T-Shaped Professionals in Europe Today and in 2020 – There is a Job to do! Leadership skills for a high-tech economy in Europe Werner B. Korte Director empirica, Germany (http://empirica.com) ISSIP Service Innovation Presentation Speaker Series 29 June 2016
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T-Shaped Professionals in Europe Today and in 2020 – There is a Job to
do!
Leadership skills for a high-tech economy in Europe
Werner B. Korte
Director empirica, Germany
(http://empirica.com)
ISSIP Service Innovation Presentation Speaker Series
Founded in 1988 35 employees: multi-disciplinary, international team
(10 nations, 15 languages, academic studies in 12 countries)
Operating internationally Focus on European (and beyond) studies and projects Flat hierarchy, autonomous staff Inbetween ‘university’ and ‘consulting organisation’ Strong international network Coordinator of the European Network for Innovation Research (ENIR) with partners all around the world (founded in 2001)
Broad definit ion (EU28, 2011-2013) Core definit ion (EU27)See next slide for def init ion ISCO-08 25+351, ISCO-88 213+312; 2010-2011 break in series
Based on Eurostat LFS data, some est imat ions
ICT Workforce: Definition using ISCO
Management, architecture &
analysis
Core ICT practitioners –
professional level
Other ICT practitioners –
professional level
Core ICT practitioners –
associate / technician level
Other ICT practitioners –
associate / technician level
1330 ICT service managers 2152 Electronics engineers 2153 Telecommunications engineers 2356 Information technology trainers 2421 Management and organization analysts (50%) 2434 ICT sales professionals 2511 Systems analysts 2512 Software developers 2513 Web and multimedia developers 2514 Applications programmers 2519 Software and applications developers and analysts n.e.c. 2521 Database designers and administrators 2522 Systems administrators 2523 Computer network professionals 2529 Database and network professionals n.e.c. 3114 Electronics engineering technicians 3139 Process control technicians n.e.c. 3155 Air traffic safety electronics technicians 3211 Med. imaging and therap. equip. technicians 3252 Med. records and health inform. technicians 3511 ICT operations technicians 3512 ICT user support technicians 3513 Computer network and systems technicians 3514 Web technicians 3521 Broadcasting and audio-visual technicians 3522 Telecommunications engineering technicians
Structural Changes of the ICT Workforce EU27, 2011-2014
Management, architecture and
analysis
ICT managers Management and organization analysts (partly)
Systems analysts
Core ICT practitioners - professional
level
Software developers Web and multimedia developers
Applications programmers Other software and app developers and analysts
Database designers and administrators Systems administrators
Computer network professionals Other database and network professionals
LEAD (2014/2015): • CIO survey in three countries on organisation’s
competence in identifying and addressing opportunities for business innovation using ICT
• Application of survey results to the known business structure according to size class of all EU28 countries for the quantification of e-leaders in EU28 (568,000 in 2013) and extrapolation to 2015 using the 4.4% growth trend of highly skilled ICT occupations: 620,000 today and to 2020: 776,000
Quantification: New: Big Data Approach e-leadership skills
Definition
SCALE (2016): • Quantification of e-leadership demand using online vacancy data: textkernel
product: jobfeed • Coverage: five countries: DE, UK, FR, NL, AT • Use of jobfeed taxonomy to include or exclude specific industry and job categories • Co-occurence analysis using the statistical software and programming language R.
The results were used as the basis for the development of algorithms and key-word chains for experimentation
• Development and application of final algorithm • Model assumptions:
o Active job adverts posted no more than 4 months prior o 50% of searches via job adverts, the remaining searches are carried out
through headhunters, personnel development agencies and staffing industry actors
empirica
Sources Jobs vacancy data: www.jobfeed.com Approach for calculation / estimation:
Workforce Estimation based on an assumed vacancy rate identical to the one of highly-skilled ICT occupations known to be 4.7% (e-leadership skilled workforce in EU28: 350,000 as of November 2015)
empirica
Demand Workforce + Number of e-leadership vacancies applying model assumptions (see above) empirica
Supply Assumption: supply = workforce empirica
Forecast Trend extrapolation. Assumption: growth is correlated with highest skilled ICT jobs growth: 4.4% IDC, empirica
Challenges and Conclusions • There is a global race for talent
– US remains a magnet for IT talent – Asia is increasingly investing in education and skills
• Policy efforts are paying! Supply is improving • Structural changes in workforce are expected to increase • Growing number of vacancies in highest e-skills areas • Increasing mismatch
– Risk of unemployment for people with low or outdated skills – Growing number of potential vacancies (up to 10%) for specialist and advanced
e-skills • Demography requires much stronger reliance on re-training and IT
professional education and attracting foreign talent (e.g. H-1B guest worker visas, refugees …)
• Need for improving highest e-skills level education (qualitatively and quantitatively)
• Need for around 40,000 additional e-leaders per year in Europe. There is a job to do!
• European Commission agenda and policy roadmap: Talent for Europe – Leadership Skills for the High-Tech Economy: Towards an Agenda for 2020 and Beyond
THANK YOU
T-Shaped Professionals in Europe Today and in 2020 – There is a Job to do!