Planetary Science Decadal Survey 2009-2011 David H. Smith Space Studies Board, National Research Council Mars Exploration Program Analysis Group Providence,

Planetary Science Planetary Science Decadal SurveyDecadal Survey

2009-20112009-2011

David H. Smith David H. Smith Space Studies Board, National Research CouncilSpace Studies Board, National Research Council

Mars Exploration Program Analysis GroupMars Exploration Program Analysis Group

Providence, Rhode Island, 29 July, 2009Providence, Rhode Island, 29 July, 2009

NOTE ADDED BY JPL WEBMASTER: This document was prepared by the National Research Council. The content has not been approved or adopted by, NASA, JPL, or the California Institute of Technology. This document is being made available for information purposes only, and any views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of NASA, JPL, or the California Institute of Technology.

What will the Decadal Survey What will the Decadal Survey Address?Address?

Major Tasks:Major Tasks: Overview of planetary science and current state of Overview of planetary science and current state of knowledgeknowledge

Inventory of the key scientific questions Inventory of the key scientific questions Assessment of NSF-funded infrastructure Assessment of NSF-funded infrastructure Recommendations on program balance:Recommendations on program balance:

Mix of mission targetsMix of mission targets Mix of mission sizesMix of mission sizes Mix of research activitiesMix of research activities

Prioritized recommendations for New Frontiers and Prioritized recommendations for New Frontiers and flagship missions for the next decadeflagship missions for the next decade

Opportunities for human exploration to address key Opportunities for human exploration to address key scientific questions scientific questions

Recommendations for NASA-funded research activitiesRecommendations for NASA-funded research activities Recommendations for technology developmentRecommendations for technology development

ScopeScope Ground- and space-based planetary scienceGround- and space-based planetary science AstrobiologyAstrobiology

Organization of the Decadal Survey

Steering GroupSteve Squyres, Chair

Larry Soderblom, Vice ChairVice Chairs of Panels

9 others

Steering GroupSteve Squyres, Chair

Larry Soderblom, Vice ChairVice Chairs of Panels

9 others

Inner PlanetsPanel

Ellen Stofan, ChairStephen Mackwell, Vice Chair

10 others

Inner PlanetsPanel

Ellen Stofan, ChairStephen Mackwell, Vice Chair

10 others

Outer Planet SatellitesPanel

John Spencer, ChairDavid Stevenson, Vice Chair

10 others

Outer Planet SatellitesPanel

John Spencer, ChairDavid Stevenson, Vice Chair

10 others

MarsPanel

Philip Christensen, ChairWendy Calvin, Vice Chair

11 others

MarsPanel

Philip Christensen, ChairWendy Calvin, Vice Chair

11 others

Outer PlanetsPanel

Heidi Hammel, ChairAmy Simon-Miller, Vice Chair

9 others

Outer PlanetsPanel

Heidi Hammel, ChairAmy Simon-Miller, Vice Chair

9 others

Primitive BodiesPanel

Joseph Veverka, ChairHarry Y. McSween, Vice Chair

10 others

Primitive BodiesPanel

Joseph Veverka, ChairHarry Y. McSween, Vice Chair

10 others

Mars PanelMars Panel

Philip Christensen, Arizona State University, Philip Christensen, Arizona State University, ChairChair Wendy M. Calvin, University of Nevada, Reno, Wendy M. Calvin, University of Nevada, Reno, Vice ChairVice Chair

Raymond Arvidson, Washington University, St. LouisRaymond Arvidson, Washington University, St. Louis Bobby Braun, Georgian Institute of TechnologyBobby Braun, Georgian Institute of Technology Glen Cunningham, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, retiredGlen Cunningham, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, retired David Des Marais, NASA Ames Research CenterDavid Des Marais, NASA Ames Research Center Linda Elkins-Tanton, Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyLinda Elkins-Tanton, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Francois Forget, Institut Pierre Simon LaplaceFrancois Forget, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace John Grotzinger, California Institute of TechnologyJohn Grotzinger, California Institute of Technology Penny King, University of New MexicoPenny King, University of New Mexico Paul Mahaffy, NASA Goddard Space Flight CenterPaul Mahaffy, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Lisa Pratt, University of IndianaLisa Pratt, University of Indiana

One Additional International Participant (to be appointed)One Additional International Participant (to be appointed)

Overall Schedule 2008-2011Overall Schedule 2008-2011

20082008 44thth Quarter Quarter Informal request received, NRC approves Informal request received, NRC approves

initiation,initiation,Formal request received, Proposal to NASA.Formal request received, Proposal to NASA.

2009200911stst Quarter Quarter Funding received, Chair identified,Funding received, Chair identified,

Chair and vice chair appointedChair and vice chair appointed22ndnd Quarter Quarter Steering Group appointedSteering Group appointed, , Panels AppointedPanels Appointed33rdrd Quarter Quarter Meetings of the Steering GroupMeetings of the Steering Group and Panels begin and Panels begin44thth Quarter Quarter Panels’ period of peak active, Proposal to NSFPanels’ period of peak active, Proposal to NSF

2010201011stst-2-2nd nd Quarter Quarter Final Panel meetings, Panel reports Final Panel meetings, Panel reports

finalizedfinalized22ndnd-3-3rdrd Quarter QuarterPrioritization and drafting of survey reportPrioritization and drafting of survey report44thth Quarter Quarter Draft survey report to reviewers, Report Draft survey report to reviewers, Report

revisedrevised

2011201111stst Quarter Quarter Report approved, NASA briefedReport approved, NASA briefed

and report released ( prepublication-format)and report released ( prepublication-format)33rdrd Quarter Quarter Printed report releasedPrinted report released

Meeting ScheduleMeeting Schedule

Steering Steering GroupGroup

Inner Inner PlanetsPlanets

MarsMars PrimitivPrimitive Bodiese Bodies

Outer Outer PlanetsPlanets

OuterOuter

PlanetsPlanets

SatellitSatelliteses

6-8 July6-8 July

WashingtonWashington

D.C.D.C.

16-18 16-18 NovemberNovember

IrvineIrvine

CaliforniaCalifornia

26-2826-28

AugustAugust

WashingtonWashington

D.C.D.C.

9-11 9-11 SeptemberSeptember

TempeTempe

ArizonaArizona

9-11 9-11 SeptemberSeptember

WashingtonWashington

D.C.D.C.

24-2624-26

AugustAugust

WashingtonWashington

D.C.D.C.

24-2624-26

AugustAugust

WashingtonWashington

D.C.D.C.

22-2422-24

FebruaryFebruary

Arizona or Arizona or CaliforniaCalifornia

26-2826-28

OctoberOctober

IrvineIrvine

CaliforniaCalifornia

4-64-6

NovemberNovember

PasadenaPasadena

CaliforniaCalifornia

28-3028-30

OctoberOctober

IrvineIrvine

CaliforniaCalifornia

26-2826-28

OctoberOctober

IrvineIrvine

CaliforniaCalifornia

21-23 21-23 SeptemberSeptember

IrvineIrvine

CaliforniaCalifornia

25-27 May25-27 May

WashingtonWashington

D.C.D.C.

TBDTBD TBDTBD TBDTBD 4-6 May4-6 May

Boston?Boston?

MassachusetMassachusettsts

TBDTBD

Steering Group 3

Feb. 22-24, 2010

Steering Group 4

May 25-27, 2010

Inner Planets 3

Mars 3

Primitive Bodies 3

Outer Planets 3

May 4-6,2010

Outer Planet Satellites 3

Steering Group/Panel Steering Group/Panel InteractionsInteractions

July 2009

September 2010

Steering Group 1, D.C.;

July 6-8. ‘09

Steering Group Conference Call(s)

Inner Planets 1, D.C.;

Aug. 26-28, 2009

Mars 1, Tempe, AZ;

Sep. 9-11, 2009

Primitive Bodies 1, D.C.;

Sep. 9-11, 2009

Giant Planets 1, D.C.;

Aug. 24-26, 2009

Satellites 1, D.C.;

Aug. 24-26, 2009

Inner Planets 2, Irvine;

Oct. 26-28, 2009

Mars 2, Pasadena

Nov. 4-6, 2009

Primitive Bodies 2, Irvine;

Oct. 28-30, 2009

Giant Planets 2, Irvine;

Oct. 26-28, 2009

Satellites 2, Irvine;

Sep. 21-23, 2009

Mission Studies and Cost Estimation

Steering Group 2, Irvine;

Nov. 16-18, 2009

FirstSteering GroupMeeting

Deliberation andReport Drafting

DraftConsensusReport

Informatio

nGathering

Community White Papers

Committee Meetings

Decadal Survey

Committee

Staff Informatio

n Gathering

Panel Informatio

n Gathering

Panel Deliberatio

ns and Drafting

Mission Studies

Independent Cost

Estimators

Steering Group/Panels Steering Group/Panels WorkflowWorkflow

Community InteractionsCommunity Interactions

Broad community input is a defining feature of a decadal Broad community input is a defining feature of a decadal surveysurvey

Town hall and open meetings were held as early as possible in Town hall and open meetings were held as early as possible in the process of establishing the survey committee (e.g., the process of establishing the survey committee (e.g., DPSDPS, , AGUAGU and and VEXAGVEXAG, , MEPAG, OPAG,MEPAG, OPAG, RAS,RAS, LPSCLPSC and and CAPTEMCAPTEM))

Future outreach sessions are planned for the upcoming meetingsFuture outreach sessions are planned for the upcoming meetings

White papers submission mechanism active on decadal survey web White papers submission mechanism active on decadal survey web site (site (http://www7.nationalacademies.org/ssb/SSEdecadal2011.htmlhttp://www7.nationalacademies.org/ssb/SSEdecadal2011.html))

White paper notice-of-intent mechanism active on LPI web siteWhite paper notice-of-intent mechanism active on LPI web site ((http://www.lpi.usra.edu/decadal/http://www.lpi.usra.edu/decadal/))

Steering committee and panel meetings will be webcast and Steering committee and panel meetings will be webcast and archivedarchived

Chairs newsletter and regular bulletins (via, e.g., the PEN Chairs newsletter and regular bulletins (via, e.g., the PEN and DPS) to communityand DPS) to community

Graduate students are being recruited as rapporteurs for Graduate students are being recruited as rapporteurs for steering group and panel meetingssteering group and panel meetings

Examples of Recent and Examples of Recent and Future Outreach EventsFuture Outreach Events

NAC/PSS, 10 July, Washington, D.C., PresentationNAC/PSS, 10 July, Washington, D.C., Presentation

OPAG, 14 July, Columbia, Maryland, PresentationOPAG, 14 July, Columbia, Maryland, Presentation

NLSI/LEAG, 22-23 July, Moffett Field, California, NLSI/LEAG, 22-23 July, Moffett Field, California, PresentationPresentation

MEPAG, 30 July, Providence, Rhode Island, PresentationMEPAG, 30 July, Providence, Rhode Island, Presentation

Augustine Commission, 5 August, Washington, D.C., Augustine Commission, 5 August, Washington, D.C., PresentationPresentation

EPSC, 14 September, Potsdam, Germany, PresentationEPSC, 14 September, Potsdam, Germany, Presentation

DPS, 4-9 October, Fajardo, Puerto Rico, Plenary Session and DPS, 4-9 October, Fajardo, Puerto Rico, Plenary Session and Panel-specific WorkshopsPanel-specific Workshops

AGU, 14-18 December, San Francisco, California, Scientific AGU, 14-18 December, San Francisco, California, Scientific Session and town-hall meeting(s)Session and town-hall meeting(s)

Evaluation of Candidate MissionsEvaluation of Candidate Missions

Compared to previous decadal surveys, this one will place Compared to previous decadal surveys, this one will place much much greater emphasisgreater emphasis on evaluation of the technical maturity and on evaluation of the technical maturity and probable costs of candidate missions. probable costs of candidate missions.

The Panels and the Steering Group include members who are The Panels and the Steering Group include members who are expert in engineering, project management, and cost estimation.expert in engineering, project management, and cost estimation.

Resources are available to do moderate-fidelity (and Resources are available to do moderate-fidelity (and conservative!) cost estimates for a limited number of high-conservative!) cost estimates for a limited number of high-priority candidate missions.priority candidate missions.

The objective is to produce a The objective is to produce a realisticrealistic (i.e., not heavily (i.e., not heavily over-subscribed) set of candidate missions for NASA to carry over-subscribed) set of candidate missions for NASA to carry out in the coming decade.out in the coming decade.

Assuring Fiscal and Technical Assuring Fiscal and Technical RealismRealism

Technical support in the Technical support in the form of mission studies will form of mission studies will be conducted by the following be conducted by the following groups:groups: JPL Team X and RapidJPL Team X and Rapid Mission Architecture Mission Architecture team.team.

APL ACE labAPL ACE lab

GSFC Integrated DesignGSFC Integrated Design Cente (Mission Design Cente (Mission Design LabLab and Instrument Design and Instrument Design Lab)Lab)

The NRC will procure The NRC will procure independent cost estimates independent cost estimates from an appropriately from an appropriately qualified organization.qualified organization. Four qualified Four qualified companies have responded to companies have responded to an RFI; the winning an RFI; the winning contractor will be selected contractor will be selected shortlyshortly

A lack of technical and fiscal realism has been a major weakness of past decadal surveys (in planetary science and other disciplines). The decadal survey has adopted a twin-track approach to crafting more robust mission priorities.

SummarySummary

The decadal survey process is aimed at articulating a The decadal survey process is aimed at articulating a program for the coming decade that represents as fully program for the coming decade that represents as fully as possible the as possible the true consensus viewtrue consensus view of the US planetary of the US planetary science communityscience community

The distinguishing features of the decadal survey The distinguishing features of the decadal survey process are process are inclusivenessinclusiveness and and transparencytransparency

In contrast to past decadal surveys, this one will place In contrast to past decadal surveys, this one will place a strong emphasis on a strong emphasis on cost realismcost realism

The process is moving forward briskly. White paper The process is moving forward briskly. White paper inputs from the community are needed by inputs from the community are needed by September 15September 15

http://www7.nationalacademies.org/ssb/SSEdecadal2011.htmlhttp://www7.nationalacademies.org/ssb/SSEdecadal2011.html))

ExtraExtra

New Frontiers in the Solar New Frontiers in the Solar SystemSystem

OriginOrigin NASA request NASA request

PurposePurpose To define for solar To define for solar system exploration a decadal system exploration a decadal science and mission strategy, science and mission strategy, akin to those drafted by the akin to those drafted by the astronomy and astrophysics astronomy and astrophysics communities for the last 40 communities for the last 40 yearsyears

Study GroupStudy Group Steering group of Steering group of 15 supported by 45 others on 15 supported by 45 others on six panels (plus 200+ authors six panels (plus 200+ authors of white papers)of white papers)

Study periodStudy period 7/01 to 7/02 7/01 to 7/02

Final Report IssuedFinal Report Issued 2003 2003

Steering GroupSteering Group

Steven W. Squyres, Cornell University, Steven W. Squyres, Cornell University, ChairChair Laurence A. Soderblom, U.S. Geological Survey, Laurence A. Soderblom, U.S. Geological Survey, Vice ChairVice Chair Wendy M. Calvin, University of Nevada, RenoWendy M. Calvin, University of Nevada, Reno Dale Cruikshank, NASA Ames Research CenterDale Cruikshank, NASA Ames Research Center Pascale Ehrenfreund, George Washington University andPascale Ehrenfreund, George Washington University and Leiden Institute of ChemistryLeiden Institute of Chemistry G. Scott Hubbard, Stanford UniversityG. Scott Hubbard, Stanford University Wesley T. Huntress, Jr., Carnegie Institution of Washington Wesley T. Huntress, Jr., Carnegie Institution of Washington Margaret G. Kivelson, University of California, Los Angeles Margaret G. Kivelson, University of California, Los Angeles B. Gentry Lee, Jet Propulsion LaboratoryB. Gentry Lee, Jet Propulsion Laboratory Jane Luu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Lincoln Jane Luu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Lincoln LaboratoryLaboratory Stephen Mackwell, Lunar and Planetary InstituteStephen Mackwell, Lunar and Planetary Institute Ralph L. McNutt, Jr., Johns Hopkins University, Applied Ralph L. McNutt, Jr., Johns Hopkins University, Applied Physics LaboratoryPhysics Laboratory Harry Y. McSween, Jr., University of Tennessee, KnoxvilleHarry Y. McSween, Jr., University of Tennessee, Knoxville Amy Simon-Miller, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Amy Simon-Miller, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center David J. Stevenson, California Institute of TechnologyDavid J. Stevenson, California Institute of Technology A. Thomas Young, Lockheed Martin Corporation (Retired)A. Thomas Young, Lockheed Martin Corporation (Retired)

White Paper SubmissionWhite Paper Submission

White papers may be submitted before September 15, 2009, White papers may be submitted before September 15, 2009, via the decadal survey web site.via the decadal survey web site.

White papers may not be more than 7 pages in length.White papers may not be more than 7 pages in length.

A cover page should include the primary author's name and A cover page should include the primary author's name and a list of co-authors.a list of co-authors.

Use a 12-pt font with 1-inch margins.Use a 12-pt font with 1-inch margins.

Only Word (.doc) and Acrobat (.pdf) formats will be Only Word (.doc) and Acrobat (.pdf) formats will be accepted.accepted.

Multiple authorship that accurately reflects a consensus Multiple authorship that accurately reflects a consensus

among many individuals is strongly encouraged.among many individuals is strongly encouraged.

Everyone in the planetary science community is encouraged Everyone in the planetary science community is encouraged to author white papers; the only exception is the decadal to author white papers; the only exception is the decadal survey panel chairs and steering committee members.survey panel chairs and steering committee members.