeholders who provided input to the study
Chamber of Commerce (CoC)
Commission for the Protection of
Competition (CPC)
Cyprus Consumers Association
(CCA)
Department for Electronic
Communications (DEC)
Department of Information
Technology Services (DITS)
Electricity Authority of Cyprus
(EAC)
European Commission (EC)
4
Operators:
Cablenet
Cyta
Hellas-Sat
MTN
Primetel
Municipalities:
Idalion
Limassol
Strovolos
Union of Cyprus Communities
Our approach
2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence
Funded by the EBRD
Shareholder Special Fund
We undertook a structured approach
5 Our approach
Current situation Possible future
evolutions
Demand Supply Policy
Stakeholder
consultation Desktop research Analysis and modelling
We were supported by Shepherd and Wedderburn and Dr. K. Chrysostomides & Co LLC
2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence
Funded by the EBRD
Shareholder Special Fund
Our modelling work was designed to explore the wide range of options available to Cyprus
6 Our approach
Demand
forecast
Network
scenarios
Socio-
economic
benefit
Bound a range of sensible outcomes to manage uncertainty
Create a “do nothing” forecast based on demand drivers
Analyse different technologies and forms of competition
Consider the commercial viability of nationwide coverage
Consider the socio-economic benefit of NGA for Cyprus
Create comparisons between scenarios
Modelling aspect Aims of our approach
2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence
Funded by the EBRD
Shareholder Special Fund
7 Contents
Our approach
Forecasting demand
Network scenario modelling
Socio-economic benefit
Results to conclusions
2004830-55 | Commercial in confidence
Funded by the EBRD
Shareholder Special Fund
We considered the historical take-up of current- and next-generation broadband across Europe