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Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS Conference October 16–18, 2006 Chapel Hill, NC
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Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

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Page 1: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury

Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur

AERSan Ramon, CA

5th Annual CMAS ConferenceOctober 16–18, 2006

Chapel Hill, NC

Page 2: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Why Use Plume-in-Grid Approach?

Plume Size vs Grid Size (from Godowitch, 2004)

• Artificial dilution of stack emissions

• Unrealistic near-stack plume concentrations

• Incorrect representation of plume chemistry

• Incorrect representation of plume transport

Limitations of Purely Grid-Based Approach

Page 3: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Plume Chemistry & Relevance to PM and Mercury Modeling

Early Plume Dispersion

NO/NO2/O3 chemistry1

2Mid-range Plume Dispersion

Reduced VOC/NOx/O3 chemistry — acid formation from OH and NO3/N2O5 chemistry

Long-range Plume Dispersion

3

Full VOC/NOx/O3 chemistry — acid and O3 formation

Possible reduction of HgII to Hg0

Page 4: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Mercury Chemistry in Power Plant Plumes

• Evidence of HgII reduction in power plant plumes (Edgerton et al., ES&T, 2006; Lohman et al., ES&T, 2006)

• Reduction of HgII by SO2 (possibly via heterogeneous reaction

on particles) is compatible with the global Hg cycling budget (Seigneur et al., J. Geophys. Res., in press)

Page 5: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

CMAQ-MADRID-APT-Hg

• Based on CMAQ v 4.5.1, March 2006 release

• MADRID: Model of Aerosol Dynamics, Reaction, Ionization and Dissolution

• APT: Advanced Plume Treatment with embedded plume model SCICHEM (state-of-the science treatment of stack plumes at the sub-grid scale)

• Mercury treatment included

• Consistent treatments for chemical transformations (gas- and aqueous-phase) and PM in the host model and the embedded plume model

Page 6: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Model Components

CMAQ v. 4.5.1

MADRID PM Treatment with MercuryCMAQ-MADRID-Hg

SCICHEM-MADRID-HgPM and Hg Treatment based on CMAQ-MADRID-Hg

CMAQ-MADRID-APT-Hg

Page 7: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

SCICHEM

• Three-dimensional puff-based model

• Second-order closure approach for plume dispersion

• Puff splitting and merging

• Treatment of plume overlaps

• Optional treatment of building downwash

• Optional treatment of turbulent chemistry

• PM, gas-phase and aqueous-phase chemistry treatments consistent with host model

Page 8: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Atmospheric Mercury

• Mercury is present mostly as three “species” in the atmosphere

– Elemental mercury (Hg0)

– Divalent gaseous mercury:

• HgCl2, Hg(OH)2, HgO, etc.

• referred to collectively as HgII or reactive gaseous mercury (RGM)

– Particulate-bound mercury:

• HgII or Hg0 adsorbed on PM

• mostly divalent

• referred to collectively as Hgp

Page 9: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Atmospheric Chemistry of Mercury

Page 10: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Application to Southeastern U.S.

• Simulation period: 2002

• Grid resolution: 12 km x 12 km, 19 layers (up to ~15 km)

• Meteorology and emissions inventory from Georgia EPD and VISTAS

• Non-Hg ICs/BCs from Georgia EPD – 5 day model spinup for each quarter

• Two annual simulations with CMAQ-MADRID-APT-Hg

– With SO2 + HgII reduction reaction

– Without this reaction

Page 11: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Modeling Domain and Locations ofAPT sources

Page 12: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Boundary Conditions for Mercury Species

• Boundary conditions (BCs) for mercury were obtained from a 2001 simulation conducted over the United States with the Trace Element Analysis Model (TEAM)

• Spatially and temporally (hourly) varying BCs of Hg0, HgII, and Hgp

Page 13: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Preliminary Results from Plume Event Evaluations

• Several power plant plume events observed at SEARCH monitoring locations (Edgerton et al., ES&T, 2006)

• To compare the modeled plume events with observations, the plume information in the embedded plume model is used to calculate subgrid-scale concentrations downwind of the power plant impacting a SEARCH monitoring location

• Plume concentrations are sampled at an array of receptors along an arc; the center of the arc is the power plant of interest and the arc extends to 30o on each side of the monitoring location

• The receptor location with the closest match of modeled SO2 peak increment to the observed peak increment is used for comparison purposes

Page 14: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Placement of Receptors for Plume Event Evaluations

Page 15: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Monitoring Stations in SEARCH networkhttp://www.atmospheric-research.com/studies/SEARCH/index.html

operated by Atmospheric Research & Analysis, Inc. (ARA)

Page 16: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Comparison of Measured and Simulated Peak SO2 Increments

DateMonitoring

LocationMeasured Peak (ppb)

Simulated Peak (ppb)

MADRID MADRID-APT

July 5 YRK 49 19 42

July 18 PNS 12 11 21

July 19 PNS 9 4 4

July 20 BHM 11 16 11

July 21 YRK 67 12 21

July 21 BHM 13 1 < 1

July 27 CTR 34 3 13

July 30 BHM 19 11 19

July 31 BHM 10 15 13

July 31 YRK 8 5 8

Page 17: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Comparison of Measured and Simulated Peak SO2 Increments

DateMonitoring

LocationMeasured Peak (ppb)

Simulated Peak (ppb)

MADRID MADRID-APT

Jan 3 YRK 18 8 10

Jan 4 YRK 9 4 4

Jan 7 YRK 7 3 7

Jan 9 YRK 11 8 13

Jan 10 YRK 16 5 4

Jan 11 CTR 11 5 11

Jan 15 YRK 8 7 7

Page 18: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Plume Event on July 5, 2002Hg Plume Increments

ModelHg0 (pg m-3) HgII (pg m-3) HgII/(Hg0 + HgII)

Obs. Model Obs. Model Obs. Model

MADRID-APT-Hg with HgII reduction reaction 411 190 46 9 0.1 0.05

MADRID-APT-Hg without HgII reduction reaction

411 60 46 119 0.1 0.67

MADRID-Hg with HgII reduction reaction

411 20 46 23 0.1 0.54

MADRID-Hg without HgII reduction reaction

411 20 46 27 0.1 0.58

Source: Plant Bowen; Monitoring Location: Yorkville

Page 19: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Plume Event on July 21, 2002Hg Plume Increments

ModelHg0 (pg m-3) HgII (pg m-3) HgII/(Hg0 + HgII)

Obs. Model Obs. Model Obs. Model

MADRID-APT-Hg with HgII reduction reaction 188 70 79 42 0.29 0.37

MADRID-APT-Hg without HgII reduction reaction

188 60 79 96 0.29 0.62

Source: Plant Bowen; Monitoring Location: Yorkville

Page 20: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Power-Plant Contributions to 24 hr Average Sulfate Concentrations on July 5

CMAQ-MADRID-Hg CMAQ-MADRID-APT-Hg

Page 21: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Power-Plant Contributions to 24 hr Hg Total Deposition on July 5

CMAQ-MADRID-Hg CMAQ-MADRID-APT-Hg

Page 22: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Conclusions

• Observed plume events are better captured in the plume-in-grid approach than in the purely gridded approach

• Preliminary evaluation results suggest that observed RGM to TGM ratios during plume events are well simulated only when a plume-in-grid approach is used and a pathway for reducing HgII to Hg0 by SO2 is included

• A purely gridded approach typically overestimates power plant contributions to PM2.5 because SO2 to sulfate and NOx to nitrate conversion rates are overestimated (Karamchandani et al., Atmos. Environ., in press)

• A purely gridded approach will also overestimate power plant contributions to RGM concentrations and depositions if a mechanism exists to reduce HgII to Hg0 in power plant plumes

Page 23: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Ongoing Work

• Complete simulations for entire calendar year

• Complete model performance evaluation:

– SEARCH: Continuous gas, PM mass and components, Hg

– Other air quality networks: AQS, IMPROVE, CASTNET

– Wet deposition: NADP, MDN

• Control scenario simulations

Page 24: Plume-in-Grid Modeling for PM & Mercury Prakash Karamchandani, Krish Vijayaraghavan, Shu-Yun Chen & Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA 5th Annual CMAS.

Acknowledgements

• Funding:

– EPRI (Eladio Knipping, Leonard Levin)

– Southern Company (John Jansen)

• Input Files:

– Georgia Environmental Protection Division (James Boylan, Maudood Khan)

– VISTAS (Pat Brewer)

• SEARCH Plume Measurements:

– Atmospheric Research & Analysis, Inc. (Eric Edgerton)