L`]j] ak [gflafm]\ [gfÕ\]f[] j]_Yj\af_ l`] _dgZYd ][gfgeq& L`ak ghlaeake ak \jan]f Zq aehjgn]\ hjgkh][lk ^gj ][gfgea[ _jgol` YdZ]al Yl dgo jYl]k!$ [gjhgjYl] ]Yjfaf_k Yf\ YnYadYZadalq g^ [j]\al& ?Hk kYq l`Yl l`] ^mf\%jYakaf_ ]fnajgfe]fl ak egj] hgkalan]$ oal` DHk c]]f lg \an]jka^q l`]aj afn]kle]flk Y[jgkk \a^^]j]fl ^mf\k Yf\ _]g_jYh`a]k& H= Õjek Yj] hgkalagf]\ lg eYc] egj] afn]kle]flk af ]e]j_af_ eYjc]lk Yf\ Yj] ]phYf\af_ l`]aj ^g[mk gmlka\] l`] :JA; [gmflja]k& L`]j] Yj] hdYfk ^gj H= hgjl^gdag [gehYfa]k lg [j]Yl] f]o bgZk gn]j l`] [geaf_ q]Yj Yf\ lg af[j]Yk] Y[imakalagf Y[lanalq& @go]n]j$ [gf[]jfk j]eYaf YZgml kdgoaf_ _jgol` af ]e]j_af_ eYjc]lk$ klY_fYfl _jgol` af l`] =mjgrgf]$ af[j]Ykaf_ E9 nYdmYlagfk Yf\ ^mlmj] []fljYd ZYfc Y[lagfk& L`] aehY[l [Yf Z] k]]f af Y j]\m[]\ d]n]d g^ E9 Y[lanalq& 9egf_ [gjhgjYlagfk af hYjla[mdYj l`]j] Yhh]Yjk lg Z] Y [gfÕ\]f[] hYjY\gp È l`] j]Zgmf\ af ][gfgea[ k]flae]fl _dgZYddq ak fgl [gmhd]\ oal` Yf af[j]Yk]\ Yhh]lal] ^gj [YhalYd afn]kle]fl$ egkl fglYZdq Yegf_ [gehYfa]k af =mjgh] l`Yl j]eYaf n]jq [Ymlagmk& L`ak j]dm[lYf[] lg afn]kl [gmd\ Z] dafc]\ lg l`] h]jkakl]fl dgo%_jgol` ]fnajgfe]fl af l`] _dgZYd ][gfgeq$ [j]Ylaf_ dalld] mj_]f[q lg eYc] afn]kle]flk& KmZ\m]\ E9 Y[lanalq oadd j]klja[l \]Yd Ögo ^gj H= Õjek Yf\ [gflafm] lg [`Ydd]f_] Y c]q ]pal jgml] ^gj hgjl^gdag [gehYfa]k& L`ak oadd Z] g^^k]l kda_`ldq Zq l`] j]gh]faf_ g^ AHG eYjc]lk$ o`a[` ak Zjaf_af_ o]d[ge] j]da]^ lg H= Õjek Yk l`]j] j]eYafk Yf ]klaeYl]\ )$,(( [gehYfa]k" lg Z] \an]kl]\ af l`] MK Yf\ =mjgh] gn]j l`] f]pl Õn] q]Yjk& "Oal` Yf ]fljq ]fl]jhjak] nYdm] g^ egj] l`Yf MK'Ò)-(e ?dgZYd ;YhalYd ;gfÕ\]f[] :Yjge]l]j Issue 4 Outlook May 2013–October 2013 HjanYl] =imalq About this survey The ?dgZYd ;YhalYd ;gfÕ\]f[] :Yjge]l]j ak Y j]_mdYj kmjn]q g^ k]fagj ]p][mlan]k ^jge dYj_] [gehYfa]k Yjgmf\ l`] ogjd\ [gf\m[l]\ Zq l`] =[gfgeakl Afl]dda_]f[] Mfal =AM!& >gj l`] ]a_`l` ?dgZYd ;YhalYd ;gfÕ\]f[] :Yjge]l]j$ o] gf[] Y_Yaf hgdd]\ H= hYjla[ahYflk mkaf_ Y k]hYjYl]$ Zml j]dYl]\$ kmjn]q& L`ak H= kmZk]l g^ gmj Õf\af_k _Ym_]k H= afn]klgjkÌ [gfÕ\]f[] af l`] ][gfgea[ gmldggc Yf\ a\]flaÕ]k c]q lj]f\k Yf\ hjY[la[]k af l`] oYq H= Õjek eYfY_] l`]aj [YhalYd Y_]f\Yk& HjgÔd] g^ j]khgf\]flk2 HYf]d g^ gn]j )(( H= afn]klgjk kmjn]q]\ >]ZjmYjq l`jgm_` EYj[` *()+$ af Y\\alagf lg gmj gn]jYdd kYehd] g^ Ydegkl )$.(( [gjhgjYl] ]p][mlan]k ^jge -( [gmflja]k Yf\ egj] l`Yf *( k][lgjk ,, j]khgf\]flk ^jge Õjek oal` egj] l`Yf MK- Zaddagf af Ykk]lk mf\]j eYfY_]e]fl B]^^ :mf\]j$ ?dgZYd HjanYl] =imalq D]Y\]j C]q Ôf\af_k • -- g^ H= afn]klgjk Z]da]n] l`] _dgZYd ][gfgeq ak aehjgnaf_$ YdZ]al kdgodq& • 0- g^ ?Hk l`afc l`Yl ^mf\%jYakaf_ [gf\alagfk oadd Z] hgkalan] gj klYZd] gn]j l`] [geaf_ q]Yj& • ,, g^ H= Õjek kYq l`Yl kdgoaf_ _jgol` af ]e]j_af_ eYjc]lk ak l`] Za__]kl jakc lg hgjl^gdag [gehYfa]k af l`] [geaf_ q]Yj& • /0 g^ H= Õjek Yj] kh]f\af_ Yl d]Ykl kap egfl`k hj]hYjaf_ hgjl^gdag [gehYfa]k ^gj ]pal& • *, g^ ?Hk ]ph][l l`] fmeZ]j g^ AHGk lg af[j]Yk] gn]j l`] [geaf_ q]Yj& Bmkl )- l`gm_`l l`] kYe] af G[lgZ]j& L`] ;YhalYd 9_]f\Y :Yk]\ Yjgmf\ ^gmj \ae]fkagfk$ al `]dhk [gehYfa]k [gfka\]j l`]aj [gf[]jfk Yf\ [`Ydd]f_]k$ mf\]jklYf\ l`]aj ghlagfk Yf\ eYc] egj] af^gje]\ [YhalYd \][akagfk& )& Hj]k]jnaf_ [YhalYd2 eYfY_af_ hgjl^gdag Yf\ afn]kl]] jakc Yf\ ]^^][lan] ÕfYf[aYd j]hgjlaf_ *& Ghlaearaf_ [YhalYd2 \janaf_ ]palk Yf\ j]lmjfk Yf\ eYfY_af_ l`] h]j^gjeYf[] aehjgn]e]fl g^ l`] hgjl^gdag +& JYakaf_ [YhalYd2 Ykk]kkaf_ ^mf\ \an]jkaÕ[Ylagf f]]\k Yf\ eYfY_af_ afl]jY[lagfk oal` afn]klgjk ,& Afn]klaf_ [YhalYd2 kgmj[af_ f]o \]Ydk Yf\ klj]f_l`]faf_ ljYfkY[lagf ]p][mlagf <]l]jeaf]\ lg \an]jka^q O`ad] hjanYl] ]imalq H=! afn]klgjk j]eYaf [gfÕ\]fl YZgml l`] _dgZYd ][gfgeq af gmj dYl]kl kmjn]q$ l`]q Yj] \an]jka^qaf_ l`]aj afn]kle]fl Yf\ ]pal Y[lanalq af j]khgfk] lg eml]\ [gjhgjYl] E9 d]n]dk&