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1 1 PISA OECD Programme for International Student Assessment 8 th Educational Publishers Forum - Paris Francesca Borgonovi 20 September 2012 Strong Performers and Successful Reformers in Education Francesca Borgonovi Early Childhood and Schools Division, EDU OECD Programme for International Student Assessment
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PISA OECD Programme for International Student Assessment 8 th Educational Publishers Forum - Paris Francesca Borgonovi 20 September 2012 Strong Performers.

Dec 26, 2015

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Page 1: PISA OECD Programme for International Student Assessment 8 th Educational Publishers Forum - Paris Francesca Borgonovi 20 September 2012 Strong Performers.

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Strong Performers and Successful Reformers in

Education

Francesca BorgonoviEarly Childhood and Schools Division, EDU

OECD

Programme for International Student Assessment

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Foundation skills for the future

Rapid pace of change in most work environments requires strong foundation skills even in relatively routine manual occupations

Strong foundation skills are needed to make the most of computerisation and digitisation

Literacy to understand descriptions of new procedures for rapidly changing tasks

Numeracy to be able to understand the basic mathematics that permeates models used by computers

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Advanced skills for the future

Expert thinking and ability to solve problems with no rules-based solutions

Complex communication and the ability of interacting with humans to acquire information, explain it and lead others to action.

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2How the demand for skills has changed

Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US)

(Levy and Murnane)

Mean t

ask

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960 t

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The dilemma of schools:The skills that are easiest to teach and test are also the ones that are easiest to digitise, automate and outsource

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Implications for education systems

Technology can change the nature of work faster than people can change their skills

Education systems need to proactively and continuously re-think about how to develop the advanced skills that will be needed in the unpredictable labour markets and societies of the future

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1998PISA countries in

2000200120032006200977%81%83%85%86%

Coverage of world economy 87%

PISA in brief Methods…

Target population 15-year-old students Random samples

– PISA 2009: over half a million students…

….representing 28 million 15-year-olds in 74 countries/economies

2 hour paper and pencil test in reading, mathematics and science + digital reading assessment

Item types- constructed response and multiple choice; real life tasks

Student background questionnaire– their personal background, their schools

and their engagement with learning and school School and system background questionnaires

– school policies, practices, resources and institutional factors that help explain performance differences .

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PISA... a (relatively) long story PISA in 2000, 2003, 2006 and 2009 PISA 2012 – In the field PISA 2015 – Work in Progress

Focus on students’ capacity to extrapolate from what they know and creatively apply their knowledge in novel situations

Less emphasis on whether they can reproduce what they were taught

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2Strong Performers and Successful

Reformers in Education

Quality of Learning outcomes

Equity of learning opportunities

Factors that make a difference

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2Average performanceof 15-year-olds in reading

High reading performance

Low reading performance … 17 countries perform below this line

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2Performance in reading (2009)

539

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2Change in reading performance between 2000 and

2009

Reading performance

improved

Reading performance

declined

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Percentage of students below proficiency Level 2 in reading between 2000 and 2009

2000

2009

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Percentage of top performers in reading between 2000 and 2009

2000

2009

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Equity of learning opportunities

Are students held back because of their socio-economic condition?

The role of schools: between and within school differences in performance

Gender gap

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Strength of the relationship between performance and socio-economic backgroundabove the OECD average

impactbelow the OECD average impact

Percentage of variance in performance explained by ESCS (r-squared x 100)

Above average reading performanceAbove average impact of socio-economic background

Below average reading performanceAbove average impact of socio-economic background

Below average reading performanceBelow average impact of socio-economic background

not statistically significantly different from the OECD average impact

Above average reading performanceBelow average impact of socio-economic background

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2School performance and socio-economic

background Finland

Stu

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perf

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AdvantagePISA Index of socio-economic background

Disadvantage

Private school Public school in rural area Public school in urban area

700

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2School performance and socio-economic

background Germany

Stu

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perf

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AdvantagePISA Index of socio-economic background

Disadvantage

Private school Public school in rural area Public school in urban area

700

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2Variability in student performance

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2Variability in student performance

between and within schools

Performance variation of students in schools

Performance differences between schools

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2Gender Gap in Reading

(PISA 2009, girls - boys)

Girls perform better

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Factors that make a difference

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Differences between boys and girls compared with print reading

Gender difference in digital reading performance (girls-boys)

Gender difference in print reading performance (girls- boys)

Colombia

Denmark

Hong Kong -China

Macao - ChinaKorea

Spain

New Zealand

NorwayPoland

Ireland

Iceland

Australia

Sweden

OECD Average

Belgium

Japan

Austria

Hungary

France

Chile

Girls have a larger advantage in print reading

Girls have a larger advantage in digital

reading

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The role of digital resources

Digital reading can be a lever to reduce the gender gap

The gender gap in digital reading is much smaller than in print reading, and relates to differences in navigation skills between boys and girls

Reading more and reading with enjoyment promotes better reading, and better reading fosters stronger engagement.

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2Digital Reading Performance and

computer use at home

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computer use at school

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Computer use at home for leisure and digital reading performance -

Japan

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Computer use at home for leisure and digital reading performance -

Chile

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2ICT use at school and digital

reading performance

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The role of digital resources

ICT use at home for leisure is – up to a point – positively related to performance, navigation skills and self-confidence in completing high-level ICT tasks

Parents and teachers need to encourage students to use computers so that they can improve their navigation skills but also provide guidance on balancing time spent using computers with time for other activities

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2Changes in percentage of students who

reported having a computer at home between PISA 2000 and 2009

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2Changes in computers-per-student ratio

between PISA 2000 and 2009

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2Digital divide by country

However, some countries lag behind on digital use

Percentage of students who use a computer at home

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Disadvantaged students have less access to a computer at home

Digital divide by socio-economic background within countries

Disadvantaged students have less access to a computer at school

Disadvantaged students have more access to a computer at school

Within countries, there is a digital divide by socio-economic background of students

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2The role of digital resources at

school

Access to computers has improved significantly, both at home and at school, but important gaps remain between countries and social groups

Strategies that promote wider access to ICT at school can help minimise impact of social background on digital competency gaps, with possible consequences for future employment opportunities

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2ICT can…

Enable students to obtain more regular feedback on their learning processes

Make students more active participants in learning processes in classrooms and tailor these processes to individual students’ needs

Provide students with up-to-date access to the world’s current research and thinking

However, identifying effective strategies to teach digital reading skills is an important policy objective

Ability to critically evaluate the quality and credibility of texts, integrate information from multiple texts and – crucially – navigate effectively

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2Who chooses which textbooks are

used in school?

Percentage of students in schools whose principals reported that only teachers or school principals choose which textbooks are used

School level autonomy in the choice of textbooks

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2Who chooses which textbooks are

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Percentage of students in schools whose principals reported that only regional and/or national educational authority choose which textbooks are used

School level autonomy in the choice of textbooks

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2Who determines

course content in school?School level autonomy in the choice of course content (curricular

autonomy)

Percentage of students in schools whose principals reported that only teachers or school principals determine course content

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2Who determines

course content in school?School level autonomy in the choice of course content (curricular

autonomy)

Percentage of students in schools whose principals reported that only regional and/or national educational authority determine course content

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2Does autonomy in curriculum and assessment make a difference?

Between country association with reading performance: Positive (countries with more autonomy in curriculum and assessment have higher mean performance)

Within country association with reading performance:

Without accounting for the socio-economic and demographic

background of students and schools

After accounting for the socio-economic and demographic

background of students and schools

Negative relationship

Positive relationship

Negative relationship

Positive relationship

OECD Austria, GermanyLuxembourg,

Portugal, Switzerland

Italy, Luxembourg

Belgium, Netherlands, Switzerland

OECD average change in score: 1.6

OECD average change in score: -1.0

Partner countries

and economies

Argentina, Bulgaria,

Kazakhstan, Panama, Peru,

Serbia, Shanghai-China

Dubai (UAE)

Argentina, Bulgaria, Peru,

Shanghai-China, Chinese Taipei

Dubai (UAE), Lithuania

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PISA score in reading

School autonomy, accountability and student performance

Impact of school autonomy on performance in systems with and without accountability arrangements

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Increased likelihood of postsec. particip. at age 19/21 associated with PISA reading proficiency at age 15

(Canada)after accounting for school engagement, gender, mother

tongue, place of residence, parental, education and family income (reference group PISA Level 1)

Odds ratiohigher education entry

School marks at age 15

PISA performance at age

15

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Student inclusion

Curriculum, instruction and assessment

Teacher quality

Work organisation

Accountability

Education reform trajectories

The old bureaucratic system The modern enabling system

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Find out more about PISA at…www.oecd.org/pisa

Email: [email protected]