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Learning Outcomes Mahasiswa dapat memahami pemodelan kuantitaif yang ada di bidang Matematika danStatistika..
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Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

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Page 1: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

Learning Outcomes• Mahasiswa dapat memahami pemodelan

kuantitaif yang ada di bidang Matematika danStatistika..

Page 2: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

Outline Materi:

• Pengertian Model Matematika & Statistika• Sistem Modelling• Dynamic model• Matrix model• Stochastic model• Multivariate model• Optimization model

Page 3: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

PEMODELAN KUANTITATIF : MATEMATIKA DAN STATISTIKA

MODEL STATISTIKA:FENOMENA STOKASTIK

MODEL MATEMATIKA:FENOMENA DETERMINISTIK

Page 4: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

DYNAMIC MODEL DYNAMIC MODEL

MODELLINGMODELLING

DynamicsDynamics SIMULATIONSIMULATION

LanguageLanguage

EquationsEquations

Computer Computer

GeneralGeneralSpecialSpecial

DYNAMOCSMPCSSL

DYNAMOCSMPCSSL

BASICBASIC

FORMALFORMAL

ANALYSISANALYSIS

Page 5: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

DYNAMIC MODEL (2) DYNAMIC MODEL (2)

DIAGRAMSDIAGRAMS

RELATIONALRELATIONAL SYMBOLSSYMBOLS

RATE EQUATIONS

RATE EQUATIONS

LEVELS LEVELS

PARAMETERPARAMETER

INFORMATION FLOW

INFORMATION FLOWSINKSINK

AUXILIARY VARIABLES

AUXILIARY VARIABLES

MATERIAL FLOW

MATERIAL FLOW

Page 6: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

DYNAMIC MODEL: (3) DYNAMIC MODEL: (3)

ORIGINSORIGINS

ComputersComputers EquationsEquations

Other functions

Other functions

StepsSteps

Discriminant Function

Discriminant Function

UndestandingUndestanding

SimulationSimulation

AbstractionAbstraction

HypothesisHypothesis

LogisticLogisticExponentialsExponentials

Page 7: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

MATRIX MODEL MATRIX MODEL

MATHEMATICSMATHEMATICS

OperationsOperations MatricesMatrices

TypesTypes

Eigen valueEigen value

Elements Elements

SquareSquareRectangularRectangular

Diagonal Identity

Diagonal Identity VectorsVectors

DominantDominant

Eigen vectorEigen vector

ScalarsScalars

RowColumn

RowColumn

AdditionsSubstraction

MultiplicationInversion

AdditionsSubstraction

MultiplicationInversion

Page 8: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

MATRIX MODEL (2)MATRIX MODEL (2)

DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT

InteractionsInteractions GroupsGroups

Development stages

Development stages

StochasticStochastic

Size Size Materials

cycles

Materials cycles Markov

Models

Markov Models

Page 9: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

STOCHASTIC MODEL STOCHASTIC MODEL

STOCHASTICSTOCHASTIC

ProbabilitiesProbabilities HistoryHistory

StabilityStability

Other ModelsOther Models

Statistical method

Statistical method

DynamicsDynamics

Page 10: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

STOCHASTIC MODEL (2) STOCHASTIC MODEL (2)

Spatial paternSpatial patern

DistributionDistribution ExampleExample

BinomialBinomial

PissonPisson Poisson Poisson

Negative Binomial

Negative Binomial

OthersOthers

Negative Binomial

Negative Binomial

Fitting Fitting Test Test

Page 11: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

STOCHASTIC MODEL (3) STOCHASTIC MODEL (3)

ADDITIVE MODELSADDITIVE MODELS

Basic ModelBasic Model ExampleExample

ParameterParameter

ErrorError Estimates Estimates

BlockBlock

TreatmentsTreatments

AnalysisAnalysis

Effects Effects

Orthogonal Orthogonal

ExperimentalExperimentalSignificance Significance

Variance Variance

Page 12: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

STOCHASTIC MODEL (4) STOCHASTIC MODEL (4)

REGRESSIONREGRESSION

ModelModel ExampleExample

Linear/ Non-linear functions

Linear/ Non-linear functions

ErrorError Decomposition Decomposition

AssumptionsAssumptions

EquationEquation

Reactions Reactions

Oxygen uptake Oxygen uptake

ExperimentalExperimentalEmpirical base

Empirical base

Theoritical base

Theoritical base

Page 13: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

STOCHASTIC MODEL (5) STOCHASTIC MODEL (5)

MARKOVMARKOV

ExampleExample AssumptionsAssumptions

Transition probabilities

Transition probabilities

AnalysisAnalysis Disadvantage Disadvantage

Raised mireRaised mire

AdvantagesAdvantages

Analysis Analysis

Page 14: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

MULTIVARIATE MODELS(1) MULTIVARIATE MODELS(1)

METHODSMETHODS

VariableVariable ClassificationClassification

IndependentIndependent

DependentDependent Descriptive Descriptive PredictivePredictive

VARIATE VARIATE

Principal Component

Analysis

Principal Component

Analysis

Cluster Analysis

Cluster Analysis

Reciprocal averaging

Reciprocal averaging

Canonical Analysis

Canonical Analysis

Discriminant Analysis

Discriminant Analysis

Page 15: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

MULTIVARIATE MODEL (2) MULTIVARIATE MODEL (2)

PRINCIPLE COMPONENT ANALYSISPRINCIPLE COMPONENT ANALYSIS

ExampleExample CorrelationCorrelation

OrganismOrganism

EnvironmentEnvironment Eigenvalues Eigenvalues

RegionsRegions

ObjectivesObjectives

Requirement Requirement

Eigenvectors Eigenvectors

Page 16: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

MULTIVARIATE MODEL (3)

CLUSTER ANALYSISCLUSTER ANALYSIS

ExampleExample Spanning treeSpanning tree

Rainfall regimes

Rainfall regimes

DemographyDemography

Minimum Minimum

Settlement patern

Settlement patern

Multivariate space

Multivariate space

Similarity Similarity

Distance Distance

Single linkage Single linkage

Page 17: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

MULTIVARIATE MODEL (4) MULTIVARIATE MODEL (4)

CANONICAL CORRELATIONCANONICAL CORRELATION

ExampleExample Correlation Correlation

Urban areaUrban area

WatershedWatershedPartitioned Partitioned

Irrigation regions

Irrigation regions

Eigenvalues Eigenvalues Eigenvectors Eigenvectors

Page 18: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

MULTIVARIATE MODEL (5) MULTIVARIATE MODEL (5)

Discriminant FunctionDiscriminant Function

ExampleExample Discriminant Discriminant

VehiclesVehicles

VillagesVillagesCalculation Calculation

StructuresStructures

Test Test

Page 19: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.

OPTIMIZATION MODEL OPTIMIZATION MODEL

OPTIMIZATIONOPTIMIZATION

MeaningsMeanings Indirect Indirect

MinimizationMinimization

SimulationSimulationObjective function Objective function

MaximizationMaximization

Linear Linear

ExperimentationExperimentation

ConstraintsConstraints

SolutionSolution

ExamplesExamples

Non-Linear

Non-Linear

Dynamic Dynamic

Optimum Transportation RoutesOptimum irrigation schemeOptimum Regional Spacing

Optimum Transportation RoutesOptimum irrigation schemeOptimum Regional Spacing

Page 20: Pemodelan Kuantitatif Mat & Stat Pertemuan 3: Mata kuliah:K0194-Pemodelan Matematika Tahun:2008.