Phytosanitary Risk Analysis – the New Zealand Experience Dr Mike Ormsby Senior Adviser Risk Analysis Biosecurity New Zealand October 2005.

Phytosanitary Risk Analysis –

the New Zealand Experience

Dr Mike OrmsbySenior Adviser Risk Analysis

Biosecurity New Zealand

October 2005

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era2

Overview1. Scope of the New Zealand phytosanitary risk analysis

system

2. The international regulatory framework in phytosanitary trade issues as it applies to New Zealand

3. The New Zealand phytosanitary risk analysis system

4. A risk management decision making framework, and input from risk analysis.

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era3

Scope of NZ Phytosanitary RAs• All pests of plants (phytosanitary)• All commodities on which pests of plants may pose a

risk (e.g. plant material, animal material, inanimate objects)• Consequences for pests of plants includes impacts on

all values (e.g.– Environment (urban, natural, flora, fauna, marine (amenity

values))– Health (human (societal) physical and emotional health

(cultural, aesthetic conditions etc))– Economic (primary production, environmental, direct and

indirect))

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International regulatory framework• New Zealand is a signatory to three international

agreements relevant to the management of phytosanitary-related trade issues.– The agreement of sanitary and phytosanitary

measures (SPS agreement)– International Plant Protection Convention (IPPC)– The Convention for Biological Diversity (CBD)

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SPS Agreement

SPS Agreement enables sanitary and phytosanitary measures to be taken, in the context of trade, to protect human, animal or plant life or health, provided that those measures either conform to international standards OR are scientifically justified on the basis of assessment of risks

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era6

International regulatory framework

Plants, plant productsand other pathways(includes animals

and inanimate)

PlantHealth

IPPC

Animalsand animal

products

OIE

Animal and human health, theenvironment, and resulting

socioeconomic effects

SPS

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Outcomes• New Zealand’s phytosanitary RA framework

must be: – consistent with the IPPC standards

where measures are to be applied to protect plant health

– meet the requirements of the SPS when developing measures to protect all other values potentially impacted by plant pests e.g. animal or human health, or the environment

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era8

System Design Parameters

The New Zealand risk analysis framework must meet:

1. International Requirements– combine both the OIE and IPPC frameworks– meet IPPC and SPS requirements

2. Domestic Expectations– be Effective, Efficient, Transparent, and Consistent– mitigate risks to all values.

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era9

NZ phytosanitary risk analysis systemProject Management = Efficiency and Consistency

Risk Analysis = Effectiveness and Transparency

Initiation Planning Delivery Closeout

Initiation Planning Delivery Closeout

CommunicationPlan, HazardIdentification

Risk Analysis(Design and

Build)

Consultation,Project

Reporting

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era10

NZ phytosanitary risk analysis systemProject Planning

1. Project Plan (e.g. time lines, deliverables etc)

2. Communication Strategy (e.g. peer review, consultation etc)

3. Risk Criteria (e.g. Hazard = Potential hazard or Not a potential hazard

Consequence = Negligible or Non-Negligible Likelihoods = Negligible or Non-Negligible)

4. Hazard Identification5. Hazard Scoping (e.g. grouping like hazards)

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era11

NZ phytosanitary risk analysis systemRisk Analysis

1. Risk Assessment (Risk = Consequence x Likelihood (of each identified hazard))

2. Overall Risk Estimation (for each hazard)

3. Assessment of Uncertainty (for assumptions and risk estimates)

4. Evaluation of Mitigation Options (against the acceptable level of risk)

5. Assessment of Residual Risk (what risk is left?)

6. Peer Review (by external experts)

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era12

NZ phytosanitary risk analysis system

Close Out

1. Consultation2. Close out report (report on things that went wrong, and things

that went right)

3. Records Management (ensure supporting information is maintained for future review)

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era13

Risk management decision making framework

RiskManagement

Decision

Risk Analysis= ALOP for

Pathway/Pest(Appropriate

Level ofProtection)

NationalGuidelines

on RiskAcceptability

ImplementationPlan

(Regulation,Quarantine,

Surveillance)

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era14

Uncertainty and Residual Risk• Identifying Uncertainty

– Aids in identifying weaknesses in analysis– Aids in developing research priorities in support of

risk analysis

• Measuring Residual Risk– Aids in monitoring effectiveness of measures (know

what failure is)– Informs risk management decision maker

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era15

CONCLUSION• It is possible to adapt existing risk assessment

frameworks (IPPC and OIE) to address all (phytosanitary and other) biological risks from pests of plants

• Project management disciplines aid significantly in delivering consistency and efficiency to the risk analysis program.

• The risk analysis program can independently inform the risk management decision making process

Biosecurity New Zealand:A new agency and a new era16

Protecting New Zealand’s

natural advantage

New Zealanders, our unique natural resources, our plants and animals are protected from damaging pests and diseases.

Dr Mike Ormsby

Biosecurity New Zealand