Plug in-electric-vehicle-update 3-12-13

John Halliwell EPRI Senior Project Manager

Tennessee Environmental Conference – Energy Workshop EV Panel Discussion

March 13, 2013

Plug-In Electric Vehicle Update

2 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

EPRI’s History…

• Founded by and for the electricity industry in 1973

• Independent, nonprofit center for public interest energy and environmental research

• Collaborative resource for the electricity sector

• Major offices in Palo Alto, CA; Charlotte, NC; Knoxville, TN –  Laboratories in Knoxville,

Charlotte and Lenox, MA Chauncey Starr EPRI Founder

3 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

And a “plug” for Plug In…

http://www.plugin2013.com/

4 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

From the Energy Information Administration (EIA) Web Site: Why Worry about Vehicles?

The US consumes about 900

million (that’s 900,000,000) gallons of oil

per day

About 45% of that goes to

transportation

We use about 370 million gallons of

gasoline a day www.eia.gov

5 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

2012 2013 2014

Tesla Roadster since 2008

Mitsubishi I Launch Early 2012

Nissan LEAF since 2010

Ford Focus Electric Launch Early 2012

BMW ActiveE trial begins 2012

Fisker Karma Launch 2011

smart fortwo electric drive Launch 2012

Toyota Plug In Prius Launches Early 2012

Chevrolet Volt since 2010

Tesla Model S Launches Mid-2012

Tesla Model X Launch 2013

Toyota RAV4 EV Launch 2013

Chevrolet Spark Launch 2013

Ford C-MAX Energi Launch Late 2012

Ford Fusion Energi Launch 2013

Cadillac ELR Launch 2014

BYD e6 Launch 2013 CODA Sedan Launch

Early 2012 BYD F3DM Launch 2013

Volvo C30 Electric Launch 2013

Toyota FT-EV Launch 2013

BMW i3 Launch 2013

BMW i8 Launch 2014

Volkswagen E-Golf Launch 2014

Volvo V70 PHEV Launch 2014

Honda Fit EV Launch Late 2012

Volkswagen E-Bugster Launch 2014

Mitsubishi Px-MiEV Launch 2014

Audi A1 E-Tron Launch 2014

Scion iQ Launch Late 2012

Kia Ray Launch 2014

Hyundai BlueOn Launch 2014

Source: EEI

6 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

U.S. Cumulative PEV Sales to Date

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

Dec

-14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5 A

ug-1

5 S

ep-1

5 O

ct-1

5 N

ov-1

5 D

ec-1

5 Ja

n-16

Fe

b-16

M

ar-1

6 A

pr-1

6 M

ay-1

6 Ju

n-16

Ju

l-16

Aug

-16

Sep

-16

Oct

-16

Nov

-16

Dec

-16

Jan-

17

Feb-

17

Cum

ulat

ive

PEV

Sale

s

LEAF Volt Tesla Prius Plug-in Ford Energi (C-Max & Fusion) Other

J.D. Powers Press Release Indicated that Tennessee is

9th in US PEV Sales as of October 2012

7 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

Dec

-03

Jan-

04

Feb-

04

Mar

-04

Apr

-04

May

-04

Jun-

04

Jul-0

4 A

ug-0

4 S

ep-0

4 O

ct-0

4 N

ov-0

4 D

ec-0

4 Ja

n-05

Fe

b-05

M

ar-0

5 A

pr-0

5 M

ay-0

5 Ju

n-05

Ju

l-05

Aug

-05

Sep

-05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dec

-05

Jan-

06

Feb-

06

Cum

ulat

ive

HEV

Sal

es

Insight Prius

Compared to Previous Hybrid Electric Vehicle Sales

8 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

0  

2  

4  

6  

8  

10  

12  

14  

16  

18  

20  

2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015  

Cumula&

ve  PEV

s  (tho

usan

d  vehicles)  

Low   Medium   High  

Predicted Population of Plug-In Vehicles for Tennessee – EPRI Research Estimate

9 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Top Ten Tennessee Counties Listed By Expected PEV Population Davidson

Shelby Knox

Hamilton Williamson

Sullivan Rutherford Sumner Blount Washington

Nashville

Nashville area

Nashville area Nashville area

Memphis Knoxville Chattanooga

Bristol/Kingsport

Knoxville area

Johnson City

10 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Non-Residential Infrastructure Main Objectives:

11 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

300 322

398

76

394

551

733

946

376

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Num

ber o

f New

EVS

E In

stal

latio

ns

Workplace Public Cumulative

Estimates of New EVSE Installations to Match Projected PEV Growth

2 per PEV

1.5 per PEV 1 per PEV

12 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Map Key

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Station Locations Based on Population and Traffic Flows

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West Tennessee

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Central Tennessee

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East Tennessee

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