Planning for the Future James Watson President & COO, ABS Americas Houston, TX 18 February 2015
Planning for the Future
James WatsonPresident & COO, ABS Americas
Houston, TX18 February 2015
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A Shifting Market…
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Oil Price Scenarios: Offshore Industry
$90+
• New Investment – Moderate to Strong
$80-$60
• New Investment – Weaker• Ultra Deepwater and Harsh Environment dries up• Deepwater dampened• Shallow only small impact
$60-$40
• Deepwater dries up• Shallow water impacted• Production and support further dampened• Increase in project delays by 20%
$40-$20
• Shallow water strongly impact – only some replacements• Production and support even further dampened• Increase in project delays by 30%
<$20
• No new orders in 2015 and 2016, a few in 2017• Increase in project delays by 40%
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Oil Price Scenarios: Marine Industry
$90+
• New Investment – Moderate• Focus on eco-designs• Flat growth across most sectors with small growth in bulkers and gas carriers
$80-$60
• New Investment – Weaker near term, stronger long term• Decline in eco-designs
$60-$40
• New Investment – Continued increase• Increase across all ship types• Further degrading of eco-designs, scrapping reduced
$40-$20
• New Investment – Continues to grown• Uptick in container and GDP-centric markets• Decrease in tanker and gas carrier orders
<$20
• New Investment – Uptick near term, long term strong• Few eco-design orders• Strong increase in bulk and containers• Strong decrease in tankers and gas carriers
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Emissions Continue to be Under Scrutiny
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2025
Investing in the Future
Support near term industry needs
and prepares ABS for the future
5+ Yrs
3-5 Year Horizon
1-3 Year Horizon
Understand the technology
Validate the technology
Implement the technology through
Rules and tools
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Proactive Collaboration
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Life Cycle Approach
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Foundation for Future
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Holistic Alignment
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Planning for the Future
www.eagle.org