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Polarization and consensus in citation networks. V.A. Traag KITLV & e-Humanities, KNAW, the Netherlands 2 June 2015 e Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences Humanities
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Polarization and consensus in citation networks

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Page 1: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Polarization and consensus in citationnetworks.

V.A. Traag

KITLV & e-Humanities, KNAW, the Netherlands

2 June 2015

eRoyal Netherlands Academy of Arts and SciencesHumanities

Page 2: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Community or Cluster

Page 3: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Community or Cluster

But is it a good community?

Page 4: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Community or Cluster

But is it a good community?

Count links in community

Page 5: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Community or Cluster

But is it a good community?

Count links in communityec = 4

Page 6: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Community or Cluster

But is it a good community?

Count links in communityec = 4

Expected links?

Page 7: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Community or Cluster

But is it a good community?

Count links in communityec = 4

Expected links?

〈ec〉 = k2c

4m = 122

4·17 ≈ 2.1

Page 8: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Community or Cluster

But is it a good community?

Count links in communityec = 4

Expected links?

〈ec〉 = k2c

4m = 122

4·17 ≈ 2.1

4 links in community,only 2.1 expected.

Page 9: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Community or Cluster

But is it a good community?

Count links in communityec = 4

Expected links?

〈ec〉 = k2c

4m = 122

4·17 ≈ 2.1

4 links in community,only 2.1 expected.

Want many links, few expected

Page 10: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Quality overall:

Q =1m ∑

c(ec − 〈ec〉) ≈ 0.30

Newman & Girvan. Phys. Rev. E 69, 026113 (2004).

Page 11: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

What is a community?

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Are there better communities?

Page 12: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Better communities

Initial communities: Q ≈ 0.30

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Page 13: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Better communities

Initial communities: Q ≈ 0.30

Move 0: Q ≈ 0.36

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Page 14: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Better communities

Initial communities: Q ≈ 0.30

Move 0: Q ≈ 0.36Move 5: Q ≈ 0.45

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Page 15: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Better communities

Initial communities: Q ≈ 0.30

Move 0: Q ≈ 0.36Move 5: Q ≈ 0.45Move 11: Q ≈ 0.47

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Page 16: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Better communities

Initial communities: Q ≈ 0.30

Move 0: Q ≈ 0.36Move 5: Q ≈ 0.45Move 11: Q ≈ 0.47

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Final communities: Q ≈ 0.47

Page 17: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Better communitiesInitial communities: Q ≈ 0.30

Move 0: Q ≈ 0.36Move 5: Q ≈ 0.45Move 11: Q ≈ 0.47

0

12

3

4

56

7

8

9

10

11

Final communities: Q ≈ 0.47

Louvain Algorithm

Blondel et al. J. Stat. Mech. 2008, P10008 (2008).

Page 18: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Is smoking cancerous?

Community & consensus in networks

Page 19: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Is smoking cancerous?

Community & consensus in networks

Shwed & Bearman. Am. Sociol. Rev. 75, 817–840 (2010).

Page 20: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Modularity as consensus?

High modularity⇒ polarizationLow modularity⇒ consensus

Page 21: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Modularity as consensus?

High modularity⇒ polarizationLow modularity⇒ consensus

Many graphs havehigh modularity,

but no community structure.

Page 22: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Modularity as consensus?

Q = 0.31

Reichardt & Bornholdt. Physica D 224, 20–26 (2006).

Page 23: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Missing link

What if a paper does not cite another paper?

Disagreement?

Or irrelevance?

Page 24: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Missing link

What if a paper does not cite another paper?

Disagreement?

Or irrelevance?

Page 25: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Missing link

What if a paper does not cite another paper?

Disagreement?

Or irrelevance?

Page 26: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Scientific specialisationM

odula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 27: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Scientific specialisationM

odula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Modula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 28: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Scientific specialisationM

odula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Modula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 29: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Scientific specialisationM

odula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Modula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 30: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Scientific specialisationM

odula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Modula

rity

0

1

1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

adduct, genotyp, dna, gstm1, polymorph

lung, mortal, smoker, risk, cigarett

breast, prostat, women, risk, associ

hpv, cervic, cin, women, sexual

p53, mutat, bladder, gene, tumor

lung, exposur, radon, betacaroten, worker

lung, exposur, risk, nonsmok, smoker

oral, p53, alcohol, patient, risk

exposur, lung, radon, worker, occup

pancreat, risk, pancrea, cancer, mutat

gastric, colorect, risk, intak, adenoma

nnk, nnal, lung, carcinogen, dna

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 31: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Negative links

When does a citation relate to polarization?

If the citation is critical.

Negative link

Page 32: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Negative links

When does a citation relate to polarization?

If the citation is critical.

Negative link

Page 33: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Negative links

When does a citation relate to polarization?

If the citation is critical.

Negative link

Traag & Bruggeman. Phys. Rev. E 80, 036115 (2009).

Page 34: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Effect of negative links

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Year

NM

I

● ●

● ●

●●

●●

● ● ●●

Independent5%10%

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 35: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Dutch debate citation network

Data

• Opinion articles in newspapers (LexisNexis)I NRC, Volkskrant, Trouw

• Long articles (> 1 000 words)• Concerning integration:

I minorities, foreigners, muslims & integration.

• In total 784 articles.

Citation network

• From author to authors (not articles)• For each reference indicate valence:

I Negative, Neutral, Positive• 2 027 authors, 8 395 references

I 53% neutral, 19% positive, 29% negative.

Page 36: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Dutch debate citation network

Data

• Opinion articles in newspapers (LexisNexis)I NRC, Volkskrant, Trouw

• Long articles (> 1 000 words)• Concerning integration:

I minorities, foreigners, muslims & integration.

• In total 784 articles.

Citation network

• From author to authors (not articles)• For each reference indicate valence:

I Negative, Neutral, Positive• 2 027 authors, 8 395 references

I 53% neutral, 19% positive, 29% negative.

Page 37: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Attention & polarization

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050

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weighted degree

degr

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Page 38: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Dutch debate community structure

Aad Kosto

Ab Klink

Abraham Kuyper

Abu Nuwas

Ad Melkert

Adri Duivesteijn

AEL

Afshin Ellian

Ahmed Aboutaleb

Ahmet Daskapan

Aisha

AIVD

Ali B.

Ali Lazrak

Ali Madanipour

Al-Qaeda

Amin Saikal

Amitai Etzioni

Anil Ramdas

Anita Bocker

Annelies Verstand

Anne-Ruth Wertheim

Anton Zijderveld

Arie Slob

Arie van der Zwan

Arie van Deursen

Aristoteles

AverroesAvicenna

Avishai Margalit

Ayaan Hirsi Ali

Ayatolah Khomeini

Bart Jan Spruyt

Bart Tromp

Bas Heijne

Bas van Stokkom

Bernard Lewis

Bert Middel

Bertrand Russell

Bert Wagendorp

Betsy Udink

Osama Bin Laden

Britta Bohler

Camiel Eurlings

CDA

CIDI

Claude Lefort

Claude Steele

Commissie Blok

Commissie-Stasi

Commissie van Montfrans

CPB

D66

Daniel Garrison Brinton

David BrooksDavid Lilienthal

David Pryce-Jones

De Volkskrant

Dick Cheney

Dick de Ruijter

Dick Pels

Dick van Eijk

Dietrich Thranhardt

Driss el Boujoufi

Dyab Abou Jahjah

Ebru Umar

Ed Leuw

Edmund Burke

Edward Said

Een Ander Joods Geluid

Ella Kalsbeek

Elsbeth Etty

Els Borst

Erasmus

Erica Terpstra

Erik Snel

Ernest Renan

Fadima Orgu

Fatima Elatik

Fatma Katirci

Federatie Nederlandse Zionisten

Femke Halsema

FNV

Fokke Obbema

Forum

Freek de Jonge

Frits Bolkestein

Frits van veen

Frits Wester

Fuad Hussein

Gabriel van den Brink

Geert Mak

Geert Wilders

George W. Bush

Gerard de Vries

Gerard Smink

Gerard Spong

Gerrit Zalm

Gijs Weenink

Gilles Kepel

Groen Links

Haci Karacaer

Hafid Bouazza

Halim El Madkouri

Han Entzinger

Hans Boutellier

Hans Dijkstal

Hans Janmaat

Hans Siebers

Hans Visser

Harry van Doorn

Hendrik Colijn

Henk DollHerbert Gans

Herman Philipse

Herman Vuijsje

Hilbrand Nawijn

H.J.A. Hofland

Hoge Commissariaat voor Vluchtelingen

Hugo Brandt Corstius

Human Development Report

Ian Buruma

Ibn HazamIbn Warraq

Ilhan Akelimam El-Moumni

Immanuel Kant

Irshad Manji

Ivo Opstelten

Jacob Kohnstamm

Jaco Dagevos

Jacqueline Costa-Lascoux

Jacqueline Draaijer

Jacques Wallage

James C. Kennedy

Jan Beerenhout

Jan Blokker

Jan Brugman

Jan Drentje

Jan Jacob Slauerhoff

Jan-Peter Balkendende

Jan Pronk

Jan Rijpstra

Jan Schaefer

Jantine Nipius

Jantine Oldersma

Jan Willem Duyvendak

Jean Tillie

Jefferson

Jelle van der Meer

Jerome Heldring

Job Cohen

Johan Norberg

Johan Remkes

John Coetzee

John Gray

John Jansen van galen

John Leerdam

John Mollenkopf

John Stuart Mill

Jola Jakson

Joodse Gemeente AmsterdamJoods Journaal

Joost Eerdmans

Joost Niemoller

Joost Zwagerman

Jorg Haider

Jos de Beus

Jos de Mul

Jozias van Aartsen

Justus Veenman

Jytte Klausen

Kader Abdollah

Karel van het Reve

Karen Adelmund

Kees van der Staaij

Kees van Kooten

Kees Vendrik

Khalifa

KMAN

Kohnstamm Instituut

Kohnstamm-rapport

Laurent Chambon

Leefbaar Rotterdam

Leo Lucassen

Likud Nederland

LPF

Maarten Huygen

Malcolm X

Mansour Khalid

Marc de Kessel

Marcel van Dam

Marco Borsato

Marco Pastors

Maria van der Hoeven

Marijke Vos

Marion van San

Mark Bovens

Marlite Halbertsma

Martien Kromwijk

Martin Luther

Maududi

Maurits Berger

Maxime Verhagen

Meindert Fennema

Menno Hurenkamp

Micha de Winter

Michele de Waard

Michele Tribalat

Milli Gorus

Mimount Bousakla

Mirjam de Rijk

Mohammed Arkoun

Mohammed Benzakour

Mohammed Cheppih

Mohammed Iqbal

Mohammed Reza Pahlavi

Mohammed SiniNaema Tahir

Naima Elmaslouhi

Nazih Ayubi

Nazmiye Oral

NCB

Neal Ascherson

Nebahat Albayrak

Nico de Haas

Nico van Nimwegen

Nieuw Israelitisch Weekblad

Norman Podhoretz

Nout Wellink

NRC Handelsblad

Olivier Roy

Orhan Pamuk

Oscar Garschagen

Oscar HammersteinOsdorp Posse

Paul Cliteur

Paul de Beer

Paul Gerbrands

Pauline Meurs

Paul Meurs

Paul Rosenmuller

Paul Scheffer

Paul Schnabel

Peter Langendam

Peter Smit

Pierre Bourdieu

Pierre Heijnen

Pieter Lakeman

Piet Hein Donner

Pim Fortuyn

PPR

President Eisenhower

Prinses Maxima

Profeet Mohammed

Professor Peters

PvdA

Qotb

Ramsey Nasr

Renate Rubinstein

Rene Cuperus

RIAGG

Ria van Gils

Rita Verdonk

Rob Oudkerk

Roger van Boxtel

Ronald van Raak

Rudy Kousbroek

Ruud Koopmans

Ruud Lubbers

Saddam Hussein

Said Benayad

Salman Rushdie

Samuel Huntington

Schelto Patijn

SCP

Senay Ozdemir

Shervin Nekuee

Shukri

Silvio Berlusconi

Simone van der Burg

SISWO

Sjaak van der Tak

Sjeik Ahmed Yassin

Sjoerd de Jong

Soedish Verhoeven

SP

Spinoza

Stef Blok

Susan Moller Okin

S.W. Couwenberg

Sylvain Ephimenco

Tara Singh Varma

Theodor Adorno

Theo van Gogh

Theo Veenkamp

Thijs Woltgens

Thorbecke

Timothy Garton AshTiny Cox

Tony Blair

Tzvetan Todorov

Van Montfrans

Vlaams Blok

VN Committee for elimination of all forms of racism

Volkert van der Graaf

VVDVVN

Wasif Shadid

Werner Schiffauer

Wiardi Beckman Stichting

Willem Vermeend

Wim de Bie

Wim Kok

Wim Willems

Wouter bos

WRR

WRR 1989

WRR 2001

WRR 2003

Yucel Yesilgoz

Zekeriya Gumus

Zeki Arslan

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 39: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Dutch debate community structure

Aad Kosto

Ab Klink

Abraham Kuyper

Abu Nuwas

Ad Melkert

Adri Duivesteijn

AEL

Afshin Ellian

Ahmed Aboutaleb

Ahmet Daskapan

Aisha

AIVD

Ali B.

Ali Lazrak

Ali Madanipour

Al-Qaeda

Amin Saikal

Amitai Etzioni

Anil Ramdas

Anita Bocker

Annelies Verstand

Anne-Ruth Wertheim

Anton Zijderveld

Arie Slob

Arie van der Zwan

Arie van Deursen

Aristoteles

AverroesAvicenna

Avishai Margalit

Ayaan Hirsi Ali

Ayatolah Khomeini

Bart Jan Spruyt

Bart Tromp

Bas Heijne

Bas van Stokkom

Bernard Lewis

Bert Middel

Bertrand Russell

Bert Wagendorp

Betsy Udink

Osama Bin Laden

Britta Bohler

Camiel Eurlings

CDA

CIDI

Claude Lefort

Claude Steele

Commissie Blok

Commissie-Stasi

Commissie van Montfrans

CPB

D66

Daniel Garrison Brinton

David BrooksDavid Lilienthal

David Pryce-Jones

De Volkskrant

Dick Cheney

Dick de Ruijter

Dick Pels

Dick van Eijk

Dietrich Thranhardt

Driss el Boujoufi

Dyab Abou Jahjah

Ebru Umar

Ed Leuw

Edmund Burke

Edward Said

Een Ander Joods Geluid

Ella Kalsbeek

Elsbeth Etty

Els Borst

Erasmus

Erica Terpstra

Erik Snel

Ernest Renan

Fadima Orgu

Fatima Elatik

Fatma Katirci

Federatie Nederlandse Zionisten

Femke Halsema

FNV

Fokke Obbema

Forum

Freek de Jonge

Frits Bolkestein

Frits van veen

Frits Wester

Fuad Hussein

Gabriel van den Brink

Geert Mak

Geert Wilders

George W. Bush

Gerard de Vries

Gerard Smink

Gerard Spong

Gerrit Zalm

Gijs Weenink

Gilles Kepel

Groen Links

Haci Karacaer

Hafid Bouazza

Halim El Madkouri

Han Entzinger

Hans Boutellier

Hans Dijkstal

Hans Janmaat

Hans Siebers

Hans Visser

Harry van Doorn

Hendrik Colijn

Henk DollHerbert Gans

Herman Philipse

Herman Vuijsje

Hilbrand Nawijn

H.J.A. Hofland

Hoge Commissariaat voor Vluchtelingen

Hugo Brandt Corstius

Human Development Report

Ian Buruma

Ibn HazamIbn Warraq

Ilhan Akelimam El-Moumni

Immanuel Kant

Irshad Manji

Ivo Opstelten

Jacob Kohnstamm

Jaco Dagevos

Jacqueline Costa-Lascoux

Jacqueline Draaijer

Jacques Wallage

James C. Kennedy

Jan Beerenhout

Jan Blokker

Jan Brugman

Jan Drentje

Jan Jacob Slauerhoff

Jan-Peter Balkendende

Jan Pronk

Jan Rijpstra

Jan Schaefer

Jantine Nipius

Jantine Oldersma

Jan Willem Duyvendak

Jean Tillie

Jefferson

Jelle van der Meer

Jerome Heldring

Job Cohen

Johan Norberg

Johan Remkes

John Coetzee

John Gray

John Jansen van galen

John Leerdam

John Mollenkopf

John Stuart Mill

Jola Jakson

Joodse Gemeente AmsterdamJoods Journaal

Joost Eerdmans

Joost Niemoller

Joost Zwagerman

Jorg Haider

Jos de Beus

Jos de Mul

Jozias van Aartsen

Justus Veenman

Jytte Klausen

Kader Abdollah

Karel van het Reve

Karen Adelmund

Kees van der Staaij

Kees van Kooten

Kees Vendrik

Khalifa

KMAN

Kohnstamm Instituut

Kohnstamm-rapport

Laurent Chambon

Leefbaar Rotterdam

Leo Lucassen

Likud Nederland

LPF

Maarten Huygen

Malcolm X

Mansour Khalid

Marc de Kessel

Marcel van Dam

Marco Borsato

Marco Pastors

Maria van der Hoeven

Marijke Vos

Marion van San

Mark Bovens

Marlite Halbertsma

Martien Kromwijk

Martin Luther

Maududi

Maurits Berger

Maxime Verhagen

Meindert Fennema

Menno Hurenkamp

Micha de Winter

Michele de Waard

Michele Tribalat

Milli Gorus

Mimount Bousakla

Mirjam de Rijk

Mohammed Arkoun

Mohammed Benzakour

Mohammed Cheppih

Mohammed Iqbal

Mohammed Reza Pahlavi

Mohammed SiniNaema Tahir

Naima Elmaslouhi

Nazih Ayubi

Nazmiye Oral

NCB

Neal Ascherson

Nebahat Albayrak

Nico de Haas

Nico van Nimwegen

Nieuw Israelitisch Weekblad

Norman Podhoretz

Nout Wellink

NRC Handelsblad

Olivier Roy

Orhan Pamuk

Oscar Garschagen

Oscar HammersteinOsdorp Posse

Paul Cliteur

Paul de Beer

Paul Gerbrands

Pauline Meurs

Paul Meurs

Paul Rosenmuller

Paul Scheffer

Paul Schnabel

Peter Langendam

Peter Smit

Pierre Bourdieu

Pierre Heijnen

Pieter Lakeman

Piet Hein Donner

Pim Fortuyn

PPR

President Eisenhower

Prinses Maxima

Profeet Mohammed

Professor Peters

PvdA

Qotb

Ramsey Nasr

Renate Rubinstein

Rene Cuperus

RIAGG

Ria van Gils

Rita Verdonk

Rob Oudkerk

Roger van Boxtel

Ronald van Raak

Rudy Kousbroek

Ruud Koopmans

Ruud Lubbers

Saddam Hussein

Said Benayad

Salman Rushdie

Samuel Huntington

Schelto Patijn

SCP

Senay Ozdemir

Shervin Nekuee

Shukri

Silvio Berlusconi

Simone van der Burg

SISWO

Sjaak van der Tak

Sjeik Ahmed Yassin

Sjoerd de Jong

Soedish Verhoeven

SP

Spinoza

Stef Blok

Susan Moller Okin

S.W. Couwenberg

Sylvain Ephimenco

Tara Singh Varma

Theodor Adorno

Theo van Gogh

Theo Veenkamp

Thijs Woltgens

Thorbecke

Timothy Garton AshTiny Cox

Tony Blair

Tzvetan Todorov

Van Montfrans

Vlaams Blok

VN Committee for elimination of all forms of racism

Volkert van der Graaf

VVDVVN

Wasif Shadid

Werner Schiffauer

Wiardi Beckman Stichting

Willem Vermeend

Wim de Bie

Wim Kok

Wim Willems

Wouter bos

WRR

WRR 1989

WRR 2001

WRR 2003

Yucel Yesilgoz

Zekeriya Gumus

Zeki Arslan

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 40: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Dutch debate community structure

Aad Kosto

Ab Klink

Abraham Kuyper

Abu Nuwas

Ad Melkert

Adri Duivesteijn

AEL

Afshin Ellian Ahmed Aboutaleb

Ahmet Daskapan

Aisha

AIVD

Ali B.

Ali Lazrak

Ali Madanipour

Al-Qaeda

Amin Saikal

Amitai Etzioni

Anil Ramdas

Anita Bocker

Annelies Verstand

Anne-Ruth Wertheim

Anton Zijderveld

Arie Slob

Arie van der Zwan

Arie van Deursen

Aristoteles

Averroes

Avicenna

Avishai Margalit

Ayaan Hirsi AliAyatolah Khomeini

Bart Jan Spruyt

Bart Tromp

Bas Heijne

Bas van Stokkom

Bernard Lewis

Bert Middel

Bertrand Russell

Bert Wagendorp

Betsy Udink

Osama Bin Laden

Britta Bohler

Camiel Eurlings

CDA

CIDI

Claude Lefort

Claude Steele

Commissie Blok

Commissie-Stasi

Commissie van Montfrans

CPBD66

Daniel Garrison Brinton

David Brooks

David Lilienthal

David Pryce-Jones

De Volkskrant

Dick Cheney

Dick de Ruijter

Dick Pels

Dick van Eijk

Dietrich Thranhardt

Driss el Boujoufi

Dyab Abou Jahjah

Ebru Umar

Ed Leuw

Edmund Burke

Edward Said

Een Ander Joods Geluid

Ella Kalsbeek

Elsbeth Etty

Els Borst

Erasmus

Erica Terpstra

Erik Snel

Ernest Renan

Fadima Orgu

Fatima Elatik

Fatma Katirci

Federatie Nederlandse Zionisten

Femke Halsema

FNV

Fokke Obbema

Forum

Freek de Jonge

Frits Bolkestein

Frits van veen

Frits WesterFuad Hussein

Gabriel van den Brink

Geert Mak

Geert Wilders

George W. Bush

Gerard de Vries

Gerard Smink

Gerard Spong

Gerrit Zalm

Gijs Weenink

Gilles Kepel

Groen Links

Haci Karacaer

Hafid Bouazza

Halim El MadkouriHan Entzinger

Hans Boutellier

Hans Dijkstal

Hans Janmaat

Hans Siebers

Hans Visser

Harry van Doorn

Hendrik Colijn

Henk Doll

Herbert Gans

Herman Philipse

Herman Vuijsje

Hilbrand Nawijn

H.J.A. Hofland

Hoge Commissariaat voor Vluchtelingen

Hugo Brandt CorstiusHuman Development Report

Ian Buruma

Ibn Hazam

Ibn Warraq

Ilhan Akel

imam El-Moumni

Immanuel Kant

Irshad Manji

Ivo Opstelten

Jacob Kohnstamm

Jaco Dagevos

Jacqueline Costa-Lascoux

Jacqueline Draaijer

Jacques Wallage

James C. Kennedy

Jan Beerenhout

Jan Blokker

Jan BrugmanJan Drentje

Jan Jacob Slauerhoff

Jan-Peter Balkendende

Jan Pronk

Jan Rijpstra

Jan Schaefer

Jantine Nipius

Jantine Oldersma

Jan Willem Duyvendak

Jean Tillie

Jefferson

Jelle van der Meer

Jerome Heldring

Job Cohen

Johan Norberg

Johan Remkes

John Coetzee

John Gray

John Jansen van galen

John Leerdam

John Mollenkopf

John Stuart Mill

Jola Jakson

Joodse Gemeente Amsterdam

Joods Journaal

Joost EerdmansJoost Niemoller

Joost Zwagerman

Jorg Haider

Jos de Beus

Jos de Mul

Jozias van Aartsen

Justus Veenman

Jytte Klausen

Kader Abdollah

Karel van het Reve

Karen Adelmund

Kees van der Staaij

Kees van Kooten

Kees Vendrik

Khalifa

KMAN

Kohnstamm Instituut

Kohnstamm-rapport

Laurent ChambonLeefbaar Rotterdam

Leo Lucassen

Likud Nederland

LPF

Maarten Huygen

Malcolm X

Mansour Khalid

Marc de Kessel

Marcel van Dam

Marco Borsato

Marco PastorsMaria van der Hoeven

Marijke VosMarion van San

Mark Bovens

Marlite Halbertsma

Martien Kromwijk

Martin Luther

Maududi

Maurits Berger

Maxime Verhagen

Meindert Fennema

Menno Hurenkamp

Micha de Winter

Michele de Waard

Michele Tribalat

Milli Gorus

Mimount Bousakla

Mirjam de Rijk

Mohammed Arkoun

Mohammed Benzakour

Mohammed Cheppih

Mohammed Iqbal

Mohammed Reza Pahlavi

Mohammed Sini

Naema Tahir

Naima Elmaslouhi

Nazih Ayubi

Nazmiye Oral

NCB

Neal Ascherson

Nebahat Albayrak

Nico de Haas

Nico van Nimwegen

Nieuw Israelitisch Weekblad

Norman Podhoretz

Nout Wellink

NRC Handelsblad

Olivier RoyOrhan Pamuk

Oscar Garschagen

Oscar Hammerstein

Osdorp Posse

Paul Cliteur

Paul de Beer

Paul Gerbrands

Pauline Meurs

Paul Meurs

Paul Rosenmuller

Paul Scheffer

Paul Schnabel

Peter Langendam

Peter Smit

Pierre Bourdieu

Pierre Heijnen

Pieter Lakeman

Piet Hein Donner

Pim Fortuyn

PPRPresident Eisenhower

Prinses Maxima

Profeet MohammedProfessor Peters

PvdA

Qotb

Ramsey Nasr

Renate Rubinstein

Rene Cuperus

RIAGG

Ria van Gils

Rita Verdonk

Rob Oudkerk

Roger van Boxtel

Ronald van Raak

Rudy Kousbroek

Ruud Koopmans

Ruud Lubbers

Saddam Hussein

Said Benayad

Salman Rushdie

Samuel Huntington

Schelto Patijn

SCP

Senay Ozdemir

Shervin Nekuee

Shukri

Silvio Berlusconi

Simone van der Burg

SISWO

Sjaak van der Tak

Sjeik Ahmed Yassin

Sjoerd de Jong

Soedish Verhoeven

SP

Spinoza

Stef BlokSusan Moller Okin

S.W. Couwenberg

Sylvain Ephimenco

Tara Singh Varma

Theodor AdornoTheo van Gogh

Theo Veenkamp

Thijs WoltgensThorbecke

Timothy Garton AshTiny Cox

Tony Blair

Tzvetan Todorov

Van Montfrans

Vlaams Blok

VN Committee for elimination of all forms of racism

Volkert van der Graaf

VVD

VVN

Wasif Shadid

Werner Schiffauer

Wiardi Beckman Stichting

Willem Vermeend

Wim de Bie

Wim Kok

Wim Willems

Wouter bos

WRR

WRR 1989

WRR 2001

WRR 2003

Yucel Yesilgoz

Zekeriya Gumus

Zeki Arslan

Bruggeman, Traag & Uitermark. Am. Sociol. Rev. 77, 1050–1063 (2012).

Page 41: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Two camps

Neoculturalists

• Protect Dutch (Western) culture.• Demand integration of minorities.• Anti-immigrant, anti-islam.

Anti-neoculturalists

• Oppose neoculturalists• No common discourse• Accomodation & moderation

Challengers vs. established

Page 42: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Two camps

Neoculturalists

• Protect Dutch (Western) culture.• Demand integration of minorities.• Anti-immigrant, anti-islam.

Anti-neoculturalists

• Oppose neoculturalists• No common discourse• Accomodation & moderation

Challengers vs. established

Page 43: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Two camps

Neoculturalists

• Protect Dutch (Western) culture.• Demand integration of minorities.• Anti-immigrant, anti-islam.

Anti-neoculturalists

• Oppose neoculturalists• No common discourse• Accomodation & moderation

Challengers vs. established

Page 44: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Periods

1990 1995 2000 2005

0

50

100

150

Time

#R

efer

ence

s/A

rtic

les

# ArticlesBolkesteinSchefferFortuynHirsiAli

Page 45: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Challenger vs. established

Resonance

Consonance

Solidarity

Leadership

Polarization

The Bolkestein periodNeoculturalist 5.7 -3.1 8.9 9.7

14.3Anti-neoculturalist -5.7 6.4 5.3 1.3

The Scheffer periodNeoculturalist 3.9 0.7 7.7 4.2

18.7Anti-neoculturalist -3.9 -1.2 3.3 -0.9

The Fortuyn periodNeoculturalist 2.4 -1.5 3.9 3.2

1.5Anti-neoculturalist -2.4 2.0 3.0 -2.7

The Hirsi Ali periodNeoculturalist 3.4 0.3 13.0 14.2

50.7Anti-neoculturalist -3.4 -0.4 7.3 3.2

Page 46: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Challenger vs. established

Resonance

Consonance

Solidarity

Leadership

Polarization

The Bolkestein periodNeoculturalist 5.7 -3.1 8.9 9.7

14.3Anti-neoculturalist -5.7 6.4 5.3 1.3

The Scheffer periodNeoculturalist 3.9 0.7 7.7 4.2

18.7Anti-neoculturalist -3.9 -1.2 3.3 -0.9

The Fortuyn periodNeoculturalist 2.4 -1.5 3.9 3.2

1.5Anti-neoculturalist -2.4 2.0 3.0 -2.7

The Hirsi Ali periodNeoculturalist 3.4 0.3 13.0 14.2

50.7Anti-neoculturalist -3.4 -0.4 7.3 3.2

Page 47: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Challenger vs. established

Resonance

Consonance

Solidarity

Leadership

Polarization

The Bolkestein periodNeoculturalist 5.7 -3.1 8.9 9.7

14.3Anti-neoculturalist -5.7 6.4 5.3 1.3

The Scheffer periodNeoculturalist 3.9 0.7 7.7 4.2

18.7Anti-neoculturalist -3.9 -1.2 3.3 -0.9

The Fortuyn periodNeoculturalist 2.4 -1.5 3.9 3.2

1.5Anti-neoculturalist -2.4 2.0 3.0 -2.7

The Hirsi Ali periodNeoculturalist 3.4 0.3 13.0 14.2

50.7Anti-neoculturalist -3.4 -0.4 7.3 3.2

Page 48: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Challenger vs. established

Resonance

Consonance

Solidarity

Leadership

Polarization

The Bolkestein periodNeoculturalist 5.7 -3.1 8.9 9.7

14.3Anti-neoculturalist -5.7 6.4 5.3 1.3

The Scheffer periodNeoculturalist 3.9 0.7 7.7 4.2

18.7Anti-neoculturalist -3.9 -1.2 3.3 -0.9

The Fortuyn periodNeoculturalist 2.4 -1.5 3.9 3.2

1.5Anti-neoculturalist -2.4 2.0 3.0 -2.7

The Hirsi Ali periodNeoculturalist 3.4 0.3 13.0 14.2

50.7Anti-neoculturalist -3.4 -0.4 7.3 3.2

Page 49: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Conclusion

• Use modularity to find groups.• Do not use modularity for measuring polarization.• Use negative links for analysing polarization.• Cohesive group of challengers dominate debate.

Thank you!Questions?

Page 50: Polarization and consensus in citation networks

Conclusion

• Use modularity to find groups.• Do not use modularity for measuring polarization.• Use negative links for analysing polarization.• Cohesive group of challengers dominate debate.

Thank you!Questions?