Power Development Planning Power Development Planning Governance Governance and Climate Change and Climate Change The recent experiences of The recent experiences of Thailand Thailand Suphakit Nuntavorakarn Suphakit Nuntavorakarn Healthy Public Policy Foundation, Thailand Healthy Public Policy Foundation, Thailand Presenting in “Generating Dialogue” discussion, 7 Presenting in “Generating Dialogue” discussion, 7 th th December December 2007 2007 Grand Melia Hotel, Bali, Indonesia Grand Melia Hotel, Bali, Indonesia The Electricity Governance The Electricity Governance Initiative: Initiative: The Second Assessment in Thailand The Second Assessment in Thailand
22
Embed
Power Development Planning Governance and Climate Change The recent experiences of Thailand Suphakit Nuntavorakarn Healthy Public Policy Foundation, Thailand.
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Power Development PlanningPower Development PlanningGovernanceGovernance
and Climate Changeand Climate Change
The recent experiences of ThailandThe recent experiences of Thailand
Suphakit NuntavorakarnSuphakit Nuntavorakarn
Healthy Public Policy Foundation, ThailandHealthy Public Policy Foundation, Thailand
Presenting in “Generating Dialogue” discussion, 7Presenting in “Generating Dialogue” discussion, 7thth December December 20072007
Grand Melia Hotel, Bali, IndonesiaGrand Melia Hotel, Bali, Indonesia
The Electricity Governance Initiative:The Electricity Governance Initiative:The Second Assessment in ThailandThe Second Assessment in Thailand
Power Development Planning in Power Development Planning in Thailand: PDP2007 by Ministry of Thailand: PDP2007 by Ministry of EnergyEnergy
• Demand forecast Demand forecast for the next 15 for the next 15 yearsyears
The Public Hearings on The Public Hearings on PDP2007PDP2007
• The Ministry of Energy arranged the The Ministry of Energy arranged the Public Hearing on 19 Feb. 2007 at a hotel Public Hearing on 19 Feb. 2007 at a hotel in Bangkokin Bangkok
• The potentially-affected local people The potentially-affected local people turned up of around 400 persons and the turned up of around 400 persons and the Minister cancel the HearingMinister cancel the Hearing
• MoE arranged another Public Hearing on MoE arranged another Public Hearing on 2 April 2007 in the Thai Army Club with 2 April 2007 in the Thai Army Club with armed soldiers ‘for security reason’!armed soldiers ‘for security reason’!
• NGOs, academics, and the local people NGOs, academics, and the local people boycotted the Hearingboycotted the Hearing
No Consideration on CO2 emission in No Consideration on CO2 emission in PDP2007PDP2007
No consideration of externalities and total No consideration of externalities and total costcost
Who gains from the existing planning Who gains from the existing planning processprocess::The growth of energy companies in Thai Stock The growth of energy companies in Thai Stock MarketMarket
Who loss from the existing planning Who loss from the existing planning process:process:Energy expenses of Thai households 1990-2006Energy expenses of Thai households 1990-2006
Alternative Future of Thai Power Alternative Future of Thai Power SectorSector
‘‘20:20 by 2020’20:20 by 2020’• DSM to decrease the forecasted peak DSM to decrease the forecasted peak
demand 20 percent within 2020demand 20 percent within 2020
• Develop decentralized power generation Develop decentralized power generation to be 20 percent of total generation by to be 20 percent of total generation by 2020 and must be achieved by2020 and must be achieved by – Renewable energy, more than 60 percentRenewable energy, more than 60 percent– Community-based power generation, more Community-based power generation, more
than 20 percentthan 20 percent
‘‘20:20 by 2020’ Possible?20:20 by 2020’ Possible?
• DSM to reduce 6,992 MW within 2020DSM to reduce 6,992 MW within 2020– The present potential 2,500 MW within 2011The present potential 2,500 MW within 2011
• Develop decentralized power generation Develop decentralized power generation 6,400 MW by 20206,400 MW by 2020– The commercially-feasible Cogeneration The commercially-feasible Cogeneration
3,000 MW3,000 MW– Renewable energy 3,840 MW, the recent Renewable energy 3,840 MW, the recent
proposals 3,000 MWproposals 3,000 MW– Community-based power generation 1,280 Community-based power generation 1,280
MWMW(Come and hear by yourselves)(Come and hear by yourselves)
Alternative Future of Thai Power SectorAlternative Future of Thai Power Sector
‘20:20 by 2020’‘20:20 by 2020’
• Compare to PDP2007…Compare to PDP2007…
• Save the investment of seven billion USD for Save the investment of seven billion USD for 4,000 MW Nuclear Power Plants4,000 MW Nuclear Power Plants
• Save the investment of 4.5 billion USD for Save the investment of 4.5 billion USD for 2,800 MW Coal Power Plants2,800 MW Coal Power Plants
• Save the investment of 5.4 billion USD for Save the investment of 5.4 billion USD for 9,800 MW Gas Power Plants9,800 MW Gas Power Plants
• Save the fuels import of 2.3 billion USD in 2020Save the fuels import of 2.3 billion USD in 2020
• Reduce CO2 emission 50 million tons Reduce CO2 emission 50 million tons
Integrated planning framework proposed to government and Integrated planning framework proposed to government and societysociety