1 Smart Growth: Smart Growth: Threat to the Quality of Life Threat to the Quality of Life Presentation by Presentation by Wendell Cox Wendell Cox Wendell Cox Consultancy Wendell Cox Consultancy Visiting Professor Visiting Professor Conservatoire National des Arts et Metiers Conservatoire National des Arts et Metiers Paris Paris Frontier Frontier Centre Centre for Public Policy for Public Policy Winnipeg Winnipeg 24 February 2004 24 February 2004 Experience
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Presentation by Wendell Cox Wendell Cox Consultancy Visiting … Cox powerpoint on Smart Growth to Winnipeg … · Urban 3% Agricultural 97% Canada: 2001 Statistics Canada: 2001 Manitoba:
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Smart Growth: Smart Growth: Threat to the Quality of LifeThreat to the Quality of Life
Wendell Cox ConsultancyWendell Cox ConsultancyVisiting ProfessorVisiting Professor
Conservatoire National des Arts et MetiersConservatoire National des Arts et MetiersParisParis
Frontier Frontier Centre Centre for Public Policyfor Public PolicyWinnipegWinnipeg
24 February 200424 February 2004
Experience
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1. Smart Growth: A Primer2. Rental Car Tour of Europe3. Portland: False Nirvana4. The Role of Home Ownership5. Mass Transit6. Winnipeg Observations7. Growth Inducing Strategies
Smart Growth:Threat to the Quality of Life
OUTLINE
1. Smart Growth: A Primer
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REALITYCanadians & Americans Happiest in World: Pew
APOCOLYPTIC VIEWThreat of farmland lossWaste of landLoss of communityExcessive public costs
SOLUTIONThe Compact City
(Higher density)Get people out of cars
What is Smart GrowthTHE ANTI-SPRAWL MOVEMENT
Lone Mountain Compact
absent a material threat to other individuals or the community,
people should be allowed to live and work where and how they like.
4
Farmland: 30x-100x Urbanization
1 9 5 0 19960 %
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
Land
Production
Agricultural Productivity
Urban3%
Agricultural97%
Canada: 2001
Statistics Canada: 2001
Manitoba: 2001
Urban1%
Agricultural99%
27,000
117,300
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Urban Land Farmland Reduction
Farmland Reduction ¼ Urbanization
5
01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,000
10,000
US W. Europe Asia
Vehicle Hours/Square Mile
N O x
CO
N M H C
Air Pollution Least@ 45-55 MPH
Higher Density: More CongestionMORE INTENSE AIR POLLUTION
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
US Paris Hong Kong Tokyo
Higher Density = Longer Commutes
Work TripTravel Time
6
6%
11%
15%
21%
48%
Larger Urban Areas More DenseURBAN LAND AREA BY POPULATION QUINTILE: 2001
4th PopulationQuintile
3rd PopulationQuintile
2nd QuintileMontreal &Vancouver
1st QuintileToronto
5th PopulationQuintile% of
TotalUrbanLandArea
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
Core (1939) Ring 1: 1959 Ring 2: 1979 Ring 3: Later