POLL - The New York Timesgraphics8.nytimes.com/.../pdf/politics/20071113_POLL.pdf · 2007-11-13 · POLL Iowa Nov. 2 – 11 Attending Democratic caucuses = 793 Attending Republican

POLL

Iowa Nov. 2 – 11

Attending Democratic caucuses = 793 Attending Republican caucuses = 480

New Hampshire

Nov. 9 – 12 Democratic primary voters = 417 Republican primary voters = 302

Trends are based on the most recent national poll conducted by The New York Times or CBS News. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. DPV* and RPV* indicate registered voters who said they plan to vote in a Democratic or Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2008. The number of respondents attending Democratic caucuses or Democratic primary voters includes independent or undeclared voters who said they would attend a Democratic caucus or vote in a Democratic primary. The number of respondents attending Republican caucuses or Republican primary voters includes independent or undeclared voters who said they would attend a Republican caucus or vote in a Democratic primary. Total includes voters attending either the Republican or the Democratic caucus or primary.

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1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/12-16/07 CBS 30 61 9 Iowa total 30 66 4 N.H. total 27 65 8 4. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign — a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

A lot Some Not much None at all DK/NA 10/12-16/07* CBS 24 52 19 5 - Iowa Dem 67 28 5 - - Iowa Rep 60 33 5 1 N.H. Dem 47 46 7 1 N.H. Rep 50 43 6 1 7. Have you ever attended an Iowa Presidential caucus/voted in a New Hampshire Presidential primary in the past, or will this be your first time attending/voting in a New Hampshire primary? Voted in past First time voter DK/NA Iowa Dem 73 27 Iowa Rep 68 32 N.H. Dem 89 11 N.H. Rep 88 12 8. If the Iowa Democratic Presidential caucuses were / New Hampshire Democratic Presidential primary was held today, which candidate would you support -- Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama or Bill Richardson? THE ORDER OF CLINTON, EDWARDS AND OBAMA WERE ROTATED, FOLLOWED BY THE REST IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER Iowa Dem N.H. Dem Biden 4 2 Clinton 25 37 Dodd 1 1 Edwards 23 9 Gravel Kucinich 1 5 Obama 22 22 Richardson 12 6 Undecided (vol) 11 13 DK/NA 1 4

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9. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure? Mind made up Too early DK/NA Iowa Dem 48 51 - N.H. Dem 48 52 10. What specifically is it about CANDIDATE NAME that makes you want to support him/her? Iowa Dem N.H. Dem I like him/her 8 11 Best candidate for the job 2 1 Agree on the issues 10 13 Represents change 2 4 Good experience 18 18 Vision for the country 2 2 Honesty/integrity/trustworthy 10 8 Shares values 4 1 Not typical politician 1 1 Cares about people like me 3 5 Smart/intelligent 3 4 New person/fresh face 2 2 Washington outsider 1 1 Electability 2 1 Married to Bill Clinton 3 3 Stance on Iraq War 6 3 Will bring troops home from Iraq 1 1 Stance on Immigration 1 Stance on Health care 8 9 She’s a woman 4 3 Other 5 7 DK/NA 4 2 11. Would you describe your support for CANDIDATE NAME as strongly favoring CANDIDATE NAME, or do you like him/her but with reservations, or do you support him/her because you dislike the other candidates? Strongly Like with Dislike favor reservations others DK/NA Iowa Dem 68 29 2 1 N.H. Dem 57 32 11 1

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12. If CANDIDATE NAME does not gather enough supporters at your caucus, who would be your second choice -- Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, or Bill Richardson? Iowa Dem Biden 10 Clinton 16 Dodd 3 Edwards 25 Gravel - Kucinich 1 Obama 24 Richardson 11 Gore (vol) - Someone else/None (vol) 1 Undecided (vol) 5 DK/NA 3 13. Is there any other Democratic candidate you think is interesting, even if you will probably not vote for him or her? Iowa Dem N.H. Dem Biden 9 4 Clinton 11 16 Dodd 7 3 Edwards 11 14 Gravel - 1 Kucinich 3 5 Obama 15 28 Richardson 16 11 Gore (vol) - Someone else/None (vol) - No, no one 18 15 DK/NA 9 5

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14. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary Clinton yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 14-17 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t Favorable favorable Undecided heard enough Refused 10/12-16/07 CBS DPV* 72 15 12 - 1 Iowa Dem 59 20 20 1 - N.H. Dem 62 21 16 1 15. Is your opinion of John Edwards favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about John Edwards yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 14-17 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t Favorable favorable Undecided heard enough Refused 10/12-16/07 CBS DPV* 44 14 32 9 1 Iowa Dem 73 12 12 3 - N.H. Dem 46 21 24 8 - 16. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Barack Obama yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 14-17 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t Favorable favorable Undecided heard enough Refused 10/12-16/07 CBS DPV* 56 13 21 9 1 Iowa Dem 72 8 16 5 - N.H. Dem 61 12 20 7 1 17. Is your opinion of Bill Richardson favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Bill Richardson yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 14-17 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t Favorable favorable Undecided heard enough Refused 6/26-28/07 CBS DPV* 7 11 16 65 - Iowa Dem 57 7 14 22 - N.H. Dem 30 11 17 42 - 19. If the Iowa Republican Presidential caucuses were/ New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary was held today, which candidate would you support -- Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo or Fred Thompson? THE ORDER OF GIULIANI, HUCKABEE, MCCAIN, ROMNEY AND THOMPSON WERE ROTATED, FOLLOWED BY THE REST IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER Iowa Rep N.H. Rep Giuliani 15 16 Huckabee 21 6 Hunter 2 McCain 4 16 Paul 4 8 Romney 27 34 Tancredo 3 - Thompson 9 5 Someone else /None (Vol.) 1 1 Undecided (Vol.) 10 11 DK/NA 2 3

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20. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure? Mind made up Too early DK/NA Iowa Rep 43 57 - N.H. Rep 34 66 21. What specifically is it about CANDIDATE NAME that makes you want to support him? Iowa Rep N.H. Rep I like him 6 6 Best candidate for the job 2 2 Agree on the issues 14 16 Represents change 2 Good experience 9 16 Vision for the country 1 Honesty/integrity/trustworthy 9 8 Shares my values 13 6 His religious beliefs - Not typical politician - 1 Cares about people like me 1 1 Smart/intelligent 2 1 New person/fresh face 1 Washington outsider 1 1 Electability - Handling of 9/11 3 8 Stance on Abortion 5 3 Stance on Iraq War 2 3 Stance on Terrorism 1 2 Stance on Immigration 7 4 Stance on Health care - 1 He is liberal 1 He is moderate - He is conservative 10 1 He is Republican 1 2 Other 7 11 DK/NA 3 6 22. Would you describe your support for CANDIDATE NAME as strongly favoring CANDIDATE NAME, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike the other candidates? Strongly Like with Dislike favor reservations others DK/NA Iowa Rep 56 39 4 1 N.H. Rep 39 47 11 3

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23. If CANDIDATE NAME does not gather enough supporters at your caucus, who would be your second choice -- Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo or Fred Thompson? Iowa Rep Giuliani 17 Huckabee 17 Hunter 1 McCain 13 Paul 2 Romney 15 Tancredo 7 Thompson 13 Someone else /None (Vol.) 2 Undecided (Vol.) 6 DK/NA 6 24. Is there any other Republican candidate you think is interesting, even if you will probably not vote for him? Iowa Rep N.H. Rep Giuliani 15 14 Huckabee 7 7 Hunter 3 - McCain 11 17 Paul 4 5 Romney 13 21 Tancredo 4 1 Thompson 11 13 Someone else /None (Vol.) 1 - No, no one 26 18 DK/NA 4 5 25. Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Rudy Giuliani yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 25-29 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t heard Favorable favorable Undecided enough 10/12-16/07 CBS RPV* 48 20 26 6 Iowa Rep 44 31 20 5 N.H. Rep 43 21 26 10 26. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about Mike Huckabee yet to have an opinion?. QUESTIONS 25-29 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t heard

Favorable favorable Undecided enough Refused

10/12-16/07 CBS RPV* 12 9 11 68 Iowa Rep 50 7 14 29 N.H. Rep 20 11 15 53 -

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27. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven’t you heard enough about John McCain yet to have an opinion?. QUESTIONS 25-29 WERE ROTATED. Not Don’t know Favorable Favorable Undecided enough Refused

10/12-16/07 CBS RPV* 37 22 27 14 - Iowa Rep 40 38 17 5 N.H. Rep 51 21 20 8 - 28. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Mitt Romney yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 25-29 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t heard Favorable favorable Undecided enough Refused 10/12-16/07 CBS RPV* 28 16 22 34 1 Iowa Rep 57 18 21 5 N.H. Rep 61 19 16 4 1 29. Is your opinion of Fred Thompson favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Fred Thompson yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 25-29 WERE ROTATED. Not Haven’t heard

Favorable favorable Undecided enough Refused

10/12-16/07 CBS RPV* 32 11 18 38 - Iowa Rep 35 19 20 26 N.H. Rep 21 17 19 42 1 31. Which ONE issue would you most like to hear the candidates for president discuss during the 2008 presidential campaign? Iowa N.H. Dem Rep Dem Rep Abortion - 5 3 Illegal Immigration / Immigrants 3 20 4 18 Guns - - 4 Environment 3 2 10 1 Education 3 2 2 1 Social Security 3 2 1 2 Health Care 24 6 22 10 Foreign Policy 3 1 3 1 Defense / Military 2 7 1 1 War/Peace 19 10 24 15 Iraq 10 5 8 8 Economy 8 9 7 9 Budget Deficit /National Debt 2 2 1 2 Jobs and Unemployment 1 1 Taxes/IRS 1 6 2 6 Foreign Trade - 1 2 Gas/Heating Oil Crisis - 2 1 2 Miscellaneous Social Issues 2 1 - 1 Gay/Same-Sex Marriage - 2 - 1 Terrorism - 4 1 3 Other 11 6 8 5 DK/NA 5 6 5 5

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32. IF NAMED ISSUE in Q. 31, ASK: Are the Democratic candidates talking about the issue you just mentioned enough, or do you want to hear more? Talking enough Want more Depends on candidate (vol) DK/NA Iowa Dem 31 63 3 3 N.H. Dem 21 75 3 33. IF NAMED ISSUE in Q. 31, ASK: Are the Republican candidates talking about the issue you just mentioned enough, or do you want to hear more? Talking enough Want more Depends on candidate (vol) DK/NA Iowa Rep 25 68 3 4 N.H. Rep 21 75 1 2 34. In deciding who you would like to see elected President next year, which ONE of the following issues will be most important to you? 1. Education, or 2. Terrorism and national security, or 3. The environment and global warming, or 4. the economy and jobs, or 5. Health care, or 6. The war in Iraq, or 7. Immigration, or 8. Something else? ISSUES WERE OFFERED IN REVERSE ORDER TO HALF THE SAMPLE 7/9-17/07* Iowa N.H. DPV RPV Dem Rep Dem Rep Education 8 9 4 3 5 3 Terrorism & national security 8 31 3 30 6 29 The environment & global warming 8 4 6 1 10 1 The economy & jobs 21 10 17 17 18 23 Health care 22 8 22 8 23 9 The war in Iraq 24 15 36 13 26 16 Immigration 6 16 3 20 1 14 Something else 2 6 5 6 7 2 DK/NA 2 1 3 2 3 2 36. Which one is more important to you in a presidential candidate -- having the right experience, or having fresh ideas? Right experience Fresh ideas Both (Vol.) DK/NA 8/8-12/07 CBS DPV* 41 44 14 1 Iowa Dem 42 46 10 2 N.H. Dem 38 50 10 2 37. Would you be willing or not willing to vote for a candidate for the Democratic nomination who favors keeping troops in Iraq longer than you would like, if you thought that candidate had a good chance to win the presidency in November 2008? Willing Not willing Depends Vol.) DK/NA Iowa Dem 50 39 6 6 N.H. Dem 39 50 4 6

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38. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does not share your views on the war in Iraq, or is that issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you? Would vote Would not Depends (vol.) DK/NA 10/12-16/07 CBS DPV* 33 60 4 4 Iowa Dem 48 42 6 4 N.H. Dem 45 46 8 2 39. From what you know so far, do you think Hillary Clinton has prepared herself well enough for the job of President and all the issues a President has to face, or do you think she needs a few more years to prepare? Prepared Need few more years DK/NA Iowa Dem 80 15 5 N.H. Dem 77 19 5 40. Do you think Hillary Clinton says what she believes most of the time, or does she say what she thinks people want to hear? Says what she believes Says what people want DK/NA 7/9-17/07 DPV* 61 32 7 Iowa Dem 47 48 6 N.H. Dem 54 38 8 41. Does BILL Clinton's involvement in Hillary Clinton's Presidential campaign make you more likely to support Hillary Clinton, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference to you? More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA Iowa Dem 38 7 55 - N.H. Dem 41 7 52 - 42. From what you know so far, do you think John Edwards has prepared himself well enough for the job of President and all the issues a President has to face, or do you think he needs a few more years to prepare? Prepared Need few more years DK/NA Iowa Dem 68 27 5 N.H. Dem 48 42 10 43. Do you think John Edwards says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear? Says what he believes Says what people want DK/NA Iowa Dem 77 17 6 N.H. Dem 61 29 10

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44. From what you know so far, do you think Barack Obama has prepared himself well enough for the job of President and all the issues a President has to face, or do you think he needs a few more years to prepare? Prepared Need few more years DK/NA Iowa Dem 42 53 5 N.H. Dem 42 53 4 45. Do you think Barack Obama says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear? Says what he believes Says what people want DK/NA 7/9-17/07 DPV* 58 25 17 Iowa Dem 82 12 6 N.H. Dem 75 18 7 46. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, which candidate do you think most understands the needs and problems of people in Iowa / New Hampshire -- Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinch, Barack Obama, or Bill Richardson? Iowa Dem N.H. Dem Biden 4 3 Clinton 18 34 Dodd 2 2 Edwards 32 13 Gravel Kucinich 2 6 Obama 18 13 Richardson 13 9 Someone else/None (vol) 1 2 DK/NA 10 19 47. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, which candidate do you think has the best chance of winning the general election in November -- Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinch, Barack Obama, or Bill Richardson? Iowa Dem N.H. Dem Biden 1 1 Clinton 47 68 Dodd 1 - Edwards 20 8 Gravel Kucinich Obama 17 14 Richardson 4 Someone else/None (vol) - DK/NA 10 9

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48. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, which candidate do you think is most likely to bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington -- Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama or Bill Richardson? Iowa Dem N.H. Dem Biden 2 1 Clinton 20 29 Dodd - 1 Edwards 17 12 Gravel - Kucinich 5 6 Obama 37 34 Richardson 11 8 Someone else/None (vol) 1 2 DK/NA 7 6 49. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, which candidate is most likely to make the right decisions about Social Security -- Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama or Bill Richardson? Iowa Dem N.H. Dem Biden 5 3 Clinton 23 35 Dodd 3 1 Edwards 20 11 Gravel Kucinich 2 2 Obama 20 13 Richardson 9 8 Gore (vol) - Someone else/None (vol) 1 1 DK/NA 18 25 50. From what you've seen or heard, do you think the other candidates for the Democratic nomination have been attacking Hillary Clinton, or not? IF YES, ASK: Do you think their attacks on Hillary Clinton have been fair or unfair? Yes, fairly Yes, unfairly Not attacking DK/NA Iowa Dem 34 25 34 7 N.H. Dem 29 36 30 6 53. Would you rather see the 2008 Republican presidential nominee generally continue George W. Bush's policies, change to more conservative policies, or change to less conservative policies? Continue policies More conservative Less conservative DK/NA 3/7-11/07 RPV* 39 40 18 4 Iowa Rep 23 58 12 7 N.H. Rep 19 50 22 9

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54. Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate for the 2008 Republican nomination who does not share your views on social issues like abortion or same-sex marriage, or are these social issues so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you? Yes, would vote No, would not vote Depends (Vol.) DK/NA 10/12-16/07 CBS RPV* 46 46 6 2 Iowa Rep 49 43 5 3 N.H. Rep 66 29 2 3 55. Would you be willing or not willing to vote for a candidate for the Republican nomination who has views that are less conservative than yours if you thought that candidate had a good chance to win the presidency in November 2008? Willing Not willing DK/NA 10/12-16/07 RPV* 64 23 13 Iowa Rep 75 19 7 N.H. Rep 71 20 9 56. Do you think Fred Thompson shares the values of most people in Iowa / New Hampshire, or not? Yes No DK/NA Iowa Rep 47 13 40 N.H. Rep 27 20 53 57. Do you think Fred Thompson says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear? Says what he believes Says what people want DK/NA Iowa Rep 53 19 28 N.H. Rep 39 22 38 58. Do you think Mike Huckabee shares the values of most people in Iowa / New Hampshire, or not? Yes No DK/NA Iowa Rep 62 7 31 N.H. Rep 26 15 59 59. Do you think Mike Huckabee says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear? Says what he believes Says what people want DK/NA Iowa Rep 67 9 24 N.H. Rep 38 14 48 60. Do you think John McCain shares the values of most people in Iowa / New Hampshire, or not? Yes No DK/NA Iowa Rep 53 33 13 N.H. Rep 67 22 11

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61. Do you think John McCain says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear? Says what he believes Says what people want DK/NA Iowa Rep 69 26 6 N.H. Rep 72 22 6 62. Do you think Mitt Romney shares the values of most people in Iowa / New Hampshire, or not? Yes No DK/NA Iowa Rep 66 20 14 N.H. Rep 61 27 12 63. Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear? Says what he believes Says what people want DK/NA Iowa Rep 56 34 9 N.H. Rep 52 39 10 64. Do you think Rudy Giuliani shares the values of most people in Iowa / New Hampshire, or not? Yes No DK/NA Iowa Rep 34 52 14 N.H. Rep 42 37 21 65. Do you think Rudy Giuliani says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear? Says what he believes Says what people want DK/NA 7/9-17/07 RPV* 64 27 9 Iowa Rep 62 32 7 N.H. Rep 55 37 8 66. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, which candidate do you think has the best chance of winning the general election in November -- Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter John McCain, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Tom Tancredo or Fred Thompson? Iowa Rep N.H. Rep Giuliani 38 39 Huckabee 8 - Hunter - McCain 3 9 Romney 30 35 Paul 2 4 Tancredo 1 Thompson 6 2 Someone else /None (Vol.) - 3 DK/NA 11 7

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67. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, which candidate comes closest to sharing your views on illegal immigration -- Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Tom Tancredo, or Fred Thompson? Iowa Rep N.H. Rep Giuliani 9 13 Huckabee 13 4 Hunter 2 2 McCain 4 12 Romney 26 34 Paul 4 5 Tancredo 15 3 Thompson 5 5 Someone else /None (Vol.) 1 - DK/NA 21 21 68. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, which candidate do you think is most likely to make the right decisions about Social Security -- Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Tom Tancredo or Fred Thompson? Iowa Rep N.H. Rep Giuliani 10 10 Huckabee 15 2 Hunter 1 - McCain 9 22 Romney 20 25 Paul 5 9 Tancredo 3 1 Thompson 9 6 Someone else /None (Vol.) 1 1 DK/NA 27 24 69. Generally speaking, do you think of Rudy Giuliani as being in support of abortion rights, or as being opposed to abortion rights?

Supports abortion rights Opposes abortion rights DK/NA

9/4-9/07 RPV* 51 18 31 Iowa Rep 64 12 24 N.H. Rep 53 14 33 70. Do you think most people you know would vote for a presidential candidate who is a Mormon, or not? Would Would not DK/NA 6/26-28/07 CBS RPV* 36 39 25 Iowa Rep 65 21 14 N.H. Rep 66 27 8

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71. Which of these comes closest to your view? Abortion should be generally available to those who want it, abortion should be available but under stricter limits than it is now, abortion should not be permitted? Available Available but stricter Not permitted DK/NA 9/4-9/07 RPV* 16 44 38 2 Iowa Rep 17 44 36 2 N.H. Rep 28 50 19 3 72. In deciding which candidate to vote for in the primary in January, how important is it to you that the candidate pledge not to raise taxes -- is that very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all important important important important DK/NA N.H. Dem 25 30 24 19 1 N.H. Rep 54 32 9 4 1 73. In deciding which candidate to vote for in the primary in January, how important will the results of the Iowa caucuses be -- very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all important important important important DK/NA N.H. Dem 8 29 24 37 1 N.H. Rep 9 26 28 33 3 74. In deciding which candidate to support in the caucuses in January how important is it to you that the candidate has spent a lot of time in Iowa/New Hampshire -- is that very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all important important important important DK/NA Iowa Dem 29 47 15 8 - Iowa Rep 23 43 23 11 N.H. Dem 25 43 27 5 N.H. Rep 23 48 17 11 - 76. In deciding which candidate to support in the caucuses/primary in January, which will matter more to you -- how their plans and proposals would affect Iowa/New Hampshire directly, or how their plans and proposals would affect the nation as a whole? Iowa/ New Hampshire Nation Both equal (vol) DK/NA Iowa Dem 1 96 - 2 Iowa Rep 1 98 1 1 N.H. Dem 2 97 - 1 N.H. Rep 3 95 1 1

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77. From what you know about the U.S. involvement in Iraq, how much longer would you be willing to have large numbers of U.S. troops remain in Iraq -- less than a year, one to two years, two to five years or longer than five years? 10/12-16/07 CBS Iowa N.H. DRV RPV Dem Rep Dem Rep Less than one year 56 20 56 12 54 26 1-2 years 31 30 30 21 28 22 2-5 years 6 23 5 22 7 19 Longer than five years 1 9 3 11 1 6 As long as it takes(vol.) 1 14 3 29 3 23 Should leave now(vol.) 2 - 2 1 3 2 DK/NA 2 5 2 4 3 3 78. Which comes closer to your view? 1. In the long run, the U.S. will be safer from terrorism if it confronts the countries and groups that promote terrorism in the Middle East. OR 2.In the long run, the US will be safer from terrorism if it stays out of other countries' affairs in the Middle East? Confront countries Stays out of affairs DK/NA Iowa Dem 19 69 12 Iowa Rep 79 16 6 N.H. Dem 25 66 9 N.H. Rep 61 34 5 79. How serious a problem do you think the issue of illegal immigration is for Iowa / New Hampshire right now -- very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all serious serious serious serious DK/NA Iowa Dem 25 34 29 11 1 Iowa Rep 47 39 11 3 1 N.H. Dem 12 24 42 21 1 N.H. Rep 30 32 25 12 1 80. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently working in the U.S.: 1. They should be allowed to stay in their jobs, and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship; OR 2. They should be allowed to stay in their jobs only as temporary guest workers, but NOT to apply for U.S. citizenship; OR 3. They should be required to leave their jobs and leave the U.S. Allowed to stay and Allowed to stay Required to apply for citizenship as guest workers leave jobs & U.S. DK/NA Iowa Dem 51 23 23 3 Iowa Rep 29 24 44 3 N.H. Dem 42 28 28 2 N.H. Rep 19 35 44 2

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81. Which comes closer to your opinion? 1. Iran is a threat to the United States that requires military action now. 2. Iran is a threat that can be contained with diplomacy now. OR 3. Iran is not a threat to the United States at this time. Requires action now Can be contained Not a threat now DK/NA 9/4-8/07 DPV* 7 59 23 11 9/4-8/07 RPV* 8 75 13 4 Iowa Dem 6 76 15 3 Iowa Rep 29 62 4 5 N.H. Dem 7 73 17 2 N.H. Rep 26 68 3 2 82. When it comes to preventing Iran from developing nuclear capabilities, would you prefer a candidate who favors taking military action soon against targets there, or one who favors avoiding military action to focus on using diplomacy? Military action Diplomacy Depends (vol) DK/NA Iowa Dem 4 94 1 2 Iowa Rep 31 56 7 5 N.H. Dem 4 92 2 2 N.H. Rep 38 56 4 2 83. In Iowa/New Hampshire, do you think wages are generally keeping up with the cost of living, or not? Yes No DK/NA Iowa Dem 22 75 3 Iowa Rep 56 37 7 N.H. Dem 18 78 4 N.H. Rep 34 62 4 84. Do you think that Iowa/New Hampshire should always hold the nation's first Presidential caucuses/primary, or do you think it would be better if other states had a chance to go first some years? Always first Others should have chance DK/NA Iowa Dem 62 26 12 Iowa Rep 62 26 13 N.H. Dem 65 25 10 N.H. Rep 75 19 6 85. Since he took office in January 2001, would you say George W. Bush's Presidency has been mostly a success, mostly a failure, or a mix of both? Success Failure Both DK/NA Iowa Dem 2 80 18 1 Iowa Rep 30 6 62 2 N.H. Dem 3 74 23 - N.H. Dem 20 19 60

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86. During this presidential campaign, have you attended any campaign events or seen any of the Presidential candidates in person, or haven't you? Yes No DK/NA Iowa Dem 63 37 Iowa Rep 45 55 N.H. Dem 35 64 - N.H. Rep 29 71 These last few questions are for background only. Did you vote in the 2004 presidential election, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for John Kerry, George W. Bush, or Ralph Nader? Voted, won’t

Kerry Bush Nader say whom(vol.) Didn't vote DK/NA Iowa Dem 84 7 1 2 5 - Iowa Rep 5 87 2 6 N.H. Dem 73 9 3 5 7 2 N.H. Rep 9 79 1 2 6 2 89. Did you attend the Iowa Democratic Caucus in 2004/vote in the 2004 New Hampshire Democratic primary? IF YES: Did you support John Kerry, John Edwards, Howard Dean, or someone else? Won't say/ Didn’t Kerry Edwards Dean Someone else Can't recall vote/attend DK/NA Iowa Dem 22 22 9 4 2 39 2 Iowa Rep 1 1 3 1 94 1 N.H. Dem 36 13 18 10 3 19 1 N.H. Rep 3 2 2 9 2 79 3 90. Would you say you attend religious services every week, almost every week, once or twice a month, a few times a year, or never? Almost Once or Few Every every twice a times week week month year Never DK/NA Iowa Dem 26 14 14 25 20 - Iowa Rep 47 18 13 17 5 N.H. Dem 16 5 14 31 33 2 N.H. Rep 26 7 12 33 21 1 91. Do you or does any other member of your household own a handgun, rifle, shotgun, or any other kind of firearm? Yes, self Yes, other No DK/NA Iowa Dem 26 14 59 2 Iowa Rep 43 16 39 2 N.H. Dem 21 12 66 1 N.H. Rep 34 13 52 1

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92. Are you or any other member of your household -- that is, any other adult living in your home or apartment -- a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is that person you or someone else? Yes, self Yes, other No DK/NA Iowa Dem 17 9 73 - Iowa Rep 7 4 89 N.H. Dem 11 7 82 N.H. Rep 6 7 87 Some people think of themselves as evangelical or born again Christians. Do you ever think of yourself in either of these ways? Yes No DK/NA Iowa Dem 11 89 - Iowa Rep 39 60 1 N.H. Dem 5 94 1 N.H. Rep 16 84 1 What is your religious preference today? Protestant Catholic Jewish Other None DK/NA Iowa Total 59 22 1 4 12 2 N.H. Total 32 41 1 6 18 3 Are you now married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Never Married Widowed Divorced Separated married DK/NA Iowa Total 75 6 9 - 10 - N.H. Total 62 9 10 1 18 - Do you have any children under 18? Yes No DK/NA

Iowa Total 28 72 - N.H. Total 30 70 - Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Republican Democrat Independent DK/NA Iowa Dem 1 80 19 - Iowa Rep 86 1 12 1 N.H. Dem 2 51 42 5 N.H. Rep 66 2 31 1

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How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally, do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? Liberal Moderate Conservative DK/NA Iowa Dem 39 50 10 2 Iowa Rep 2 26 71 1 N.H. Dem 36 52 9 2 N.H. Rep 4 40 54 3 How old are you? 18-29 30-44 45-64 Over 64 Iowa Total 10 17 47 26 N.H. Total 13 25 43 19 What was the last grade in school you completed? Not a Some College H.S. grad H.S. grad college grad Post Grad Refused Iowa Total 2 17 27 28 26 N. H. Total 3 27 36 19 14 -

Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, or not? Hispanic Not Hispanic DK/NA Iowa Total 1 98 - N.H. Total 1 99 - Are you white, black, Asian or some other race? White Black Asian Other Refused Iowa Total 97 1 - 1 1 N.H. Total 98 - - 1 1 Was your total family income in 2005 UNDER or OVER $50,000? IF UNDER, ASK: Was it under $15,000, between $15,000 and $30,000, or between $30,000 and $50,000? IF OVER, ASK: Was it between $50,000 and $75,000 or between $75,000 and $100,000 or was it over $100,000?

Under $15,000- $30,000- $50,000- $75,000- Over $15,000 $29,999 $49,999 $74,999 $100,000 $100,000 Refused Iowa Total 3 12 18 24 17 18 8 N. H. Total 5 10 18 25 16 19 8

Male Female Iowa Total 53 47 N.H. Total 49 51