[email protected]The Framework of the WMO/WWRP FROST-2014 Forecast Verification Setup and Activities Pertti Nurmi et al. (*) (*) Acknowledgements : WWRP FROST-2014 Expert Team & FMI Verification System Development Team Other FROST-2014 Presentations in this Session (10 Sep 2015) 2. Operational Forecast Verification, by D. Kiktev et al 3. End-user Precipitation Forecast Verification, by L. Nikitina et al 4. Deterministic NWP Verification, by A. Bundel et al 5. High-impact Weather Forecasts Verification, by A. Muraviev et al 6. Spatial Verification of Precipitation Fields, by A. Bundel et al
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[email protected] The Framework of the WMO/WWRP FROST-2014 Forecast Verification Setup and Activities The Framework of the WMO/WWRP FROST-2014 Forecast.
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Friction forecast gave a good estimate of slipperiness
FC storage terms (water, snow, ice)
are realistic
Road weather forecast was
usefulNotes (free text)
16.2.2014 5 4 Precipitation, however road surface dried towards Adler
20.2.2014 5 5 2 Dry road surface, i.e. No real need for RW forecast
21.2.2014 5 3 Variable road surface humidity
23.2.2014 5 5 2 Dry road surface, i.e. No real need for RW forecast
End-user = Finnish skiing service team, Feedback :
• ” HARMONIE was superior ”• ” HARMONIE visibility forecasts were excellent ”• ” HARMONIE precipitation and cloud height fcs were highly useful ”• ” HARMONIE five-panel user interface was really good ”
Re-run statistics now that full, final data sets are available Roshydromet…
Comprehensive diagnostic verification and inter-comparison of the participating forecasting systems, case studies, numerical experiments, assessments of predictability Ongoing / Roshydromet…
Open FROST-2014 data access for international research community
Joint reporting-publishing-presentations by FROST-2014 Partners
WWOSC, Montreal, Aug 2014 IUGG, Prague, June 2015
EMS-ECAM, Sofia, 10 Sep 2015
Special Issue in “Russian Meteorology and Hydrology”, Aug 2015; English version issued by Allerton Press in the US
AMS Special Collection in Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, Weather and Forecasting & BAMS, Feb 2016