Powering the Future From Florida: Combined Heat and Power, Smart Grid(s) and the CAPE NIST Advanced Manufacturing Consortium for Advanced Production and Engineering of Gas Turbines and Rotating Machinery FESC Energy Forum Florida Polytechnic Lakeland, FL July 31 , 2017
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Powering the Future From Florida:Combined Heat and Power, Smart Grid(s) and the CAPE
NIST Advanced Manufacturing
Consortium for Advanced Production
and Engineering of Gas Turbines and
Rotating Machinery
FESC Energy Forum
Florida Polytechnic
Lakeland, FL
July 31, 2017
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved
Energy Florida & CAPE are Building Capabilities across Energy, Aerospace & Transportation
2
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved3
Best Practices: Responses to the “Valleys of Death” for Innovative Technologies
Adapted from “Bridging the Clean Energy Valleys of Death” – the Breakthrough Institute, 2011
R & D
PROTOTYPE /
PROOF OF
CONCEPT
PILOT /
DEMONSTRATION
COMMERCIALIZATION /
MATURATION
MATURITY /
PRICE
COMPETITION
TECHNOLOGICAL
VALLEY OF DEATH
ARPA-E
COMMERCIALIZATION
VALLEY OF DEATH
DEBT FINANCINGVENTURE CAPITAL
PRIVATE EQUITY
CLEAN ENERGY
DEPLOYMENT ADMIN.
REGIONAL
CONSORTIATESTBEDS
3
CAPE Proprietary & Confidential Information -Energy Florida, 2017 - All Rights Reserved
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved4
Natural Gas & Renewables are the drivers of US Electricity Generation
4
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Why are Renewables & Natural Gas Taking Off? Costs are Coming Down
5
Natural Gas and Renewables are the most cost -competitive generation options at current prices, even without subsidies factored into the analysis. NG < Coal
Combined Heat and Power (CHP) installation prices vary, driven by scale &
complexity of project(s) and underlying prime mover technology
Steam turbines, natural gas turbines and reciprocating engines are the least
expensive CHP options ($/Watt), in that order.
US Unsubsidized Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) in 2016, $/MWh
Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, EIA
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved
Power Generation on Grids with Renewables: Need Flexible, Controllable Generation Sources
Lots of non-renewable
generation is operating
all of the time11
Gigawatts
The “Duck Pond”
Non-renewable
generation
The “Duck”
renewable
generation
Non-renewable sources remain
more influential to overall power delivery
than the renewable generation
CAISO Net Load – 2012 through 2020
Flexibility & dispatchability is key
10 GW – 12 GW ramp-up over
~4 hour period during PM peak
Source: CAISO
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved
Natural Gas Represents Large Portion of Generating Capacity Additions Over the Next 20-30 Years
Global Industrial Gas
Turbine Installations, 2016-2035
– $600 Billion Worldwide
Service Revenues
– $440 Billion Worldwide
Total projected
revenues, 2016-2035
– $1.04 Trillion
Sources: Forecast International, 2016 Turbomachinery Handbook and US EIA
CAPE Proprietary & Confidential Information -Energy Florida, 2017 - All Rights Reserved
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved8
Why are Advanced Gas Turbines Important?
“Apex Technology” at the convergence of aviation, aerospace & power generation
Maximize Resources for Operational Needs & Reduce Installation Energy –Costs
Critical to U.S. Energy Security & Clean Energy Goals
Largest Share of Electric Power Generation–
US Natural Gas sourced from and supporting production in North America–
Significant Role as Backstop for Intermittent Generation Sources–
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved9
Energy Florida and Gas Turbine Association NIST AMTech Consortium for Advanced Production and Engineering of
Gas Turbines & Rotating Machinery (CAPE)
Coordinating a strategy to enable future
development of the U.S. gas turbine industry
Major Strengths of the U.S. Turbine Sector
High Level of Innovation–
Re– -shoring Manufacturing to U.S.
Supply Chain Diversity/Depth–
Over – 250,000 jobs in U.S. tied to turbine design, manufacturing & maintenance
Enormous market opportunity as demand
for turbines and related parts and components expands around the world
– $1 trillion market in power generation by 2035
– $3 trillion in aviation gas turbine engines by 2035
9
CAPE Proprietary & Confidential Information - Energy Florida,
2017 - All Rights Reserved
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved10
ICF/Gas Turbine Association estimates that unless investments are made, U.S.
industry’s share of our domestic market could be cut in half by 2037
With U.S. R&D investment, U.S. industry retains more than 2/3rds of U.S. domestic market share by 2037
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2037 - Baseline 2037 - US IGT Investment
US IGT: US Domestic Market Share Foreign IGT: US Domestic Market Share
Impact of U.S. Investment in Next-Generation Gas Turbines on U.S. Industry Competitiveness, 2012-2037
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved
Gas Turbines have a Geographically Distributed Industrial Base
Legend
Engineering/R&D
Manufacturing
Repair/Overhaul
Created by:
CAPE Proprietary & Confidential Information -
Energy Florida, 2017 - All Rights
Reserved
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Florida is a Turbine Industry Hotspot
12
Source: UCF - CATER
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Additive Manufacturing / Rapid Prototyping
Material Characterization and Quality–
Baseline Process Parameters–
In– -situ monitoring and data analysis tools
Advanced Materials and Alloys
Thermal Barrier Coatings (TBCs) –
Refractory Metals and High Entropy Alloys–
Ceramics and Ceramic Matrix Composites (CMCs)–
Manufacturing Processes & Supply Chain
Joining of Disparate Materials–
Non– -Destructive Evaluation and Modeling Techniques
Impact of manufacturing process(– es) on material properties
Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO)
Repair/Reconditioning techniques–
Single Crystal Repair–
Repair through Additive Manufacturing–
On• -Demand and Legacy Parts
CAPE Technical Focus Areas: Next-Generation Gas Turbine Manufacturing
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved14
CAPE Road Map Strategic Plan:Align Incentives to Effect Change
14
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What Is Combined Heat & Power?
15
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Combined Heat & Power = Greater Efficiency
16
Combined Heat and Power (or Combined Cooling, Heat & Power) harnesses a larger
proportion of the energy consumed for useful work
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Combined Heat and Power (CHP) is a Major Player in the United States’ Energy Mix
17
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved18
CHP installations are primarily powered by gas turbines
18
Source: Bloomberg NEF, Alliance for Industrial Efficiency
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved19
Combined Heat and Power in Florida
19
68 installations* in FL listed in Department of Energy’s national CHP installation database as of December 2016
Total rated capacity of – 7.4 GW co-generation within Florida, of which 3.28 GW listed in database *
19 installations totaling 347 MW designated as “critical infrastructure” (no downtime) – hospitals, public safety, airports, water & sewage treatment plants, universities & military installations
Shands Hospital in Gainesville, FL
4.3 – MW gas turbine-powered CHP facility
Provides – 100% of hospital’s electric & thermal needs
Partnership with GRU saved UF ~$– 30 million capex
U.S. Alliance for Industrial Efficiency has estimated that Florida could save up to $13 billion in energy costs to ratepayers in the next 15 years (through 2030) by implementing available CHP and industrial efficiency improvements with short-to-midterm paybacks (Florida ranks #5 among all US states in available savings)
*Does not include combined-cycle power plants owned & operated by utilitiesSources: EIA, AIE, DoE CHP-TAP
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CHP and Microgrids
20
Microgrids provide resiliency and flexibility for power supply and demand, protecting critical
community resources (hospitals, police & fire, public services, and military installations)
Source: APPA
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Benefits of Microgrids
21
Microgrids can improve the resiliency of power supplies (storm hardening) and allow communities to integrate renewables and energy storage at the local level
Source: PBS
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Elements of a Microgrid
22
Grid management requires real -time coordination among a number of technologies via control systems, balancing of power generation & demand in real time
Combined Heat and Power and controllable co -generation play a key role in power modulation and grid stability within the implementation and management of microgrid(s)
CAPE Proprietary Information ̶ Energy Florida, 2016 ̶ All Rights Reserved23
Power Modulation Challenges Faced by Grid Operators
23
These issues can impact all grids, but can have an especially large impact on a microgrid if improperly managed.
Source: NYSERDA
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Resources to Learn More
24
US Department of Energy – CHP Technical Assistance Partnerships (CHP-TAP)
https://energy.gov/eere/amo/chp– -deployment
US Environmental Protection Agency – CHP Partnership
https://www.epa.gov/chp–
Alliance for Industrial Efficiency
http://alliance– 4industrialefficiency.org
Energy Florida
https://energyflorida.org/consulting–
https://energyflorida.org/programs–
Florida State University System - Florida Solar Energy Center (UCF) & FESC (UF)
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Thank You!
Portions of this presentation were prepared by Energy Florida under cooperative agreement # 70NANB15H069 from the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), U.S. Department of Commerce. The
statements, findings, conclusions, and recommendations are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of NIST or the U.S.
Department of Commerce.
Special Thanks to:Alliance for Industrial Efficiency
Florida Energy Systems ConsortiumFlorida Institute of Technology
Gas Turbine AssociationGeorgia Tech Strategic Energy Institute
University of Central Florida – Center for Advanced Turbomachinery and Energy Research (CATER)
U.S. Department of Commerce –National Institute for Standards and Technology
U.S. Department of Energy – Advanced Manufacturing Office
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Thank You!
Michael Aller, Executive Director
166 Center Street, Suite 200, Cape Canaveral, FL
Email: michael.aller @ energyflorida.org
Phone: 321-613-2973 (office)
CAPE Proprietary & Confidential Information -Energy Florida, 2017 - All Rights Reserved