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PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry
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PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Dec 23, 2015

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Page 1: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

PMFA Case StudyTeam 1Zach BallConnor CloetinghZhentao ZhongAlex Stansberry

Page 2: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Client ProfileBasic InformationGoalsRisk Tolerance

Vehicle AllocationCurrent Vehicle Allocation

Current Asset PortfolioFuture Vehicle Allocation

Future Asset AllocationWithin:

Joint TrustSEP IRARoth IRA

Page 3: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Basic Information

•Age 30•Business Owners•Salary $125,000 each•Current Investments: $1,000,000

Page 4: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

John and Jane Spartan

Client Information Profile

Retirement Age Ideal

John 60

Jane 60

Annual Retirement Spending

$150,000

Annual Savings

SEP-IRA $22,930

Roth IRA $5,000

Estate Goal $0

Page 5: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Goals• Retire: Age 60• Life expectancy:95 Years

▫ (35 years after retirement)

• Maintain Standard of Living▫ Live off $150,000 per year

• Obtain Financial Independence• Possess Financial Peace of Mind

$5,818,397

Page 6: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Risk Tolerance

Overall Moderate Risk:• Claim to be “aggressive” investors• Contradictions on some issues.

▫ Cannot tolerate more than 10% losses▫ Can tolerate short – term declines to maintain

purchasing power▫ Unwilling to wait several years to recover from

losses due to extended down market.

Page 7: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Income Tax Considerations

•Based off 2012 Tax Rates•Married Filling Separately•Net Total Income $177,930 at a Rate of

28.83%•John able to contribute $22,930 in SEP IRA

per year •Jane able to contribute $5,000 in Roth IRA

per year •Tax rates likely to increase in future•Contributions likely to decrease

Page 8: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Current Vehicle Allocation

Account

Asset Market Value

John and Jane

Joint Trust

CashFidelity U.S Bond IndexFidelity Fund

$500,000$280,000$20,000

John IRA Fidelity U.S. Bond IndexFidelity Fund

$20,000$80,000

Jane Roth IRA

Fidelity U.S. Bond Index

$100,000

80%

10%

10%

Current Investment Vehicle Allocation

Joint Trust

IRA

Roth IRA

Page 9: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Strategic Investment Vehicle Allocation

10%10%

80%

New Investment Vehicle Al-location

Roth IRASEP IRAJoint trust

Page 10: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Current Allocation Plan

10%

40%50%

Current

Large CapFixed incomeCash

Average Return 4.5% Downside Risk -0.5%

Asset allocation

Page 11: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Current Portfolio Analysis

•Past performance does not guarantee future performance •Portfolio is not well diversified

Page 12: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

20%

16%

16%15%

21%

4%

8%

Moderate Growth Large Cap

Mid Cap

Small Cap

Equity with div-idends

Fixed Income

Cash Equivalent

Commod-ity

Future Overall Strategic Allocation Plan

Average Return 7.72%Downside Risk -12.02%

Page 13: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Capital Market

Page 14: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Vehicle Deposits Growth Withdrawals Deposit Cap

IRA Tax-deductable

Tax-free Taxed $5,000

Roth IRA After-tax Tax-free Tax-free $5,000

Joint trust After-tax Taxed Tax- Free N/A

SEP-IRA Tax-deductable

Tax-free Taxed $50,000

Investment Vehicle Analysis

Page 15: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Joint TrustCurrent Allocation Future Allocation

• $800,000

63%35%

3%

CashFBIDXFFIDX

$800,000

20%

10%

5%25%

20%

20%

Joint trust Fixed incomeCommodityCash Equiva-lentslarge Cap EquityMid Cap EquitySmall Cap Equity

Page 16: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

IRA- John SEP IRACurrent Allocation Future Allocation

• $100,000

20%

80%

FBIDXFFIDX

$100,000 With yearly contributions of $22,930

75%

25%

SEP-John

EquityFixed Income

Page 17: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Roth IRA- JaneCurrent Allocation Future Allocation

• $100,000

100%

Amount

FBIDX

$100,000With yearly contributions of $5,000 per year

80%

20%

Roth IRA- Jane

Equity with dividendsFixed Income

Page 18: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Possible Investments Ideas

•Equities▫Money Managers▫Mutual Funds▫ETFs

•Fixed Investments▫Bond Mutual Funds▫U.S Treasury Notes

•Commodities ▫Gold

Page 19: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Equity Investment Recommendations

• Money Managers▫Confluence Increasing Dividend Equity Account

2.8% Annual Dividend Returns 15.3% Standard Deviation Higher Growth Option

▫ Vireo Alpha Sector Alphadex Equity Plus Invests in ETFs Primary Focus on Protecting Downside Losses Has ability to re-allocate assets to all cash in down markets 9.82% Standard Deviation

Page 20: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Recommendations Cont.

•Mutual Funds▫Davis New York Venture Fund (NYVTX)

Focus on Long Term Capital Appreciation Invests in Large Cap Equities Average Rate of Return 11.47% 20.3% Standard Deviation

▫ Calamos Growth and Income Fund (CVTRX) Invested 45% in Stocks 35% in Bonds 9.46% Return 13.19% Standard Deviation

Page 21: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Fixed Income/Commodities

•PIMCO Total Return Bond Fund (PTTRX)▫Great diversification to protect against

large downside swings▫8.34% Return Since Inception ▫Best in the Business Management Team

•SPDR Gold Trust ETF ▫Diversifies the Portfolio▫Safe Investment Tends to go up when

Equities go down

Page 22: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Summary of Cash Flows

Page 23: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Summary

Reallocated funds within each account• Diversified Portfolio• Protected against serious losses

Will need to evaluate funds periodically to remain current

• Reallocate funds in the future to meet needs

Page 24: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Other Considerations

•Life and Disability Insurance▫What if something tragic were to happen?

•Possibility of business failing▫What if the internet company goes out of

business?•What if they live longer than expected?

▫Will they have enough money to live 1 more year? 5 more years?

Page 25: PMFA Case Study Team 1 Zach Ball Connor Cloetingh Zhentao Zhong Alex Stansberry.

Questions?