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Power Generation and Energy

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    power generation

    & energyelectricity issues in

    Indonesia

    Iwan Agung Firstantara

    GM PT PLN (Persero) Unit Pembangkitan Jawa Bali

    Thermofluid VI 2014

    Yogyakarta, April 29, 2014

    Gajah Mada University

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    AboutSpeaker

    @ GM_UPJB

    Iwan Agung Firstantara was born in Jogjakarta, on October 1969. He

    graduated from Gajah Mada University with a major in Mechanical

    Engineering in 1993, and Master of Management also in the same

    University.

    Iwan is a General Manager of PT PLN (Persero) Unit Pembangkitan

    Jawa Bali, one ofPLNs

    Strategic Business Unit that respondsible forthe Operation & Maintenance of 14 Power Generation Unit across

    Java-Bali Interconecting System (making it the biggest total asset

    compared to IP, PJB &IPP)

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    1

    2

    3

    4

    Macro Economic PerspectiveFacts of Indonesias Economic Situation

    Indonesias Energy OutlookEnergy current Trends and Challenge

    Power Generation issues

    Fast Track Program, Energy Mix, & Environment-Efficiency

    How technology solve Eletricitys IssueDeal with Capacity & Efficiency matters

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    Macro Economics PerspectiveFacts of Indonesias Economic Situations

    Images taken from http://hqwide.com/

    #Jakarta View #Wisma46

    #BNITower

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    comes to your mind

    Indonesia?What

    when you think of

    Images taken from http://globe-walls .com/

    #HelloJakarta #Monas

    #Istiqlalmosque

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    Images taken from http://listofimages/

    Biggest Countryi n S o u t h E a s t A s i a

    1 7 . 0 0 0 i s l a n d s

    3 . 1 m i l l i o n s q . k m o f s e a

    1 . 9 m i l l i o n s q . k m o f l a n d

    2 4 7 m i l l i o n i n h a b i t a n t s ( 2 0 1 2 )

    #RajaAmpat #Beach

    #BeautifulIndonesia

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    Images taken from http://wallpapersus

    Biggest Economyi n S o u t h E a s t A s i a

    G D P $ 8 7 8 b i l l i o n ( 2 0 1 2 )

    G D P g r o w t h 6 , 2 % ( 2 0 1 2 )

    I n f l a t i o n 4 , 3 % ( 2 0 1 2 )

    #Jakarta@Night #Pancoran

    #Patung Dirgantara

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    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013**

    6,78

    7,

    86

    8,56

    9,

    33

    10,48

    12,48

    14,

    82

    17,

    29

    21,3

    6

    2

    3,

    88

    27,

    03

    30,

    66

    33,53

    37,54

    GDP

    Source : BPS

    Capita( m i l l i o n r u p i a h )

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    GDP

    Source : BPS

    Consumption

    Government

    Investment

    Stat Discrepancy

    X - M -2 %

    5 %

    32 %

    9 %

    54 %

    o f 2 0 1 3

    The BIG growth of Indonesias GDP wasdriven primarily by domestic consumption

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    Emerging middle class inIndonesia

    Middle- & High- class inIndonesia has rose 5

    times higher in the last

    25 years

    Source : BI (2013) Images taken from http://teropongbisnis.com/

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    Indonesias middle-classproportion:

    Yellow: $ 2-4/ day

    Source : BI (2013)

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    Indonesias Energy OutlookEnergy Current Trends & Challenge

    Images taken from http://wallsave.com/

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    Primary

    Source : BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2011 & World Economic Outlook Database April 2011, IMF

    in Some CountryIntensity

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    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Energy Consumption

    Capita( B O E / C a p i t a )

    3,46

    Source : BPS

    3,

    34

    2,

    98

    2,58

    2,56

    2,43

    2,47

    2,48

    2,41

    2,

    27

    2,

    32

    2,

    28

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    11 11 1213

    1517 18

    2123

    2527 28

    34 36

    37 36

    4042 44

    4648

    46

    51

    55

    3133 34 36

    3941

    4447

    50

    55

    60

    65

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Business Industry Household

    Electricity

    Consumption(in TWh)

    Source : EMRPLN divided its customer into 5 segments: (1) Business, (2) Industry,

    (3) Household, (4) Social, (5) Government

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    Images taken from http://globeimages.net/

    #JakartaView #BunderanHI

    #MonumenSelamatDatang

    Since 2007Household has outreach the electricity

    consumption among other PLNs

    customer segments

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    Energy demandhas been increasing faster than economic

    development and population growth

    Images taken from natgeo society

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    Electricity ShortageMore than 70-80 million people

    lack access to electricity

    Images taken from http://phototony.com/

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    1980 1985 1990 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Electrification Ratio( p e r c e n t )

    73 7

    6

    67

    66

    65

    63

    62

    57

    43

    28

    16

    8

    Source : EMR

    Highest : Jakarta (99,99%)

    Lowest : Papua (35,89%)

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    Electricity is heaviliy subsidised

    and currently customers pay for

    electricity at far below market

    price.

    Reliance on Subsidies

    Images taken from natgeo

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    Their estimated cost to government in 2013 is Rp 284 trillion and

    increasing to Rp 328,7 in 2014 (state budget plan).

    subsidies have created a massive

    burden on the state budget.

    Fuel &

    Images taken from http:// 3.bp.blogspot.com/

    Electricity

    Source : Ministry of Finance

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    60 57 57 53 57 55 51 50 49 48 47 48

    13 15 15 19 17 19 23 27 23 23 24 27

    23 22 24 24 21 21 22 19 24 25 23 21

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Oil Coal Gas Hydropower Geothermal Biofuel

    Primary Energy Supply

    Exclude Biomass(in percent)

    Source :CDI-EMR

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    Driven by three main things:

    1. Electrification program

    To support government program to accelerate electrification ratio

    2. Economic growth

    To support manufacturing and service companies to produce productsand services

    3. Captive taking over

    Meet large consumer demand, to take over captive and to meet large

    customer demand

    Demand of electricity is expected to grow fast

    Images taken from http://touristrack.com/

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    Power Generation IssuesFast Track Program, Energy Mix, & Environment-Efficiency

    #LabuanCFSPP

    #FTP-1 #2x300MW

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    PLN P3B as System Owner

    and Market Operator

    DistributionPower Generation (PLN or IPP)P3B as Transmission Provider

    Primary

    Energy

    Power

    GenerationTransmisi Distribution

    End

    Customer

    Availability of

    Primary Energy:

    quality, quantity,

    time, cost

    Availability:

    reliable, safe,

    efficient, quality

    Availability:

    reliable, safe,

    efficient, quality;

    Economic

    optimisation;

    Availability:

    reliable, safe,

    efficient,

    Sufficiency &

    quality of supply

    Services:

    simple, easy,

    quick, quality;

    Standard

    Service

    Standard

    Service

    Standard

    Service

    Standard

    Service

    Standard of

    Public

    Service

    Electricity Supply Chain

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    To meet Indonesias growing demand

    Issue#1

    #RembangCFSPP #FTP-1

    #SubcriticalPulverized

    PLN is mandated to implement Fast Track Program (FTP)for capacity expansion

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    FTP Phase 1 :

    42 Coal-Fired Steam Power Plants of PLNs Project

    10 power plants with capacity of 6.900 MW in Java-Bali

    32 power plants with 2.252 MW outside Java-Bali

    FTP Phase 2 :

    93 power plants (Hydro, Geothermal, & Coal-Fired Power Plant)

    21 power plants of PLNs Project

    72 power plants of Partnership Project

    #TjAwar-awarCFSPP

    #CoalHandling #StackerReclaimer

    Issue#1

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    Chineses Power Plants (FTP-1)

    are cheaper than Japaneses PP, but the

    quality has likely not yet proven.

    PLN also suffer from project completion

    delay.

    #PalabuanRatuProject

    #Construction #FTP-1

    Issue#1

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    v n thoughThe FTP has improved the

    company's internal cash flows

    and meet the 9% of electricity

    demand growth.

    It has also minimize the Fuel

    contribution in PLN Fuel Mix

    from 22% in 2009 to 12% in

    2013.

    Images taken from http://dl.bizhi.sogou.com/

    Issue#1

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    2%

    58%18%

    6%

    16%

    2019

    Fuel Coal Gas Hydro Geo

    36%

    35%

    17%

    9%

    3%

    2008

    Fuel Coal Gas Hydro Geo

    Source :RUPTL 2010-2019

    Fuel Mix

    Issue#2

    1% replacement of Fuel into Coal will generate financial

    efficiency up to Rp 1,74 T (in 2012) .

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    Indonesias electricityis still rely on coal-based power plants

    Contribute approximately 58% of the total electricity generated

    Issue#2

    Images taken from http:// ncealliance.com/

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    Environment

    Efficiency

    Issue#3

    Reciprocal Relationship in

    coal power plant

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    Images taken from http://ak2.picdn.net /

    Clean Coal Technology

    Every option capable of reducing emissions upstream, downstream,or within the power generation (energy conversion) process

    Issue#3

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    For new power plants

    Images taken from http:// saistrip2010.webatu.com /

    Could consider this following options:

    #IGCC #CleanCoalTech

    Supercritical & Ultra-supercritical (USC) pulverized coal technology

    Circulating fluidized bed combustion (CFB)

    Integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC)

    Issue#3

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    For existing power plants

    Could initiate rehabilitation & recondition, to:

    Improve efficiency

    Decrease hidden capacity

    #MuaraKarang #CCPP

    Issue#3

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    How Technology Solve Electricity IssuesDeal with Capacity and Efficiency matters

    Images taken from http:// www.iorise.com /

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    Efficiency

    (%)

    39

    37

    35

    33

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

    Lifetime

    (Years)

    Annual Inspection

    SI SI SI SIME SE MERehabilitation

    Recondition

    Restore

    New Technology

    Improve

    100

    75

    50

    25

    Capacity

    (%)

    Efficiency & capacity degradation

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    How to deal with Capacity & Efficiency matters?

    Capacity: Coal Mixing

    Coal Drying

    Efficiency: Tiny-oil Burner

    Heat Balance modelling

    #PalabuanRatu #Construction

    #FastTrackProgram

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    Coal mixing

    the process ofblending two different types

    of coal (low & medium range coal) to obtain

    a desired efficiency/ load profile.

    Heating value

    Low Range Coal = + 4.200 kCal/kg

    Medium Range Coal = + 4.900 kal/kg

    Coal layeringThe process of placing the med range coal

    at specific boiler burner layer to obtain a

    desired efficiency/ load profile.

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    Coal dryingThe process of heating the coal

    feed to get a dry coal feed and

    increase coal quality

    Is being constructed at Labuan &

    Lontar CFSPP

    Expected to increase coal qualityup to 1000 kCal/kg

    Images taken from http://carzz.co/

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    Tiny-oil burner

    A modified boiler burner to obtain

    less fuel oil consumption.Could reduce the fuel consumption

    up to 85% (@Labuan CFSPP).

    Original

    burner

    Tiny burner

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    Heat balancemodelling

    Implemented through a Gatecycle,

    heat balance modelling discover allof plants main equipment and

    predict the modelling.

    The modelling help the management

    to develop more accurate Root CauseFailure Analysis (RCFA).

    Images taken from http://st.gdefon.ru/

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    PLN Generation Challenges

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    Heat Rate Comparison in 2013( i n k C a l / k W h ) )

    Tech challenge

    Challenge#1

    TJB

    (Non-FTP)

    IMY

    (FTP)

    2.732

    2.403

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    Turbine

    efficiency

    improvement

    There has been nosignificant breakthrough

    on turbine efficiency

    improvement

    Challenge#2

    Images taken from http://deltatest.de/

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    Heat Balance

    Modelling

    Challenge on:

    Accuration

    HR Competency

    Alternative model

    Challenge#3

    Images taken from http://img0.mxstatic.com/

    h ll

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    Source :World Bank TeamPBR (Performance Based Regulation) is given by the Government to

    determine PLN Allowed Revenue.

    Challenge#4

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    EpilogueEfficiency improvement in Power Generation represent the

    largest opportunities in reducing subsidies, where

    thermofluid takes the most improtant role.

    #Sunset #Fisherman

    #BeautifulIndonesia Images taken from natgeo

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    An institution

    to bridge the

    interest

    between

    business

    (powergeneration)

    and

    universities hasnot yet

    established.

    Images taken from http://austinareaphoto.com/

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    Thankyou

    Presented by:

    Iwan Agung Firstantara

    Mail : [email protected]

    Twitter : GM_UPJB

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]