Personal David Burridge Ex Director ECMWF Ex Director IPO (twice) Ex ......... NED Met Office
Dec 24, 2015
Science Plan peer-reviewed;
Implementation Plan 2004-2015
approved;
Approved annual expenditure
$1.2M through a trust fund;
First Symposium (Montreal,2004)
Regional Committees - RAII,IV,VI
Southern Hemisphere alliance
GEOSSGEOSS
The Team
Elena Manaenkova Nathalie Tournier and David Burridge
Jim Caughey David Parsons Tetsuo Nakazawa
”Chuchu” Feng
And $1,200,094 per annumor (better still)
$1,824,795 per annum!in reality ……
O th er TC s
M an ag em en t G rou p
C B S
T AB SAB
ShAP Regional Com m ittees
InternationalProgram m e
Office
Data Policyand M anagem ent
W G
PredictabilityDynam ical Processes
W G
ObservingSystem
W G
Data Assim ilationObserving Strategies
W G
Societal&Econom icApplications
W G
G lobal InteractiveForecast System
W G s
Executive Board
T HORPEX ICSC
SSC/W W RP
C A S
W G N E
JS C W C R P R A s
E xecu tive C ou n c il IC S U E B IO C E C
C on g ress
In 2008, the organisational structure was revised
With scientific oversight being provided by the WWRP JSC
My take on the major successes of the programme
GIFS-TIGGE – TIGGE data base and TIGGE services; GEOWOW
DAOS – analysis of the data from field experiments, reviews of the GOS and a authoritative assessment of the results of targeting PDP – Field experiments, science community building
GEOSS – took us to places I didn’t expect to go, great source of support and funding
YOTC – essentially the outcome of the Trieste (date) meeting
Regional plans
Global Interactive Forecast System using the THORPEX INTERACTIVE GLOBAL GRAND ENSEMBLE (TIGGE)End-to-end forecast system “tuned” for end users, using targeted
observations called on in ‘sensitive areas’, adaptive data assimilation, grid computing and distributed archives accessible through a single entry point.
Upgraded Russian Upgraded Russian Radiosonde Network for IPYRadiosonde Network for IPY
U.S. (NOAA)U.S. (NOAA)
WinterWinter
NOAA G-4 andNOAA G-4 and
Air Force C-130sAir Force C-130s
JapanJapanPalauPalau
Typhoon Landfall
EU, US, Japan, Korea, Canada
[DLR Falcon, NRL P-3]
EU, US, Japan, Korea, Canada
[DLR Falcon, NRL P-3]
WMOWMOWCRP/WWRPWCRP/WWRP
Asian/IndianAsian/IndianMonsoonMonsoon
U.S.U.S.ONR/NSFONR/NSF
TCS-08TCS-08[NRL P-3, WC-130][NRL P-3, WC-130]
THORPEX-Pacific Asian Regional Campaign/Tropical Cyclone Structure-08 Experiments and Collaborative Efforts
SoWMex
TH08
PROBEX
Extra observations and targetedobservations to improve
track prediction
Additional Targeting Component at DLR and FZK, Germany
Patrick HarrNaval Postgraduate School
Monterey, CA [email protected]
Targeting Motivation: Track Uncertainty 10 September
ECMWF Strike Probability JMA Ensemble Members
Numerical model aids
THORPEX and GEOSS Contribute to GEOSS societal benefit areas, for
example
HEALTH - use advanced weather forecasting methods to improve predictability of major health hazards in W. Africa
WEATHER - further develop TIGGE and societal applications
AGRICULTURE - help improve the predictability of food supplies in Africa
ENERGY - demonstration project utilizing the TIGGE databases to improve energy management techniques (particularly those linked to hydro-power)
THORPEX and WCRP
JSC/WCRP member of ICSC and science groups
THORPEX in WCRP/COPES
Joint project initiated to develop a unified ultra-high-resolution
global weather and climate prediction system
Collaboration in TIGGE
TIGGE and Task Force on Seasonal Prediction (TFSP)
Similar technical issues (data, archiving, policy)
Potential for “seamless” days-seasons prediction systems
Links established between THORPEX and TFSP
And
THORPEX/WCRP/ICTP Workshop
Organisation and Organisation and
Maintenance of Maintenance of
Tropical Convection Tropical Convection
andand the Madden Julian the Madden Julian
OscillationOscillation
THORPEX/WCRP/ICTP Workshop
Organisation and Maintenance of Tropical Convection and the Madden Julian Oscillation
Hosted by the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) 13-17 March 2006, Trieste, Italy
Meeting Report prepared by Julia Slingo, Franco Molteni, Mitch Moncrieff and Mel Shapiro
BBC weather pagesMonday 10 November Published at 10:00
Monthly OutlookSummary
Umbrellas at the ready - Our hats and scarfs were out as the UK ……
Monday 10 November—Sunday 16 NovemberMore rain on the cards - Get your brollies at the ready as the UK is set for an unsettled week ….The positive side to unsettled spells is that frosty conditions will be few and far between
Monday 17 November—Sunday 23 NovemberLow pressure still dominates - Our old friend low pressure looks set to remain situated somewhere to the south-west of the UK ……
Monday 24 November—Sunday 7 DecemberDon't put the umbrellas away just yet - As autumns moves along for another year and winter begins to arrive, mild and unsettled weather looks set to cling to the UK…
Monthly forecasting
The weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 17 November
THORPEX TRUST FUND CONTRIBUTORS
Canada China France Germany Japan Korea, Rep of Norway (2004-
2009) United Kingdom USA
Huge World-wide contributions to the creation of data bases, numerical experiments, field experiments and other regional activities